★ Top pickWon
1Peeaitchdee
The So You Think gelding has placed in 5 of 8 starts and returns second-up from a spell with a solid fresh record. Despite carrying top weight, his form profile suggests he's ready to break through.
Victoria · Thursday 5 March 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won5/863%
Any tip won6/875%
Top pick placed6/875%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ladbrokes Big Bets Copy Now Mdn Plate
17:15 local1600mMaiden$45,000
Winner1. PeeaitchdeeSP $2.70
2nd pick3rd
9Talkin' Stern
Talkin' Stern offers strong each-way value with an improving profile and tactical advantages. The Astern gelding ran a close second at Pakenham last start and draws perfectly in barrier 2 with champion jockey John Allen aboard. His forward racing pattern suits the expected fast tempo, and the inside draw provides crucial early positioning advantages on this track configuration.
3rd pick2nd
4Amazake
The Maurice gelding showed ability in black-type company and returns fresh for the powerful Maher stable.
Value pick4th
11Washington Lilac
Her recent fourth at Caulfield Heath over 1500m suggests she's ready to peak, and the Moody/Coleman stable has her well-placed for a breakthrough performance.
- 1st1PeeaitchdeeJordan Childs$2.70
- 2nd4AmazakeThomas Stockdale$6.00
- 3rd9Talkin' SternJohn Allen$3.10
- 4th11Washington LilacZac Spain$5.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Peeaitchdee | 6 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Amazake | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Talkin' Stern | 2 | John Allen | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 11 | Washington Lilac | 5 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Strike First | 10 | Ben Allen | Ms W Kelly | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Intervened | 11 | Jye McNeil | C Maher | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Luxor Gold | 4 | Jake Noonan | G Eurell | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Perfect Link | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Gypsy Roma | 1 | Melea Castle | Chris Diplock | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Sensational Ruler | 3 | Jamie Mott | Richard Laming | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | I'm Hot Too | 9 | Zac Spain | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 59kg |
Beraldo Coffee Mdn Plate
17:45 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner7. LabelmakerSP $14.00
★ Top pick2nd
11Irreverent
Irreverent presents as the most reliable winning chance based on consistent form and proven suitability. The I Am Invincible filly has shown steady improvement with 4 placings from 5 starts, including a narrow second at this track over 1400m.
2nd pick8th
9On The Loose
The Turn Me Loose gelding has quality breeding for the 1400m trip and maps perfectly from barrier 7. Trainer Eurell's record with developing horses and the Mertens booking suggests confidence.
3rd pick5th
4Costa Paros
Costa Paros brings consistent form with multiple placings including recent narrow seconds. The Blue Point gelding has shown steady improvement through the Hayes stable and the Luke Currie booking indicates serious intent. While barrier 11 presents challenges, his tactical speed should allow positioning options.
Value pick7th
13Zoudeadly
Warren's consistent placement suggests the horse is close to breakthrough performance.
- 1st7LabelmakerJohn Allen$14.00
- 2nd11IrreverentZac Spain$2.60
- 3rd8Mykindakandy$12.00
- 4th3Zamparini SpiritJamie Mott$14.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Labelmaker | 6 | John Allen | C Maher | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Irreverent | 8 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 8 | Mykindakandy | 16 | C I Brown | 59kg | $12.00 | |
| 4th | 3 | Zamparini Spirit | 9 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Costa Paros | 11 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Just Basil | 5 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Zoudeadly | 12 | Jason Maskiell | Jason Warren | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 9 | On The Loose | 7 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 9th | 15 | Fastobid | 1 | G Eurell | 59kg | $31.00 | |
| 10th | 12 | Koban | 3 | Emily Pozman | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 16 | Native Spirit | 13 | R J Besanko | 59.5kg | $201.00 | |
| 12th | 14 | Tornado Anwa | 10 | John Keating | G C Strang | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Ask Your Mother | 15 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Parera | 14 | Jordan Childs | M J Mehegan | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Crazy Town | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Power Played | 2 | Jye McNeil | Alexander Rae | 59kg |
Summerset Retirement Village Cranbourne North Mdn Plate
18:15 local1100mMaiden$45,000
Winner11. Sweet VixenSP $2.15
★ Top pickWon
11Sweet Vixen
Her proven soft track form (1:0-1-0) gives her a significant advantage over rivals who are unproven on rain-affected surfaces. The Alderson/Bates combination strikes at 15%, and barrier 7 positions her perfectly for the expected fast tempo.
2nd pick6th
10She's Loaded
The class drop combined with John Allen's excellent recent form (40% strike rate) and her proven ability at 1100m makes her a genuine winning chance.
3rd pickScratched
9Life After Love
The significant class drop from Listed and Open company to maiden level, combined with consistent recent placings and an ideal barrier draw, makes her a strong winning chance despite her maiden status.
Value pick4th
5Gattino Veloce
The barrier 1 draw and quality jockey booking suggest she's being set up for a forward showing, making her worth a value play despite the long spell.
- 1st11Sweet VixenLogan Bates$2.15
- 2nd7KokeshiPatrick Moloney$15.00
- 3rd6I'm FoxingJye McNeil$8.00
- 4th5Gattino VeloceJordan Childs$6.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Sweet Vixen | 7 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 57kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 7 | Kokeshi | 8 | Patrick Moloney | J F Moloney | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | I'm Foxing | 10 | Jye McNeil | Alexander Rae | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Gattino Veloce | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Circus Circus | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | G M Begg | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 10 | She's Loaded | 4 | John Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Charleanor | 11 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 4 | French Intrigue | 6 | Ryan Houston | Logan McGill | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Anyways | 5 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Le Notre | 9 | Dakotah Keane | S B Laming | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Life After Love | 3 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57kg |
Computer Talk - Business IT Experts (Bm70)
18:45 local1000mBenchmark 70$40,000
Winner4. She's My ExSP $1.30
★ Top pickWon
4She's My Ex
She's My Ex brings impressive credentials with a 50% strike rate and is dropping significantly in class after competing in Listed/Open company. The Craig Williams booking signals stable confidence, and her perfect 1000m record (2 from 3) is compelling. The wide draw and fresh-up run are concerns, but the class drop and light weight provide strong compensation.
2nd pick3rd
2Innocent Enuff
Innocent Enuff brings winning momentum from her last start victory and has shown consistent improvement.
3rd pickScratched
3Celerity
The wide barrier is a concern but her class and finishing ability should overcome this in what shapes as a fast-run race.
Value pick2nd
5Caffettiera
Caffettiera represents value dropping from Group 3 company to BM70 level. The inside barrier and gear change removing blinkers are positive signs, while the Freedman stable typically has horses ready first-up. Her class advantage from recent black-type racing provides upside if she can overcome the fitness question after a 95-day break.
- 1st4She's My ExCraig Williams$1.30
- 2nd5CaffettieraDaniel Stackhouse$3.90
- 3rd2Innocent EnuffRyan Houston$11.00
- 4th9Paradise IslandSamantha Noble$61.00
Full result · 4 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | She's My Ex | 8 | Craig Williams | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $1.30 |
| 2nd | 5 | Caffettiera | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 2 | Innocent Enuff | 4 | Ryan Houston | Logan McGill | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Paradise Island | 2 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Dreamzel | 6 | Jordyn Weatherley | Tom Dabernig | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Celerity | 7 | Jamie Melham | C Maher | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Frose | 3 | Zoe Waller | Jamie Barry | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Marilyn's Edge | 5 | Zac Spain | Shawn Mathrick | 56kg | |
| Scr | 8 | No Overtaking | 9 | Jett Stanley | Brent Stanley | 55kg |
The Big Screen Company (Bm62)
19:15 local2500mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner13. TopspinSP $26.00
★ Top pick8th
7Diggers Aim
Diggers Aim brings strong credentials having won his last start over this distance and showing a strong affinity for Pakenham with 1 win and 2 places from 4 starts. While the class rise from maiden to BM62 is significant, his distance specialization and track familiarity provide confidence. Jamie Mott's 20% recent strike rate adds further appeal.
2nd pick2nd
2Midnight Glow
Midnight Glow offers consistency with three placings from his last four starts and benefits from a significant class drop. The inside barrier draw provides tactical advantage, though his inability to convert recent placings to wins remains a concern. The class drop should provide the edge needed.
3rd pickScratched
3Nicoffhome
Nicoffhome presents as the standout selection having won his last start at this exact track and distance combination. His perfect 1:1-0-0 record at Pakenham over 2500m, combined with strong recent form showing two wins from his last three starts, makes him the logical choice. While he faces a class rise, his upward trajectory and proven suitability to these conditions make him the most reliable winning chance.
Value pick4th
6Shrewsbury Road
Shrewsbury Road presents value as a last start winner who appears to be dropping in grade. His recent form shows a win and two placings from his last three starts, indicating he's found his rhythm.
- 1st13TopspinCian Macredmond$26.00
- 2nd2Midnight GlowJackson Radley$4.80
- 3rd4HollandiaBen Allen$10.00
- 4th6Shrewsbury RoadThomas Stockdale$6.50
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Topspin | 6 | Cian Macredmond | Joanne Mugavin | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Midnight Glow | 1 | Jackson Radley | J P Salanitri | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 4 | Hollandia | 9 | Ben Allen | J F Moloney | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Shrewsbury Road | 8 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 12 | Donegal Soul | 14 | Luke Currie | Liam Howley | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Heir To The Throne | 15 | Daniel Stackhouse | Andrea Leek | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Rebadge | 3 | Jordan Childs | Dominic Sutton | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Diggers Aim | 10 | Jamie Mott | T Rogers | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 5 | Madame Lexis | 5 | Jett Stanley | Nathan Dunn | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 14 | Broadfield | 12 | Olivia East | A Rosolini | 52kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Pending List | 7 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Brilliant Venture | 4 | Ryan Houston | Andrea Leek | 60kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Nicoffhome | 11 | Jordyn Weatherley | Chris Calthorpe | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Flash Of Dallas | 13 | Rhys Mc Leod | Dominic Sutton | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Zeusmas | 2 | Mitchell Leek | 55kg |
Duffy & Simon Lawyers Hcp (C1)
19:45 local1400mClass 1$40,000
Winner3. Next JenSP $5.50
★ Top pick7th
1Heironaut
The Freedman stable typically has horses ready and the top weight allocation suggests confidence in the step up to Class 1. Despite limited experience, the debut performance indicates genuine ability and the 55-day break should have him fit and ready.
2nd pick3rd
6Grand Omaha
Grand Omaha showed genuine ability with a maiden win at Kilmore and has the benefit of a significant class drop from Group 3. The Moloney/Laurie combination has a strong 23% strike rate, and the filly's good track record suggests she handles varying conditions. The first-up assignment after 137 days is the main concern.
3rd pickScratched
4Sabi Storm
The significant class drop from Listed to Class 1 is a major positive, and John Allen's booking adds confidence. The 151-day break is a concern but the class drop should offset this.
Value pickWon
3Next Jen
Despite poor recent form, her Group/Listed experience and the major class drop to Class 1 creates an opportunity.
- 1st3Next JenRyan Houston$5.50
- 2nd5Surperb FrostZac Spain$6.50
- 3rd6Grand OmahaPatrick Moloney$2.90
- 4th8HustleJett Stanley$17.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Next Jen | 8 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Surperb Frost | 9 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Grand Omaha | 10 | Patrick Moloney | M M Laurie | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 8 | Hustle | 3 | Jett Stanley | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Kakkoii | 7 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 6th | 11 | Jenni Of Avalon | 1 | Liam Riordan | Paul Worthington | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Heironaut | 11 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 12 | Red Paree | 5 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Florina Region | 4 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 56kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Sabi Storm | 12 | John Allen | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Somax | 6 | Craig Newitt | J L Grob | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | First Tosen | 2 | John Keating | G C Strang | 55kg |
Hygain Edge (Bm62)
20:15 local1400mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner1. AleroSP $2.60
★ Top pickWon
1Alero
2nd pick3rd
10Marlion's Dream
Marlion's Dream brings significant local knowledge with his strong Pakenham record and is well-placed second up from a spell.
3rd pickScratched
3Stay Silent
Stay Silent brings the best recent form with his Sale win and has proven credentials at the 1400m distance. The Maher stable is reliable and the horse appears to be hitting peak form at the right time.
Value pick10th
9Merimbula
Merimbula represents value as a recent maiden winner who has been gelded and could improve significantly. The barrier draw suits his racing pattern and the Stackhouse/Laurie combination has a strong strike rate.
- 1st1AleroZac Moore$2.60
- 2nd11Lulu DarlingKoby Jennings$18.00
- 3rd10Marlion's DreamJamie Mott$5.50
- 4th6Hola AmigosJason Maskiell$14.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Alero | 3 | Zac Moore | C Maher | 59kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 11 | Lulu Darling | 4 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 58.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Marlion's Dream | 8 | Jamie Mott | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Hola Amigos | 14 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Vaderlee | 10 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Freak Of Nature | 12 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 61.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 13 | Warmosa | 6 | Luke Cartwright | Adele Garraway | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Starspangled Baby | 11 | Bailey Kinninmont | Andrew Perdon | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Ocean's Jen | 5 | Liam Riordan | Andrew Perdon | 57kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Merimbula | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | M M Laurie | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 11th | 14 | Aussieaussieaussie | 2 | Olivia East | R N Mathews | 52.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Mr Magnus | 15 | Luke Currie | R D Griffiths | 62.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Stay Silent | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 62.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Dantooine | 13 | Christopher Pang | Tom Dabernig | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Bare To Witness | 7 | Cian Macredmond | Joanne Mugavin | 55kg |
Cameron Industrial Commercial (Bm62)
20:45 local1600mBenchmark 62$50,000
Winner3. Nic's ChoiceSP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
3Nic's Choice
Nic's Choice presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form and track familiarity.
2nd pick7th
9Dane On Tour
Dane On Tour offers strong each-way value dropping in class with an in-form John Allen aboard. Her excellent 1600m record and recent Sandown placing suggest she can overcome her poor Pakenham record, especially with the class relief and top jockey booking.
3rd pick6th
10La Belle Grande
The improving mare gets a good draw and an in-form jockey, making her a solid place chance despite limited experience.
Value pick8th
4Helping Hands
The significant class rise is concerning, but the dominant debut win, strong connections, and perfect draw create an overlay opportunity for a horse that could be better than maiden class suggests.
- 1st3Nic's ChoiceLuke Cartwright$4.40
- 2nd6Delta SkyRyan Houston$8.00
- 3rd1Russian MeteorNadia Daniels$6.00
- 4th7You Never Can TellThomas Stockdale$17.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Nic's Choice | 12 | Luke Cartwright | J F Moloney | 60.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Delta Sky | 7 | Ryan Houston | Lee & Shannon Hope | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Russian Meteor | 6 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 7 | You Never Can Tell | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | G Eurell | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Palace Winter | 9 | Olivia East | R N Mathews | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 10 | La Belle Grande | 4 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Dane On Tour | 8 | John Allen | David & Coral Feek | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Helping Hands | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | Jason Warren | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Dundonald | 5 | Patrick Moloney | G M Moloney | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Zorb | 3 | Zac Spain | Archie Alexander | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Zaaffair Steal | 11 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 57kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Austrata | 10 | Ben Allen | Reece Goodwin | 61kg |
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