Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 17 March 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Hawkesbury. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The barrier 2 draw is perfect for the strong leaders bias at Hawkesbury, and her good track record (1:0-1-0) suits today's conditions. Despite Jay Ford's recent struggles, this filly has the tactical speed and class to take advantage of the track bias.
First up from a long spell with gear changes suggests stable confidence, and her light weight provides an advantage.
Silent Uprising draws the perfect barrier 1 to take advantage of Hawkesbury's strong leaders bias. Her recent 4th at Port Macquarie was competitive, and the gear changes suggest connections expect improvement.
The gear changes with tongue tie and winkers first time suggest connections expect further improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Frostisen | 2 | Jay Ford | Ms K Waugh | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 1 | Arato | 3 | Adam Farragher | Edward Cummings | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 8 | Silent Uprising | 1 | Alysha Collett | Ms K Buchanan | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 3 | Artfull | 6 | Regan Bayliss | Sara Ryan | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 10 | Cinceritas | 7 | Olivia Chambers | Jason Attard | 53kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Miss Johanski | 9 | Ellen Hennessy | M & D Kearney | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Avionte | 10 | Grant Buckley | Peter D Green | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Villicon | 8 | Louise Day | Jack Pilkington | 55.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | King Straand | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | Edward Cummings | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Demmo Dermy | 5 | Keagan Latham | Edward Cummings | 58kg |
The class drop from previous runs and proven soft track ability make him well-suited despite the wide draw.
The addition of winkers for the first time could provide the edge needed to break through, and his inside barrier gives him tactical advantages in what should be a fast-paced race.
Stock Road offers value as a consistent performer dropping back to maiden company after competitive runs in higher grades.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | The Iron Star | 6 | Tyler Schiller | Marc Chevalier | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Derry City Felix | 3 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | So Superior | 2 | Winona Costin | Ms A Turner | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Circus Girl | 7 | Robyn Freeman | Ms K Outtrim | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Wave Dancer | 4 | Louise Day | C Maher | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 6th | 5 | Tendi | 5 | Reece Jones | J A Steinmetz | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Stock Road | 8 | Mitch Stapleford | G D Hickman | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Lucky Star | 10 | Chad Lever | Claire Lever | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Zig | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Jason Attard | 57kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Unbridled Storm | 1 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 59kg |
The step up to 1300m appears ideal for this improving type, and Keagan Latham's strong recent form (30% strike rate) suggests stable confidence. The predicted very fast tempo will perfectly suit his backmarking style.
Above The Law brings the most reliable form profile with three placings from four starts, including a narrow second at this track and distance. His wet track record (3 placings from 3 starts on soft/heavy) is excellent for today's conditions. While first up from a spell, his consistent nature and proven track suitability make him a strong chance.
His two placings at distances of 1300m+ suggest this trip will suit, and the inside barrier draw provides a significant advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Ouragan | 11 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Above The Law | 7 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 61kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 8 | In A Tizzy | 1 | Sam Clipperton | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 13 | Lupa Capitolina | 5 | Chad Schofield | Joseph Pride | 55.5kg | $2.35 |
| 5th | 5 | Strike A Pose | 2 | Louise Day | C Maher | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Dawn Or Dusk | 6 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Dwight | 8 | Keagan Latham | Jason Attard | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Lady Capitalist | 4 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Billy Bowlegg | 3 | Winona Costin | P Niceforo | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Irulan | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Jason Attard | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Prince Tommy | 14 | Reece Jones | Matthew Smith | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Samaka | 13 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Master Aron | 12 | Tyler Schiller | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Riga | 2 | Zac Lloyd | Nacim Dilmi | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Crystal Conspiracy | 10 | G Portelli | 55kg |
Class rise is significant concern, but elite connections and improving trajectory suggest he can handle the step up. Fair barrier allows tactical flexibility.
Four-year-old gelding dropping in class after competitive runs at higher level. Inside barrier and class drop offset concerns about jockey form and weight burden. Should be competitive despite fitness query.
Lightly-raced three-year-old filly on upward trajectory after maiden win. Natural improvement expected from young horse, and strong connections provide confidence.
Six-year-old gelding in career-best form with recent Wagga win. Class rise from country racing is major concern, but current trajectory and weight relief make him an interesting roughie chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Malabar | 2 | Shannen Llewellyn | Nathan Doyle | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Commanding Artist | 1 | Jay Ford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 61kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Chilly Charlie | 4 | Alysha Collett | Sara Ryan | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Sir Loyne | 5 | Keagan Latham | Michael Freedman | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Lang Park | 3 | Deon Le Roux | Ms D Prest | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Smart Cry | 8 | Adam Hyeronimus | J C Coyle | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Ole Miss | 7 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 8 | More Voltage | 6 | Ellen Hennessy | M & D Kearney | 55kg | $151.00 |
Lugarno presents as the standout selection after a dominant Newcastle win dropping from BM72 to BM64.
Savvy Spy offers excellent value as a lightly raced 3yo stepping up in distance. His recent Canterbury second was solid, and the gear change plus Waterhouse/Bott training suggests improvement. The class rise is concerning but his upside potential makes him a strong each-way chance.
Twisted Love bounces between good and poor efforts but her Newcastle win in January was impressive. The class drop and Latham's perfect record on the mare are positives, though the poor last start and wide draw create some doubt about her chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Magicon | 1 | Mitchell Bell | T J Bartley | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Aussie Nation | 4 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Lugarno | 2 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 61kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 7 | Savvy Spy | 5 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 6 | Procean | 6 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | C J Waller | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Twisted Love | 7 | Keagan Latham | C Maher | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Fearn Trick | 8 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Afloat | 9 | Ashley Morgan | Brad Widdup | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Whetu | 3 | Tyler Schiller | Robert Quinn | 61kg |
The narrow defeat last start at Wyong suggests she's ready to break through, particularly with the addition of blinkers and from an ideal barrier draw.
Shadow Of Light appeals as the main danger after her narrow second at this track last start. The filly has shown she handles the 1800m+ trip and soft conditions well. Keagan Latham's excellent recent form (30% strike rate) and the strong trainer combination provide additional confidence. The wide barrier is a concern but her proven track form offsets this negative.
Sarapo represents value as a class dropper from Group level with proven distance credentials.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | So D'oro | 4 | Zac Lloyd | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 55.5kg | $2.05 |
| 2nd | 6 | Explicit | 10 | Chad Schofield | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Sarapo | 1 | Adam Hyeronimus | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 13 | Shadow Of Light | 8 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Valiant Dreamer | 13 | Andrew Calder | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Ausbred Eclipse | 2 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Almonzo | 9 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Pepe | 6 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Master Of War | 5 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Belgrano | 7 | Chad Lever | Darryll Kell | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Vincentvangee | 11 | Tyler Schiller | Stephen O'Halloran | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Kaval | 14 | Mark Cross | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Iron Legend | 12 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Robbed By Rob | 3 | Reece Jones | Sara Ryan | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | The Confidante | 14 | Peter Snowden | 57.5kg |
The barrier 1 draw is ideal at fair Hawkesbury, and his 1300m win shows distance suitability. Despite the slight class rise, his improving trajectory and proven good track form make him the standout.
The distance suits with a previous win, making him a strong each-way chance.
Second-up from spell with gear changes could spark improvement. Despite the poor last start, his underlying ability and distance suitability make him a viable each-way option.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Il Passero | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 60kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 1 | Vetwelve | 8 | Lee Magorrian | J G Sargent | 61.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Convergent | 10 | Deon Le Roux | J & G Lee | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 4 | C'mon Mate | 2 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Ross McConville | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 9 | All Too Wild | 5 | Kerrin Mc Evoy | T J Bartley | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Cash Me | 7 | Louise Day | J M Austin | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Lone Artist | 6 | Keagan Latham | G D Hickman | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Without You | 3 | L P Beuzelin | Marc Chevalier | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Duke Of Camden | 9 | Jay Ford | David Pfieffer | 60kg | $5.50 |
| Scr | 8 | Oakfield Badger | 4 | Adam Hyeronimus | D Lane | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | More Voltage | 7 | M & D Kearney | 55kg |
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