★ Top pickWon
13Chapados
The significant class drop to maiden level, combined with the tongue tie gear change and strong connections, suggests she can break through. Despite the wide draw, her superior ability should prevail.
Victoria · Thursday 19 March 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 6 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won6/875%
Any tip won6/875%
Top pick placed6/875%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ladbrokes Top 2/3/4 Betting Mdn Plate
17:15 local1100mMaiden$45,000
Winner13. ChapadosSP $12.00
Value pick3rd
7Sound System
The blinkers first time and gelding operation suggest addressing previous issues. While first up from a spell creates uncertainty, the class drop and gear changes make him an interesting roughie chance.
- 1st13ChapadosJordan Childs$12.00
- 2nd12Wonderful SkyDamian Lane$3.80
- 3rd7Sound SystemZac Spain$16.00
- 4th9IceladyCeline Gaudray$9.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Chapados | 13 | Jordan Childs | Dominic Sutton | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Wonderful Sky | 3 | Damian Lane | M W Walker | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 7 | Sound System | 10 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Icelady | 7 | Celine Gaudray | C Maher | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Levens Hall | 8 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Rising Nine Top | 6 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Nitro Sonic | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | Jason Warren | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 11 | Norakino | 5 | Michael Dee | M W Walker | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Oxley Tycoon | 9 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 10th | 14 | East Indies | 11 | Patrick Moloney | Mick Shepherdson | 56kg | $91.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Royal Unicorn | 15 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Moonlight Bid | 1 | Jackson Radley | Chris Calthorpe | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Cyclotron | 12 | John Allen | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | The Speed Machine | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Certain Impact | 14 | M Croston & G Gilmour | 58kg |
Harris Automation Engineering Mdn Plate
17:45 local1100mMaiden$45,000
Winner12. Two To TangoSP $9.00
★ Top pick5th
9Bee Admired
The filly has proven she can handle the conditions and distance, with her racing pattern suiting the expected tempo. The weight relief and inside barrier provide additional advantages.
2nd pick10th
11Smoke Screen
The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and the strong jockey/trainer combination adds confidence. She appears ready to break through.
3rd pickScratched
4Radical Dude
Radical Dude represents a strong stable debut with quality connections. The Freedman stable typically has their first-starters well-prepared, and Jamie Mott's booking adds significant intent.
Value pickScratched
13Morning Ralph
The first-time gear change and proven first-up stable suggest improvement is likely.
- 1st12Two To TangoMichael Dee$9.00
- 2nd2UnriddleMelea Castle$18.00
- 3rd10FaraktaJye McNeil$7.50
- 4th6SirvaldaneJackson Radley$21.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Two To Tango | 13 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Unriddle | 8 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Farakta | 9 | Jye McNeil | R D Griffiths | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Sirvaldane | 2 | Jackson Radley | J F Moloney | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Bee Admired | 7 | Celine Gaudray | Charlotte Littlefield | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Super Luck Dragon | 6 | Brad Rawiller | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Diamond Eye | 12 | Damian Lane | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Let Rip Rod | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Regal Vanguard | 5 | Zac Spain | Gemma Rielly | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Smoke Screen | 1 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $3.10 |
| Scr | 4 | Radical Dude | 11 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 59kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Fromrussiawithlove | 4 | Ben Kennedy | Carly Thomas | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Morning Ralph | 10 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 59kg |
Pakenham GWM Grand Opening Mdn Plate
18:15 local1000mMaiden$45,000
Winner7. Invincible LoverSP $10.00
★ Top pickWon
7Invincible Lover
The standout form horse with three placings from four starts including a narrow second last start. The I Am Invincible filly has shown consistent improvement and appears ready to break through.
2nd pick4th
8Kokeshi
The Ole Kirk filly appears to be finding her feet second-up and the step back to 1000m should suit. Her last start form gives her strong claims despite the wide draw.
3rd pick3rd
10Miss Deceiver
Returns from a lengthy spell but brings solid placing credentials including a narrow second at Ballarat. Her soft track form gives her an edge if conditions deteriorate, and the good barrier allows tactical flexibility. The Tassort filly has shown ability but needs to overcome the long break.
Value pick7th
12Tillya Tepe
The neutral barrier gives her tactical options in what shapes as a genuine contest.
- 1st7Invincible LoverLachlan Neindorf$10.00
- 2nd5Gattino VeloceJordan Childs$7.50
- 3rd10Miss DeceiverDeclan Bates$8.00
- 4th6Heavy Is The HeadJackie Beriman$9.00
- 4th8KokeshiPatrick Moloney$7.50
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Invincible Lover | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | Lloyd Kennewell | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Gattino Veloce | 10 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Miss Deceiver | 4 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Heavy Is The Head | 8 | Jackie Beriman | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Kokeshi | 7 | Patrick Moloney | J F Moloney | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Elsa Of Arendelle | 9 | John Allen | Niki O'Shea | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Tillya Tepe | 6 | Nathan Punch | R D Griffiths | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Galindo | 3 | Damian Lane | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 11 | News Scoop | 14 | Daniel Stackhouse | G M Begg | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Lost The Plot | 12 | Ben Kennedy | Shannon Roughan | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Imperial Meeting | 5 | Ryan Houston | Logan McGill | 55.5kg | $201.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Coco Mojo | 2 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 57kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Classy Sassy | 13 | Beau Mertens | D J Cannon | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Exit Strategy | 11 | Jake Noonan | Clayton Douglas | 57kg |
Race Day Medical Mdn Plate
18:45 local1600mMaiden$45,000
Winner4. Accidental BidSP $3.20
★ Top pickWon
4Accidental Bid
Accidental Bid represents the standout class runner dropping from UK Group company to maiden level. The second placing at Thirsk over 1609m demonstrates genuine ability at this distance.
2nd pick4th
7Kings Domain
Kings Domain showed genuine promise when narrowly beaten at Wangaratta over a similar distance. The addition of blinkers first time and strong stable/jockey combination provides confidence for improvement. Recent form suggests readiness to break through.
3rd pick3rd
12Certainly Quiet
Value pick9th
6Fabulous Fiano
Fabulous Fiano offers significant value dropping from Group 3 company to maiden level. Despite poor recent form, the class drop is substantial and Highland Reel breeding suggests 1600m suitability.
- 1st4Accidental BidJohn Allen$3.20
- 2nd11ShindyLachlan Neindorf$10.00
- 3rd12Certainly QuietThomas Stockdale$3.40
- 4th7Kings DomainLinda Meech$4.80
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Accidental Bid | 2 | John Allen | C Maher | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 11 | Shindy | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Certainly Quiet | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | Jerome Hunter | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 7 | Kings Domain | 8 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 5 | Erupt | 3 | Jason Maskiell | Ms N Burke | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Zamparini Spirit | 11 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 10 | Kaddari | 9 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Redcloud | 12 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Fabulous Fiano | 4 | Declan Bates | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Downtherabbithole | 10 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Paluca | 5 | Liana Wood | S C Bottomley | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Sacre Bleu | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg |
SJM Turf & Civil (Bm62)
19:15 local1400mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner6. ShidanSP $2.70
★ Top pickWon
6Shidan
Shidan benefits significantly from the inside barrier on Pakenham's synthetic surface where leaders and on-pace runners dominate. His sole career win came at 1400m, and recent form shows consistency with close-up finishes.
2nd pick2nd
1Blakmax
3rd pickScratched
3Treasureflight
Second up from spell with Cumani's proven preparation methods, dropping in weight, and the addition of cross-over nose band suggests improvement is likely despite the wide draw.
Value pick4th
2Jet Jitsu
Linda Meech's strong record at Pakenham (27% strike rate) adds significant appeal, and his proven ability at 1400m with two previous wins provides confidence.
- 1st6ShidanDaniel Stackhouse$2.70
- 2nd1BlakmaxJackson Radley$2.60
- 3rd4Russian RoniJason Maskiell$6.50
- 4th2Jet JitsuLinda Meech$4.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Shidan | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | Adele Garraway | 57.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 1 | Blakmax | 5 | Jackson Radley | Shawn Mathrick | 61kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 4 | Russian Roni | 7 | Jason Maskiell | Ms R Kelly | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Jet Jitsu | 3 | Linda Meech | Andrew Bobbin | 60.5kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Stella Cantante | 2 | Paul Gatt | N J Harnett | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Red Paree | 6 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Mahsay | 4 | Jacques Luxe | R J Meunier | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Treasureflight | 8 | Cian Macredmond | Matthew Cumani | 58.5kg |
Duffy & Simon Lawyers (Bm66)
19:45 local2500mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner11. Twilight EleganceSP $7.50
★ Top pick8th
1So Brave
So Brave presents the strongest winning credentials with a perfect 1-from-1 record at this track and distance.
2nd pick7th
13Topspin
Topspin won impressively last start at this exact track and distance, showing he handles the unique demands of Pakenham's 2500m perfectly. The significant class drop and light weight of 55.5kg provide strong advantages, while his staying pedigree suits the distance test.
3rd pickScratched
5Tsitsipas
The distance suits perfectly and Stackhouse's strong track record adds confidence.
Value pick3rd
6Customer Service
- 1st11Twilight EleganceJohn Allen$7.50
- 2nd4The StorytellerJye McNeil$9.00
- 3rd6Customer ServiceMichael Dee$4.20
- 4th8VellasgloryBrad Rawiller$14.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Twilight Elegance | 2 | John Allen | C Maher | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | The Storyteller | 7 | Jye McNeil | J Leek Jnr | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Customer Service | 9 | Michael Dee | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Vellasglory | 3 | Brad Rawiller | P Koumis | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Hollandia | 13 | Linda Meech | J F Moloney | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Shrewsbury Road | 12 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Topspin | 11 | Cian Macredmond | Joanne Mugavin | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 1 | So Brave | 4 | Ben Allen | J Leek Jnr | 62.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 2 | Rainbow Delight | 8 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 14 | Rapido River | 10 | Mitchell Leek | 55kg | $91.00 | |
| 11th | 12 | Flaming Moon | 1 | Craig Newitt | Edward Cummings | 55kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Palace Green | 14 | Jamie Mott | Henry Dwyer | 60kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Tsitsipas | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Baffleck | 5 | Jason Maskiell | Ms N Burke | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Majority Interest | 15 | Nadia Daniels | Mark Stephenson | 52kg |
Ray White Pakenham & Officer Hcp (C1)
20:15 local1200mClass 1$40,000
Winner4. Yamashita's GoldSP $2.15
★ Top pickWon
4Yamashita's Gold
The strong Egan/Bedggood partnership adds confidence.
2nd pick3rd
2Deliberate Ploy
The class rise is substantial, but his track familiarity and ideal barrier position provide advantages. Mott's current form streak adds appeal, though the trainer/jockey combination lacks success.
3rd pickScratched
3Sparkling Luck
Lane's booking indicates stable confidence in the progression.
Value pickScratched
1Battle Of The Ice
Battle Of The Ice offers value as a first-up specialist despite the extended break. His perfect barrier and distance credentials provide hope, while Lane's booking suggests the stable believes he's ready.
- 1st4Yamashita's GoldBilly Egan$2.15
- 2nd5AxiomThomas Stockdale$9.50
- 3rd2Deliberate PloyJamie Mott$2.70
- 4th6ShezasmokeyMichael Dee$7.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Yamashita's Gold | 3 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 5 | Axiom | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | Gavin Bedggood | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Deliberate Ploy | 2 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 6 | Shezasmokey | 8 | Michael Dee | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Tartan Queen | 4 | Ruby Lamont | Jaymee Cockram | 51kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Lika Mosh | 6 | Liana Wood | P Foster | 51kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Gijima Gal | 5 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Battle Of The Ice | 1 | Damian Lane | Lloyd Kennewell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Sparkling Luck | 7 | Damian Lane | Lloyd Kennewell | 59.5kg |
John Duff & Co (Bm62)
20:45 local1000mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner7. My ZephyrSP $3.20
★ Top pickWon
7My Zephyr
2nd pick2nd
6Bold Suitor
Bold Suitor won impressively last start at this track over this distance, showing excellent early speed. The inside barrier is crucial for his racing pattern, and while the class rise is substantial, his perfect distance record and track familiarity provide strong foundations.
3rd pickScratched
2Yes We Are
The class rise is concerning, but his proven ability at the distance and good track record make him a serious threat despite the extended break.
Value pick3rd
1Mr Magnus
Mr Magnus offers excellent value dropping significantly in class with a strong track record at Pakenham.
- 1st7My ZephyrBilly Egan$3.20
- 2nd6Bold SuitorJake Noonan$2.90
- 3rd1Mr MagnusJamie Mott$4.40
- 4th5Blue BanditJye McNeil$5.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | My Zephyr | 5 | Billy Egan | Mick Shepherdson | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bold Suitor | 3 | Jake Noonan | A W Noonan | 59.5kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Mr Magnus | 8 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 62.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Blue Bandit | 2 | Jye McNeil | J Leek Jnr | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Bold Print | 4 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 61kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Paradise Island | 9 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Yes We Are | 7 | Brad Rawiller | Charlotte Littlefield | 62kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Maximillius | 6 | Patrick Moloney | Michael Jones | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Dominant Miss | 1 | Dakotah Keane | K E Horobin | 53kg |
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