Coffs Harbour tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Nick Heywood

Colorado Tycoon finally broke through for a placing last start on heavy ground over 1509m, indicating the step up to 1518m suits him well. He has improving form and is proven in the conditions. Barrier 6 is a minor concern but he can settle midfield and be within striking distance at the turn.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Mikayla Weir

Halloween Holly is an improving mare who ran a solid 3rd on heavy ground last time out. From barrier 1, she should be able to find a forward position and capitalise on the inside bias at Coffs Harbour. The step up to 1518m is a query, but her running style suggests she can handle it.

Our price $4.00 · SP $15.00 · Grace Palmer

Egyptian Lass is the most solid form runner for heavy conditions. Fresh off a close 2nd at Grafton on a heavy 9, she drops 1kg and draws barrier 5, perfectly suited to the Coffs Harbour heavy pattern where forward position is king. Grace Palmer’s 20% strike rate with the trainer adds confidence. While winless, she consistently hits the board and should be at prime fitness.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Liberty Smyth

In Bocca Al Lupe appeals as the value runner with genuine heavy track credentials. First-up he placed, suggesting readiness.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Danny Peisley

Historically, winners from double-digit barriers on heavy here are rare, and her only heavy run was a distant 4th. She's likely to be positioned back in the field, which makes her vulnerable. A place chance but not the win.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Ben Looker

Be More Pacific is the most reliable winning chance. He has placed on Heavy 8 twice recently, including a close 2nd at Tuncurry and a 4th at Coffs Harbour from wide barriers. The speed map places him on the lead, which is a proven advantage under Heavy conditions at Coffs. Ben Looker's strong track stats add confidence. While barrier 8 is a negative, his early speed should offset it in this modest field.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Grady Spokes

New Beginnings made a promising debut on Heavy 9 at Grafton, finishing 4th beaten less than a length from a wide gate. She now draws barrier 2 with a light weight of 55kg, setting her up for a forward run. The step up to 1218m suits, and natural improvement from first to second start is expected.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Yvette Lewis

Dellucy is the best value proposition. Despite being winless, she is racing consistently and has placed twice in her last three starts. The wide barrier is a concern, but with midfield positioning she should be within striking distance at the 400m.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Jon Grisedale

Bow has been racing in BM82 grade and now drops sharply to BM66, a significant class advantage. Barrier 6 is not ideal but manageable. He is a genuine each-way threat if he repeats his better efforts.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Danny Peisley

Five Rings comes off a win on synthetic and has an inside barrier today. He has placed on heavy but lacks a win on it. The class rise is minor, but he may need a more testing surface to show his best.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.90 · Grady Spokes

Wanjina Rose is a proven heavy-track and Coffs Harbour specialist who has been in outstanding form, winning her last two starts at the track on heavy ground. She draws well in barrier 3 and will settle on pace, perfectly suiting the Coffs heavy bias that favours leaders and inside draws. The rise to BM66 is the only query, but her class and wet-track ability should compensate.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Olivia Dalton

Jewels Statement is a consistent mare who ran well on heavy last start, finishing third at Port Macquarie. She draws well and will be prominent in the run, suiting the Coffs heavy track bias. While she lacks a win at this exact distance and has only one heavy start, her overall form is solid and she should be in the finish.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Jodi Worley

Ottoman Empire looks the one to beat. His second-up record is outstanding (2 wins from 8) and barrier 3 gives him the chance to settle midfield and strike late. The heavy track at Coffs rewards inside draws and on-pace positioning, both of which suit him well.

Our price $4.50 · SP $11.00 · Poppie Gorton

Single Touch is a class dropper from BM82/74 company into BM58, with a strong heavy track record (2 wins from 5). He's a natural leader, which is critical at Coffs on heavy where winners settle top 3-5 at the 400m. His recent 4th at Taree on Heavy 8 was solid behind stronger opposition. With the 3kg claim, he effectively carries less weight and should control the tempo.

Our price $3.20 · SP $8.50 · Olivia Dalton

He has an excellent heavy record with two wins from four starts, and he maps to race on the speed from barrier 5. Recent form is consistent with a string of minor placings in BM58/66 grade. However, he hasn't raced on heavy for several months and his overall win strike rate is low. He is a solid place chance but may lack the finishing edge to beat the class dropper Single Touch.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Danny Peisley

Immortal Storm won impressively on a Heavy 10 at Coffs first up, leading throughout and winning comfortably. He steps up to BM58 grade but is a 3yo gelding with clear upside. Second up he has placed previously, and from barrier 4 he can again take up a forward position. The main concern is the jockey's poor record at the track, but the horse's ability on heavy and the favourable map make him a strong each-way threat.

Our price $12.00 · SP $7.00

She has placed in three of her last four starts on heavy, including two third placings at Coffs and Port Macquarie. She typically settles midfield or back, which is not ideal at Coffs on heavy, but she has proven she can run on when within striking distance.