Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Wednesday 18 February 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Warwick Farm. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Gus The Great presents as the most reliable winning chance based on his improving trajectory. The barrier 4 draw is ideal for his forward racing pattern, and Joseph Pride's 17% strike rate with Chad Schofield adds confidence. While winless, his consistent placings and upward form curve make him the standout.
Waterhouse/Bott have an excellent record with first-starters, and Tim Clark's engagement (35% recent strike rate) suggests stable confidence. The barrier 6 draw provides tactical flexibility, and the absence of negative form can be advantageous in maidens.
Nordic Viking brings the highest class credentials, dropping significantly from Group company to maiden level. The first up record (2 placings from 2 starts) and gelding operation provide positives, though the 115-day spell and barrier 8 create tactical challenges. The class drop and proven ability make him a genuine threat despite the wide draw.
The light weight (54kg) and good barrier provide tactical advantages, while the 94-day spell may have freshened him.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Satirically | 6 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Gus The Great | 4 | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sarapo | 2 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Ratify | 3 | Molly Bourke | J G Sargent | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Alphard | 5 | Jason Collett | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 5 | Autumn Surf | 7 | Tommy Berry | C E Conners | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Nordic Viking | 8 | Sam Clipperton | J G Sargent | 60kg | |
| Scr | 8 | She Can Salsa | 1 | Jay Ford | Edward O'Rourke | 55.5kg |
The barrier 1 draw is crucial at Warwick Farm's tight circuit, while Clipperton's excellent recent form (5 wins from 20 rides) adds confidence. The lugging bit addition suggests the stable has identified and addressed a training issue, indicating readiness to perform.
Naadra appeals as a well-placed debut runner from the in-form Freedman stable. The barrier 3 draw is ideal for gaining an economical run, while the Berry booking and ear muffs addition suggest the stable has confidence in the filly's ability and has addressed any barrier manners. The Freedman/Berry combination has a solid 14% strike rate together.
The Waterhouse/Bott stable excels with first-up runners, and barrier 4 allows tactical flexibility. While she's winless, the form indicators suggest she's ready to break through.
The lugging bit addition indicates stable adjustments, and being second-up should see improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Wolf Gap | 8 | Nash Rawiller | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Naadra | 3 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lorax | 1 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Gone To Gowings | 5 | Dylan Gibbons | C E Conners | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Inner Gold | 7 | Jason Collett | C Maher | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Strollin' By | 6 | Alysha Collett | G Portelli | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Venetian Queen | 2 | Chad Schofield | C Maher | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Hearts Affair | 10 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Cool Art | 9 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Concrete Storm | 13 | Zac Lloyd | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Farcolo | 12 | G Portelli | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Silver Dream | 11 | Andrew Adkins | Lou Mary | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Somerford | 14 | Brad Widdup | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | The Wildling | 4 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg |
Nazwah presents as the standout selection having won her only previous attempt at this track and distance.
Straand Beauty brings strong recent form with consecutive placings and has shown he handles this track well. However, his inability to convert placings to wins and the significant class rise present concerns about his winning ability at this level.
Kimberley Secrets offers solid each-way value with consistent recent form and an excellent overall track record. The combination of track specialization and class relief makes her a strong place chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Straand Beauty | 2 | Nash Rawiller | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 59.5kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Nazwah | 6 | Tommy Berry | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 5 | Silencio Porfavor | 5 | Jason Collett | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 7 | No Statement | 3 | Molly Bourke | M F Van Gestel | 52kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Sapphire Kiss | 8 | Reece Jones | Wayne Seelin | 54kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 4 | The Escape | 7 | William A Stanley | P M Perry | 54kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Kimberley Secrets | 4 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 57kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Honey Perfume | 1 | Matthew Smith | 54kg |
Tarzing presents as the standout selection with a perfect 2-from-2 record including a recent BM66 win at Geelong. The Chris Waller-trained gelding shows excellent progression and the Tommy Berry booking indicates stable confidence. While stepping up in class, his winning margins suggest untapped potential. The 35-day break appears ideal for a lightly-raced horse.
The 91-day break is a concern, but his first-up statistics suggest he can overcome the fitness question.
The significant class drop from BM78 to BM72 racing provides a key advantage, and his recent Canterbury win demonstrates current form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Sarrismo | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Zulfiqar | 1 | Zac Lloyd | Richard Litt | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Tarzing | 7 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 9 | Extra Heights | 2 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Mirzann | 5 | Ryan Sexton | C J Waller | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Puerto Banus | 6 | Adam Hyeronimus | P M Perry | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Cuban Cigar | 9 | Mitchell Bell | T J Bartley | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Crossbow | 3 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 56kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Fiddlers Green | 10 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Ornithology | 8 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 58kg |
Decorum presents as the standout selection with a perfect record of 2 wins from 3 starts. The inside barrier draw is crucial given the strong bias favouring barriers 1-6. His second up record (1 win from 1 start) and the retention of Tommy Berry suggest stable confidence despite the class rise.
Lancelot Du Lac brings strong recent form with a last-start win at this track and distance. The barrier 6 draw sits within the favoured inside range, and his proven ability at 1600m adds confidence. However, the significant class rise and top weight present challenges for this promising 3-year-old.
Tazima offers value as a proven wet track performer with strong second up statistics. His previous success at this track and distance, combined with the favourable barrier draw, makes him a genuine chance.
The significant weight drop to 54kg and improving form trend suggest she's ready for this class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Decorum | 1 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 58.5kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 2 | Lancelot Du Lac | 6 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 1 | Tazima | 2 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Aura | 7 | Zac Lloyd | M, W & J Hawkes | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Clyde | 5 | Regan Bayliss | Paul Snowden | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Uncle Harry | 3 | Reece Jones | P M Perry | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Can't Recall One | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Sirius Legend | 8 | Sam Clipperton | A & S Freedman | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Mornington Pier | 4 | Joshua Parr | Nathan Doyle | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Golden Loom | 11 | Tom Sherry | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Le Troisir | 9 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 57kg |
Doradus presents the strongest winning chance based on recent consistent form and proven ability at similar distances. The 5-year-old gelding has shown steady improvement with a close second at Canterbury last start and a Newcastle win two starts back. While rising in class, the light weight and strong trainer/jockey combination provide confidence.
Twisted Love brings excellent recent form with a Newcastle win last start over a similar distance. Her high track condition suitability and winning momentum make her a serious threat despite limited experience.
De Louviere arrives off a convincing Gosford win over the exact distance, showing he handles 2100m well. The 5-year-old gelding has found form recently and draws well in barrier 4. While rising in class, his distance credentials and recent improvement suggest he can be competitive.
The 4-year-old mare is second up from a spell and has previously won over 2100m.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Stylebender | 2 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Ms K Buchanan | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Doradus | 11 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Dolce Dior | 7 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Mediaro | 3 | Reece Jones | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 11 | De Louviere | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 54kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 2 | Impunity | 10 | Nash Rawiller | John Thompson | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Southerly Buster | 5 | Siena Grima | S I Singleton | 52kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Line Of Fire | 6 | Tommy Berry | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Twisted Love | 8 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 10th | 5 | Dr Evil | 9 | Jason Collett | J A Steinmetz | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Maupassant | 1 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60.5kg |
Profoundly represents excellent value dropping from Group 3 company to BM72 level. The Farnan filly has shown quality in stronger races and gets the services of in-form Tim Clark from an ideal barrier. The lengthy spell is a concern, but the stable confidence evident in the booking suggests she's ready to perform fresh.
Heat Missile presents as the standout selection having won her last start at this exact venue and distance in similar company. While the wide draw is a concern, her proven ability at the track/distance combination makes her the most reliable winning chance.
Mamushka brings excellent recent consistency to this assignment with three placings from her last four starts. The Capitalist mare has shown she handles Warwick Farm well and has proven herself competitive at BM72 level. She represents solid each-way value in what appears a competitive race.
The Brutal mare is second up from a spell which historically suits her pattern, and she's dropping in class with the services of Jason Collett.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Profoundly | 3 | Tim Clark | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Autumn Dream | 1 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Long Legs | 6 | Anna Roper | G Portelli | 57kg | $1.80 |
| 4th | 8 | Totoka | 9 | Jason Collett | P M Perry | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Snitzel Dancer | 2 | Tyler Schiller | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Skirmish | 5 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Pearler | 8 | Reece Jones | G R Nickson | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Geemes | 10 | William A Stanley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Heat Missile | 12 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 61kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Mamushka | 13 | Siena Grima | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Vienna Vixen | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | C Maher | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Titanium Miss | 11 | Andrew Adkins | T J Bartley | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Catahoula | 4 | Joshua Parr | Bjorn Baker | 57kg |
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