Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Saturday 25 April 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Flemington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Bluestone profiles as the most likely winner based on exceptional staying form with 6 placings from 7 runs beyond 2400m. The 52.5kg with Cartwright's claim represents a significant weight advantage, and his recent Caulfield second in BM78 grade shows current fitness. While stepping up in class, his consistency and map position from barrier 2 make him the standout winning chance.
Xtra Rush brings elite winning credentials with a 57% strike rate and unbeaten soft track record. While rising in class and untested at 2500m, his tactical speed from barrier 3 positions him ideally for Flemington's on-pace bias.
The Western Front enters as the last-start winner, breaking through at Caulfield over 2400m. The Hayes stable and Luke Currie booking suggest confidence, though the class rise to BM84 poses questions. His consistency and tactical versatility from barrier 4 keep him in contention despite distance queries.
While limited in local experience, the Maher stable's placement and light weight suggest improvement potential.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | The Western Front | 4 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Xtra Rush | 3 | Jye McNeil | Richard Laming | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Kurakka | 6 | Beau Mertens | C Maher | 54kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Sir Chartwell | 10 | Logan Bates | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Samuel Langhorne | 1 | Jake Noonan | M C Kent | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Flamin' Romans | 7 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Enchanted Elle | 8 | Linda Meech | Symon Wilde | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Bluestone | 2 | Luke Cartwright | M C Kent | 52.5kg | $3.40 |
| 9th | 2 | Stockman | 5 | Dakotah Keane | Symon Wilde | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Post Impressionist | 1 | Emily Pozman | Simon Ryan | 61kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Twilight Elegance | 9 | Molly Bourke | C Maher | 52kg |
Maps perfectly from barrier 7 to settle midfield with pace ahead, suiting Flemington's profile.
Consistent filly who ran 3rd at this track and distance last start in similar conditions. The Waller/McNeil combination has a solid 25% strike rate together and McNeil is riding well. Maps to be prominent from barrier 3, which suits Flemington's on-pace bias.
Second up from a spell where she has a perfect record, and Rhys McLeod is riding in excellent form. The class rise from maiden to BM70 is significant and barrier 12 creates a tactical challenge, but her raw ability and the stable's confidence suggest she can measure up.
While the class rise is substantial, the Moody/Coleman stable excels at placing horses strategically. Her soft track record is solid and she's proven at the distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Concord Connie | 12 | Rhys Mc Leod | Charlotte Littlefield | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 14 | Two To Tango | 5 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Cooly | 9 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Cardamom | 4 | Declan Bates | A & S Freedman | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Yum | 10 | Dakotah Keane | John McArdle | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Next Jen | 8 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Star Of Omaha | 6 | Tom Madden | Andrew Angelone | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Jewel Of Heaven | 13 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Azzacool | 2 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Cafe Au Lait | 3 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| 11th | 13 | Sistine Express | 1 | Dean Yendall | Andrew Noblet | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Carriedo | 7 | Beau Mertens | G M Begg | 58.5kg | $2.80 |
| Scr | 10 | Bajaria | 11 | Fred W Kersley | Peter Gelagotis | 56kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Imponderable | 14 | Jett Stanley | A & S Freedman | 56kg |
Seraphox profiles as the most likely winner based on class and recent form. His Group 2 experience sets him apart from this field, having competed against elite juveniles. The last-start maiden win at Warwick Farm was dominant, and the step to 1400m suits his pedigree.
The Busuttin/Young stable has him well-placed, and barrier 5 allows tactical options. However, the jump from maiden to Listed company is significant, and with only one start, there are question marks about his ability to handle this class rise.
Drumfire brings solid credentials with a win and a placing from two starts. Barrier 1 is ideal for securing a forward position crucial at Flemington.
While the class rise is significant, she carries a light weight and draws well in barrier 4.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Blind Raise | 5 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 9 | Profligate | 4 | Luke Cartwright | G M Begg | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Seraphox | 7 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Prime Pattern | 9 | Rhys Mc Leod | Jason Warren | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Cignetti | 10 | Jett Stanley | T Busuttin & N Young | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Nialah | 2 | Patrick Moloney | C Maher | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Cajun | 3 | Jye McNeil | A & S Freedman | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Drumfire | 1 | Linda Meech | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 7 | Misneach | 6 | Logan Bates | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Image Artist | 8 | Molly Bourke | P L Caboche | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Harry Met Sally | 11 | Luke Currie | M W Walker | 57.5kg |
Mukhtalif profiles as the most likely winner based on current form and race suitability. Maps perfectly from barrier 2 to secure a forward position crucial at Flemington. Has strong UK form including a Listed placing and shows improvement second up. While stepping up to Saturday metro grade, his form trajectory and tactical advantages make him the standout.
Cavalry comes off a dominant Newcastle win and gets the services of Luke Currie, suggesting stable confidence. The Hawkes team excel with progressive types in these races. While the wide draw is a concern at Flemington, his tactical speed should allow him to cross and find a position. The class rise is manageable given his margin of victory last start.
First Chorus brings consistent form and versatility across conditions. Her last start second at Caulfield shows she's competitive at this level. The 3kg claim from Emily Pozman brings her in well at the weights. While this is a class test, her consistency and proven ability on various surfaces make her a reliable each-way proposition.
While this is a significant class rise, his raw ability and light weight give him a chance to cause an upset. The McEvoy stable has a knack for preparing horses to peak at the right time.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 16 | Mr Blunt | 12 | Declan Bates | T & C McEvoy | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 15 | Cavalry | 16 | Luke Currie | M, W & J Hawkes | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 3 | Skippers Canyon | 3 | Will Gordon | P Stokes | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Haaracaine | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | Nick Ryan | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Taka Speed | 6 | Brad Rawiller | M M Laurie | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 9 | House Of Lords | 14 | Fred W Kersley | Peter Gelagotis | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Chiringita | 9 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Curse It | 10 | Jye McNeil | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 6 | First Chorus | 11 | Emily Pozman | L Smith | 56.5kg | $3.80 |
| 10th | 12 | Superstock | 4 | Jake Noonan | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 18 | Revolver | 1 | Patrick Moloney | Archie Alexander | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Cadogan | 15 | Molly Bourke | T & C McEvoy | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 19 | Mawhera | 8 | Luke Cartwright | Mick Nolan | 52kg | $201.00 |
| 14th | 2 | Mukhtalif | 2 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 60.5kg | $2.70 |
| Scr | 8 | Morryl Moral | 13 | C Maher | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Spanish Blaze | 13 | Jett Stanley | A & S Freedman | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Lario | 7 | Dean Yendall | D T O'Brien | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Autumn Slide | 17 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Nobler | 18 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 55.5kg |
King Zephyr presents as the most likely winner based on superior form metrics. Maps ideally to settle midfield from barrier 10 with genuine tempo expected. The class rise is concerning but his proven 1400m form at Flemington makes him the standout selection.
Merrigold arrives in winning form after dominant BM84 victory. Her 4 wins from 10 starts at 1400m shows genuine distance suitability. The wide barrier is problematic but 52.5kg weight advantage significant in this grade. Maps to settle worse than midfield but can finish strongly.
The inside barrier allows tactical options in a race with likely fast tempo. His 36% win rate demonstrates consistency, while proven soft track form provides insurance if conditions deteriorate. The 35-day break is manageable for this stable.
His 4 wins from 11 starts at 1400m shows clear distance aptitude. The inside barrier from gate 2 provides significant tactical advantage at Flemington. Jake Noonan's current 25% strike rate adds confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Big Swinger | 4 | Jett Stanley | Charlotte Littlefield | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | King Zephyr | 10 | Beau Mertens | G M Begg | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 1 | Marble Arch | 6 | Logan Bates | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Merrigold | 12 | Ryan Houston | J D Sadler | 52.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Athanatos | 5 | Declan Bates | P Stokes | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Miss Aria | 1 | Fred W Kersley | D T O'Brien | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Roadcone | 3 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 51kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Give Me Space | 11 | Molly Bourke | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 51.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Windstorm | 7 | Dean Yendall | Gavin Bedggood | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Cartoon Graveyard | 2 | Jake Noonan | J L Keys | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Ocean Beyond | 8 | Dakotah Keane | Simon Ryan | 50kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Enxuto | 9 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Mission Of Love | 9 | J G Symons & S Laxon | 53kg |
The 2kg weight advantage and Luke Currie booking add confidence, though the 2800m distance and class rise pose questions. Her form trajectory and fitness edge make her the standout selection.
The wide barrier is manageable over 2800m, and his Flemington experience is valuable.
While facing a class rise and wide draw, the 45-day freshen-up could work in her favour, and she gets 2kg weight relief.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 16 | Silvasista | 8 | Luke Currie | T & C McEvoy | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 8 | Finance Merchant | 17 | Brad Rawiller | Aaron Purcell | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Chillies | 12 | Beau Mertens | G M Begg | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Dad And Dave | 9 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Johnich | 4 | Rhys Mc Leod | Jason Warren | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Valiant Sun | 16 | Jye McNeil | Liam Howley | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 17 | I Belong | 13 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 11 | He's On Song | 5 | Will Gordon | Andrew Bobbin | 58kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Deal Done Fast | 11 | Cian Macredmond | Matthew Cumani | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 10th | 9 | Awesome Artist | 3 | Linda Meech | C Maher | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Haiiro | 15 | Tom Madden | Shane Jackson | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Erupt | 1 | Luke Cartwright | Ms N Burke | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 13th | 6 | Crown Of Russia | 14 | Fred W Kersley | D T O'Brien | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 14th | 15 | Intervened | 10 | Patrick Moloney | C Maher | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 15th | 12 | Noble Falcon | 2 | Jake Noonan | C Maher | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 16th | 10 | Snobbery | 6 | Jett Stanley | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $201.00 |
| 17th | 14 | Te Taniwha | 7 | Dean Yendall | Matthew Cumani | 58kg | $201.00 |
Zakouma profiles as the most likely winner despite the class rise. Won impressively last start on Heavy 8 at Flemington over 2000m, demonstrating track/distance suitability. His 33% win rate and consistent form pattern suggest reliability. Third-up into his campaign at peak fitness with good barrier draw to secure forward position crucial at Flemington. While stepping up in class, his upward trajectory and suitability for conditions make him the logical top selection.
Bring Forth represents strong each-way value following an impressive last-start victory. His remarkable 71% place rate demonstrates consistency, while the inside barrier and light weight provide tactical advantages. Despite the class rise and inexperienced jockey booking, his upward trajectory and consistent form make him a logical each-way play.
Her strong Flemington record (2 wins from 6 starts) and proven distance ability make her a serious contender. The inside barrier allows her to secure a forward position crucial at this track. While weight rise and distance queries exist, her current form peak suggests she can overcome these.
The tongue tie addition suggests connections are trying something new to unlock improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Too Darn Discreet | 4 | Declan Bates | Dan O'Sullivan | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Land Legend | 1 | Rhys Mc Leod | C Maher | 61kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Plymouth | 11 | Luke Cartwright | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Etna Rosso | 7 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 60kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Foujita San | 2 | Dean Yendall | Shane Jackson | 53kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Berkshire Breeze | 12 | Luke Currie | C Maher | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Zakouma | 9 | Beau Mertens | G M Begg | 53kg | $2.05 |
| 8th | 8 | Mark Twain | 13 | Will Gordon | P Stokes | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Antrim Coast | 5 | Holly Durnan | Patrick Payne | 50kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Sun Gift | 8 | Fred W Kersley | D T O'Brien | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Bring Forth | 3 | Molly Bourke | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 51kg | $5.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Jimi Hendrix | 10 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 51kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 10 | Chase Your Dreams | 6 | Jett Stanley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 14th | 5 | Benagil | 14 | Logan Bates | Glen Thompson | 57kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Smokin' Romans | 15 | Dakotah Keane | C Maher | 57.5kg |
Will Gordon's strong 20% recent form and 18% strike rate with trainer Kearney adds confidence.
The Freedman stable runner has shown consistent form with 4 wins from 8 starts. While 45 days between runs is a query, the stable's preparation methods and the horse's strong good track record (3 wins from 5) suggest readiness.
Madiyya offers value first-up for the Hayes stable with Luke Currie aboard. Perfect 2-from-2 at 1400m including a dominant win at this track distance. The 119-day spell is offset by the stable's excellent first-up record and Currie's 20% recent strike rate.
The Maher stable runner has solid 1400m credentials with a win and two placings. Logan Bates maintains an 18% strike rate with the stable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 18 | Capper Thirtynine | 7 | Rhys Mc Leod | Nick Ryan | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Lovelycut | 5 | Beau Mertens | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Cripps | 1 | Will Gordon | P Kearney | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 12 | Madiyya | 11 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Everain | 8 | Declan Bates | A & S Freedman | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Nation's Call | 9 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Theblade | 6 | Ryan Houston | M, W & J Hawkes | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 13 | Jazz Affair | 3 | Jett Stanley | R & C Jolly | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Star Sirius | 2 | Linda Meech | R & C Jolly | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Arcandam | 12 | Fred W Kersley | Daniel Bowman | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 19 | Epimeles | 4 | Jett Stanley | T Busuttin & N Young | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Modown | 15 | Jye McNeil | Charlotte Littlefield | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 1 | Farhh Flung | 10 | Dakotah Keane | D T O'Brien | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 14th | 7 | Elsie May | 19 | Dean Yendall | D J Bourne | 58.5kg | $151.00 |
| 15th | 8 | Mometz | 13 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 4 | So Risque | 18 | Luke Cartwright | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Prestige Forever | 20 | Julius Sandhu | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Enna's Dream | 16 | Molly Bourke | Alexander Rae | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Alero | 14 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 20 | Louis Barthas | 17 | Nick Ryan | 56.5kg |
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