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Victoria · Thursday 12 February 2026

Pakenham tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail Out 4m Entire CircuitOvercastPakenham track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won6/875%
Top pick placed5/863%
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R1

Precision Mechanical Services Mdn Plate

17:45 local1000mMaiden$40,000
Winner4. Rich On BubblesSP $2.60
★ Top pick3rd
3Harry Met Sally

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.00 · Michael Dee

Gelding operation and significant class drop from Listed to Maiden level creates strong improvement scope. Best raw speed in field with tactical advantage from moderate barrier draw.

2nd pickWon
4Rich On Bubbles

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.60 · Daniel Stackhouse

Hayes-trained gelding benefits from gear changes and inside barrier for likely leading role.

3rd pick6th
2Good Feel

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Jye McNeil

Hawkes-trained colt brings valuable race fitness being second up after short break.

Value pick4th
5Artison

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.80 · Jordan Childs

Weight advantage and quality connections provide upside despite complete form unknowns.

  1. 1st4Rich On BubblesDaniel Stackhouse$2.60
  2. 2nd6TuzemakLachlan Neindorf$5.50
  3. 3rd3Harry Met SallyMichael Dee$4.00
  4. 4th5ArtisonJordan Childs$4.80
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Rich On Bubbles2Daniel StackhouseBen, Will & Jd Hayes58kg$2.60
2nd6Tuzemak3Lachlan NeindorfReece Goodwin56kg$5.50
3rd3Harry Met Sally4Michael DeeM W Walker58kg$4.00
4th5Artison5Jordan ChildsG M Begg56kg$4.80
5th1Certain Impact1Ben KennedyM Croston & G Gilmour58kg$31.00
6th2Good Feel6Jye McNeilM, W & J Hawkes58kg$7.00
R2

Phil Green''s ''a Big Turkey'' Classic Mdn Plate

18:15 local1600mMaiden$40,000
Winner5. Hallowed HallsSP $3.80
★ Top pickWon
5Hallowed Halls

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Ethan Brown

The addition of blinkers and Chris Waller's involvement suggest improvement is expected. However, the wide barrier and limited experience create some concerns in this staying test.

2nd pick5th
4Fire Type

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.50 · Harry Coffey

The proven Coffey-Wilde combination and limited exposure suggest improvement is possible. The wide barrier draw is the main concern in what appears a moderate tempo race.

3rd pickScratched
8Kaddari

Our price $3.20 · Luke Currie

Her recent narrow second at Seymour confirms current fitness, while her Pakenham record of 2 placings from 4 starts shows track suitability.

Value pick2nd
11Naraghi

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.00 · Celine Gaudray

  1. 1st5Hallowed HallsEthan Brown$3.80
  2. 2nd11NaraghiCeline Gaudray$5.00
  3. 3rd2Titan's SpiritBeau Mertens$10.00
  4. 4th3CommandeurTeodore Nugent$4.80
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Hallowed Halls11Ethan BrownC J Waller59kg$3.80
2nd11Naraghi3Celine GaudrayLiam Howley57kg$5.00
3rd2Titan's Spirit9Beau MertensMs N Burke59.5kg$10.00
4th3Commandeur4Teodore NugentNathan Dunn59kg$4.80
5th4Fire Type10Harry CoffeySymon Wilde59kg$2.50
6th6Russian Firebird2Lachlan KingToby Lake59kg$31.00
7th1Gold Franc5Valentin Le BoeufF Stockdale59.5kg$201.00
8th9Tinseltown8Ben KennedyAngus Townley57.5kg$151.00
9th7Chimoko7Patrick MoloneyJarrod Robinson57.5kg$101.00
Scr8Kaddari6Luke CurrieR D Griffiths57.5kg
Scr10Detroit Dreaming1Rose HammondG Eurell54kg
R3

Ladbrokes Future Stars Series - Heat 9 Mdn Plate

18:45 local1200mMaiden$65,000
Winner4. PlungerSP $3.60
★ Top pickWon
4Plunger

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.60 · Lachlan Neindorf

The Jusufovic-Neindorf combination has a solid 14% strike rate, and the barrier draw provides tactical flexibility.

2nd pick2nd
7Stuntman

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.00 · Harry Coffey

The first-time gear additions (ear muffs and lugging bit) suggest specific preparation for debut success. Harry Coffey's booking adds quality, though the wide barrier presents a tactical challenge that may suit if the horse settles back.

3rd pick3rd
6Oyster Lane

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.00 · Ben Allen

His soft track record is solid, and second-up positioning should see improvement. However, the winless record and inside barrier present concerns in this competitive maiden field.

Value pick5th
5Lightwatch

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Luke Nolen

The Luke Nolen booking is significant, and the barrier draw provides options.

  1. 1st4PlungerLachlan Neindorf$3.60
  2. 2nd7StuntmanHarry Coffey$7.00
  3. 3rd6Oyster LaneBen Allen$4.00
  4. 4th8AfterbernaEthan Brown$3.50
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Plunger7Lachlan NeindorfE Jusufovic59.5kg$3.60
2nd7Stuntman10Harry CoffeyT & C McEvoy59kg$7.00
3rd6Oyster Lane1Ben AllenC Maher59kg$4.00
4th8Afterberna4Ethan BrownC Maher57kg$3.50
5th5Lightwatch3Luke NolenBrian McGrath59kg$5.50
6th1Buvelot8Jye McNeilR D Griffiths59.5kg$61.00
7th3Listening Is Doing5Bree TempleJ D Sadler55.5kg$151.00
8th9Frosted Miss9Daniel StackhouseChris Calthorpe57kg$31.00
9th2I'm Marcus2Liana WoodK & G Mayberry55.5kg$201.00
Scr10Sheistheboss6Luke CurrieJack Laing57kg
R4

Ladbrokes Future Stars Series - Heat 10 Mdn Plate

19:15 local1400mMaiden$65,000
Winner9. The BenchmarkSP $2.90
★ Top pick2nd
11Irreverent

Our price $2.40 · SP $3.00 · Luke Nolen

Irreverent brings the most consistent form with 3 placings from 4 starts, including close thirds at quality level. The booking of Luke Nolen, who strikes at 25% at Pakenham, signals stable confidence. First-time blinkers and her proven second-up ability add appeal. Despite barrier 1 concerns, her consistent ability and strong connections make her the most reliable winning chance.

2nd pickWon
9The Benchmark

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.90 · Lachlan Neindorf

The step up to 1400m suits his racing pattern, and he has track experience at Pakenham. Solid chance but needs to break maiden status.

3rd pick8th
7Perfect Link

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.40 · Beau Mertens

Perfect Link represents the unknown quantity as a debut runner from the Grahame Eurell stable. The Eurell/Mertens combination has a solid 13% strike rate, and barrier 9 allows tactical options. While lacking race experience, the absence of negative form and stable confidence make this a viable each-way chance.

Value pick6th
4Luxor Gold

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Jake Noonan

Luxor Gold offers significant value as a debut runner from the Grahame Eurell stable. Jake Noonan's excellent recent form (20% strike rate) suggests a live booking. The good barrier draw at 6 allows tactical flexibility.

  1. 1st9The BenchmarkLachlan Neindorf$2.90
  2. 2nd11IrreverentLuke Nolen$3.00
  3. 3rd5Man Of The SeaThomas Stockdale$12.00
  4. 4th8Rorkes DriftJordan Childs$17.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9The Benchmark7Lachlan NeindorfM J Mehegan59kg$2.90
2nd11Irreverent1Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$3.00
3rd5Man Of The Sea10Thomas StockdaleM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$12.00
4th8Rorkes Drift2Jordan ChildsG M Begg59kg$17.00
5th10Trentino11Jamie MottJulius Sandhu59kg$10.00
6th4Luxor Gold6Jake NoonanG Eurell59kg$21.00
7th2Native Spirit5Liana WoodR J Besanko55.5kg$101.00
8th7Perfect Link9Beau MertensG Eurell59kg$4.40
9th1Dare Too Excite4Valentin Le BoeufF Stockdale59.5kg$61.00
10th3Spur Me On8Patrick MoloneyJ F Moloney59.5kg$101.00
Scr6Negentropy3Daniel StackhouseC I Brown59kg
R5

9mile Fresh (Bm66)

19:45 local1400mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner9. The NegotiatorSP $15.00
★ Top pick4th
2Chiringita

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.00 · Ethan Brown

American Pharoah mare brings strong UK credentials with Listed-level success. Despite first-up concerns and soft track inexperience, her class advantage and proven distance ability make her the standout in this BM66 field.

2nd pick2nd
8Nic's Choice

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Luke Cartwright

Nicconi gelding boasts exceptional Pakenham 1400m record with 1 win and 2 placings from 3 attempts. Recent runner-up form shows readiness, and good barrier provides tactical flexibility. Track specialization and proven level make him a strong threat despite class concerns.

3rd pick6th
5Centennial Park

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Luke Currie

Previous 1400m winner with consistent form pattern. Tongue tie removal and inside barrier provide tactical advantages, though soft track inexperience and class rise present challenges.

Value pickWon
9The Negotiator

Our price $8.50 · SP $15.00 · Jackson Radley

Dundeel gelding is a proven Pakenham 1400m specialist with outstanding track record.

  1. 1st9The NegotiatorJackson Radley$15.00
  2. 2nd8Nic's ChoiceLuke Cartwright$6.50
  3. 3rd1Legio TenJye McNeil$31.00
  4. 4th2ChiringitaEthan Brown$2.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9The Negotiator9Jackson RadleyC I Brown54.5kg$15.00
2nd8Nic's Choice7Luke CartwrightJ F Moloney58.5kg$6.50
3rd1Legio Ten1Jye McNeilReece Goodwin62kg$31.00
4th2Chiringita6Ethan BrownM Price & M Kent Jnr61kg$2.00
5th3Russian Meteor2Nadia DanielsBill Papazaharoudakis58kg$11.00
6th5Centennial Park3Luke CurrieT & C McEvoy60.5kg$10.00
7th7Double Pi4Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58.5kg$6.00
8th4Vagabond Hero5Jordan ChildsThomas Conlan61kg$10.00
Scr6Damehood8Michael DeeC Maher59.5kg
R6

Harris Automation Engineering (Bm62)

20:15 local2500mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner7. NicoffhomeSP $14.00
★ Top pick9th
2Star Testymony

Our price $4.00 · SP $26.00 · Dylan Dunn

His recent close third at Geelong over 2440m demonstrates current fitness and distance suitability. The significant class drop from BM70 company combined with proven staying credentials at 2400m+ makes him ideally suited.

2nd pick2nd
3Hanafubuki

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.90 · Jackson Radley

Her Pakenham 2500m win demonstrates clear suitability, though the soft track conditions present a significant concern given her winless record on wet tracks.

3rd pick3rd
5Hollandia

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.50 · Ryan Houston

Hollandia offers solid each-way value with consistent recent form and proven soft track ability. His recent Pakenham fourth demonstrates track familiarity, while the light weight provides a genuine advantage in staying races. Though unproven at 2500m, his staying pedigree and current form trajectory suggest competitive chances.

Value pick4th
11Winter Grace

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Bailey Kinninmont

Winter Grace represents excellent value despite the significant class rise. Her recent win and outstanding partnership with Kinninmont (50% strike rate) provide strong positives.

  1. 1st7NicoffhomeJordyn Weatherley$14.00
  2. 2nd3HanafubukiJackson Radley$2.90
  3. 3rd5HollandiaRyan Houston$9.50
  4. 4th11Winter GraceBailey Kinninmont$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Nicoffhome11Jordyn WeatherleyChris Calthorpe56.5kg$14.00
2nd3Hanafubuki9Jackson RadleyT Busuttin & N Young58.5kg$2.90
3rd5Hollandia2Ryan HoustonJ F Moloney58.5kg$9.50
4th11Winter Grace12Bailey KinninmontP Foster54.5kg$9.00
5th6Rebadge4Michael DeeDominic Sutton59.5kg$10.00
6th4Intuitu5Alexander Rae60.5kg$3.30
7th12Holly's Star1Lachlan KingToby Lake57kg$8.00
8th8Diamond Flash One7Valentin Le BoeufF Stockdale58kg$91.00
9th2Star Testymony10Dylan DunnSymon Wilde62kg$26.00
10th1Father's Day8Nadia DanielsW Morrissey60.5kg$51.00
Scr9Speak3Logan McNeilD M Noonan58kg
Scr10Pending List6Beau MertensG Eurell57.5kg
R7

Next Payments Hcp (62)

20:45 local2000mRestricted 62$40,000
Winner2. DjockovicSP $8.00
★ Top pickWon
2Djockovic

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Thomas Stockdale

Djockovic presents the strongest winning chance based on his recent return to form with a narrow win at Cranbourne. His distance credentials are excellent with proven ability at 2400m+, and he has shown he can handle soft conditions. Despite concerns about his second-up record, his class and recent winning form make him the logical choice.

2nd pick10th
8Mrs Harris

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Harry Coffey

Mrs Harris brings excellent recent form having won her maiden then run a strong second at Geelong. Her 2000m form is solid with a close placing at Warracknabeal on soft ground. The step up in class is significant but her progressive profile and strong stable form suggest she can handle the rise.

3rd pick7th
9Lisa Lass

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Tom Madden

Lisa Lass broke through for her maiden win last start and brings strong wet track credentials with three placings from three heavy track starts. Her light weight and consistent recent form provide confidence, though the class rise from maiden level is a significant challenge to overcome.

Value pick11th
11Quite The Lass

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Jye McNeil

Quite The Lass offers excellent value having run a strong third at this track and distance last start. The wide barrier is concerning but her track experience and McNeil's booking suggest she can overcome it.

  1. 1st2DjockovicThomas Stockdale$8.00
  2. 2nd4Super MirageJamie Mott$8.00
  3. 3rd3LuckettMichael Dee$12.00
  4. 4th12Donegal SoulLuke Currie$7.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Djockovic3Thomas StockdaleSimon Zahra60kg$8.00
2nd4Super Mirage8Jamie MottGavin Bedggood59.5kg$8.00
3rd3Luckett15Michael DeeDominic Sutton60kg$12.00
4th12Donegal Soul7Luke CurrieLiam Howley56.5kg$7.00
5th1Cyclone Harmony11Jackson RadleyPeter Gelagotis58kg$12.00
6th10Pink Chandon2Teodore NugentGlen Thompson57.5kg$9.50
7th9Lisa Lass4Tom MaddenAaron Purcell57.5kg$11.00
8th5What A Cross5Jake NoonanA & J Williams59.5kg$17.00
9th7Flash Of Dallas13Ben AllenDominic Sutton58kg$13.00
10th8Mrs Harris1Harry CoffeyT & C McEvoy58kg$5.50
11th11Quite The Lass16Jye McNeilReece Goodwin57.5kg$7.50
12th6Tassadar14Jason MaskiellAaron Laing59kg$101.00
Scr13Cable De Vega6Daniel StackhouseMichael Huglin56.5kg
Scr14Here Comes Ruby9Patrick MoloneyM M Laurie56kg
Scr15Kokonotsu12Thomas Carberry58kg
Scr16All Torque10Craig NewittJ D Sadler57kg
R8

Tassie Fine Foods (Bm66)

21:15 local1200mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner10. Southern CrescentSP $18.00
★ Top pick4th
2Alero

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.15 · Thomas Stockdale

The barrier draw suits his racing style and despite weight rise, his class edge over this field is clear in what appears a winnable race.

2nd pick2nd
7Rohesia

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.20 · Daniel Stackhouse

Rohesia drops dramatically in class after competing in Group 3 and Listed company where she was competitive. Her first up record is strong and the significant class drop combined with gear changes suggests connections expect improvement. The Hayes stable has an excellent record with fresh horses making this an ideal assignment.

3rd pick8th
5Pick 'n' Mix

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Luke Currie

Pick 'n' Mix showed excellent form when a narrow second at this track last start, demonstrating both fitness and track familiarity. Her overall record is impressive with a 50% win rate and the McEvoy stable has her well-placed. The wide barrier is concerning but her class should help overcome the disadvantage.

Value pickScratched
3Akicita

Our price $7.00 · Jamie Mott

Akicita offers excellent value as a last start winner returning from a spell.

  1. 1st10Southern CrescentJye McNeil$18.00
  2. 2nd7RohesiaDaniel Stackhouse$4.20
  3. 3rd4El TerceroMichael Dee$9.00
  4. 4th2AleroThomas Stockdale$2.15
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Southern Crescent2Jye McNeilAaron Purcell57kg$18.00
2nd7Rohesia9Daniel StackhouseBen, Will & Jd Hayes59.5kg$4.20
3rd4El Tercero6Michael DeeT Busuttin & N Young60kg$9.00
4th2Alero4Thomas StockdaleC Maher61kg$2.15
5th8Brutalina3Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr59kg$11.00
6th6Untapped1Lachlan NeindorfG Eurell60kg$12.00
7th9Gin Spirit8Ben AllenBen, Will & Jd Hayes58.5kg$41.00
8th5Pick 'n' Mix11Luke CurrieT & C McEvoy60kg$7.00
Scr1Umgawa5Emily PozmanMelissa Page62.5kg
Scr3Akicita10Jamie MottR D Griffiths60.5kg
Scr11Yoomee Wonder7Alana KellyMitchell Freedman56.5kg

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