Coco Dior presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form proximity at this track and distance. The moderate-fast tempo should suit her on-pace racing style from an ideal barrier.
New South Wales · Tuesday 3 March 2026
Kembla Grange tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Go Hire The Event People Midway Mdn Hcp
- 1st6Ribble LaceKeagan Latham$9.00
- 2nd7Aurora EffectSam Clipperton$6.00
- 3rd5Coco DiorAlysha Collett$2.35
- 4th1Derry City FelixAndrew Calder$3.10
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Ribble Lace | 8 | Keagan Latham | David Payne | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Aurora Effect | 10 | Sam Clipperton | Edward Cummings | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Coco Dior | 5 | Alysha Collett | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57.5kg | $2.35 |
| 4th | 1 | Derry City Felix | 11 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 5th | 10 | Miss Steffi | 6 | Jay Ford | K J Parker | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | My Country Boy | 7 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Frosted Amour | 2 | Brock Ryan | Ms T Bateup | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Radion | 4 | Olivia Chambers | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Kittano | 9 | Jess Taylor | G D Hickman | 55kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Barrengarry | 3 | Zac Lloyd | Joseph Ible | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Ratify | 1 | Dylan Gibbons | J G Sargent | 58kg |
I98FM''s Feel Good Fun Mdn Plate
Despite being a debutant, Long Live presents as the most reliable selection based on connections and positioning. The Maher-Lloyd combination strikes at 27%, the inside barrier (3) aligns perfectly with the moderate inside bias, and the tongue tie addition suggests stable confidence in improvement.
While the poor career record is concerning, the combination of speed, barrier, and fitness progression makes this a worthwhile value play.
- 1st2Button UpDylan Gibbons$3.00
- 2nd8Sweet TreasureJay Ford$15.00
- 3rd1Alabama ShowdownSam Clipperton$4.40
- 4th4Long LiveZac Lloyd$2.80
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Button Up | 8 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Sweet Treasure | 1 | Jay Ford | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Alabama Showdown | 2 | Sam Clipperton | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 4 | Long Live | 3 | Zac Lloyd | C Maher | 58.5kg | $2.80 |
| 5th | 3 | Gianluca | 10 | Tommy Berry | K J Parker | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 5 | A Woman Scorned | 9 | Alysha Collett | G Portelli | 57kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Gamp | 6 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 57kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Mover And Shaker | 4 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 54kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Milk Foam | 5 | G Portelli | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Mimi's | 7 | Rachel King | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg |
Peak Gardens Provincial Hcp (C1)
Her maiden win came on Heavy 8, and recent strong placing at Grafton shows she's handling the step up in grade.
Represents value based on the significant class drop and previous heavy track form. Her record at the distance is solid and she's shown she can handle wet conditions with a heavy track placing.
- 1st1Ride The RiverTom Sherry$1.35
- 2nd6Song For RosieReece Jones$7.50
- 3rd5Tides TurningSiena Grima$8.50
- 4th9Juste Un ClouJeff Penza$31.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Ride The River | 9 | Tom Sherry | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | $1.35 |
| 2nd | 6 | Song For Rosie | 6 | Reece Jones | T J Bartley | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Tides Turning | 5 | Siena Grima | T P Croft | 53.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Juste Un Clou | 7 | Jeff Penza | S B Hill | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Tango On | 10 | Olivia Chambers | Claire Lever | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Vantante | 4 | Claire Ramsbotham | Paul Murray | 52kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Prosperous Dragon | 8 | Mitch Stapleford | Jake Hull | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Trumper | 1 | Tommy Berry | K A Lees | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Gianluca | 9 | K J Parker | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Shoutaboutit | 3 | Jay Ford | Ms K Buchanan | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Li'l Grug | 2 | Brock Ryan | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg |
Wests Devils: Your Reigning Premiers Super Mdn Plate
- 1st11Royal SilverTommy Berry$1.40
- 2nd6Bang On TimeJay Ford$8.00
- 3rd5Wishful ThinkerRachel King$3.70
- 4th1Any QuestionsSam Clipperton$26.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Royal Silver | 3 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $1.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bang On Time | 6 | Jay Ford | K J Parker | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Wishful Thinker | 1 | Rachel King | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 1 | Any Questions | 2 | Sam Clipperton | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Decota | 9 | Brock Ryan | Ross McConville | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Lucky Monkey | 10 | Chad Lever | Ms K Outtrim | 57kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Borjnord | 7 | Chad Schofield | Richard & Will Freedman | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Star Half | 5 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | My Proclama | 11 | Andrew Adkins | Joseph Pride | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Ivory Frost | 8 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Miss Maclaine | 4 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 53.5kg |
Your Next Stop Wests Illawarra Hcp (C1)
Vivian's Express presents outstanding value dropping significantly in class from Group racing.
Harry's Evidence brings solid credentials with a maiden win and heavy track experience. His distance record (3:1-1-0) and recent victory provide confidence, though the class rise from maiden company is concerning. The wide barrier and weight increase present challenges but his wet track form gives him a genuine chance.
- 1st1Harry's EvidenceChad Schofield$3.20
- 2nd10VidiaAndrew Adkins$6.00
- 3rd5Vivian's ExpressKeagan Latham$4.20
- 4th3Winner Of Kowloon$2.70
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Harry's Evidence | 9 | Chad Schofield | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 10 | Vidia | 11 | Andrew Adkins | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Vivian's Express | 1 | Keagan Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 3 | Winner Of Kowloon | 4 | Bjorn Baker | 58kg | $2.70 | |
| 5th | 13 | Li'l Grug | 8 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg | $26.00 | |
| 6th | 7 | Knight Of Rhodes | 2 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 2 | The New Sinatra | 6 | Marc Chevalier | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Vin Santo | 12 | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Wisnierska | 3 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Lighthouse Lass | 5 | Zac Lloyd | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Tessy Tee | 10 | Andrew Calder | R D Collett | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Cuban Rain | 7 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Song For Rosie | 6 | T J Bartley | 55kg |
Wests Illawarra Community Strong (Bm64)
Shangri La Impact presents the strongest winning credentials with a perfect heavy track record and proven class. The mare has won both starts on heavy going and showed excellent form before the Group 1 failure. First up specialists often improve with gear changes, and the lugging bit addition suggests stable confidence. The 59kg is manageable given her class edge.
The mare has won on heavy going and shows improving form.
- 1st4Shangri La ImpactZac Lloyd$2.10
- 2nd7Exceed PerfectionRachel King$5.50
- 3rd8Bianca MiaTommy Berry$4.60
- 4th9Mah AliPierre Boudvillain$8.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Shangri La Impact | 6 | Zac Lloyd | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 7 | Exceed Perfection | 9 | Rachel King | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Bianca Mia | 2 | Tommy Berry | Brad Widdup | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 9 | Mah Ali | 8 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Southern Sky | 3 | Adam Farragher | Matthew Smith | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Smart Cry | 5 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | J C Coyle | 58kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Cosmic Lad | 1 | Tom Sherry | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Commanding Artist | 7 | Jay Ford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 61kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Tavolo | 4 | Siena Grima | Rob Potter | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Common Goal | 10 | Joseph Ible | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Okami Star | 3 | C E Conners | 55kg |
Celebrating 70 Years Of Wests Illawarra Conditional (Bm68)
Audenzia presents as the most reliable winning chance with an outstanding record at Kembla Grange (3 wins from 12 starts) and perfect suitability for today's distance. Her recent winning form, combined with proven heavy track ability and strong jockey partnership, makes her the standout selection despite the wide draw.
His strong Kembla Grange form and proven heavy track ability make him a serious threat, though the class rise and disappointing first up run provide some concern.
- 1st8MosgoldAdrian Layt$26.00
- 2nd7Graceful EllenClaire Ramsbotham$6.00
- 3rd4Gooloo BuckyBrock Ryan$21.00
- 4th10Blow InAlysha Collett$13.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Mosgold | 8 | Adrian Layt | Tash Burleigh | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Graceful Ellen | 1 | Claire Ramsbotham | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Gooloo Bucky | 2 | Brock Ryan | Paul Murray | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Blow In | 6 | Alysha Collett | Rob Potter | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Audenzia | 9 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 58.5kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 2 | Dumebi | 4 | Tom Sherry | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60.5kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Wild Thoughts | 7 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 59kg | $1.75 |
| Scr | 1 | Satness | 11 | Siena Grima | R & L Price | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Agent Zero | 5 | Tommy Berry | C Maher | 60kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Rileycat | 3 | Rachel King | Pat Murphy | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Vivian's Express | 8 | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | London Star | 10 | Ms T Bateup | 55kg |
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