Sapphire Reign tops form assessment in this low-grade maiden. Light weight and Ryan Houston (17% at track) add appeal. Fast tempo suits midfield position.
Victoria · Monday 9 March 2026
Warrnambool tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Warrnambool. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Maddens Lawyers Mdn Plate
Fitness edge over first-uppers like #1/#5. Barrier 9 tests inside bias but improving form and Warrnambool's on-pace lean provide chance. Reliable for place in volatile maiden.
Barrier 4 exploits Warrnambool inside bias; likely forward in leader-favouring setup. First-up but short spell and sprint pedigree suit.
- 1st5CrickwoodJohn Allen$2.60
- 2nd1Silver CapitalSarah Field$5.50
- 3rd9Sapphire ReignRyan Houston$2.50
- 4th6HavilahMelissa Julius$31.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Crickwood | 7 | John Allen | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 57.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Silver Capital | 4 | Sarah Field | V L Malady | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Sapphire Reign | 5 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Havilah | 3 | Melissa Julius | Ricky & Kristy Bruhn | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Rebel Jen | 2 | Amy Herrmann | Krystal Trembath | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Smart And Mighty | 1 | Tom Madden | M J McKenzie | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Divine Reine | 8 | Christine Puls | Nell Carter | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Bonifire | 6 | Steven Vella | Kylie Vella | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Cliffs Hanger | 9 | Jack Hill | Shawn Mathrick | 57.5kg |
ACME Rural Supplies (Bm66)
Barrier 2 ideal for Warrnambool sprint bias favouring inside/on-pace in fast tempo. Meech retains ride with strong combo stats. Class rise acceptable given finishing strength despite 82-day break.
Barrier 4 exploits inside bias at Warrnambool sprint start. Regular racing fitness edge over spellers in fast tempo; dropping class enhances chances despite modest win rate.
Viable top-3 chance dropping sharply in grade with inside barrier 3 suiting Warrnambool sprint bias.
Barrier 6 inside bias range, light 55kg suits, and on-pace bias in short straight offers upset potential in volatile BM66 country sprint.
- 1st1BallynacallyLinda Meech$1.70
- 2nd3ThailessCraig Newitt$4.20
- 3rd5TriompheHarry Grace$31.00
- 4th2Silver CliffBrad Rawiller$3.70
Full result · 5 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Ballynacally | 2 | Linda Meech | Adam Chambers | 60kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 3 | Thailess | 4 | Craig Newitt | Andrew Bobbin | 58.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Triomphe | 1 | Harry Grace | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Silver Cliff | 3 | Brad Rawiller | P F Ryan | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 4 | Sardonian | 6 | Ryan Houston | P W McKenna | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Courageous Lass | 5 | Harry Grace | Denis Daffy & Harriet Place | 54kg |
Matthew Williams Racing #getinvolved Mdn Plate
Phoenician stands out on pure form with unmatched consistency in maiden staying races, placing in 8 of last 10 including multiple 2400m+ runs. Warrnambool's short straight favours its finishing strength in moderate-fast tempo.
Solid chance in upset-prone Warrnambool maidens.
Lightly raced profile suits step to 2350m, good jockey booking, but wide draw tempers enthusiasm in backmarker-heavy field. Solid top-3 contender.
Improving form suits moderate-fast tempo and closers' bias at Warrnambool.
- 1st4PhoenicianBrad Rawiller$15.00
- 2nd11Paramount WarDean Yendall$31.00
- 3rd7ZinovationJack Hill$2.80
- 4th9Finance MerchantTom Madden$3.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Phoenician | 10 | Brad Rawiller | E W Ewert | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Paramount War | 9 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Zinovation | 2 | Jack Hill | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 9 | Finance Merchant | 11 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 3 | I Am Bongino | 12 | John Allen | M, W & J Hawkes | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Earl Of Gloucester | 4 | Paul Gatt | Andrew Noblet | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Cheron Finale | 6 | Declan Bates | Jason Warren | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Aki | 1 | Eoin Walsh | J G Brooks | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Ateyate | 13 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Something Super | 7 | Sarah Field | Garry Murphy | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 10 | King Of Savoy | 3 | Cian Macredmond | Matthew Cumani | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 14 | No Need For Tears | 5 | Dylan Dunn | M A Townsend | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| 13th | 6 | St Dominic | 8 | Craig Newitt | Jason Chandler | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 12 | The Long Mover | 14 | Ryan Houston | R J Blacker | 57.5kg |
Wilsons Real Estate Mdn Plate
Symon Wilde debutants often perform; Dunn booking elite. No form to penalise per Maiden rules. Moderate-fast tempo suits midfield map at leader-favouring Warrnambool. Stable confidence overrides lack of data; top win chance despite debut status.
John Allen (30% recent wins) major upgrade. Youthful profile suits maiden progression. Neutral bias at Warrnambool favours consistent midfielders in moderate tempo.
Strong debutant proxy via Patrick & Michelle Payne stable (proven first-up) and Billy Egan (20% recent form). Barrier 3 ideal for Warrnambool's fair 1300m start; 57kg light. Solid each-way chance in open maiden.
Newitt (22% Warrnambool) from barrier 1 suits leader bias/short straight. Busuttin/Young stable reliable. Recent run confirms fitness for moderate-fast tempo.
- 1st7TransporterCraig Newitt$6.50
- 2nd5Le Beau GosseDylan Dunn$3.00
- 3rd1Back Of The BoatNeil Farley$31.00
- 4th8ZercardyJohn Allen$5.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Transporter | 1 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Le Beau Gosse | 11 | Dylan Dunn | Symon Wilde | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Back Of The Boat | 4 | Neil Farley | Jessica Pateman | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Zercardy | 8 | John Allen | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Cowboykickedfive | 7 | Luke Williams | M J McKenzie | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Alla Rustica | 2 | Declan Bates | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Insubordinate | 9 | Ryan Hurdle | Chris Calthorpe | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Princess Geisha | 3 | Billy Egan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Norenson | 6 | Jack Hill | P A Chow | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Birdy Baby | 10 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Foxwedge Arrow | 5 | Steven Vella | Kylie Vella | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Buttercup | 9 | Tom Dabernig | 57.5kg |
The Standard Mdn Plate
Improving trend (46x52), handy running style suits Warrnambool's short straight and likely fast tempo favouring on-pace. Bates/Archie Alexander combo reliable.
Debutant Impulsive Reaction earns top selection via proxy assessment: elite Busuttin/Young stable (strong first-starter stats), premium Linda Meech booking (19% combo strike), barrier 4 suits fair Warrnambool 1400m start. Gear changes indicate sharpness. Absence of form not penalized per rules; high stable/jockey weighting in maiden context.
Recent second-up 4th at Werribee shows fitness; class drop from open race helps. Newitt's 22% Warrnambool strike boosts. Warrnambool on-pace bias and experience edge over debutants in volatile maiden.
Two career 5ths at MV/Cranbourne respectable in maidens; first-up suits trainer patterns. Good 4 record (2:0-0-0). Fast tempo may suit settling midfield.
- 1st12Till QueenDeclan Bates$1.95
- 2nd2Impulsive ReactionLinda Meech$4.20
- 3rd8Half ScotchCraig Newitt$7.50
- 4th11She's A JettEoin Walsh$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Till Queen | 2 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 56kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 2 | Impulsive Reaction | 4 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 8 | Half Scotch | 11 | Craig Newitt | M W Young | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 11 | She's A Jett | 10 | Eoin Walsh | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Platinum Rush | 6 | Jack Hill | Jason Warren | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Bobbin Back | 9 | Harry Grace | Tom Dabernig | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Belgian Chocolate | 12 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Spicy Apple | 3 | Billy Egan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Dance The Foxtrot | 5 | Ryan Hurdle | Chris Calthorpe | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Miss Binman | 7 | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $51.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | The Archer | 1 | Valentin Le Boeuf | N A Blackiston | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Warrego | 8 | John Allen | C Maher | 58kg |
Sungold Milk (Bm66)
Warrnambool record strong (3:1-0-0), midfield map suits fast tempo at 1400m where barriers fair.
Wide draw tests in fast tempo but Rawiller can position midfield. Strong black-type potential but Diamond War edges on recency/track form.
Good tracks suit (5:1-0-0), Warrnambool exposure positive. Recent metro struggles forgiven in softer grade; fast tempo aids late finish.
Consistent form (recent placings), light 58kg suits fast tempo.
- 1st7MorganaCraig Newitt$2.45
- 2nd3InherentlyBrad Rawiller$3.70
- 3rd5Into YouNeil Farley$8.50
- 4th4Jet JitsuLinda Meech$21.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Morgana | 5 | Craig Newitt | P F Ryan | 55.5kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 3 | Inherently | 9 | Brad Rawiller | P W McKenna | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 5 | Into You | 8 | Neil Farley | Shay Keating | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Jet Jitsu | 1 | Linda Meech | Andrew Bobbin | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Diamond War | 6 | W P Cerchi | 59kg | $15.00 | |
| 6th | 8 | The Daily Planet | 2 | Melissa Julius | Aaron Purcell | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Habitein | 7 | Tom Madden | Adam Chambers | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Spylark | 3 | Sarah Field | Dane Smith | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 9 | King Of Hearts | 4 | Harry Grace | J G Brooks | 54kg | $151.00 |
Standing Tall In Warrnambool (Bm62)
Midfield map ideal for Warrnambool's short straight and track bias favouring closers (backmarkers 15% win rate). Recent runs show fitness and suitability for Good 4 (14:2-2-4).
High Good 4 suitability and midfield map suits closers bias. Symon Wilde stable in form. Strong place chance in moderate tempo.
Nicoffhome arrives with back-to-back wins at 2500m BM62 and 2256m, proving stamina for 2350m. Solid Warrnambool record (4:0-1-1) and Good 4 form (8:2-1-1). Wide draw a query but leaders #1-2 may set moderate tempo for late charge. Weatherley retains ride (100% combo).
Recent Yarra Glen BM win shows progression; Maher stable adds quality. Inside draw exploits neutral bias. Overlay in deeper field.
- 1st2Off His RocaLinda Meech$2.60
- 2nd4VellasgloryBrad Rawiller$7.50
- 3rd3FlashlightBilly Egan$2.90
- 4th8Cousins DayDylan Dunn$7.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Off His Roca | 3 | Linda Meech | Andrew Bobbin | 60kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Vellasglory | 9 | Brad Rawiller | P Koumis | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Flashlight | 5 | Billy Egan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 59.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 8 | Cousins Day | 7 | Dylan Dunn | Symon Wilde | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Stay In Your Lane | 10 | Paul Gatt | Racheal Monaghan | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Baltic Way | 6 | Tom Madden | Harry Lafferty | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Nicoffhome | 11 | Jordyn Weatherley | Chris Calthorpe | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Count Zero | 4 | Christopher Pang | Symon Wilde | 55kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 6 | First Thought | 1 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Dirty Robber | 8 | Brendon Newport | W P Cerchi | 58kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Lucania | 2 | Sarah Robbins | Carly Cook | 54kg |
TAB We''re On (Bm66)
John Allen (30% recent strike) upgrades booking. Maps midfield in moderate-fast tempo suiting closers per track bias.
Feargal is Warrnambool specialist (20:2-6-2, 15:0-6-2 T/D) with consistent recent placings (2nd at track 1700m BM78, 2nd BM62). Barrier 4 ideal for midfield in leaders-vulnerable bias (11% leader win rate). Good 4 proven (31:3-7-3). Fitness query after 41 days offset by track pattern. Strong place chance.
Track 5:1-0-1, Good 4 strong (15:4-2-1). Lacks distance form but recent class rise handled.
Light 56kg, barrier 5 suits.
- 1st7Both Sides NowDeclan Bates$5.50
- 2nd5FeargalMelissa Julius$4.00
- 3rd4RevolverJohn Allen$3.20
- 4th8OtteliaJack Hill$6.50
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Both Sides Now | 3 | Declan Bates | Shane Jackson | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Feargal | 4 | Melissa Julius | Shane Jackson | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Revolver | 8 | John Allen | Archie Alexander | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Ottelia | 5 | Jack Hill | Ricky & Kristy Bruhn | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Buzzaroon | 9 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 61kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Enchanted Elle | 7 | Dylan Dunn | Symon Wilde | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Wichitall | 2 | Christopher Pang | Symon Wilde | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Imamanzor | 6 | Billy Egan | Symon Wilde | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Triple Oh | 1 | Jordyn Weatherley | Tom Dabernig | 52.5kg |
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