Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 26 March 2026
Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Lightly-raced gelding with perfect soft track record faces class test but has ideal conditions. Won impressively at Sale last start on Soft 7, showing he handles the conditions. Billy Egan's booking and strong second-up record (100% strike rate) are major positives. The barrier 2 draw suits his racing pattern perfectly.
The class rise is concerning but her raw ability suggests she can handle it.
The 204-day break is concerning, and the Neindorf/Eurell combination has poor statistics (0% strike rate).
Her last-start Flemington failure can be forgiven given the step up to Open company.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Jett Smash | 2 | Billy Egan | D T O'Brien | 61kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Toy Queen | 1 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Snakeinthegrass | 5 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Go Left | 6 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58.5kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 5 | Sweet Vixen | 3 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 57kg | $3.90 |
| Scr | 2 | Humble Trader | 4 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 60kg |
Her maiden win showed genuine ability, and the Kennewell stable typically has horses ready to perform fresh.
Attain brings the best credentials for today's conditions with proven form at this track and distance. His recent placings show he's racing consistently, and the strong Egan/Bedggood combination adds confidence. The soft track conditions suit his racing pattern perfectly.
This lightly-raced gelding showed promise first up and has a perfect record on soft going. McNeil's booking suggests stable confidence.
While stepping up significantly in class, this mare's exceptional soft track record and recent winning form make her an interesting value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Blue Bandit | 5 | Jye McNeil | J Leek Jnr | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Attain | 6 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 61kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Trak Chiller | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Michael Harrison | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Fearless Writer | 2 | Liana Wood | A R McGregor | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Dihheri | 4 | Jamie Melham | Lloyd Kennewell | 57.5kg | $1.70 |
| 6th | 5 | Before The War | 1 | Mitchell Aitken | J E & C Ledger | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Akicita | 7 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 62kg |
Rose Sangria showed genuine promise when placing second at this track on debut, demonstrating both track suitability and ability. The strong trainer/jockey combination and good barrier draw are positives, while her first-up record suggests she can be effective fresh. The 350-day break is concerning but may have allowed for proper development. Her proven Pakenham form gives her a significant edge over many rivals with no track experience.
Her consistent placing record and proven track experience are positives, while her recent racing ensures fitness. The Blue Point filly is bred for this distance and the soft conditions may suit. However, her inability to win and wide barrier draw are concerns that prevent higher confidence.
Boa Vista stands out as a significant class dropper from Group/Listed company to maiden level. The Snitzel filly maps well from barrier 2 and should be able to secure a forward position.
Exit Strategy represents potential value with the booking of Luke Currie suggesting stable confidence in improvement. The excellent barrier draw and first-time gear change could unlock better performance, while the Bivouac breeding suits sprint racing.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Tillya Tepe | 8 | Nathan Punch | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | La Velocita | 9 | Ruby Lamont | M C Kent | 53.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Rose Sangria | 4 | Jade Da Rose | D C Harrison | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 5 | Doubt It's Love | 7 | Zac Spain | Logan McGill | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Oak Park Mia | 5 | Logan Bates | Mark C Webb | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Bon Aurelia | 1 | Jake Noonan | Lisa Jones | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Alodie | 6 | Melea Castle | Chris Diplock | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Exit Strategy | 3 | Luke Currie | Clayton Douglas | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Boa Vista | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg |
Billy Egan's excellent 44% strike rate with trainer Bedggood is compelling, while the horse showed improvement when second up previously. The inside barrier and consistent recent form make this the logical selection despite being winless.
Shows the strongest improvement trajectory in the field with a narrow second placing last start at this track. While the wide barrier is concerning, the improving form and track familiarity make this a strong each-way chance.
Luke Currie's booking suggests stable confidence in the filly's chances. While recent form is patchy, the combination of class relief and proven wet track ability makes this an interesting each-way proposition.
Despite poor last start form, the previous third placing at this exact track and distance is encouraging. Jamie Mott's excellent recent form and the first-time ear muffs gear change provide hope for improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | On The Prowl | 3 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 1 | Fatty Finn | 5 | Zac Spain | Charlotte Littlefield | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Hurry Up Poppy | 10 | Ruby Lamont | M C Kent | 53.5kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Sheistheboss | 2 | Jye McNeil | Jack Laing | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Rough Enuff | 4 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 4 | On The Loose | 7 | Jamie Mott | G Eurell | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Handsome Missile | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 2 | First Frost | 8 | Ben Kennedy | Rachael Cunningham | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Celestra | 6 | Luke Currie | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Stormriser | 1 | Sheridan Clarke | Aleks Komarovs | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
The G M Begg stable and barrier 5 provide additional confidence for a maiden breakthrough.
The distance experience, Billy Egan's booking, and first-time winkers suggest further improvement is likely. The inside barrier aids his chances.
Shotaro brings consistency with a recent third at Ballarat over the distance. The Busuttin & Young stable, Jamie Mott's strong recent form (25% strike rate), and first-time winkers provide optimism. However, the wide barrier presents a challenge.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Rorkes Drift | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | G M Begg | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Ballistic Romeo | 6 | Jamie Melham | Jason Warren | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Nothin' Wong Here | 9 | Alana Kelly | Liam Howley | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 12 | Woollen | 12 | Lachlan Neindorf | Jerome Hunter | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Cheron Finale | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | Jason Warren | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Intervened | 15 | Jye McNeil | C Maher | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Fintona's Soul | 13 | Valentin Le Boeuf | K & K Keys | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Carosoul | 10 | Zac Spain | K & K Keys | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Shaw Can Fly | 2 | Billy Egan | D T O'Brien | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 1 | Last Card Louie | 4 | Craig Newitt | Denis Pagan | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Strike First | 3 | Ben Allen | Ms W Kelly | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Shotaro | 7 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Downtherabbithole | 14 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Exceed And Believe | 1 | Ben Kennedy | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Rockin' Dee Fox | 11 | Sheridan Clarke | Jim Cerchi Jnr | 59.5kg |
First Chorus presents as the most reliable winning chance despite the long spell. Her excellent first-up record, proven soft track ability, and inside barrier position at the tactical Pakenham circuit provide significant advantages. The impressive BM70 Flemington victory last start demonstrates she can handle this class level, and her 1400m record is perfect.
Belcony's perfect Pakenham record at this distance makes her a serious threat. Her recent BM62 victory shows she's in good form, and historically she improves second-up. However, her poor soft track record and the class rise present concerns, making her a solid place chance rather than the top selection.
Here The Crowd offers solid each-way value with her proven Pakenham form and consistent recent placings. The strong jockey/trainer combination and ideal barrier draw provide tactical advantages. While her overall win rate is modest, she's shown ability to compete at this level and the connections suggest confidence. Her consistency makes her a reliable exotic option.
The Luke Currie booking suggests stable confidence, and her Listed race experience indicates untapped potential.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | First Chorus | 1 | Emily Pozman | L Smith | 59kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | Belcony | 4 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 4 | Here The Crowd | 2 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Callmeanicon | 6 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Gellhorn | 3 | Luke Currie | M C Kent | 60.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 5 | Heavenly Kiss | 5 | Jamie Mott | Danny Beasley | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Befuddle | 7 | Bree Temple | J D Sadler | 53kg |
The combination of speed, recent form, and ideal barrier position makes him the standout selection despite track/distance inexperience.
The local specialist with proven Pakenham form.
The gear change and strong jockey booking suggest connections expect improvement. Her proven Pakenham form and recent placing provide confidence, making her a solid each-way chance despite the class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Captain Cat | 9 | Nathan Punch | Brett Conlon | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Honey Maker | 2 | Luke Currie | Shawn Mathrick | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Somebody Told Me | 6 | Jackson Radley | J P Salanitri | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Camp Cable | 5 | Billy Egan | Lee & Shannon Hope | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Marlion's Dream | 1 | Jamie Mott | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Bencouver | 4 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Mrs Gossip | 3 | Ruby Lamont | K E Horobin | 51kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Oceans Above | 8 | Ben Allen | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Titan's Spirit | 7 | Jason Maskiell | Ms N Burke | 58.5kg |
Her recent form suggests she's ready for this class rise, and the inside barrier gives her every chance to settle handy and be competitive.
Consistent gelding who has been knocking on the door with two close seconds. The class rise is significant but his recent form suggests he's ready. Barrier 1 gives him tactical options despite the step up in grade.
The 4-year-old gelding is improving with each run and maps perfectly from barrier 4.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Cardi Bee | 3 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 4 | Surperb Frost | 1 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 5 | Monte Cassino | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Glen Thompson | 58kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Gymkhana | 5 | Jackie Beriman | Angus Townley | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Little Richie Turf | 6 | Melea Castle | Ms D Clover | 55kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Hola Amigos | 8 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 60kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Caleana | 4 | Olivia East | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Sparkle Link | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 57.5kg |
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