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Victoria · Thursday 2 April 2026

Pakenham tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 5Rail Out 9m Entire CircuitFinePakenham track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won7/888%
Top pick placed6/875%
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top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won

R1

Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Mdn Plate

17:15 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner8. ProfligateSP $5.50
★ Top pick5th
6Sound System

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.80 · Zac Spain

Second up from spell in maiden suits class drop from Listed. Barrier 3 ideal for fast tempo, midfield settling. Elite form edge over debutants.

2nd pick6th
1Bordeaux

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Harry Coffey

Debutant Bordeaux earns top billing via proxy: McEvoy's strong debut stats, Coffey booking (15% trainer combo), and first-time lugging bit show preparation. Barrier 6 suits Pakenham's position bias. Lacks form but absence ≠ negative; stable/jockey elevate over lesser credentials.

3rd pickWon
8Profligate

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Jordan Childs

Profligate strong debut proxy via barrier 2 (likely leader), elite Childs/Begg combo (21% SR), and 56kg. Pakenham favours forward runners; fast tempo suits inside speed. Edges other debutants on map/jockey strength despite data limits.

Value pick4th
5Misneach

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Daniel Stackhouse

Barrier 5 perfect midfield for Pakenham bias. Tongue tie first time boosts.

  1. 1st8ProfligateJordan Childs$5.50
  2. 2nd4LomuJye McNeil$10.00
  3. 3rd3CignettiLachlan Neindorf$6.50
  4. 4th5MisneachDaniel Stackhouse$5.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Profligate2Jordan ChildsG M Begg56kg$5.50
2nd4Lomu8Jye McNeilE & D Browne58kg$10.00
3rd3Cignetti4Lachlan NeindorfT Busuttin & N Young58kg$6.50
4th5Misneach5Daniel StackhouseM Price & M Kent Jnr58kg$5.50
5th6Sound System3Zac SpainJason Warren58kg$2.80
6th1Bordeaux6Harry CoffeyT & C McEvoy58kg$7.00
7th7Levate7Celine GaudrayC Maher56kg$15.00
8th2Certain Impact1Ben KennedyM Croston & G Gilmour58kg$101.00
R2

ACW Facility Services Mdn Plate

17:45 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner3. GazeratiSP $11.00
★ Top pick2nd
10Wyandra

Our price $4.50 · SP $10.00 · Zac Spain

Recent 2nd at Cranbourne shows fitness; barrier 11 manageable with speed map midfield. Moody stable elite for maidens. Fast tempo suits closing style.

2nd pick4th
9Super Choice

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.20 · Jett Stanley

First-up record 0-0-1 but stable wins fresh.

3rd pickScratched
11Privateer

Our price $5.50 · Damian Lane

Barrier 4 suits midfield map in fast tempo; Pakenham experience positive. Recent form consistent in maidens; gear tweaks could sharpen.

Value pick3rd
8Sirvaldane

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Ryan Houston

Light weight and fitness from 14-day back-up positive in maiden volatility.

  1. 1st3GazeratiLachlan Neindorf$11.00
  2. 2nd10WyandraZac Spain$10.00
  3. 3rd8SirvaldaneRyan Houston$9.00
  4. 4th9Super ChoiceJett Stanley$2.20
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Gazerati10Lachlan NeindorfCharlotte Littlefield58kg$11.00
2nd10Wyandra11Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58kg$10.00
3rd8Sirvaldane6Ryan HoustonJ F Moloney56.5kg$9.00
4th9Super Choice2Jett StanleyG Waterhouse & A Bott58kg$2.20
5th4General Star5Ethan BrownMark C Webb58kg$5.00
6th7Shalaakei1Daniel StackhouseBen, Will & Jd Hayes58kg$7.00
7th6Perfect Link7Beau MertensG Eurell58kg$31.00
8th12Who''llstoplorraine3Melea CastlePat Carey & Harris Walker56kg$81.00
9th5Level Twenty Nine8Remi TremsalMs R Waymouth58kg$91.00
10th2Community Gaz12Koby JenningsMichael Huglin58kg$61.00
11th1Boulia9Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58kg$26.00
Scr11Privateer4Damian LaneM Price & M Kent Jnr56kg
R3

El Jannah Mdn Plate

18:15 local1000mMaiden$45,000
Winner6. Regina Dei ReSP $3.60
★ Top pick2nd
9Cabaret Queen

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.25 · Damian Lane

Damian Lane booking shows intent despite wide draw. Prior second-up placing and superior speed profile outweighs recent poor finish from awkward gate.

2nd pick6th
5Last Piece

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Samantha Noble

3rd pickWon
6Regina Dei Re

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.60 · Mitchell Aitken

Best consistent recent form with placings in last three starts including sharp 3rd 18 days ago. Second-up suits, neutral draw for midfield run in fast tempo suits Pakenham bias. Reliable place chance despite no track wins; form edges most rivals.

Value pick4th
7Spirit Of Gaia

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Beau Mertens

Suits position bias if tempo holds; overlay in volatile maiden.

  1. 1st6Regina Dei ReMitchell Aitken$3.60
  2. 2nd9Cabaret QueenDamian Lane$2.25
  3. 3rd3Jumpin'' JewelletteZac Spain$10.00
  4. 4th7Spirit Of GaiaBeau Mertens$9.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Regina Dei Re6Mitchell AitkenV L Malady58kg$3.60
2nd9Cabaret Queen8Damian LaneM Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg$2.25
3rd3Jumpin'' Jewellette5Zac SpainNathan Newton58kg$10.00
4th7Spirit Of Gaia9Beau MertensMs N Burke58kg$9.00
5th2Eureka Rose1Jackie BerimanBrian McGrath58kg$26.00
6th5Last Piece3Samantha NobleS G Noble58kg$21.00
7th10Coco Mojo4Jamie MottClayton Douglas57.5kg$11.00
8th1Cliffs Hanger7Jason MaskiellShawn Mathrick58kg$12.00
9th4Jupiter''s Girl2Emily PozmanN J Harnett56kg$101.00
Scr8Boa Vista7M Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg
R4

Bunyip Equipment Mdn Plate

18:45 local2550mMaiden$45,000
Winner1. ArdashirSP $1.60
★ Top pickWon
1Ardashir

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.60 · Ethan Brown

Soft 5 suits (1:0-1-0 record). Moderate-slow tempo favours settling handy without pressure.

2nd pick3rd
4Angel Feet

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Damian Lane

Recent Yarra Glen 2nd confirms fitness.

Value pick2nd
6Erupt

Our price $8.00 · SP $18.00 · Jason Maskiell

Lightly raced 3yo with Maskiell (10% track strike), midfield map in likely slow tempo.

  1. 1st1ArdashirEthan Brown$1.60
  2. 2nd6EruptJason Maskiell$18.00
  3. 3rd4Angel FeetDamian Lane$4.80
  4. 4th7Noble FalconThomas Stockdale$17.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Ardashir6Ethan BrownC Maher59.5kg$1.60
2nd6Erupt3Jason MaskiellMs N Burke59kg$18.00
3rd4Angel Feet2Damian LaneC J Waller59kg$4.80
4th7Noble Falcon10Thomas StockdaleC Maher59kg$17.00
5th3Zinovation8Zac SpainM Price & M Kent Jnr59.5kg$5.50
6th10The Long Mover9Ryan HoustonR J Blacker57.5kg$101.00
7th8Siva Tau5Craig NewittE & D Browne59kg$21.00
8th2He''s A Tiger1Ben AllenMitchell Leek59.5kg$61.00
Scr5Colizzi7Daniel StackhouseDavid & Coral Feek59kg
Scr9Te Taniwha4Declan BatesMatthew Cumani59kg
R5

Bridgestone Select Pakenham (Bm66)

19:15 local2550mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner4. Eye For An EyeSP $7.00
★ Top pick3rd
3The Storyteller

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.00 · Jye McNeil

Barrier 5 positions perfectly for moderate tempo, with Jye McNeil's strong Pakenham stats (18% wins). Solid Good 4 record (13:2-0-3) and class drop make it clear top-2 form chance despite 60kg topweight.

2nd pick2nd
9Quite The Lass

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.20 · Damian Lane

Still strong place contender in position-biased track.

3rd pickScratched
6Mozu Marcassin

Our price $3.50 · Declan Bates

Likely midfield map suits Pakenham's position bias and moderate-slow tempo.

Value pickWon
4Eye For An Eye

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Luke Nolen

Midfield barrier 6 suits tempo, Luke Nolen's track success (22%) boosts. Recent poor run forgivable in higher grade; class drop and local form make it live value chance.

  1. 1st4Eye For An EyeLuke Nolen$7.00
  2. 2nd9Quite The LassDamian Lane$3.20
  3. 3rd3The StorytellerJye McNeil$3.00
  4. 4th7HollandiaDaniel Stackhouse$12.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Eye For An Eye6Luke NolenJ Leek Jnr59kg$7.00
2nd9Quite The Lass1Damian LaneReece Goodwin56.5kg$3.20
3rd3The Storyteller5Jye McNeilJ Leek Jnr60kg$3.00
4th7Hollandia11Daniel StackhouseJ F Moloney57.5kg$12.00
5th11In Your Hands2Teodore NugentAndrea Leek55kg$19.00
6th5The Vocalist9Lachlan NeindorfS B Laming58.5kg$7.00
7th2Red Aces7Ryan HoustonR J Blacker59kg$17.00
8th8Madame Lexis3Jett StanleyNathan Dunn57kg$13.00
9th12Zeusmas8Caitlin HollowoodMitchell Leek52kg$151.00
10th10Castrofrancaru4Mitchell Leek55kg$151.00
Scr1Zoom5Rhys Mc LeodJessica Pateman62kg
Scr6Mozu Marcassin10Declan BatesMatthew Cumani58kg
R6

Community Bank Drouin & District Hcp (62)

19:45 local1600mRestricted 62$40,000
Winner7. Pray DaySP $1.50
★ Top pickWon
7Pray Day

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.50 · Jamie Mott

Barrier 1 perfect for Pakenham's position-driven nature where leaders/on-pace dominate. Recent fitness trend improving, good record on good tracks (5:1-2-0). Elite map outweighs low win strike rate in moderate tempo favouring forward runners.

2nd pick7th
1Hola Amigos

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.00 · Jason Maskiell

Best Pakenham performer with 5:1-1-1 record showing track affinity. Barrier 5 suits midfield settling in position-critical track. Improving form outweighs lack of 1600m exposure; class drop helps. Strong form credentials despite topweight.

3rd pick2nd
5Elvis

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Logan McNeil

Recent 2nd at Geelong and win prior demonstrate fitness. Barrier 6 allows midfield position crucial at Pakenham. Good track record suits Good 4. Solid each-way despite class rise given raw speed.

Value pick3rd
4Druthers

Our price $6.50 · SP $14.00 · Ben Allen

Lightly raced with recent 1600m win at Kilmore showing distance suitability. Barrier 3 excellent for forward position at Pakenham. Hayes training operation reliable provincials. Recent form fresher than most.

  1. 1st7Pray DayJamie Mott$1.50
  2. 2nd5ElvisLogan McNeil$9.50
  3. 3rd4DruthersBen Allen$14.00
  4. 4th2The EnglishmanLuke Nolen$10.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Pray Day1Jamie MottT Rogers57kg$1.50
2nd5Elvis6Logan McNeilDaniel Williams58.5kg$9.50
3rd4Druthers3Ben AllenBen, Will & Jd Hayes58.5kg$14.00
4th2The Englishman4Luke NolenJ Leek Jnr59.5kg$10.00
5th3Mawhera2Luke CartwrightMick Nolan59kg$26.00
6th8Najle7Jye McNeilE & D Browne56kg$71.00
7th1Hola Amigos5Jason MaskiellMs W Kelly60kg$5.00
Scr6Acheter6Jake NoonanA W Noonan57kg
R7

Wood Waste Recycling (Bm70)

20:15 local1000mBenchmark 70$40,000
Winner9. Tuscaloosa GemSP $5.50
★ Top pickWon
9Tuscaloosa Gem

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Jordan Childs

Tuscaloosa Gem tops form assessment with exceptional Pakenham record (4:2-2-0, 3:1-2-0 T/D) and consistent recent form including recent close 2nd. Strong Childs/Begg partnership (21% win rate) and good Good track record outweigh class rise. Midfield settling suits very fast tempo and position bias.

2nd pick6th
2Egerton

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Ethan Brown

Egerton excels with perfect Pakenham record (2:2-0-0 T/D) and strong distance stats (9:2-3-0).

3rd pick7th
8Petit Artiste

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Barrier 4 suits midfield position bias; Stackhouse excels at Pakenham. Recent Open form competitive despite finishing 6th; fast tempo favours sharp speed in position-driven track.

Value pick2nd
6Tiz Worthy

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Jamie Melham

Class drop positive but wide draw and backmarker style risk in fast tempo/position bias.

  1. 1st9Tuscaloosa GemJordan Childs$5.50
  2. 2nd6Tiz WorthyJamie Melham$5.50
  3. 3rd5Normandy LassPatrick Moloney$4.60
  4. 4th3RiproarBen Allen$19.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Tuscaloosa Gem7Jordan ChildsG M Begg56kg$5.50
2nd6Tiz Worthy9Jamie MelhamLloyd Kennewell57.5kg$5.50
3rd5Normandy Lass5Patrick MoloneyR D Griffiths57.5kg$4.60
4th3Riproar8Ben AllenReece Goodwin58kg$19.00
5th7Blue Hotel1Jamie MottClayton Douglas56.5kg$3.70
6th2Egerton3Ethan BrownC I Brown58kg$8.00
7th8Petit Artiste4Daniel StackhouseAmy & Ash Yargi56kg$9.00
8th4Blackberry Bomb6Teodore NugentSimon Zahra57.5kg$19.00
9th1Margie''s Boy2Craig NewittPeter Gelagotis60.5kg$51.00
R8

Cameron Industrial Commercial Hcp (66)

20:45 local1400mRestricted 66$40,000
Winner6. Silver BulletSP $2.70
★ Top pick6th
5The Negotiator

Our price $5.50 · SP $15.00 · Luke Nolen

Top form pick due to unmatched Pakenham record (3-1-1 from 10, 3-1-0 from 8 at T/D) and perfect barrier 2 for forward position in fast tempo race. Recent win here two back over distance trumps class rise; midfield map exploits on-pace bias where 22% win rate for positions 4-6.

2nd pick3rd
3Titan Of Choice

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Excellent map from barrier 5 to midfield in fast tempo suits track's top-6 at 400m requirement (90% winners). Solid Pakenham record (1-3-5 from 14) outweighs low strike rate.

3rd pickWon
6Silver Bullet

Our price $6.50 · SP $2.70 · Ben Allen

Local winner at Pakenham 1400m (1 from 2); recent 7th was tougher class but prior win here shows suitability. Barrier 8 workable to midfield; light weight and winkers aid fast tempo.

Value pick9th
8Oceans Above

Our price $11.00 · SP $19.00 · Jason Maskiell

  1. 1st6Silver BulletBen Allen$2.70
  2. 2nd9Rising StarBeau Mertens$10.00
  3. 3rd3Titan Of ChoiceDaniel Stackhouse$5.00
  4. 4th12Queen AmanjenaZac Spain$14.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Silver Bullet8Ben AllenCharlotte Littlefield58kg$2.70
2nd9Rising Star7Beau MertensT Busuttin & N Young57.5kg$10.00
3rd3Titan Of Choice5Daniel StackhouseReece Goodwin59.5kg$5.00
4th12Queen Amanjena6Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55.5kg$14.00
5th4Blue Bandit10Jye McNeilJ Leek Jnr59kg$4.20
6th5The Negotiator2Luke NolenC I Brown58.5kg$15.00
7th1Omamori12Lachlan NeindorfT Busuttin & N Young60kg$51.00
8th10Brickendon3Jamie MottA & S Freedman57kg$12.00
9th8Oceans Above1Jason MaskiellReece Goodwin57.5kg$19.00
Scr2Rock Them Jools11Damian LaneC J Waller60kg
Scr7No No Yes4Ethan BrownM Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg
Scr11Titan''s Spirit9Ms N Burke56.5kg

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