Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Wednesday 15 April 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Warwick Farm. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Waller/McDonald combination is elite level, and recent trials show consistent improvement with two placings from three starts. The barrier 3 draw is ideal for settling in the first half of the field, which strongly favours success at Warwick Farm.
Recent third placing shows race fitness and soft track ability. The weight advantage and superior speed metrics make this a genuine winning chance despite maiden status.
Third selection based on exceptional trial consistency and Waller stable strength. Three consecutive trial placings with improving margins suggests a horse ready to debut successfully. However, the barrier 6 draw and jockey's poor recent form are concerns. The stable's confidence in running so soon after last trial indicates readiness.
The Waller first up preparation combined with Clark's excellent track record provides hope. Recent trial win suggests improvement from poor debut, and Snitzel progeny often show marked improvement second time out.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | St Gotthard | 3 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 8 | Peyton | 1 | Zac Lloyd | Tom Charlton | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 2 | Nations League | 7 | Tim Clark | C J Waller | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Wonka | 8 | Jason Collett | C J Waller | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Too Hot To Handle | 2 | Regan Bayliss | G Portelli | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Lafite | 4 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Swagger | 5 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms A Turner | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Whitehall | 6 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 58kg |
Michael Freedman has solid record with first-starters and Tommy Berry booking indicates serious intent despite jockey's recent form struggles.
Elite connections with Chris Waller and James McDonald combining at 14% strike rate. McDonald's recent 25% form is excellent and barrier 2 provides tactical advantage. Lugging bit suggests they want control and speed, ideal for Warwick Farm's on-pace bias.
Good track specialist with 100% place rate. Best form reference in field.
Value play with elite connections and perfect barrier draw. Tim Clark's 28% strike rate at Warwick Farm is outstanding and barrier 1 suits the track's on-pace bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Bangkok Hottie | 4 | Zac Lloyd | David Payne | 58kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 6 | Victorious Ruler | 1 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Capital Illusion | 7 | Tommy Berry | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 2 | Mille Feuille | 8 | Chad Schofield | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Dynamic Diva | 3 | Siena Grima | A P Ball | 53.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Your Colour | 2 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Influential Jewel | 9 | Adam Hyeronimus | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Wacko | 5 | Nash Rawiller | C E Conners | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 5 | Simple Pleasures | 6 | Jason Collett | M S Minervini | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
The Waterhouse/Bott trained gelding has shown steady improvement and maps to settle in the ideal on-pace position that strongly favours at Warwick Farm.
The Frankel gelding's breeding suggests the 1600m will suit, and recent placings indicate he's finding his best form.
Freddie Bassett gets the perfect barrier draw and the significant advantage of Tommy Berry in the saddle. Second up from a spell with blinkers applied for the first time, he showed promise when a close second at Goulburn. The inside barrier is crucial at Warwick Farm and gives him every chance to settle handy.
Love 'n' Glory represents value with James McDonald's booking being a significant positive. The Camelot gelding's breeding suggests the step up to 1600m will suit, and he showed promise when a close second last start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Freddie Bassett | 1 | Tommy Berry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Above The Law | 11 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58kg | $1.85 |
| 3rd | 5 | Sarapo | 7 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Verry Stella | 4 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Col Du Tourmalet | 6 | Shaun Guymer | Robert Quinn | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Simply Gold | 2 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 11 | So Precise | 9 | Winona Costin | Ms A Turner | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Love 'n' Glory | 10 | James Mc Donald | C Maher | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Bella Wahine | 3 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Billy Bowlegg | 8 | Jeff Penza | P Niceforo | 54kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Eynesbury | 12 | Chad Schofield | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Cool Summer Nights | 5 | Ashley Morgan | Nathan Doyle | 55kg |
Won last start over 2400m and placed third at this track two starts back. Inside barrier is crucial at Warwick Farm and the light weight helps.
Last start winner at this track with strong form credentials. The 8-year-old has found his niche in staying races and the good barrier position suits the track bias.
Proven performer at this track and distance with a perfect record. The class drop is significant and should help, while the good barrier position suits Warwick Farm's bias. However, jockey form is concerning and the top weight is a negative.
The light weight and strong breeding suggest upside, while the Dylan Gibbons booking adds confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Autumn Winter | 6 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | De Louviere | 1 | Zac Lloyd | Matthew Smith | 54kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Casual Connection | 4 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Stylebender | 2 | Shannen Llewellyn | Ms K Buchanan | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Majorian | 5 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Knights Armour | 3 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Ross Lavis | 57kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Humanity | 7 | Ashley Morgan | Nacim Dilmi | 54kg |
Harry's Evidence presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form progression and proven ability at this track/distance. Last start 3rd at this venue shows he handles the conditions, while his Class 1 win two starts back demonstrates current fitness.
The inside barrier is crucial for his racing pattern, and the Ryan/Alexiou stable has a good record with first-up runners. His class rise is manageable given recent form.
Mawjood offers value as a first-up specialist dropping significantly in class. His trial wins show he's ready to fire fresh, and the Baker stable has him well-placed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Ready To Shine | 1 | Zac Lloyd | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Swift Legend | 3 | Jason Collett | L J Bridge | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Sanctified | 2 | Tyler Schiller | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Rimbaud | 8 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Sammy Conquers All | 7 | Anna Roper | N Mayfield-Smith | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Affermato | 10 | Winona Costin | Ms A Turner | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Mawjood | 11 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 12 | Harry's Evidence | 4 | Chad Schofield | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 9th | 5 | Bryant | 6 | Tim Clark | R J Quinton | 59kg | $4.80 |
| Scr | 4 | Hay Street | 5 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Crop Duster | 9 | Siena Grima | J R Gask | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Prinzerro | 12 | C Maher | 57.5kg |
The drop from BM78 to BM72 provides significant class relief, and her on-pace running style aligns perfectly with the track's positional bias.
The class rise and wide barrier present challenges despite the strong statistical profile.
Light weight and improving form trend provide positives for an each-way chance.
Country specialist with outstanding 1200m record who won impressively last start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Just Glamourous | 10 | Adam Hyeronimus | Joseph Pride | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Surf's Up | 8 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 60kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 11 | Maquisa | 5 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Rantan | 3 | Mollie Fitzgerald | R J Quinton | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Hellabella | 9 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 12 | Opal Fields | 1 | Reece Jones | Sara Ryan | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Unreachable | 2 | Dylan Gibbons | J A Sylvester | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Ningaloo Star | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 59.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Rubi's Serve | 4 | Nash Rawiller | M S Minervini | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Urafiki | 7 | Shaun Guymer | Danielle Seib | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Here The Crowd | 12 | Zac Lloyd | C Maher | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Show Business | 11 | Anna Roper | Matthew Smith | 56kg |
The Pride stable excels with fresh horses, and the significant class drop from BM88 provides a clear advantage.
Skyglider brings an impressive perfect first-up record and the booking of James McDonald suggests strong stable confidence. The Waller stable excels with fresh horses, and the significant class drop provides a major advantage. The ideal barrier draw and proven ability make him a strong winning chance despite limited experience.
Miss Freelove brings proven class and an excellent record at this track/distance combination. The Tim Clark booking and strong stable form provide confidence, while the class drop from Group level gives her a clear advantage. Her proven ability at this venue makes her a reliable each-way chance.
The lengthy spell is a concern, but Baker's first-up record provides confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Golden Straand | 4 | Nash Rawiller | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Sweethearted | 10 | Anna Roper | P Stokes | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Crepe Myrtle | 7 | Zac Lloyd | Joseph Pride | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Skyglider | 2 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Hezdarnhottoo | 5 | Tommy Berry | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Miss Freelove | 6 | Tim Clark | Peter Snowden | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 11 | Who But Roo | 1 | Teaghan Martin | G G Kirkup | 53.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Vella's Best | 9 | Jason Collett | G P Vella | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Battle Hymn | 3 | Regan Bayliss | Bjorn Baker | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 8 | The Face | 8 | Siena Grima | A P Ball | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Hay Street | 4 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Sanctified | 11 | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 54.5kg |
The inside barrier is crucial at Warwick Farm where position at 400m is decisive. Despite class rise concerns, the combination of track familiarity, proven distance ability, and tactical advantage makes this the standout selection.
Three-year-old with proven 1600m ability and excellent barrier draw. The inside position is crucial at this track, and despite the long spell, previous form suggests capability at this level. Quality jockey booking indicates stable confidence.
Last start winner with perfect jockey combination stepping up in class. The mare has shown consistent improvement and handles good tracks well. While the class rise is concerning, the winning momentum and proven jockey partnership provide confidence.
The Tim Clark booking and second up placement indicate stable confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Fiddlers Green | 1 | Braith Nock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 13 | Natoya | 3 | Zac Lloyd | J G Sargent | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Dreams Come True | 5 | Jason Collett | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Montpellier | 6 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 8 | Girijaala | 7 | Tyler Schiller | M, W & J Hawkes | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Strawberry Impact | 10 | Tim Clark | Blake Ryan | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Brave Call | 12 | Tom Sherry | K A Lees | 61.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Hereward | 2 | Chad Schofield | David Payne | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 3 | The Creator | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 12 | The Mona Lisa | 13 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Spirit Of Camelot | 9 | Tommy Berry | Peter Snowden | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Solar Army | 8 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Crossbow | 11 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 55kg |
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