Ballarat tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.30 · Jye McNeil

Forbidden Desire drops significantly in class after competing in Open and Listed company. While untested on heavy, her soft track form is solid and she maps to be on speed from barrier 9. The class drop alone gives her a massive edge in this weak maiden.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.50 · John Allen

Barrier 4 is advantageous at Ballarat. While heavy track debut is a test, the stable typically has them ready. Gear changes indicate intent. If she handles the conditions, she is a live chance.

Our price $20.00 · SP $91.00 · Damien Thornton

Oh So Vein is a 151-1 chance but comes off a credible 3rd on Heavy10 at Hamilton. That run suggests she handles the conditions better than many here. Not likely but offers value.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.00 · Billy Egan

Barrier 2 allows a comfortable forward position, and jockey Billy Egan has strong recent form. Against a moderate maiden field with many unproven on heavy, she presents the most reliable winning chance.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.00 · Teodore Nugent

Red Rabbit has been consistent, with three placings from three starts, including a close second on Soft 5 at Great Western. However, the wide barrier and first-up query on heavy ground temper enthusiasm. She will need luck from the draw but has the class to feature if the heavy track doesn't pose issues.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Cian Macredmond

Barrier 1 is perfect for the inside bias on heavy at Ballarat. Andrew Noblet is a capable trainer, but the unknown is how this horse handles heavy going and race pressure.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · Eoin Walsh

With the benefit of that experience and a light weight, she should improve. Barrier 5 is good, and the heavy track may suit her breeding.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · Declan Bates

Wolfoffitroystreet has been ultra-consistent with four placings from four starts. He returns from a spell but maps well from barrier 3. The heavy track is a query, but his soft-track form suggests he can handle it. A key threat if fit enough.

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Damien Thornton

Taglow gets a significant weight drop and barrier advantage.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Declan Bates

Dancing Dolly is the most reliable contender. She has a heavy track placing (4th at Bendigo Heavy9) and a win at Ballarat on soft. She has been consistent in similar class, and Declan Bates has an excellent record aboard her. The wide barrier is a concern but she can settle midfield and improve into the bend, matching the ideal Heavy Ballarat profile. She is the most likely winner.

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Jye McNeil

Jawsome Rob broke his maiden in good style at Bendigo over 1500m and has previously placed on a heavy track (Bendigo Heavy9). He is improving and now gets Jye McNeil in the saddle.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Cian Macredmond

Miss Deceiver is the only horse in the field with a heavy track win, and she followed up with a strong third in BM62 grade.

Our price $15.00 · SP $15.00 · Emily Pozman

Our Little Star is a consistent mare who ran a strong second at this track last start. She carries just 56kg with the claim and has placed on heavy before.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Sam Kennedy

He drops 5kg from his last start and drew barrier 2, which should allow him to race handy. He ran a strong 2nd in a BM66 on soft two starts ago. Heavy track is a slight risk but he wasn't disgraced on it last time. With weight advantage and a good map, he can run a big race and possibly upset.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Dean Yendall

Cachink is the value selection. He comes out of an Open race at Casterton where he ran 4th, then previously placed 3rd on heavy at Pakenham over 2000m. He drops to BM66 company, which is a clear class advantage. The wide barrier is a concern on heavy Ballarat but if he can settle midfield he has the stamina to finish.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · Will Gordon

Sacred Fort is the most proven wet-track runner in the field, with three seconds from five heavy starts. He returned from a spell with an excellent second on Heavy10 and now goes second-up where his record is strong (1 win, 1 placing).

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.00 · Will Gordon

Danzsin has proven he can handle heavy ground with a maiden win on Heavy10, before struggling in BM70 grade. Dropping back to BM62 with a good barrier draw is a positive. The 62kg top weight is a query, but his class edge and wet-track form make him a strong place chance. He should settle handy and be in the finish if reproducing his best.

Our price $14.00 · SP $31.00 · Craig Newitt

Time Bandit has a win on heavy and now drops from BM66 to BM62, which is a notable class relief. Craig Newitt is in outstanding form with 5 wins from his last 20 rides. While recent efforts haven't been great, the drop in grade and a strong jockey booking could spark improvement.