Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 23 April 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The gelding showed genuine ability when runner-up over 1415m and the step to 1600m suits his breeding. With proven good track form and strong connections, he offers the most reliable winning chance in this maiden field.
The filly benefits from a class drop and has track experience.
Debut runners can be competitive in maiden company, particularly with quality connections engaged.
Rockette represents value as a debut runner with an in-form jockey and quality training partnership. The ear muffs addition suggests settling concerns have been addressed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Rockette | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Just For Kicks | 5 | Jake Noonan | A & J Williams | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 2 | Montesquieu | 1 | Rhys Mc Leod | Nick Ryan | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Seaborn | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | M M Laurie | 59kg | $2.30 |
| 5th | 6 | Top Liner | 2 | Jamie Mott | Alexander Rae | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 4 | La Divina | 6 | Zac Spain | G Eurell | 57kg | $31.00 |
The Pierro filly drops significantly in class from metro racing and gets blinkers for the first time.
Emanating returns second up from a spell with a good record in that scenario. Removal of winkers and Luke Nolen's strong track record provide additional confidence.
Vespers showed improvement last start with a third placing at this track and distance. The Yes Yes Yes filly has limited experience but the strong Moloney/Nugent combination and good barrier position provide tactical advantages. Natural progression expected.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Avenue Montaigne | 2 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 5 | Shiny Diamond | 1 | Logan Bates | Gavin Bedggood | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Emanating | 5 | Luke Nolen | Craig Blackshaw | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Vespers | 6 | Teodore Nugent | J F Moloney | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Adira River | 4 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Wynorrific | 3 | Emily Pozman | E & D Browne | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Ivy Princess | 7 | Caitlin Hollowood | R J Meunier | 54kg | $101.00 |
The Billy Egan/Gavin Bedggood combination strikes at 33%, and the horse maps perfectly to settle on-pace which strongly suits Pakenham's position-driven nature. While still a maiden, the form progression is clear.
Handsome Missile brings solid Pakenham experience with two placings from three local starts and a recent second at Geelong. Lachlan Neindorf is in excellent form at 30% strike rate, and the barrier provides tactical flexibility. The Churchill breeding should handle the conditions well.
Wonderdownunder brings the most consistent placing record with three seconds and a third from five starts. The staying pedigree suggests the 1400m will suit, and previous form at similar distances is solid. However, the wide draw and inability to convert placings to wins are concerns in a maiden field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Jetsetter Jack | 3 | Billy Egan | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 3 | Handsome Missile | 4 | Lachlan Neindorf | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Crystal Jade | 5 | Zac Spain | Nathan Dunn | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Foxsky | 6 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 4 | Hansard | 1 | Jackie Beriman | I M Pankhurst | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Laundering | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Mortal Peak | 8 | Adam Mc Cabe | S C Bottomley | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Wonderdownunder | 7 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 58kg |
The Maher stable excels with this type of progressive mare, and Bates maintains strong form. While stepping up in distance, her breeding suggests stamina adequacy.
Quite The Lass brings the most reliable recent form to this contest with strong performances at similar class levels. Her Pakenham experience and proven stamina at the distance are key assets. The gear changes suggest connections are fine-tuning her for peak performance, and McNeil's strong track record adds confidence to the combination.
Madame Lexis offers genuine value based on her exceptional record at this specific track and distance combination. Despite a poor last start, her previous BM66 victory here demonstrates the ability to win at this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Ardashir | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | C Maher | 58kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 6 | Quite The Lass | 6 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Madame Lexis | 1 | Teodore Nugent | Nathan Dunn | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Dundonald | 2 | Patrick Moloney | G M Moloney | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Dealt | 4 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Xtrarevz | 5 | Jake Noonan | Margot McDougal | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Royal Optimism | 8 | Fred W Kersley | C J Waller | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Mr Waterville | 7 | Chelsea Thompson | Clayton Douglas | 62.5kg | $41.00 |
The Freedman-trained filly is second up from a 54-day break, typically an improving pattern, and draws ideally in barrier 2.
Blue Meteor represents the Maher stable's debut runner with strong jockey booking in Ben Allen, who's riding at 30% over his last 20 rides.
Flirtante draws the ideal barrier 4 for Pakenham's position-sensitive track and has Jamie Melham aboard in good recent form. The first-time tongue tie suggests stable preparation, and the inside draw provides the tactical advantage crucial at this venue for a debut runner.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Ladhar | 2 | Jye McNeil | A & S Freedman | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Gas Station Rose | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Alexander Rae | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Blue Meteor | 11 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Je Suis Beyonce | 6 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Roseatic | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Reece Goodwin | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Model Gigi | 5 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Flirtante | 4 | Jamie Melham | C W McDonald | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 2 | Capital Affair | 8 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Queens Code | 13 | Zac Spain | Charlotte Littlefield | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Charleston Lane | 12 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Chapel Belle | 14 | Teodore Nugent | J F Moloney | 56kg | $201.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Pasatiempo | 10 | Logan Bates | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Unfailing Truth | 7 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Hendon Honey | 1 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg |
Quickaz presents as the standout selection dropping dramatically from Group/Listed company to Class 1. The significant class drop combined with proven ability at 1200m makes her the logical choice despite some minor concerns about track conditions.
Eco Force brings consistency and the significant advantage of barrier 1, crucial at position-dependent Pakenham. The Begg/Childs combination is proven, and her recent placings show she's competitive at this level. While she lacks a strong winning record, her tactical advantage from the inside draw and consistent form make her a solid each-way proposition.
The Bates/horse combination has been successful, and she's proven on good tracks. However, the wide barrier presents a tactical challenge at Pakenham, and her second-up record is concerning. Still offers value given her ability.
Gazerati offers genuine value having won his last start at this exact venue and distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Doubtland Diva | 4 | Jake Noonan | A W Noonan | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Alzaro | 8 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Materazzi | 11 | Zac Spain | G Eurell | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Quickaz | 3 | Jamie Mott | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 7 | Eco Force | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Gazerati | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | Charlotte Littlefield | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 5 | Three Point Turn | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Moonbolt | 7 | Luke Nolen | Colin Scott | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Mr Crafty | 6 | Teodore Nugent | Ashleigh Smith | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Tipping Rain | 10 | Caitlin Hollowood | J F Rattle | 54kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Longreach Drover | 5 | F Stockdale | 57.5kg |
The step up from BM62 to BM66 is manageable given his strong form trend and the booking of John Allen suggests stable confidence. His 1400m record shows he handles the distance well.
Legio Ten brings strong recent form including a close third at Sandown and has proven he handles Pakenham well. The significant class drop from BM70 to BM66 combined with gear changes suggests the stable expects improvement. His track record gives confidence despite the moderate barrier.
Marlion's Dream offers value based on his excellent Pakenham record where he's won 3 times and placed twice more from 12 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Legio Ten | 7 | Emily Pozman | Reece Goodwin | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dramaticus | 4 | John Allen | T & C McEvoy | 61.5kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 5 | New Sovereign | 13 | Olivia East | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Surreal I Am | 9 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 61.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Call Him Iggy | 3 | Ben Allen | Mathew Smerdon | 62kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Burlington Gate | 2 | Luke Nolen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Hard Evidence | 1 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Marlion's Dream | 8 | Teodore Nugent | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Warpainted | 5 | Ben Kennedy | Rachael Cunningham | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Prestige Ole | 11 | Dakotah Keane | Matt Jenkins | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Titan Of Choice | 12 | Daniel Stackhouse | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Tolpuddle | 10 | Rhys Mc Leod | Nick Ryan | 59kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Zeaction | 6 | Zac Spain | John McArdle | 57.5kg |
The wide barrier isn't ideal but his early pace should secure a forward position.
Giggenbach offers value as a lightly-raced mare from the powerful Hayes stable. Her Pakenham win and good barrier draw are positives, but the poor first-up record and long spell create uncertainty. The class rise is significant, but her talent suggests she can be competitive at this level.
Blistering offers value based on her recent BM70 win and outstanding Pakenham record. Despite the disappointing last start, her class ability and track record suggest she can bounce back.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Factcheck | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 10 | Simurgh | 6 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Sunsets | 11 | Emily Pozman | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Notabadbuy | 12 | Luke Nolen | Colin Scott | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Like A Tiger | 5 | John Allen | Mathew Smerdon | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Callmeanicon | 10 | Jamie Mott | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Lim's Smythe | 9 | Rhys Mc Leod | D Meagher | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Genrichero | 2 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Giggenbach | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Shahzad | 1 | Bree Temple | E & D Browne | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Blistering | 7 | Koby Jennings | John Pascoe | 60kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Rising Star | 8 | Jye McNeil | T Busuttin & N Young | 55.5kg |
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