Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Sunday 26 April 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The inside barrier is crucial at Hobart where front-running is favoured, and the strong Trinder/Byrne Burke combination adds confidence. Despite limited success at this track, the class drop and form trajectory suggest she's ready to break through.
However, barrier 6 is concerning at Hobart where inside draws dominate, and her lack of success at this track is notable.
The barrier 3 draw is ideal for the track's on-speed bias, and she's dropping back in class after some tough assignments. However, her recent form is patchy and she's yet to win at this distance, which creates some doubt about her ability to handle the 1600m trip effectively.
Montezulu offers genuine value based on his proven ability at this track and distance. His February win here and close second in similar company last month demonstrate he belongs at this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Skelmorlie | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 4 | Native Clan | 3 | David Pires | J L Keys | 56kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 5 | High Tail Eagle | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Montezulu | 4 | Kelvin Sanderson | J K Blacker | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Elegantly Written | 6 | Kirra-Lee Lane | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 7 | Steele My Sunshine | 5 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Miss Pebbles | 2 | Christopher Pang | Andrew Moore | 52kg | $61.00 |
Lawrenny Boys presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form and suitability. His consistent placing record (30% strike rate) and strong Hobart form (2 placings from 7 starts) make him well-suited. The inside barrier (3) aligns perfectly with Hobart's on-speed bias, and gear changes suggest connections expect improvement.
Too Much Too Soon brings strong Victorian form to Tasmania, having run second last start at Launceston. The filly has proven class, having contested Group 3 company, and now drops significantly in grade. Erica Byrne Burke's excellent recent form (30% strike rate) is a major positive. The wide barrier is concerning given Hobart's on-speed bias, but her proven ability and class edge make her a genuine threat.
The Ulucinar/Gandy combination has a solid 15% strike rate, and the filly has a good record second up. However, the wide barrier (10) is a significant concern at Hobart where forward position is crucial. She'll need to overcome the map to be competitive.
Queen Of Rap represents value as a lightly-raced filly with scope for improvement. Her debut 4th at Hobart was solid, and the significant weight advantage (52kg vs 58kg top weight) could be crucial in a maiden. The neutral barrier provides tactical options, and second-start improvement is common.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Too Much Too Soon | 8 | Erica Byrne Burke | Matthew Brown | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Wounded Eagle | 1 | Georgie Catania | J L Keys | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Lawrenny Boys | 3 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 56kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 9 | Queen Of Rap | 5 | Bree Temple | Sarah Cotton | 52kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Tigers On Top | 4 | Hayley Mc Carthy | Barry Baker | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Primrose Boy | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Need A Giggle | 6 | Christopher Pang | Ms A Fulton | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Northern Child | 9 | Kelvin Sanderson | S Gandy | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Can't Catch Chilli | 10 | Mehmet Ulucinar | S Gandy | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Whats New Pussycat | 7 | Lizzie Annells | R T Carr | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
Lightly raced filly showing clear improvement with two solid thirds at this distance. Inside barrier crucial at Hobart's on-speed track.
Consistent performer showing clear improvement with recent strong second.
Distance specialist with strong 1400m record returning to preferred trip. Quality jockey booking and gear change suggest stable confidence despite recent ordinary form over longer distances.
Consistent performer at this distance dropping significantly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Light Force | 5 | Bulent Muhcu | Ms R Hall | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Gold Tianna | 1 | Polly Brewster | R Seymour | 56.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 5 | May We All | 4 | Troy Baker | Barry Baker | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Lord Hear Us | 8 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Symphony Queen | 3 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 56kg | $3.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Luna Lindt | 9 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Geegees Big Bird | 2 | Kasi Boxall | Barry Baker | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Raider's Own | 7 | Kelvin Sanderson | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 6 | No Surprises | 10 | Hayley Mc Carthy | R T Carr | 58.5kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 9 | A Queens Buzz | 6 | Lauryn Bingley | S Gandy | 56kg | $7.00 |
The inside barrier suits Hobart's on-speed bias perfectly, and the progressive gelding appears ready for this step up in grade.
The most reliable stayer in the field with proven credentials at this track and distance. Recent form is solid and the soft track conditions suit perfectly. Top weight is a concern but the experience and proven ability at the trip make this a strong each-way chance.
Last start winner who maps perfectly from the good barrier. The mare has shown improvement and handles soft conditions well.
The roughie with proven ability at this track and distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Florence Glass | 3 | Troy Baker | J K Blacker | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Happy Clan | 7 | Kelvin Sanderson | J L Keys | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Veins Within Rock | 2 | Erica Byrne Burke | Matthew Brown | 55kg | $1.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Iffycould | 4 | Georgie Catania | J L Keys | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Goddess Of Rock | 6 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 52kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Reservoir Dog | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 52.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Fashion Fox | 1 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 54kg | $51.00 |
Toganmain presents the strongest winning case having won his last start at this exact track and distance combination. His perfect 1:1-0-0 record at Hobart 1400m is compelling, and the booking of in-form jockey David Pires (20% recent strike rate) suggests stable confidence.
Crystal Moonbeam brings excellent recent form with a dominant last start win and strong partnership with Georgie Catania. Her perfect Hobart record and ability to settle forward from the inside barrier aligns well with the track's on-speed bias. The class rise is a concern, but her improving trajectory and proven track affinity make her a strong threat.
Live On Love offers consistency and track specialization with a perfect Hobart record. The booking of in-form Erica Byrne Burke (30% recent strike rate) is a strong positive, and her forward barrier position suits the track bias. However, the step up to 1400m and class rise present challenges for this lightly raced mare.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Geegee Strawberry | 8 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Toganmain | 4 | David Pires | G J Stevenson | 56kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 2 | Lontano | 3 | Christopher Pang | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Tribal Council | 5 | Bree Temple | Sarah Cotton | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Crystal Moonbeam | 6 | Georgie Catania | Ms R Hall | 56kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Live On Love | 2 | Erica Byrne Burke | Jessie Bazan | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Carnelian Rock | 9 | Polly Brewster | J K Blacker | 53.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Mateus | 1 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 57kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Purr Sefanee | 7 | Chloe Wells | Bradley Franklin | 57.5kg |
Recent maiden winner stepping up in class but has shown consistent form in higher grades previously. Forward barrier draw and proven ability at the distance make this the most reliable selection despite the class rise.
Last start maiden winner with strong credentials but faces significant challenges. The wide barrier is concerning at Hobart where inside draws dominate, and the step up to 1600m is untested. However, the recent win was impressive and the jockey is in excellent form.
The significant class drop and inside barrier provide strong positional advantages at Hobart. First-time blinkers could spark improvement, and the light weight helps. Despite poor overall statistics, the race conditions strongly favour this runner's chances of improvement.
Represents excellent value despite recent poor form. The combination of significant class drop, light weight, and inside barrier creates ideal conditions for improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Blooming Edge | 1 | Jabez Johnstone | R Seymour | 55.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Merlin Beach | 6 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J Stevenson | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 9 | Ice Crystal | 4 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | I'm A Machine | 9 | Erica Byrne Burke | Drew Tyson | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 8 | The Tazwegian | 7 | Chloe Wells | M A Ganderton | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Whisper Of Matilda | 5 | Christopher Pang | Stephen Lockhart | 52kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 7 | South Georgia | 2 | Bree Temple | T W Evans | 51kg | $4.60 |
| 8th | 3 | Star Performer | 10 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Argyll Diamond | 8 | Georgie Catania | Ms R Hall | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Rippen Gold | 3 | Polly Brewster | Drew Tyson | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Miss Niagara | 11 | Catherine Van Munster | R Seymour | 54kg | $61.00 |
Excellent Hobart record (3 wins from 14 starts) and strong jockey/trainer combination. Barrier 8 suits settling pattern and the form improvement is genuine. Class rise is manageable given recent winning form.
Recent winning form is strong with two victories from last four starts. The barrier draw suits and the weight drop is advantageous for this class level.
Last start winner who maps well from barrier 2 for an on-pace position. Consistent recent form and proven at the distance. The class rise is a concern but the forward position should help in Hobart's on-speed biased racing pattern.
Recent form is solid and soft track record is strong.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Hurricane Ketut | 2 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Sky Land | 9 | David Pires | J L Keys | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Flying Billie | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | Christie Burt | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 2 | Just A Needs | 1 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 59kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Sandual | 8 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Agnete | 5 | Kirra-Lee Lane | G J Stevenson | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Golden Meadow | 4 | Christopher Pang | S Gandy | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Stardarmus | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Rich Clan | 6 | Polly Brewster | J L Keys | 52kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Steel Mist | 3 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $101.00 |
The mare has proven herself at this track/distance combination and maps to settle in the ideal on-pace position from barrier 2.
The strong jockey/horse combination and proven soft track ability provide confidence, though she needs to reverse the last start result with Flying Concello.
The inside barrier suits her on-pace style perfectly at Hobart, and the weight drop provides additional assistance. Recent form suggests she's ready to peak.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Flying Concello | 2 | Bree Temple | Jessie Bazan | 56.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Zulu Fields | 4 | Christopher Pang | Patrick Dargan | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Material Madam | 7 | Mehmet Ulucinar | S Gandy | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Esprit Diva | 1 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Swinging It | 9 | Bulent Muhcu | Brendan McShane | 54kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Bellasario | 8 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Araya Sunshine | 6 | Troy Baker | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Gingerson | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | J F Luttrell | 53.5kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Wednesday's Boss | 5 | Chloe Wells | Jessie Bazan | 54kg | $15.00 |
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