Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 31 March 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Newcastle. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Second up from spell aligns with 1:0-0-1 record, Hawkes stable excels fresh, Schiller booking adds intent. Barrier 4 ideal for moderate-fast tempo on on-speed Newcastle track. Clear top win chance despite no victories yet.
O'Shea/Charlton stable reliable, consistent places signal readiness to breakthrough in maiden. Barrier 6 suits likely midfield settling in moderate-fast tempo. High place reliability.
Waller stable, barrier 2 ideal for Newcastle leader bias, recent 3rd at 1800m shows staying promise. Blinkers first time adds focus, Collett booking strong.
Lightweight suits staying trip, track experience positive despite barrier 7. Excellent each-way value in volatile maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Cavalry | 4 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 59kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 5 | Scoop The Pool | 6 | Dylan Gibbons | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 4 | Sarapo | 2 | Jason Collett | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 9 | Valiant Dreamer | 3 | Andrew Calder | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Lilac Girl | 7 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Edorado | 8 | Keagan Latham | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | The Confidante | 9 | Ashley Morgan | Peter Snowden | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Dubliners | 5 | Jay Ford | J M Austin | 59kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Pharoah Queen | 1 | Louise Day | Sara Ryan | 57kg |
Excellent draw in barrier 3 suits Newcastle's leader bias (front 3 at 400m 33% win rate). Very fast tempo suits proven speed.
Barrier 1 is gold on leader-biased Newcastle sprint (33% leaders win rate). Provincial trainer Kehoe targets these; gear changes indicate speed focus for very fast tempo. As debutant, proxy eval (trainer/jockey/map) strong despite no form - not penalised per rules.
Consistent recent placings including multiple Newcastle runs show class edge over lightly raced rivals. Light weight, proven jockey combo, and on-speed bias favour forward run.
Litt stable targets maidens; proxy weighting (40% trainer, 30% jockey) elevates over other no-form runners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Lady Catalina | 10 | Zac Lloyd | C Maher | 55.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 10 | Mille Feuille | 5 | Keagan Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Go Russian | 3 | Christian Reith | R E Ollerton | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Chumpakidd | 2 | Jay Ford | C Karakatsanis | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Wootton Please | 11 | Jason Collett | K A Lees | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Nulkaba Star | 12 | Mollie Fitzgerald | J A Sylvester | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Laimi | 6 | Grant Buckley | Peter D Green | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Dirty Dani | 1 | Jess Taylor | Allan Kehoe | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 6 | Kitsune Vixen | 8 | Jenny Duggan | Ms K Buchanan | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Mover And Shaker | 4 | Alysha Collett | K J Parker | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Full Reel | 13 | D I Atkins | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Princess Dane | 7 | Tyler Schiller | Richard Litt | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Love You Anyway | 9 | Shannen Llewellyn | B G Lawrence | 52.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Yamashita | 14 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55.5kg |
Regular racing fitness edge over first-uppers. Very fast tempo suits on-pace map.
Freedman stable, prior Newcastle 900m place. Recent class 1 exposure despite defeat. Very fast tempo may suit closing speed. Reliable threat behind top two.
Second up stats show 1:0-0-1 placing. Barrier 6 suits on-speed Newcastle bias (leaders 33% win rate). Freedman/Lees prep strong despite class rise. Very fast tempo favours early speed; superior recency over first-uppers.
Pride stable, Ford 100% horse combo, recent Wyong maiden win strong class form. First up record includes placing.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Confidentiality | 7 | Jay Ford | Joseph Pride | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Charlina | 1 | Olivia Chambers | Jason Attard | 56kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 7 | Miss Orth | 3 | Mollie Fitzgerald | G McFarlane | 54kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Charka | 4 | Keagan Latham | Michael Freedman | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Truce | 10 | Reece Jones | S I Singleton | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Craig's One | 2 | Matthew Bennett | Glen Milligan | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 10 | The Mystery Guy | 5 | Shannen Llewellyn | J A Sylvester | 52kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Dear My Friend | 8 | G Portelli | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Twoexcel | 6 | William A Stanley | K A Lees | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Kermitisapet | 9 | Christian Reith | Tim McIntosh | 55kg |
Barrier 6 ideal for on-speed Newcastle bias (leaders 33% win rate). Fast tempo suits strong finisher.
Recent Warwick Farm maiden win after strong Kensington 3rd shows progression. Good ground record solid (3:1-0-1). First-up query answered by elite Lees stable and Collett booking. Fast tempo may suit if forward. Form slightly below #1 but map advantage elevates chances in on-pace track.
Barrier 4 perfect for Newcastle inside bias. Recent runs maintain fitness, blinkers/pads first time could unlock improvement. Good ground record (6:1-1-1).
Debut maiden win on Good 4 mirrors conditions, light 55.5kg well-suited weight scale. Widdup stable targets provincials effectively first-up.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lightning Glory | 6 | Nick Heywood | Nathan Doyle | 59.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 3 | Erin Jo | 2 | Jason Collett | K A Lees | 58.5kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Azure Angel | 7 | Tyler Schiller | Brad Widdup | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Bondasong | 8 | Jay Ford | Ms K Waugh | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Salma's Star | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | G McFarlane | 53.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Valentino Prince | 3 | Shannen Llewellyn | P M Perry | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Greyt Thinker | 4 | Zac Lloyd | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Issy's Star | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Whispering Rupert | 1 | Leeshelle Small | G McFarlane | 52.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Nay Pee Cee | 9 | G McFarlane | 55kg |
Let's Be Honest stands out in this maiden with prime barrier 1 on leader-biased Newcastle Soft 5. Recent form solid (3rd/4th L2) before 143-day spell, first up stats neutral. Blinkers first time signals intent from strong Thompson stable.
Barrier 6 perfect for Newcastle inside bias, light weight advantage. Maps midfield-forward in fast tempo, can stalk leaders. Soft track place record (1:0-0-1) suits conditions. Solid each-way value despite maiden inconsistency.
Speed map flags as likely leader in fast tempo, exploiting track's front-three bias. Sara Ryan stable, Reece Jones (16% Newcastle) booking positive. Absence of form not penalized per rules; proxy eval favors inside leader debutants in maiden volatility.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Autumn Sky | 14 | Jason Collett | Richard Litt | 56.5kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 10 | The Champion | 11 | Regan Bayliss | G Portelli | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Titan Of Fury | 8 | Mollie Fitzgerald | P M Perry | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Let's Be Honest | 1 | Alysha Collett | John Thompson | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 11 | Artistic Lady | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | G Portelli | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Mayleigh | 9 | Louise Day | J G Sargent | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Seven Wonders | 5 | Shannen Llewellyn | P M Perry | 54kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Sasqua | 12 | Anna Roper | Jake Hull | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Bivongi Boy | 3 | Reece Jones | Sara Ryan | 59kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Canal | 13 | G Portelli | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Bang On Time | 15 | Jay Ford | K J Parker | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Dwight | 16 | Jason Attard | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Silent Uprising | 16 | Ms K Buchanan | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Arctic Bright | 7 | Dylan Gibbons | J G Sargent | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Luna Cruiser | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | Jay Hopkins | 55kg | |
| Scr | 16 | What A Gent | 2 | T J Bartley | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Jigadee | 10 | Scott Aspery | 55kg |
Dropping class, recent 4th at BM64 shows fitness. Strong win chance.
Jay Ford booking positive at track (15% win). Barrier 10 tests in on-speed track but fast tempo suits midfield finish. Solid place chance.
Local specialist with strong Newcastle stats (19 starts, T/D 10:1-1-4), recent 3rd at 1890m here. Dropping class helps.
Recent lower grade win shows ability, light class rise manageable with speed map.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cosmic Lad | 2 | Dylan Gibbons | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 13 | Rockbarton Icon | 1 | Shannen Llewellyn | D I Atkins | 52kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Commanding Artist | 10 | Jay Ford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 61kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 10 | Fighting Magnus | 6 | Christian Reith | B G Lawrence | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 1 | The Dramatist | 9 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Dollars | 11 | Ashley Morgan | J C Deamer | 60.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Oakfield Mamselle | 4 | Regan Bayliss | K A Lees | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Rothrock | 7 | Lee Magorrian | P M Perry | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Morning Sun | 3 | Teighan Worsnop | Ms A Willick-McDonald | 61kg | $91.00 |
| 10th | 11 | In Iso | 5 | Reece Jones | Wayne Seelin | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Yorikiri | 12 | Deanne Panya | P M Perry | 55kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Mister Martini | 9 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Sweet Bubbles | 13 | G McFarlane | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Pappiana | 8 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 55kg |
Progressive type with strong Good 4 record (2:2-0-0). Barrier 6 perfect for Newcastle's inside bias and leader advantage. Fast tempo suits midfield map.
Prime value in top 3 with barrier 1 exploiting Newcastle's front-three settling bias. Class drop from G3 significant positive. Good 4 suits (13:3-3-1). Fast tempo favours forward positioning over backmarkers. Tyler Schiller in form.
Class dropper with excellent distance affinity (9:2-2-2) and local form (2:0-1-1). Recent Newcastle 3rd shows track affinity despite wide draw. Good 4 proven (8:3-2-1). Second up stats solid (5:1-0-0). Fast tempo tests backmarker style.
Winkers could improve settling. Fast tempo suits if forward. Maps for perfect trip despite class rise concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lord Of Biscay | 9 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 8 | Imposant | 1 | Tyler Schiller | K A Lees | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Miss Spacegirl | 6 | Sam Clipperton | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Banjora | 5 | Zac Lloyd | Bryce Heys | 56kg | $1.45 |
| 5th | 10 | Audenzia | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 54kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 2 | The Mona Lisa | 4 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Wild Thoughts | 3 | Jay Ford | K J Parker | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Ahellbenda | 10 | Alysha Collett | Richard Litt | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Clancy | 7 | Jason Collett | R J Quinton | 56kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Tasoraay | 5 | K A Lees | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Orthie's Boys | 2 | Mollie Fitzgerald | G McFarlane | 56kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Annie's Rose | 9 | Reece Jones | Ms K Buchanan | 54kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Ouragan | 11 | P & M Cave | 54kg |
Mister Martini tops form assessment with recent maiden win at Newcastle from barrier 1, aligning perfectly with track's leader bias where front-three at 400m dominate. Hawkes stable adds class edge despite rise. Soft 5 unproven but improving trend outweighs.
Barrier 4 aids forward positioning on leader-biased track; high soft suitability key for Soft 5. Second up sharpness suits; class rise manageable with elite stable.
Freedman prep and class drop boost chances; recent Goulburn 3rd on soft confirms suitability.
Soft record (3:0-2-0) fits conditions; light weight helps in fast tempo where closers noted in bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Is It Spectacular | 9 | Regan Bayliss | Nacim Dilmi | 60.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Dusty Bay | 3 | Jason Collett | T J Bartley | 61.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 12 | Sunsprite | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 53.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 7 | Bondi Blossom | 8 | Alysha Collett | Brad Widdup | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Mister Martini | 1 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 6 | Beauty Swift | 10 | Ashley Morgan | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Peccavi | 4 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 4 | The Warrior | 12 | William A Stanley | P M Perry | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Knight Of Rhodes | 11 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Alarthill | 6 | Anna Roper | Ms J Bowen | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 5 | The Iron Star | 1 | Marc Chevalier | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Jason Darren | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | John Bannister | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Miles Of Glory | 5 | Keagan Latham | Michael Freedman | 56kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.