Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 18 April 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Eynesbury presents as the most reliable option with consistent recent form including a narrow second at Warwick Farm. The significant class drop from metro maidens to provincial level provides a clear advantage, and the stable's strong record adds confidence despite the horse being winless.
The I Am Invincible colt maps perfectly from the inside barrier and recent form suggests he's ready to break through. The step up to 1500m appears suitable given his breeding and recent 1600m effort.
The Trapeze Artist gelding showed promise in his only start at Wyong and the stable's record with first-starters provides confidence. However, the lack of race experience in a competitive maiden is a concern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Eynesbury | 3 | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $2.35 | |
| 2nd | 4 | All Star | 1 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Fabio Martino | 57kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cellphone | 6 | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $4.40 | |
| 4th | 6 | Crudo | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Powerful Majik | 2 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | $26.00 | |
| 6th | 8 | The Victorious | 5 | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $10.00 | |
| 7th | 3 | Radion | 7 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Bumbling Artie | 4 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg |
Matthew Smith's first-up runners are typically well-prepared, and the barrier 4 draw suits Kembla's on-speed bias perfectly.
Represents solid each-way value.
The class drop from Group 3 to Maiden is significant, and her narrow second at this track and distance shows she can be competitive at this level.
The strong Hutchings-Freedman combination (36% strike rate) and first-time blinkers suggest stable confidence in this debut runner. The middle barrier draw suits Kembla's bias, making this an intriguing value play despite the unknowns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Hammoon Heroine | 4 | Matthew Smith | 58kg | $1.60 | |
| 2nd | 7 | Look Here | 6 | Peter Snowden | 57.5kg | $4.80 | |
| 3rd | 4 | Aladdin's Girl | 2 | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $11.00 | |
| 4th | 3 | Aida | 8 | Grant Buckley | M, W & J Hawkes | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Tragedies | 7 | G Portelli | 58kg | $51.00 | |
| 6th | 9 | Neferusobek | 10 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 57.5kg | $51.00 | |
| 7th | 10 | Sugilite | 5 | Rory Hutchings | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Chaithnia | 3 | Matthew Smith | 57.5kg | $26.00 | |
| 9th | 5 | Blackbird | 1 | Olivia Chambers | L J Bridge | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Miss Johanski | 9 | Shaun Guymer | M & D Kearney | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
Proven on soft going and maps well from barrier 8.
Quality mare with an excellent first-up record returning from a long spell. The class rise is concerning but her ability suggests she can handle it.
Lightly raced filly with a perfect record who won impressively last start at Wyong. Second-up positioning often brings improvement, and the barrier 4 draw is ideal for this track. The class rise is significant but her unbeaten record suggests untapped potential.
Recent maiden winner who showed improvement to break through last start at Wyong.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Sir Les | 8 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 59.5kg | $1.35 |
| 2nd | 2 | Queen's Rhapsody | 1 | Louise Day | David Pfieffer | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Nullarbor Jane | 7 | Keagan Latham | J G Sargent | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Take Flight | 6 | David Payne | 56kg | $17.00 | |
| 5th | 5 | Playlist | 3 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Eltrum | 5 | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | $71.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | Dingle Grey | 4 | Jake Hull | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Very Sirius | 2 | David Pfieffer | 55kg |
Smashing Time presents as the standout selection despite being first-up from a lengthy spell. His proven track specialization at Kembla Grange (3 wins from 4 starts) combined with a significant class drop from recent BM72/78 races to today's BM64 creates a strong winning opportunity.
The Peter Snowden-trained filly has proven ability at the 1200m distance and should appreciate the drop back from 1400m. Her tactical speed and good barrier draw position her well in what shapes as a genuinely run race.
Presides brings consistency and tactical advantages to this race despite the lengthy spell. His excellent place record and first-time tongue tie application suggest improvement is possible. The inside barrier gives him options in what should be a fast-run race, and his heavy track credentials provide insurance if conditions change.
Her second-up positioning and previous first-up win suggest she can handle the class rise. The wide barrier is a concern but her early speed should help overcome this disadvantage in a race that should be run at a solid tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Presides | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Smashing Time | 2 | Claire Ramsbotham | R & L Price | 59.5kg | $1.60 |
| 3rd | 6 | Divine Secrets | 3 | Keagan Latham | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 5 | All Machiavellian | 7 | Keagan Latham | R & L Price | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Butterfly Style | 8 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57.5kg | $18.00 | |
| 6th | 9 | La Bella Bondi | 5 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| 7th | 3 | Close Encounter | 6 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Gladstone Grande | 4 | Leeshelle Small | Brad Widdup | 54kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Salma's Star | 9 | G McFarlane | 55kg |
Entrapment presents as the most reliable winning chance despite being first up from a 105-day spell. The filly has shown consistency with 3 placings from 5 starts and has proven she can perform fresh with a placing from 2 first-up attempts. While the wide barrier is a concern, her proven ability at this track and distance combination makes her the standout selection.
Coco Dior brings strong local knowledge with an excellent record at Kembla Grange. The filly has shown consistent form with regular placings and benefits from a proven trainer/jockey combination. Her barrier draw of 7 should allow for a comfortable settling position, and her recent third at Albury indicates she's maintaining form despite the 30-day gap.
The gear changes, removing blinkers and adding visors, could provide the key to unlocking improvement.
The barrier extension gear change could be the key to better gate manners, and the inside draw provides tactical options.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Winning Rulet | 3 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Coco Dior | 7 | Louise Day | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 14 | Yes Arnie | 4 | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | $26.00 | |
| 4th | 11 | Leon Ruben | 6 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55.5kg | $17.00 | |
| 5th | 9 | Sirius Moss | 10 | Sara Ryan | 56.5kg | $11.00 | |
| 6th | 10 | Entrapment | 12 | Jean Van Overmeire | Joseph Ible | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 7th | 8 | Weekday Flyer | 9 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Sonnig | 2 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Anthony Mountney | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 6 | Zamalek | 13 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Isa Jet | 8 | Keagan Latham | Ross McConville | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Irish Pete | 5 | Claire Ramsbotham | R & L Price | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 15 | Cosmora | 11 | Peter D Green | 55.5kg | $71.00 | |
| 13th | 13 | Wonderstorm | 15 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55.5kg | $151.00 | |
| Scr | 3 | Dwight | 14 | Jason Attard | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Habib Albi | 1 | Adrian Layt | T & P Vigouroux | 58kg |
Kitty Okay's perfect Kembla Grange record makes her a serious threat. Her last start Class 1 win at this track was dominant, and she clearly handles the unique characteristics of this circuit. The soft track form is solid and barrier 3 allows her to settle in the ideal first-half positioning. While the class rise is substantial, her track specialization and improving trajectory suggest she can handle the step up.
His consistency in placing suggests he'll be competitive, and the light weight helps. However, his limited winning ability and the class rise present challenges.
His soft track record is outstanding (4 wins from 8 starts) and he maps ideally from barrier 2 to settle in the crucial first-half positioning that Kembla Grange rewards. The recent BM66 win carrying 63kg demonstrates he can handle today's 61kg, and his consistent form pattern suggests he's a horse in his prime. While the class rise is notable, his proven ability and track suitability make him the logical selection.
Common Goal represents value as a last start winner stepping up significantly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Common Goal | 8 | Joseph Ible | 56.5kg | $11.00 | |
| 2nd | 9 | Cheeky Smirk | 1 | Adam Farragher | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Laurel Hill | 10 | Rob Potter | 59kg | $6.00 | |
| 4th | 7 | Bold And Blazen | 9 | Chad Lever | Peter D Green | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Equilibrist | 5 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Kitty Okay | 3 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $2.60 | |
| 7th | 10 | Monte Maximus | 4 | Grant Buckley | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Dumebi | 6 | Rory Hutchings | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Sir Franklin | 2 | Keagan Latham | Ms L Davies | 61kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Deepwater Artist | 7 | Matthew Kelley | 57.5kg |
The removal of winkers suggests connections expect improvement, and the inside barrier is ideal for Kembla's on-speed bias.
Pappa Blue brings strong recent form with a dominant win at this track in similar company. While the wide barrier is concerning, the class and recent form make this a strong threat.
The progressive 3yo profile is appealing, though the significant class rise and wide barrier present challenges. The lack of 1500m experience is a concern but the upward trajectory suggests potential.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Inspired Legend | 4 | Rory Hutchings | L J Bridge | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Audenzia | 9 | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 61kg | $9.00 | |
| 3rd | 15 | Miss Hvar | 14 | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $21.00 | |
| 4th | 6 | King Nic | 5 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Tip Top Timing | 8 | Deanne Panya | C E Conners | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Wild Thoughts | 1 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | K J Parker | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 8 | Pappa Blue | 13 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $1.85 |
| 8th | 16 | Heir Jordan | 2 | Jess Taylor | Luke Musson | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Silent Impact | 11 | Matthew Kelley | 61.5kg | $21.00 | |
| 10th | 12 | My Greek God | 3 | Andrew Calder | Matthew Smith | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Canadian Fling | 6 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Midori Giant | 1 | Blake Ryan | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Pick Up The Tab | 10 | Bjorn Baker | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Coulter | 12 | Bjorn Baker | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Call Me Mojo | 7 | Lee Magorrian | David Pfieffer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Magical Moments | 15 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.