Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Thursday 12 March 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 9 races at Cairns. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Scott Cooper debutants warrant respect; Nathan Thomas solid 14% with trainer and strong at Cairns. Gear aids settling. Lacks rivals' exposure but stable confidence overrides in high-volatility maiden. Top form pick despite data limits.
Barrier 1 exploits inside bias; 56kg light. First up placed previously. Class drop positive despite modest prior Open run. Soft track proven; suits moderate-fast tempo. Clear form edge over debutants.
Barrier 2 ideal; light weight suits soft. First up again but superior closing speed to Booming Belief. Rowe stable reliable locally.
Value debutant with elite jockey booking (Wiggins 20% recent form, strong Button combo). Trainer/jockey signals intent in thin maiden. Lacks form but connections upgrade vs weaker books; overlay opportunity.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Carlando | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 58kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Dee Three | 3 | Aidan Holt | Scott Cooper | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Smart 'n' Loud | 5 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Booming Belief | 1 | Michael J Murphy | O Chillemi | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Sixty Nine Grange | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | T Button | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Octopolis | 7 | Ivo Fry | T Button | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Persefono | 2 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56kg | $9.50 |
Wet track ability proven (heavy win record), inside barrier suits Cairns sprint bias. Fast tempo favours midfielders over leaders.
Arctic Bear solid second up with barrier 5 exploiting moderate inside bias at Cairns sprints. Recent 4th same race/track heavy conditions, heavy win previously. Rowe/Swaffer links strong. Fast tempo may suit if holds position; form edges first-uppers despite no T/D success.
Fast tempo and soft 7 suit on-pace style in short straight. Form supports place threat.
Class drop, likely pacesets in fast tempo. First up but Rowe stable, recent soft form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Time To Prophet | 2 | Aidan Holt | Georgie Holt | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Devine Force | 6 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Arctic Bear | 5 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Kitema | 3 | Shohei Kaya | A R Bailey | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Singular | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Zi Win | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Upstart Legend | 4 | Michael J Murphy | Lachie Manzelmann | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Head Honcho | 7 | Ivo Fry | T Button | 59kg | $13.00 |
Soft/heavy exposure suits conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Essay Wine | 3 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 56.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 3 | Stellar Legend | 5 | Michael J Murphy | Lachie Manzelmann | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Tutu Toulouse | 7 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Peachtree Flyer | 9 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Sweet 'n' Elite | 1 | Shohei Kaya | Ms R Inglis | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Middle Child | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 7th | 7 | She's Got Lyrics | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Jade Doolan | 56.5kg | $3.80 |
| 8th | 4 | Wicked Red Socks | 8 | Ivo Fry | Matey Taylor | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Radio Waves | 2 | Aidan Holt | Jade Doolan | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
Recent 2nd behind moderate tempo suits moderate-fast pace here. Inside barrier exploits Cairns bias favouring leaders 33% win rate. Low soft stats concern but heavy win overrides.
Consistent soft tracker with proven Cairns affinity (1 win, 3 places). Recent form solid including close 2nd at 1300m soft. Moderate-fast tempo suits on-pace run. Clear top threat despite no distance wins.
Local specialist with 1-2-0 at Cairns including T/D win. Gear changes (winkers back) signal intent second up. Recent 6th forgivable wide draw. Strong place claims in leader-favouring setup.
Barrier 5 and light weight suit bias/conditions. Recent maiden win and places show upside despite class rise. Value in place/exotics if maps midfield in moderate-fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Miss Shu | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Lucky Jim | 7 | Chelsea Jokic | M A Dale | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Vouchers | 6 | Sean Cormack | S J Royes | 59.5kg | $1.45 |
| 4th | 6 | Mississippi Dream | 5 | Michael J Murphy | Lachie Manzelmann | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Looming One | 4 | Aidan Holt | Rhein Sewell | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | The Cops | 8 | Ivo Fry | R J Miller | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 1 | The Honey Badger | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 61kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Merry Old Soul | 2 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59kg |
Barrier 2 exploits moderate inside bias in 950m sprint; second-up fitness suits fast tempo. Soft record solid (27:1-5-5). Best winning chance.
Fast tempo suits midfield map. Strong place chance.
Soft form ok (5:0-1-2), class rise offset by draw/map in fast tempo. Solid eachway despite no T/D stats.
Wide draw barrier 9 hurts in inside-biased sprint but proven wide before; soft ok (12:1-3-1). Recent same-race 7th forgivable on heavy.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Bellzen | 6 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Airborne Hotdog | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Threebrothers | 9 | Rachel Shred | A R Bailey | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Lord Power | 2 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Cullivel | 4 | Ivo Fry | Matey Taylor | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Rising Ruby | 5 | Shohei Kaya | Krystin Allender | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Irish Gift | 8 | Chelsea Jokic | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Music Girl | 7 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Chargin' | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Patrick McGuire | 58kg | $6.50 |
Soft 7 today aligns with soft/heavy record (12:2-2-0). Superior class handling in BM55, recent fitness edge over spellers.
Consistent performer with excellent Cairns/T&D stats, barrier 3 exploits moderate inside bias in sprint. Likely on-pace in fast tempo suits track shape.
Soft/heavy exposure ok (8:1-2-0), fast tempo may suit midfield map. Jockey Holt in career-best form.
Class drop helps, wet form ok. Value overlay if fresh speed clicks in fast tempo despite layoff.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Accept Power | 5 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Coppabella Road | 9 | Aidan Holt | S J Royes | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 7 | Starmeira | 10 | Ivo Fry | Krystin Allender | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Framed It | 1 | Michael J Murphy | Rachael Singleton | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Super Twenty Three | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Substance | 6 | Lacey Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Shere Khan | 2 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Isla Girl | 7 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54.5kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Brave Eddy | 4 | Amanda Thomson | O Chillemi | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 10 | Makanui | 8 | Matey Taylor | 56.5kg |
Strong recent wins including Cairns 1250m soft, elite jockey combo. Very fast tempo suits midfield map. Best form profile despite first up.
Barrier 1 is gold in Cairns 950m sprints favouring inside/early speed. Likely leader in fast tempo suits track bias.
Outstanding local record at Cairns (8:2-2-3), perfect at track/distance (2:1-1-0). Barrier 5 suits inside preference, soft proven.
Strong Cairns performer (9:3-2-1), T/D solid, second up record good. Light weight helps on soft, recent run maintains fitness unlike first-uppers.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Valenki | 5 | Michael J Murphy | O Chillemi | 60kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Impardoo | 3 | Lacey Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 54.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 4 | Armour Force | 6 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Skogafoss | 2 | Samantha Pointon | Dean Piccolo | 52kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Choir Boy | 8 | Ivo Fry | Ms J Ryan | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Gossip Torque | 1 | Chelsea Jokic | Matthew McGuire | 54kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 8 | Crystal Chief | 7 | Rachel Shred | Sharlee Hoffman | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Your Too Good | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Jade Doolan | 54kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Ruby Chicks | 9 | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg |
Barrier 8 manageable in moderate-fast tempo favouring midfielders like this. Preferred over others lacking recency edge.
Consistent form trend, Guernier loyalty strong.
Midfield map suits moderate-fast tempo but barrier 9 challenges Cairns inside bias.
Desert Grit won this exact race/setup on heavy 8 just 24 days back, with excellent heavy/soft north QLD form (Cairns T&D 1-0-2 from 3). Value roughy if tempo suits on-pace run; significant overlay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Desert Grit | 7 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Rhegion | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 58.5kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 3 | Materialist | 9 | Chelsea Jokic | A G Malliff | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 9 | La Mano | 2 | Ivo Fry | Ms J Ryan | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Russian Summer | 3 | Lacey Morrison | S J Royes | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Manhattan's | 6 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Yamabushi | 5 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Attentive | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Excite Choo | 4 | Rachel Shred | Krystin Allender | 58kg | $101.00 |
Wet tracker (heavy 4:1-1-0), improving trend, elite jockey/horse combo. Barrier 9 manageable in fast tempo favouring midfielders at Cairns. Superior recency/class edge over rivals despite soft record.
First-up record includes win, trainer local. Fast tempo suits handy runner over backmarkers. Wet unproven but not penalised heavily.
Solid Cairns (5:1-1-0) and soft record. Wide draw tough but fast tempo may suit late charge. Consistent placegetter (place rate 35%), value place option despite map.
Consistent recent places, light weight on soft suits. Value roughy in volatile BM55 with pace on.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Thirteen Under | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Sharlee Hoffman | 59.5kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 7 | Grey Power | 3 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Mr Oreo | 4 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Innovates | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | R J Miller | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Guapo | 6 | Samantha Pointon | A G Malliff | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Tipped Off | 10 | Shohei Kaya | A R Bailey | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Tsunami | 1 | Michael J Murphy | O Chillemi | 60.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Blondie's Secret | 5 | Chelsea Jokic | A G Malliff | 54kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Rose Of Athens | 7 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Substance | 2 | Sean Cormack | Bodine Bailey | 58.5kg |
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