Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 29 May 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The standout selection based on proven form and track experience. Barrier 2 is ideal for heavy track positioning, and recent racing keeps him sharp. While winless, he's the only runner with meaningful form credentials in a weak maiden field.
Barrier 1 is ideal for the heavy track bias toward leaders, and the stallion chain suggests a horse with ability that needs control.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Fehmarn | 2 | Remi Tremsal | Ms R Waymouth | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 10 | Tickety Boo | 1 | Jackie Beriman | Colin Scott | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Inabliss | 8 | Ruby Lamont | Jaymee Cockram | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Peninsula Rose | 4 | Beau Mertens | Clayton Douglas | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 4 | I Am Popular | 7 | Makisha Salter | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Blitz Air | 5 | Luke Cartwright | Mitchell Leek | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Lovely Head | 6 | Jackson Radley | Mitchell Leek | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Throme The Money | 3 | Melea Castle | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 56kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Shares | 3 | K & K Keys | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Lost The Plot | 9 | Adam Mc Cabe | Shannon Roughan | 56kg |
Promising I Am Invincible colt showed significant improvement second-up with a narrow defeat at Bendigo. The breeding and recent form suggest strong upside despite limited Heavy track exposure.
Debut runner from Lucy Yeomans stable with significant gear changes suggesting readiness. The barrier position allows tactical flexibility, though Heavy track debut remains the key unknown.
Hayes-trained colt drops significantly in class after Group 3 placing at Flemington. The stable's strong first-up record combined with Currie's booking suggests confidence. Winkers added for debut Heavy track exposure, but the class edge and professional connections make this the standout despite barrier concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Fontein Jewel | 11 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Attention Please | 9 | Jamie Melham | Lucy Yeomans | 56kg | $1.60 |
| 3rd | 13 | Frewdamoss | 1 | Jamie Mott | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Dancell | 7 | Beau Mertens | Scott Cameron | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Exacting Standard | 4 | Zac Spain | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 14 | Speedy Khalesi | 5 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $21.00 | |
| 7th | 11 | Nautique | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | Charlotte Littlefield | 56kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Baccano | 13 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Carnevale | 12 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Opunake | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | M W Walker | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Autumn Rainbow | 3 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Bettylou Who | 5 | Craig Williams | G M Begg | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Marbles | 6 | Logan Bates | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Written Wand | 10 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Levrier | 9 | M M Laurie | 58kg |
The only runner with proven form at this track and distance, finishing third last start in similar conditions. Despite limited experience, the placing form and track familiarity provide significant edge over field of maidens.
Strong Heavy track form with third placing at this exact track and distance last preparation. The 5kg weight advantage and proven wet track ability make this a strong each-way proposition despite first-up concerns.
Hayes-trained runner with proven Heavy track form and first-up placing ability. The quality stable preparation and jockey booking suggest readiness despite the long spell. Wide barrier suits natural running style.
Debut runner with strong jockey booking from Luke Cartwright who is in excellent form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Loft Vega | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Alexander Rae | 57.5kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 2 | French Gift | 10 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Next Tuesday | 5 | Luke Cartwright | Charlotte Littlefield | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Seinfeld | 8 | Beau Mertens | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Blue Blue Day | 1 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Shadow Storm | 4 | Jackson Radley | Mitchell Leek | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Zouthila | 7 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Hurry Up Poppy | 6 | Ruby Lamont | M C Kent | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Midnight Loot | 3 | Peter Ioannou | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Shines Discreetly | 2 | Sheridan Clarke | Matthew Brown | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Ivy Princess | 9 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 57.5kg |
Best heavy track credentials in the field with 2 placings from 5 heavy starts. Maps ideally from barrier 5 to settle prominently, which is crucial on this track. Narrow second at Kilmore on Heavy 9 shows ability to handle these conditions. Gear change and strong jockey booking suggest connections confident.
Jye McNeil's booking is a strong positive signal, and the filly has proven stamina for the distance. However, lacks heavy track experience and maps poorly from barrier 7.
Showed significant improvement with strong second at Mornington over similar distance. The filly weight allowance helps, and form trend is positive. However, wide barrier and lack of heavy track experience are concerns, especially given the track bias favoring inside runners.
Has heavy track experience and distance proven credentials.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Autumn Diamonds | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Rhiannon Schiffer | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Thunderbolt Way | 5 | Fred W Kersley | Nelson Smyth | 59.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Linkenholt | 1 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Itsagiven | 9 | Adam Mc Cabe | David & Coral Feek | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 9 | Creusa | 7 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 12 | Wynorrific | 4 | Jackson Radley | E & D Browne | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Lucky Chance | 8 | Lachlan King | E V Musgrove | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Ninth Century | 10 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Ranselot | 2 | Joe Bowditch | Ms B Dunn | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Greenhill Gal | 12 | Melea Castle | Chris Diplock | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Noble Falcon | 6 | Thomas Stockdale | Mitchell Leek | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 3 | Luxor Gold | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Sign Up | 4 | Jamie Mott | G M Begg | 59.5kg |
Progressive 3yo gelding showing strong improvement through grades. The cross-over nose band addition suggests stable confidence, and his tactical speed should suit the heavy track conditions at Pakenham where position is crucial.
Consistent performer who ran an excellent second at this track and distance last start. His soft track record suggests he'll handle the heavy conditions, while the wide barrier actually suits heavy track racing where leaders dominate. The strong Mott/McArdle combination adds confidence to this class drop.
Last start winner at this track in heavy conditions makes strong appeal. His heavy track record is perfect, and the Fiorente breeding suggests he'll relish the testing conditions.
Last start winner who maps perfectly for heavy track conditions from the inside barrier. Her heavy track record is strong, and the light weight combined with proven distance ability makes her excellent value. The inside draw is crucial on heavy tracks where position determines the outcome.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Mahers Landing | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | G M Begg | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 12 | Zeyno | 7 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Nearco Frod | 4 | Jackson Radley | T & C McEvoy | 61kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Winston | 12 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 61kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Pressurised | 13 | Thomas Stockdale | Mitchell Leek | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Parvati Party | 1 | Dakotah Keane | Lucy Yeomans | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Kazungula | 5 | Fred W Kersley | Jarrod Robinson | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Sparkle Link | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | G Eurell | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Move On In | 9 | Olivia East | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Notabadbuy | 6 | Joe Bowditch | Colin Scott | 61.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 3 | One Brother | 11 | Ruby Lamont | M C Kent | 59kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Warchime | 3 | Luke Nolen | Brett Scott | 61kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Burlington Gate | 8 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg |
The barrier 2 draw is crucial on this tactical heavy surface, allowing early positioning. Recent close second at Seymour confirms current fitness and the significant class drop into Class 1 company suits perfectly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Mongolian Gobi | 8 | Jye McNeil | Peter Gelagotis | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 1 | Zebra Finch | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 59kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Artful Lodger | 3 | Luke Cartwright | A R McGregor | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Unriddle | 4 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Military Base | 7 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Think I'm Divine | 9 | Bailey Kinninmont | Kasey Besanko | 52kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Rose Sangria | 2 | Jade Da Rose | D C Harrison | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Bolting Blue | 6 | Logan Bates | R D Griffiths | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Gunz | 2 | S Jokic | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Flying Mean | 1 | C W McDonald | 57.5kg |
Promised Land's second-up statistics (2 wins from 3 starts) make him a serious threat. His recent Heavy track run was encouraging, finishing close-up, and Jake Noonan has a perfect record on the horse. The wide barrier is concerning but his proven second-up ability and Heavy track form provide strong credentials.
His track/distance record shows consistency with a place and third from 3 starts. The inside barrier and Jye McNeil booking are positives, though recent form has been disappointing.
Sweet Jasmine stands out as the most logical winner with a perfect Heavy track record (2 wins from 2 starts) and strong recent form. The distance suits perfectly with an excellent 8:2-3-0 record at 1600m.
Hey Bella offers value based on her exceptional Pakenham 1600m record (2 wins, 1 third from 4 starts) and recent winning form. While untested on Heavy tracks, her Soft track record suggests wet track ability. The class rise is concerning but her track specialization and current form make her overpriced.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Promised Land | 9 | Jake Noonan | Patrick Payne | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Garnacho | 2 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Stay Silent | 8 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Hey Bella | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | Luke Oliver | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Winter Grace | 7 | Bailey Kinninmont | P Foster | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Rising Star | 1 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 56kg | $4.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Modown | 5 | Jamie Mott | Charlotte Littlefield | 62.5kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Sweet Jasmine | 4 | Luke Oliver | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Helping Hands | 3 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 55kg |
Her consistent placing record and proven class suggest she can be competitive, but the wide barrier and poor Heavy track record are significant concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Blue Bandit | 2 | Jye McNeil | J Leek Jnr | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Queensbury | 3 | Beau Mertens | J F Moloney | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Gallant Prince | 8 | Clayton Douglas | 59kg | $3.20 | |
| 4th | 11 | Honey Maker | 10 | Jake Noonan | Shawn Mathrick | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Mongolian City | 6 | Fred W Kersley | Peter Gelagotis | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Fearless Writer | 9 | Luke Cartwright | A R McGregor | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Express Guard | 5 | Luke Nolen | Brad Cunningham | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Naughty Sort | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | Glen Thompson | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Cameron Falls | 10 | Jackson Radley | Lee & Shannon Hope | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Centu Cavaddi | 4 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Al Prancer | 8 | K & K Keys | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Join The Que | 1 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg |
Before the races, not after
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