Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Monday 15 June 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 10 races at Pakenham Synthetic. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Lightly-raced gelding from elite stable showing clear improvement. Last start third on heavy track demonstrates stamina for 2200m step-up. Blinkers first time and inside barrier provide key advantages on pace-biased track.
Consistent filly with proven distance ability and wet track form. Strong second at Mornington over similar distance shows stamina credentials. Recent close fourth maintains form line but wide barrier poses challenge on this track configuration.
Recent placings show consistent form and proven distance ability at 2100m. Blinkers first time and elite jockey booking suggest stable confidence despite challenging barrier draw.
Inside barrier and in-form jockey provide tactical advantages. Distance step-up is query but recent form suggests capability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Luxor Gold | 3 | Craig Newitt | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Creusa | 7 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Linkenholt | 1 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 9 | Itsagiven | 9 | Adam Mc Cabe | David & Coral Feek | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 8 | French Court | 2 | Zac Spain | Andrew Angelone | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Mortal Peak | 4 | Liana Wood | S C Bottomley | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Dandynomite | 5 | Bailey Kinninmont | C J Davis | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Moon Reveller | 8 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Clydebank Robber | 6 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Susie Wells | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Pronounced | 1 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg |
Cacchione presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form showing a close second at Wangaratta and consistent placings.
Angel In Black offers strong each-way value despite being first up from a lengthy spell. Her close second at Kyneton and Group 3 experience at Caulfield demonstrate ability above this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Angel In Black | 7 | Lachlan Neindorf | Charlotte Littlefield | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 9 | Shares | 10 | Zac Spain | K & K Keys | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Donato | 5 | Patrick Moloney | Brett Scott | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Perfect Link | 9 | Billy Egan | G Eurell | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Immortalised | 3 | Jason Maskiell | Jason Warren | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Cacchione | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | Dominic Sutton | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 7th | 12 | Earthstone | 4 | Joe Bowditch | Ms W Kelly | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Flying Gentry | 2 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Absent | 1 | Craig Newitt | G Eurell | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Poetic Way | 11 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 58kg | $4.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Jack The Judge | 6 | Adam Mc Cabe | Logan McGill | 58kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Beautiful Bevy | 12 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg |
Freedman stable debut with quality jockey Stackhouse from ideal barrier 2. The 17% trainer/jockey combination and inside draw provide strong foundation.
Consistent performer with strong recent form including narrow second. Second up record shows 50% place rate.
Consistent placer with recent second at Hamilton. Quality jockey booking and second up record provide confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Paramount Plus | 5 | Zac Spain | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 12 | Vegas Missile | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Astropartical | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 8 | Soundwave | 8 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Don''t Tell Harry | 6 | Luke Nolen | Rory Hunter | 59.5kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Fox Peril | 4 | Dylan Dunn | Ms N Burke | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Watch The Fort | 13 | Jake Noonan | Vincent Hall | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Pump The Pedals | 11 | Craig Newitt | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Builtthiscity | 1 | Jason Maskiell | D J Walkley | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 7 | San Marco Kid | 10 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Askmumaskdad | 3 | Ben Kennedy | Craig Anderson | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 11 | Zareenee | 7 | Liana Wood | Martin Gray | 53.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Lightning Joey | 12 | Brad Rawiller | Logan McGill | 59.5kg |
Second up from spell with improving pattern and strong connections. Wide draw is concerning but slow tempo should allow settling options. Best winning chance despite maiden status.
Consistent performer second up from spell with solid recent form. Quality jockey booking and gear change suggest stable confidence. Wide draw is negative but consistent form profile makes this a genuine threat.
Promising form including recent close second suggests ability to compete.
Debut runner from quality stable with strong jockey booking. Freedman stable typically has debutants ready and McNeil's track record is solid. Blinkers first time and lightweight suggest preparation focus. Value chance in weak maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | King Maywin | 17 | Jamie Mott | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 11 | Prague Pride | 16 | Luke Nolen | C W McDonald | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Macca''s Angel | 5 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Ask Your Mother | 10 | Zac Spain | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Crunch Time | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | J D Sadler | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Sheezadee | 8 | Jye McNeil | A & S Freedman | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Testy Nic | 12 | Damien Thornton | Andrew Noblet | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Cashemcowboy | 7 | Sheridan Clarke | D Binaisse | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Gemofsixteencarats | 2 | Brad Rawiller | Logan McGill | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Warish | 4 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Perfect Pair | 1 | Jake Noonan | A & J Williams | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Frozone | 3 | Logan McNeil | S Fliedner | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Pride Of Mandy | 11 | Neil Farley | C I Brown | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Downtherabbithole | 13 | Nathan Punch | Brian McGrath | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Sports Mode | 15 | C J Davis | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Think About Her | 18 | Jordan Childs | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Rockin'' Dee Fox | 6 | Ben Kennedy | Jim Cerchi Jnr | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Rangatoo | 14 | C J Davis | 57.5kg |
Hit Squad presents as the most reliable winning chance despite being second up from a spell. The gelding has shown consistent form with two placings from two synthetic track starts, indicating surface suitability.
Tennesseetwopiece offers solid each-way value with proven 1600m form including a recent second at Kilmore. The gelding has contested three races all at 1600m+ with consistent close finishes, suggesting the distance suits. While barrier 12 is a concern on this track, the slow tempo may allow him to find a position. The Maskiell/Howley partnership is showing signs of improvement.
The step up to 1600m is untested but his breeding suggests it should suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Duntulm Lass | 11 | Damien Thornton | J D Sadler | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | The Lady Venus | 13 | Alana Kelly | Daniel Kelly | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Hit Squad | 8 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 9 | Polar Perspective | 2 | Luke Nolen | M C Kent | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Rowdy Express | 3 | Ben Allen | K & K Keys | 59.5kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Tennesseetwopiece | 12 | Jason Maskiell | Liam Howley | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Regalade | 6 | Jamie Mott | C W McDonald | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Tennessee Link | 7 | Jye McNeil | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Crystal Jade | 17 | Zac Spain | Nathan Dunn | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 8 | Jezebel Jenni | 4 | Thomas Stockdale | M W Walker | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 11th | 12 | Southern Sunshine | 10 | Koby Jennings | Mitchell Leek | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Dr Davinci | 16 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Reel Deadly | 14 | C Maher | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Eye Tracker | 1 | Shane Jackson | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Bucks Night | 15 | Alana Kelly | Daniel Kelly | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Mr Vegas | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | C I Brown | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Highland Dash | 5 | Jaymee Cockram | 57.5kg |
Pray Day offers excellent value from the inside barrier with proven ability at the distance. Recent Pakenham winner who should appreciate the return to synthetic surface after struggling on heavy track last start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Love Sparkles | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | Lucy Yeomans | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Zeshadow | 11 | Billy Egan | Andrew Noblet | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 9 | Queen Of The Surf | 6 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Cosmic | 15 | Luke Nolen | Shane Jackson | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Pray Day | 2 | Jamie Mott | T Rogers | 58.5kg | $3.40 |
| 6th | 12 | Thunder Zeus | 12 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Count Of Toulouse | 5 | Jackie Beriman | Dale Short | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Frozen Tide | 13 | Logan McNeil | S Fliedner | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Shrewsbury Road | 9 | Jye McNeil | Simon Zahra | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Analytical | 10 | Damien Thornton | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Tivaci Code | 7 | Joe Bowditch | Gavin Bedggood | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Amawasha | 14 | Luke Cartwright | Mitchell Leek | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Burning Sensation | 3 | John Keating | Saab Hasan | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Give Some Lip | 8 | Zac Spain | Reece Goodwin | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Stand By Me Ned | 4 | Patrick Moloney | Ms M Lawson | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Groshawk | 9 | Aftab Shaikh | 54kg |
Bronte Beach presents as the most likely winner based on form analysis. Her 2 wins from 5 starts at 1400m demonstrates distance suitability, and the slight class drop from BM66 to BM70 is favorable. The moderate tempo should suit her on-pace style.
Keane Enuff brings strong credentials with excellent recent form including a close second last start. His outstanding 1400m record (3 wins from 8 starts) and proven synthetic track ability make him a major threat. The Stackhouse/Leek combination is reliable, though the wide barrier presents a challenge on this pace-favoring track.
White Hot Mama brings impressive credentials with a recent Pakenham win and outstanding strike rate. The perfect jockey/trainer combination and ideal barrier draw provide significant advantages. However, the class rise from BM62 represents a genuine test of her ability against stronger opposition.
The good barrier draw and soft track credentials provide additional appeal, though she needs to bounce back from a poor last start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Surreal I Am | 9 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Raikoke | 5 | Dylan Dean | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 61kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Bronte Beach | 6 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Double Pi | 3 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Keane Enuff | 10 | Daniel Stackhouse | Andrea Leek | 60.5kg | $3.80 |
| 6th | 8 | Materazzi | 4 | Zac Spain | G Eurell | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Al Prancer | 7 | Craig Newitt | K & K Keys | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 4 | White Hot Mama | 2 | Dakotah Keane | C W McDonald | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Phantom Prince | 8 | Bailey Kinninmont | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Bencouver | 1 | Luke Nolen | M J Mehegan | 56kg | $31.00 |
Mafee stands out with a perfect synthetic track record of 2 wins from 3 starts at Pakenham. His recent second at Geelong confirms current form, and the inside barrier (5) is ideal for this track's bias.
Her perfect record at 1000m (1-1-0 from 3 starts) is impressive, and the Hayes stable provides confidence. The class rise is manageable given her ability.
The gear changes (blinkers back on, ear muffs added) suggest connections are trying to spark improvement, and Luke Nolen's booking indicates stable confidence despite recent form decline.
Lake Forest offers value as a first-up specialist (50% strike rate) dropping in class. His two close seconds before the spell, including a narrow defeat at this track over 1000m, suggest he can be competitive fresh.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lake Forest | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 61kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 6 | Mafee | 5 | Zac Spain | Reece Goodwin | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 13 | She''s Elusive | 11 | John Keating | Saab Hasan | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Maya''s Ace | 7 | Damien Thornton | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Cavern | 8 | Billy Egan | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Fierce Dreams | 12 | Fred W Kersley | Nick Ryan | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Marilyn''s Edge | 4 | Luke Nolen | Shawn Mathrick | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Absolute Power | 18 | Luke Cartwright | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Magic Drum | 17 | Ben Kennedy | Kasey Wilson | 61kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Meet Me Halfway | 14 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Tassorting | 15 | Craig Newitt | Jerome Hunter | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Affirmative Lad | 16 | Dylan Dean | J F Moloney | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Astari | 9 | Jamie Mott | M W Walker | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Octrain | 6 | M Croston & G Gilmour | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Flying Mean | 2 | C W McDonald | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Shamateur | 10 | Logan McNeil | S Fliedner | 58kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Pantoja | 13 | Ryan Houston | Logan McGill | 58kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Doc''s Nipper | 1 | Joe Bowditch | Colin Scott | 57.5kg |
Duel Venture brings strong recent form with a last start win and good track experience at Pakenham Synthetic.
Mr Butt's Boats offers value with the first-time blinkers application and solid recent form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Happy Link | 8 | Billy Egan | G Eurell | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Regal Secret | 9 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 60.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Primal Spirit | 4 | Bailey Kinninmont | Reece Goodwin | 63.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Empressive Enuff | 16 | Patrick Moloney | D Binaisse | 60.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Duel Venture | 7 | Joe Bowditch | G Eurell | 60.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 8 | Titan Of Choice | 10 | Daniel Stackhouse | Reece Goodwin | 60kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Mr Butt''s Boats | 14 | Jamie Mott | N A Blackiston | 61kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 12 | Lulu Darling | 2 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Blondeau | 6 | Brad Rawiller | Ms N Shelton | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Two Sigma | 3 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Magick Media | 18 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 61.5kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 11 | Zourosa | 12 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Strong Box | 17 | Damien Thornton | Dominic Sutton | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Noble Style | 1 | Liana Wood | Smiley Chan | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Angelos | 11 | Andrew Noblet | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Aka Daka | 5 | V L Malady | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Mr Crafty | 13 | Ashleigh Smith | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Sunni Mofeed | 15 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 59kg |
The 52-day gap is a concern but recent barrier trial suggests fitness maintained.
The only horse with a perfect record at this track and distance, winning here in February.
Last start winner stepping back in distance after a strong staying performance. The synthetic track record is solid and McNeil knows the mare well. However, the wide barrier and fitness concerns after 32 days off temper enthusiasm.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Quite The Lass | 7 | Jye McNeil | Reece Goodwin | 60.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Dundonald | 1 | Patrick Moloney | G M Moloney | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Good Harmony | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Cyclone Harmony | 8 | Bailey Kinninmont | Peter Gelagotis | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Monsun''s Pride | 6 | Mitchell Aitken | Chris Calthorpe | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Djockovic | 3 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 60.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Grand Sage | 10 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R C Manning | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Luckett | 2 | Dylan Dean | Dominic Sutton | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Sparkle Link | 5 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Up And Under | 12 | Jamie Mott | D M Noonan | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Sweet Liaison | 13 | Bree Temple | N J Harnett | 51kg | $201.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Warpainted | 4 | Rachael Cunningham | 55.5kg | $51.00 | |
| Scr | 11 | The Tazwegian | 9 | Ms C Alderson | 55kg |
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