Dubbo tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.30 · Mitchell Bell

Head Kahuna is the most credible form runner in this field with consistent placings at 1000m and some wet-track exposure. While the Heavy 9 is more extreme than the Soft 5 conditions it has encountered, it has demonstrated ability to handle rain-affected ground. Race-fit with 21 days between runs, barrier 4 allows a forward position. The inability to win is a concern but in a weak maiden field, its consistency gives it the best winning chance.

Our price $15.00 · SP $26.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Nucleaire shows an improving trend with a recent 3rd at Parkes and is second up from a spell with good preparation. Jockey Pracey-Holmes is in strong form.

Our price $12.00 · SP $11.00 · Clayton Gallagher

Rutley Exceeds is a speculative value play based primarily on the gear change, Clayton Gallagher's strong Dubbo record, and the class drop. The 341-day absence is a major concern and the wide barrier 14 on a Heavy 9 track is problematic. However, the removal of the cross-over nose band combined with Gallagher's local knowledge could produce an improved performance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Winona Costin

Hulaland drops back from a Listed race where she ran 9th, which represents significant class relief. Her win at Muswellbrook and placing on Soft 5 provide some wet track credentials, and the Headwater sire profile suits wet conditions.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Braith Nock

Italus is a debutant from the Angus Stewart stable, a trainer with solid country credentials. Braith Nock's 20% recent strike rate is the best in the field and represents genuine stable intent. The heavy track is an unknown but the gear changes indicate thorough preparation. Assessed as a genuine chance on proxy metrics despite the data void.

Our price $15.00 · SP $11.00 · Gabrielle Johnston

Seditio is a debutant from the W T Wilkes stable carrying the equal lightest weight at 57kg - a meaningful advantage on Heavy 9 ground. The lugging bit application suggests the horse has been showing speed in preparation. Johnston has track familiarity at Dubbo with 5 placings from 10 rides. However, Johnston's current form is poor (0 wins from 20 recent rides) which tempers enthusiasm. A speculative value play only.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Mikayla Weir

Zealands Princess won her last start at Dubbo and retains the same jockey who partnered her to victory. Barrier 2 is ideal on Heavy 9. However, she has no heavy track experience and her only soft track run was a poor 9th at Scone. The class rise from Maiden to Class 1 is a challenge. The Dubbo track familiarity and improving form trend provide some confidence, but the wet track unknown is a significant risk at Heavy 9 conditions.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Izzy Neale

His second-up record shows 1 win from 1 second-up start, and he has a Dubbo track win on his record. His soft track experience (4 starts including a win) gives him some wet track credentials. The light weight of 54.5kg and advantageous barrier 6 suit the Heavy 9 conditions.

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.50 · Winona Costin

The tongue tie application signals trainer intent for improvement. While no heavy track experience is a concern, the lightweight 55.5kg and proven distance form make this the most credible form-based selection.

Our price $18.00 · SP $21.00 · Georgina Mc Donnell

Her Dubbo track and distance record of 1 win, 1 place from 2 starts is highly relevant. The gear change (winkers off) and light weight of 55kg are positives.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Aaron Bullock

Josephine is second up from a spell and drops significantly in class from Class 1 to BM58. The class drop is the standout positive, though the last-start 14th at Scone is concerning.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Jean Van Overmeire

The class drop from BM72 to BM58 is significant, and jockey Van Overmeire is in outstanding form with 7 wins from his last 20 rides.

Our price $10.00 · SP $10.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

Trumpty Dumpty is the standout selection based on proven Dubbo 1300m BM58 form, winning here in December 2025. Crucially, this horse has a 1-from-1 record on heavy tracks - the only runner in the field with a heavy track win. The wide barrier is a concern on heavy ground but Dubbo's track profile reduces this impact. Jockey Van Overmeire is in red-hot form (35% last 20).

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Kody Nestor

Cooma Hut arrives in excellent form having won last start on Soft 6 at Quirindi and finishing second at Dubbo just weeks ago. While the heavy track record is untested beyond one start, the wet track form on soft is encouraging. Kody Nestor is riding well and the horse maps to settle midfield from barrier 14.

Our price $12.00 · SP $8.50 · Braith Nock

The 4-year-old is improving and handles wet conditions well.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.70 · Jacob Stiff

Kranich is the standout selection on wet track suitability grounds. The gelding won on Heavy 9 at Rosehill and has a 3-1-3 record across soft and heavy combined. Light weight of 55.5kg and Jacob Stiff in the saddle with a solid Dubbo record.

Our price $14.00 · SP $21.00 · Mitchell Bell

Shaggy Rogers has strong overall metrics with a 25% win rate and 50% place rate, and the Cavanough stable is in good form. Barrier 8 suits a midfield run on heavy Dubbo. However, the horse is rising significantly in class and Bell's current form is poor.