★ Top pick5th
7Balance
Ben Melham (35% recent) from barrier 7 exploits middle bias in moderate-fast tempo. Soft 5 OK despite unproven; outweighs limited experience vs rivals' poor records.
Victoria · Friday 27 February 2026
Cranbourne tips and results
Our top pick won 0 of 8 races at Cranbourne. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won0/80%
Any tip won4/850%
Top pick placed1/813%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The Valley @ Southside Cranbourne Mdn Plate
18:15 local1200mMaiden$60,000
Winner4. JuvenalSP $9.00
2nd pick2nd
8Carriedo
Soft track form (Geelong Soft 5); barrier 2 ideal for Cranbourne sprint start. Michael Dee's Cranbourne strike rate (25%) big plus. Maps midfield in moderate-fast tempo; progressive filly ready to peak. Solid place claims.
3rd pickWon
4Juvenal
Soft track query but class/barrier overcome it in maiden.
Value pick4th
6Salarae
Maps midfield-forward in leaders-vulnerable race (0% leader win rate).
- 1st4JuvenalJordan Childs$9.00
- 2nd8CarriedoMichael Dee$6.50
- 3rd3Silver LightningBailey Kinninmont$101.00
- 4th6SalaraeEthan Brown$8.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Juvenal | 3 | Jordan Childs | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Carriedo | 2 | Michael Dee | G M Begg | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Silver Lightning | 4 | Bailey Kinninmont | P Foster | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Salarae | 5 | Ethan Brown | C I Brown | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Balance | 7 | Ben Melham | C W McDonald | 57kg | $1.45 |
| 6th | 9 | Love Me Tomorrow | 9 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Sheeze Ominous | 1 | Jackson Radley | M Croston & G Gilmour | 57kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 1 | On My Own | 6 | Koby Jennings | Geon Singh | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 5 | See See Magic | 11 | Craig Newitt | Edward Cummings | 59kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Romuald | 8 | Jamie Mott | L Smith | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Sumaluv | 10 | C Maher | 57kg |
Living Legends Summer Middle Distance Series - Heat 5 (Bm66)
18:45 local2025mBenchmark 66$60,000
Winner5. BergasunSP $15.00
★ Top pick4th
2Global Eclipse
Barrier 2 exploits inside bias, likely leader in slow tempo. Unproven soft but heavy placings suggest adaptability.
2nd pick3rd
7Olney
Olney strong top-3 with recent Cranbourne BM66 win (same race conditions), track record 3:1-0-1. Barrier 7 workable in slow tempo, light weight aids Soft 5.
3rd pickScratched
4Time Allowed
Barrier 4 ideal for inside bias (18% win rate 1-6), light weight suits Soft 5, maps midfield in moderate tempo. Elite lightly-raced prospect.
Value pick7th
10Broadhurst
Lightest weight 55kg big plus Soft 5, midfield map ideal slow tempo.
- 1st5BergasunLinda Meech$15.00
- 2nd6Customer ServiceMichael Dee$12.00
- 3rd7OlneyBeau Mertens$12.00
- 4th2Global EclipseBen Melham$2.40
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Bergasun | 10 | Linda Meech | Shane Jackson | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Customer Service | 1 | Michael Dee | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Olney | 7 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Global Eclipse | 2 | Ben Melham | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60.5kg | $2.40 |
| 5th | 9 | Convo | 3 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 53kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Palace Green | 5 | Jamie Mott | Henry Dwyer | 60.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 10 | Broadhurst | 6 | Jye McNeil | Liam Howley | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Triple Time | 9 | Jordan Childs | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Red Aces | 8 | Makisha Salter | R J Blacker | 59kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Time Allowed | 4 | Jackson Radley | T Busuttin & N Young | 57.5kg |
Cool Ridge (Bm66)
19:15 local1600mBenchmark 66$60,000
Winner2. Curse ItSP $5.50
★ Top pick4th
5Sumo Sandy
Barrier 1 exploits inside bias (18% win rate). Light weight, forward map in moderate-fast tempo. Elite form edge over less proven rivals.
2nd pick5th
4Humza Bey
Barrier 4 perfect for Cranbourne inside bias. Wet form (2 heavy wins) handles Soft 5. Lacks mile experience but stamina profile suits moderate-fast tempo. Clear form progression.
3rd pickWon
2Curse It
Likely leader in moderate-fast tempo suits track's on-pace favouritism. Bates 12% Cranbourne, 50% on horse. No soft exposure major query on Soft 5 but good form trend outweighs. Solid each-way despite unproven wet.
Value pick6th
8Rapid Cheval
Recent Gold Coast CL1 win, prior black-type form. Class drop from G2/B70 huge positive. Barrier 5 suits bias, Melham 35% recent wins. Soft unproven but talent edges BM66. Strong win chance if ready.
- 1st2Curse ItLogan Bates$5.50
- 2nd7SotomayorJamie Mott$11.00
- 3rd1BlakmaxCraig Newitt$41.00
- 4th5Sumo SandyJackson Radley$2.25
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Curse It | 7 | Logan Bates | G Eurell | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Sotomayor | 3 | Jamie Mott | M M Laurie | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Blakmax | 2 | Craig Newitt | Shawn Mathrick | 61kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Sumo Sandy | 1 | Jackson Radley | T Busuttin & N Young | 57kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 4 | Humza Bey | 4 | Ethan Brown | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60.5kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Rapid Cheval | 5 | Ben Melham | S B Laming | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Couldthisbetheone | 6 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Eye For An Eye | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | J Leek Jnr | 61kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Silver Pledge | 8 | Holly Durnan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
Ladbrokes Hosted Pots (Bm64)
19:45 local1200mBenchmark 64$60,000
Winner7. Arlington RowSP $7.50
★ Top pick7th
1Tower Bridge
Damian Lane booking boosts. Soft track unproven but class edge over maidens.
2nd pick5th
4Sea Trader
Sea Trader value in soft conditions with recent Sale maiden win on Soft 5 matching today's track. Second up from spell, tongue tie aids, barrier 7 exploits middle bias and closers' advantage in fast tempo. Form improving, high track suitability overrides limited distance exposure.
3rd pickScratched
8Layla
Soft track query but class rise manageable. Solid place claims in deeper field.
Value pick2nd
5Hotspur Reale
Barrier 8 workable for backmarker in closers-favouring bias/fast tempo.
- 1st7Arlington RowLinda Meech$7.50
- 2nd5Hotspur RealeLachlan Neindorf$19.00
- 3rd3Lyrics 'n' SongLogan Bates$5.50
- 4th6Amping LassLuke Cartwright$11.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Arlington Row | 1 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Hotspur Reale | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | Brian McGrath | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lyrics 'n' Song | 4 | Logan Bates | M W Walker | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Amping Lass | 5 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Sea Trader | 7 | Ethan Brown | R D Griffiths | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Fly By Light | 2 | Ben Melham | C W McDonald | 60kg | $2.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Tower Bridge | 3 | Damian Lane | C Maher | 61.5kg | $4.20 |
| Scr | 8 | Layla | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg |
Musk Creek Farm Summer Sprint Series - Heat 5 (Bm66)
20:15 local1200mBenchmark 66$60,000
Winner4. MarkdelSP $12.00
★ Top pick6th
3Attachments
Recent fitness edge over first-uppers in fast tempo favoring midfielders/closers per track bias.
2nd pickWon
4Markdel
3rd pick3rd
6Don't Russia
Soft record solid for conditions; fast tempo and closers bias suit despite no Cranbourne T/D history. Recent placings show upside.
Value pick4th
5Street Conqueror
- 1st4MarkdelLachlan Neindorf$12.00
- 2nd9Thunder HawkJordan Childs$11.00
- 3rd6Don't RussiaCraig Newitt$6.00
- 4th5Street ConquerorMichael Dee$13.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Markdel | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | A & J Williams | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Thunder Hawk | 1 | Jordan Childs | Lucy Yeomans | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Don't Russia | 3 | Craig Newitt | Craig Blackshaw | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Street Conqueror | 11 | Michael Dee | E Jusufovic | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Supido's Choice | 2 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Attachments | 5 | Logan Bates | Archie Alexander | 58kg | $1.60 |
| 7th | 7 | Joltin' Joe | 8 | Luke Currie | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 58.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Villa Seventynine | 6 | Bailey Kinninmont | Ms R Kelly | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Statice | 7 | Jye McNeil | M, W & J Hawkes | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Bon's Your Back | 10 | Emily Pozman | Ms R Kelly | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Mahsay | 4 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 55.5kg |
Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Series 2 - Heat 6 (Bm70)
20:45 local955mBenchmark 70$60,000
Winner8. Gentle SteelSP $2.35
★ Top pick9th
5Egerton
Consistent performer (73% place rate) mapping midfield in very fast tempo suits Cranbourne backmarkers bias.
2nd pickWon
8Gentle Steel
3rd pick4th
4Cannyworth
High soft suitability, class drop, and Damian Lane upgrade positives outweigh spell; very fast tempo suits strong finisher in Cranbourne closers bias.
Value pick2nd
10Mrs Iglesia
- 1st8Gentle SteelJamie Mott$2.35
- 2nd10Mrs IglesiaMichael Dee$8.50
- 3rd1ShirshovLogan Bates$12.00
- 4th4CannyworthDamian Lane$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Gentle Steel | 3 | Jamie Mott | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 10 | Mrs Iglesia | 2 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Shirshov | 9 | Logan Bates | P Stokes | 61.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Cannyworth | 7 | Damian Lane | Glen Thompson | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Core Concept | 1 | Jackson Radley | Michael Jones | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Hello Romeo | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 3 | El Pibe De Oro | 4 | Luke Cartwright | Nick Ryan | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Blackberry Bomb | 5 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Egerton | 10 | Ethan Brown | C I Brown | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Loving Mandy | 8 | Holly Durnan | Dwayne Reid | 54kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Point Moon | 11 | Luke Currie | A & S Freedman | 55kg |
Lawn Rules Abell Stakes
21:15 local1200mListedOpen$175,000
Winner8. Miss IcelandicSP $20.00
★ Top pick6th
1A Little Deep
Soft 5 suits (1 win from 2 soft starts). Midfield map from barrier 4 ideal for fast tempo/closers bias.
2nd pick8th
6Soft Love
Barrier 7 exploits middle bias; fast tempo suits closer style. Recent Cranbourne run (11th) was poor prep; now fresh with ideal map.
3rd pick4th
4Give Me Space
Give Me Space brings QLD black-type credentials (G3 win) and light weight from Hayes yard (strong first-up). Barrier 5 perfect for pace; fast tempo aids.
Value pick7th
5Suparazi
Barrier 3/inside advantageous; fast tempo/closers bias perfect. Roughy with upside in deep Listed.
- 1st8Miss IcelandicPatrick Moloney$20.00
- 2nd2CornicheZac Spain$21.00
- 3rd7Celsius StarLachlan Neindorf$5.00
- 4th4Give Me SpaceMichael Dee$5.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Miss Icelandic | 7 | Patrick Moloney | M M Laurie | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Corniche | 2 | Zac Spain | Shawn Mathrick | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Celsius Star | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | Shawn Mathrick | 54kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Give Me Space | 5 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Pop Award | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 1 | A Little Deep | 4 | Jamie Melham | C Maher | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 5 | Suparazi | 3 | Jye McNeil | Ben Brisbourne | 54.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Soft Love | 8 | Harry Coffey | M M Laurie | 54kg | $5.50 |
Ladbrokes Big Bets Summer Middle Distance Series - Heat 6 (Bm70)
21:45 local2025mBenchmark 70$60,000
Winner3. Grey IceSP $3.70
★ Top pick3rd
2Stage 'n' Screen
Significant class drop from stronger fields, consistent placegetter (31% strike rate) mapping midfield/on-pace ideally for moderate tempo. Clear form leader despite no distance experience.
2nd pick7th
1Seafall
Consistent mare handles weight, finishing strength suits short straight.
3rd pick4th
4En Flique
In career-best form with 1-2-1 last three including dominant restricted win. Despite class rise, recent performances in similar grade warrant inclusion; barrier 7 neutral but forward style suits on-pace bias. Reliable place chance.
Value pickScratched
6Charming Deel
Consistent in BM70 company, prior Moonee Valley win shows staying ability. Barrier 8 tests but elite closing speed exploits moderate tempo/short straight.
- 1st3Grey IceBen Melham$3.70
- 2nd9VizieLuke Cartwright$19.00
- 3rd2Stage 'n' ScreenLogan Bates$3.10
- 4th4En FliqueLachlan King$7.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Grey Ice | 1 | Ben Melham | S B Laming | 61.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 9 | Vizie | 4 | Luke Cartwright | Chris Calthorpe | 53.5kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Stage 'n' Screen | 3 | Logan Bates | M W Walker | 60kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 4 | En Flique | 7 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Madame Lexis | 9 | Michael Dee | Nathan Dunn | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Luvya Mumma | 2 | Alana Kelly | Liam Howley | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Seafall | 5 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 5 | Achillea | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | M C Kent | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Charming Deel | 8 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg |
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