Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $5.50 · SP $17.10 · Ryan Elliot

Mayday represents solid value as a debut runner from the Pike stable with Ryan Elliot aboard.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.40 · Wiremu Pinn

Fastdeeldun presents as the most logical winner having proven himself at this exact track and distance with a narrow victory last start. The Marsh/Pinn combination is firing at 22% and the horse shows clear improvement trajectory with 3 top-3 finishes from last 4 starts. While the class rise is significant, his recent Ellerslie win demonstrates he can handle the step up.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.60 · Warren Kennedy

Andorra brings strong recent form into this assignment with an excellent 2nd placing at Ellerslie last start. Her distance record shows genuine 2100m ability and the soft track conditions suit. The barrier draw is ideal and while the class rise is substantial, her recent form suggests she's ready for the step up.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.80 · George Rooke

My Fair Lily enters with compelling recent form including a narrow 2nd at Ellerslie last start and a maiden win at Te Rapa over 2100m. Her distance record is perfect with 1 win and 1 second from 2 attempts. The soft track conditions suit and the inside barrier provides tactical flexibility for this improving mare.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.30 · Ryan Elliot

Old Bill Bone presents as the most reliable winning chance with his exceptional soft track record and consistent recent form. His 50% win rate on soft going combined with proven ability at this distance makes him ideally suited. The inside barrier provides tactical advantage, and despite the class rise, his form pattern suggests he can handle the step up.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.40 · George Rooke

Her recent form improvement and tactical speed make her a genuine threat, though the class rise and soft track concerns are notable negatives. The booking of George Rooke suggests stable confidence.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.60 · Corentin Berge

Espadas brings the best soft track credentials with a perfect record on the going. His last start win at Ellerslie and strong venue record make him a serious contender despite the wide draw. The combination with in-form jockey Berge adds appeal, though the class rise presents the main challenge.

Our price $12.00 · SP $28.00 · Matthew Cameron

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · Ben E Thompson

To Bravery Born offers excellent value with his superior wet track record and recent Te Rapa victory. The inside barrier is crucial on soft tracks, and his Group-level experience gives him an edge over many rivals. Last start was disappointing but forgive on class drop context.

Our price $6.50 · SP $11.60 · Michael Mc Nab

Bulgari represents outstanding value after his excellent Group 3 second last start at this track. His form trend is strongly upward, and the distance suits perfectly.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.50 · Opie Bosson

Towering Vision presents the strongest winning chance based on recent Group 2 form and proven soft track ability.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.40 · Masahiro Hashizume

Aksil's perfect soft track record and recent dominant Ellerslie victory make him a serious threat despite the class rise. The 3yo gelding has shown progressive improvement and his wet track specialization could be decisive in these conditions, though the step up to Group 2 level presents the main query.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.20 · Craig Grylls

The lightly-raced gelding has shown staying ability and wet track prowess, making him an attractive each-way proposition despite limited experience at this level.

Our price $3.20 · SP $5.00 · Opie Bosson

Tuxedo's last start Group 3 victory at this exact track and distance combination makes him a logical threat. His soft track credentials are strong, and the Opie Bosson booking suggests stable confidence. The consistent form pattern and proven ability at this level make him a genuine winning chance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Rory Hutchings

El Vencedor's outstanding Ellerslie record cannot be ignored, with a 50% strike rate at this venue. His soft track form is proven, and recent Group 1 placings show he retains class. The significant class drop suggests connections are seeking a confidence-building win, making him a genuine threat despite recent concerns.

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.80 · Matthew Cameron

His recent Group 1 second demonstrates he can compete at this level, while his outstanding wet track record (50% strike rate on soft/heavy) makes him ideally suited to conditions.

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.10 · Masahiro Hashizume

The Precursor represents excellent value as the form pick. His recent Trentham win was dominant, and his 70% place rate shows remarkable consistency. The soft track conditions suit perfectly, and while stepping up to Group level, his progressive profile and strong connections suggest he can handle the class rise.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Matthew Cameron

Kiwi Skyhawk brings proven Group race credentials with two Group 3 victories and ran well when second here last start. The good barrier draw provides tactical options, and the Cameron/Marsh combination is reliable. However, his soft track record is concerning, and he'll need to overcome that historical pattern to feature prominently.

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.50 · George Rooke

His recent form shows clear improvement, and he's proven at this track with good barrier draw.

Our price $4.80 · SP $7.50 · Craig Grylls

Ultimate Habit's last-start Group 2 victory at Trentham over 2100m demonstrates her staying credentials perfectly. The Craig Grylls-Robbie Patterson combination strikes at 20%, and the barrier draw provides tactical options.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.10 · Hayley Hassman

The recent second at this track shows she handles the conditions, making her a strong value proposition despite the wide barrier.