Gelding operation and significant class drop from Listed to Maiden level creates strong improvement scope. Best raw speed in field with tactical advantage from moderate barrier draw.
Victoria · Thursday 12 February 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Precision Mechanical Services Mdn Plate
Hayes-trained gelding benefits from gear changes and inside barrier for likely leading role.
Hawkes-trained colt brings valuable race fitness being second up after short break.
Weight advantage and quality connections provide upside despite complete form unknowns.
- 1st4Rich On BubblesDaniel Stackhouse$2.60
- 2nd6TuzemakLachlan Neindorf$5.50
- 3rd3Harry Met SallyMichael Dee$4.00
- 4th5ArtisonJordan Childs$4.80
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Rich On Bubbles | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Tuzemak | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Reece Goodwin | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Harry Met Sally | 4 | Michael Dee | M W Walker | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Artison | 5 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 1 | Certain Impact | 1 | Ben Kennedy | M Croston & G Gilmour | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Good Feel | 6 | Jye McNeil | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | $7.00 |
Phil Green''s ''a Big Turkey'' Classic Mdn Plate
The addition of blinkers and Chris Waller's involvement suggest improvement is expected. However, the wide barrier and limited experience create some concerns in this staying test.
The proven Coffey-Wilde combination and limited exposure suggest improvement is possible. The wide barrier draw is the main concern in what appears a moderate tempo race.
Her recent narrow second at Seymour confirms current fitness, while her Pakenham record of 2 placings from 4 starts shows track suitability.
- 1st5Hallowed HallsEthan Brown$3.80
- 2nd11NaraghiCeline Gaudray$5.00
- 3rd2Titan's SpiritBeau Mertens$10.00
- 4th3CommandeurTeodore Nugent$4.80
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Hallowed Halls | 11 | Ethan Brown | C J Waller | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 11 | Naraghi | 3 | Celine Gaudray | Liam Howley | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Titan's Spirit | 9 | Beau Mertens | Ms N Burke | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Commandeur | 4 | Teodore Nugent | Nathan Dunn | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 4 | Fire Type | 10 | Harry Coffey | Symon Wilde | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Russian Firebird | 2 | Lachlan King | Toby Lake | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Gold Franc | 5 | Valentin Le Boeuf | F Stockdale | 59.5kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Tinseltown | 8 | Ben Kennedy | Angus Townley | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Chimoko | 7 | Patrick Moloney | Jarrod Robinson | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Kaddari | 6 | Luke Currie | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Detroit Dreaming | 1 | Rose Hammond | G Eurell | 54kg |
Ladbrokes Future Stars Series - Heat 9 Mdn Plate
The Jusufovic-Neindorf combination has a solid 14% strike rate, and the barrier draw provides tactical flexibility.
The first-time gear additions (ear muffs and lugging bit) suggest specific preparation for debut success. Harry Coffey's booking adds quality, though the wide barrier presents a tactical challenge that may suit if the horse settles back.
His soft track record is solid, and second-up positioning should see improvement. However, the winless record and inside barrier present concerns in this competitive maiden field.
The Luke Nolen booking is significant, and the barrier draw provides options.
- 1st4PlungerLachlan Neindorf$3.60
- 2nd7StuntmanHarry Coffey$7.00
- 3rd6Oyster LaneBen Allen$4.00
- 4th8AfterbernaEthan Brown$3.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Plunger | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | E Jusufovic | 59.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Stuntman | 10 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Oyster Lane | 1 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Afterberna | 4 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Lightwatch | 3 | Luke Nolen | Brian McGrath | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Buvelot | 8 | Jye McNeil | R D Griffiths | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Listening Is Doing | 5 | Bree Temple | J D Sadler | 55.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Frosted Miss | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Chris Calthorpe | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 2 | I'm Marcus | 2 | Liana Wood | K & G Mayberry | 55.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Sheistheboss | 6 | Luke Currie | Jack Laing | 57kg |
Ladbrokes Future Stars Series - Heat 10 Mdn Plate
Irreverent brings the most consistent form with 3 placings from 4 starts, including close thirds at quality level. The booking of Luke Nolen, who strikes at 25% at Pakenham, signals stable confidence. First-time blinkers and her proven second-up ability add appeal. Despite barrier 1 concerns, her consistent ability and strong connections make her the most reliable winning chance.
The step up to 1400m suits his racing pattern, and he has track experience at Pakenham. Solid chance but needs to break maiden status.
Perfect Link represents the unknown quantity as a debut runner from the Grahame Eurell stable. The Eurell/Mertens combination has a solid 13% strike rate, and barrier 9 allows tactical options. While lacking race experience, the absence of negative form and stable confidence make this a viable each-way chance.
Luxor Gold offers significant value as a debut runner from the Grahame Eurell stable. Jake Noonan's excellent recent form (20% strike rate) suggests a live booking. The good barrier draw at 6 allows tactical flexibility.
- 1st9The BenchmarkLachlan Neindorf$2.90
- 2nd11IrreverentLuke Nolen$3.00
- 3rd5Man Of The SeaThomas Stockdale$12.00
- 4th8Rorkes DriftJordan Childs$17.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | The Benchmark | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | M J Mehegan | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 11 | Irreverent | 1 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Man Of The Sea | 10 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Rorkes Drift | 2 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Trentino | 11 | Jamie Mott | Julius Sandhu | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Luxor Gold | 6 | Jake Noonan | G Eurell | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Native Spirit | 5 | Liana Wood | R J Besanko | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Perfect Link | 9 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 9th | 1 | Dare Too Excite | 4 | Valentin Le Boeuf | F Stockdale | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Spur Me On | 8 | Patrick Moloney | J F Moloney | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Negentropy | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | C I Brown | 59kg |
9mile Fresh (Bm66)
American Pharoah mare brings strong UK credentials with Listed-level success. Despite first-up concerns and soft track inexperience, her class advantage and proven distance ability make her the standout in this BM66 field.
Nicconi gelding boasts exceptional Pakenham 1400m record with 1 win and 2 placings from 3 attempts. Recent runner-up form shows readiness, and good barrier provides tactical flexibility. Track specialization and proven level make him a strong threat despite class concerns.
Previous 1400m winner with consistent form pattern. Tongue tie removal and inside barrier provide tactical advantages, though soft track inexperience and class rise present challenges.
Dundeel gelding is a proven Pakenham 1400m specialist with outstanding track record.
- 1st9The NegotiatorJackson Radley$15.00
- 2nd8Nic's ChoiceLuke Cartwright$6.50
- 3rd1Legio TenJye McNeil$31.00
- 4th2ChiringitaEthan Brown$2.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | The Negotiator | 9 | Jackson Radley | C I Brown | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Nic's Choice | 7 | Luke Cartwright | J F Moloney | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Legio Ten | 1 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 62kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Chiringita | 6 | Ethan Brown | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 61kg | $2.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Russian Meteor | 2 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Centennial Park | 3 | Luke Currie | T & C McEvoy | 60.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Double Pi | 4 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Vagabond Hero | 5 | Jordan Childs | Thomas Conlan | 61kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Damehood | 8 | Michael Dee | C Maher | 59.5kg |
Harris Automation Engineering (Bm62)
His recent close third at Geelong over 2440m demonstrates current fitness and distance suitability. The significant class drop from BM70 company combined with proven staying credentials at 2400m+ makes him ideally suited.
Her Pakenham 2500m win demonstrates clear suitability, though the soft track conditions present a significant concern given her winless record on wet tracks.
Hollandia offers solid each-way value with consistent recent form and proven soft track ability. His recent Pakenham fourth demonstrates track familiarity, while the light weight provides a genuine advantage in staying races. Though unproven at 2500m, his staying pedigree and current form trajectory suggest competitive chances.
Winter Grace represents excellent value despite the significant class rise. Her recent win and outstanding partnership with Kinninmont (50% strike rate) provide strong positives.
- 1st7NicoffhomeJordyn Weatherley$14.00
- 2nd3HanafubukiJackson Radley$2.90
- 3rd5HollandiaRyan Houston$9.50
- 4th11Winter GraceBailey Kinninmont$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Nicoffhome | 11 | Jordyn Weatherley | Chris Calthorpe | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Hanafubuki | 9 | Jackson Radley | T Busuttin & N Young | 58.5kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 5 | Hollandia | 2 | Ryan Houston | J F Moloney | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Winter Grace | 12 | Bailey Kinninmont | P Foster | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Rebadge | 4 | Michael Dee | Dominic Sutton | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Intuitu | 5 | Alexander Rae | 60.5kg | $3.30 | |
| 7th | 12 | Holly's Star | 1 | Lachlan King | Toby Lake | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Diamond Flash One | 7 | Valentin Le Boeuf | F Stockdale | 58kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Star Testymony | 10 | Dylan Dunn | Symon Wilde | 62kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Father's Day | 8 | Nadia Daniels | W Morrissey | 60.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Speak | 3 | Logan McNeil | D M Noonan | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Pending List | 6 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 57.5kg |
Next Payments Hcp (62)
Djockovic presents the strongest winning chance based on his recent return to form with a narrow win at Cranbourne. His distance credentials are excellent with proven ability at 2400m+, and he has shown he can handle soft conditions. Despite concerns about his second-up record, his class and recent winning form make him the logical choice.
Mrs Harris brings excellent recent form having won her maiden then run a strong second at Geelong. Her 2000m form is solid with a close placing at Warracknabeal on soft ground. The step up in class is significant but her progressive profile and strong stable form suggest she can handle the rise.
Lisa Lass broke through for her maiden win last start and brings strong wet track credentials with three placings from three heavy track starts. Her light weight and consistent recent form provide confidence, though the class rise from maiden level is a significant challenge to overcome.
Quite The Lass offers excellent value having run a strong third at this track and distance last start. The wide barrier is concerning but her track experience and McNeil's booking suggest she can overcome it.
- 1st2DjockovicThomas Stockdale$8.00
- 2nd4Super MirageJamie Mott$8.00
- 3rd3LuckettMichael Dee$12.00
- 4th12Donegal SoulLuke Currie$7.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Djockovic | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Super Mirage | 8 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Luckett | 15 | Michael Dee | Dominic Sutton | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Donegal Soul | 7 | Luke Currie | Liam Howley | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Cyclone Harmony | 11 | Jackson Radley | Peter Gelagotis | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Pink Chandon | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Glen Thompson | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Lisa Lass | 4 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 5 | What A Cross | 5 | Jake Noonan | A & J Williams | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Flash Of Dallas | 13 | Ben Allen | Dominic Sutton | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Mrs Harris | 1 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 11th | 11 | Quite The Lass | 16 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 12th | 6 | Tassadar | 14 | Jason Maskiell | Aaron Laing | 59kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Cable De Vega | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Michael Huglin | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Here Comes Ruby | 9 | Patrick Moloney | M M Laurie | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Kokonotsu | 12 | Thomas Carberry | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | All Torque | 10 | Craig Newitt | J D Sadler | 57kg |
Tassie Fine Foods (Bm66)
The barrier draw suits his racing style and despite weight rise, his class edge over this field is clear in what appears a winnable race.
Rohesia drops dramatically in class after competing in Group 3 and Listed company where she was competitive. Her first up record is strong and the significant class drop combined with gear changes suggests connections expect improvement. The Hayes stable has an excellent record with fresh horses making this an ideal assignment.
Pick 'n' Mix showed excellent form when a narrow second at this track last start, demonstrating both fitness and track familiarity. Her overall record is impressive with a 50% win rate and the McEvoy stable has her well-placed. The wide barrier is concerning but her class should help overcome the disadvantage.
Akicita offers excellent value as a last start winner returning from a spell.
- 1st10Southern CrescentJye McNeil$18.00
- 2nd7RohesiaDaniel Stackhouse$4.20
- 3rd4El TerceroMichael Dee$9.00
- 4th2AleroThomas Stockdale$2.15
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Southern Crescent | 2 | Jye McNeil | Aaron Purcell | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rohesia | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 4 | El Tercero | 6 | Michael Dee | T Busuttin & N Young | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Alero | 4 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 61kg | $2.15 |
| 5th | 8 | Brutalina | 3 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Untapped | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Gin Spirit | 8 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Pick 'n' Mix | 11 | Luke Currie | T & C McEvoy | 60kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Umgawa | 5 | Emily Pozman | Melissa Page | 62.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Akicita | 10 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Yoomee Wonder | 7 | Alana Kelly | Mitchell Freedman | 56.5kg |
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