Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Thursday 25 June 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Casino. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Frictional Force put in his best career run last start, finishing third in a Class 1 over 2245m on soft. He draws barrier 2, which should allow Justin Stanley to give him a perfect run in transit. With only 55kg and clear improvement, he looks ready to win.
Escape Beach maps ideally from barrier 3 in a race with slow tempo, and will likely lead or sit just off the speed. Her recent form is strong, including a maiden win and a narrow second in a Class 1. She handles wet ground well and is lightly weighted. The main concern is the step to 1900m, but her running style suits Casino's short straight. She is the most reliable chance based on race pattern and current fitness.
She ran well in a BM68 on soft two back and has ability. However, Casino's short straight and a slow tempo favour front-runners over swoopers. She may need luck from midfield.
Kiss'n Dance has the ideal barrier 1 and can either lead or settle just behind the pace, which suits Casino's tight track. His last few runs have been consistent without winning, and he has placed on soft.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Koojan | 7 | Anthony Allen | Ruby Chatterton | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Frictional Force | 2 | Justin P Stanley | J D Shelton | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Classic Shiraz | 5 | Yvette Lewis | Marcus Wilson | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 1 | Kiss'n Dance | 1 | Ben Looker | Fleur Henley | 59kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Sir Zino | 4 | Jon Grisedale | Ms V McLennan | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Smelter | 7 | Nicole Luke | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Escape Beach | 3 | Scott Sheargold | Marcus Wilson | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Gypsy Wish | 6 | Danny Peisley | Nicole Luke | 55.5kg |
New Beginnings brings the best heavy track credentials with a promising 4th on Heavy 9 at Grafton. That run suggests she handles wet ground and can build from midfield. The main negatives are the jockey's poor strike rate at this track and an otherwise moderate form line. Still a strong place chance.
Bloods A Rushin' is an intriguing roughie with a good barrier and a jockey who excels at Casino. First-up after a spell and with gear changes, she could improve. However, her form is poor across eight starts and she is untested on heavy.
Thrash A Bully is the most reliable runner in a weak maiden field. Has placed twice from seven starts, including a close second on synthetic. Barrier 1 and blinkers first time aid winning chances, but the heavy track is a query with no wet-track experience. Still expected to be in the finish and rates the best winning chance.
The quick back-up suggests he is thriving, and jockey Ben Looker is in sharp form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Eccasdash | 5 | Bailie Baker | C J O'Reilly | 53kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Lyrical Gangster | 4 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 3 | New Beginnings | 6 | Yvette Lewis | Jason Reilly | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 4 | Bloods A Rushin' | 3 | Anthony Allen | Ruby Chatterton | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Babe Roth | 2 | Archie Mc Colm | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Rowdie Blue | 7 | Ben Looker | S J Randall | 55kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Ready To Boil | 3 | Nicholas Beck | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Thrash A Bully | 1 | Benjamin Osmond | Kurt Goldman | 55kg |
Navy Kiss is the clear form runner with two runner-up finishes on wet ground, including a near-miss on Heavy 10 at Beaudesert. Maps to lead or sit handy from barrier 3 on a predicted slow tempo. The winless record is a concern, but repeated quality suggests a breakthrough is likely.
Monte Carlo Miss draws the inside and gets a light weight, which are positives on a heavy track. The form isn't strong, but from barrier 1 she can settle midfield and get a cheap run. More of a place chance than win threat.
Strenuous returns second-up with first-time visors, which can spark improvement. He showed some promise in maiden company last prep with a 4th at Grafton. The heavy track is a query, and recent form is weak, but the jockey booking is strong and the weight is light.
He gets a norton bit first time to help concentration. While recent runs have been poor, the heavy track ability and forward position give him a rough each-way chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Monte Carlo Miss | 1 | Bailie Baker | Jonny Field | 53kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 10 | Strenuous | 6 | Archie Mc Colm | Marcus Wilson | 52kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Sajjetti | 5 | Ben Looker | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Legin | 7 | Jon Grisedale | S J Randall | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Navy Kiss | 3 | Dylan Turner | T J Gollan | 59kg | $1.80 |
| 6th | 7 | Shamolatte | 8 | Yvette Lewis | P G Randall | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Star Cheval | 2 | Justin P Stanley | Marcus Wilson | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Snow Halation | 4 | Noriyuki Masuda | D Chujo | 55kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Bloods A Rushin' | 10 | Ruby Chatterton | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Ready To Boil | 4 | Nicholas Beck | 55kg |
Prestige Gundy is the most compelling candidate: a progressive 3yo who placed on heavy last start, dropping slightly in grade, with a good barrier for a forward ride. The main threats are Vixenette and Herald Angel, but Prestige Gundy's heavy form and class edge give him the nod as the most likely winner.
Herald Angel has excellent heavy credentials with two placings on the surface, including a narrow second on Heavy10. Her second-up stats are strong (win and place from two tries) and she gets in with only 55kg.
Vixenette comes off a strong heavy-track second at Murwillumbah and has been consistent in BM66 company. She maps awkwardly from barrier 8 but possesses the tactical speed to hold a midfield position.
He's A Copy Boy is a seasoned campaigner who has won on heavy and handles Casino. He drops back in grade and gets leading hoop Ben Looker.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Prestige Gundy | 5 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 3 | Lady Alabama | 1 | Justin P Stanley | L J Clapham | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Herald Angel | 7 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Scoundrel | 3 | Anthony Allen | Jay Bellamy | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Devious Mind | 6 | Grady Spokes | L J Clapham | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Icewater | 2 | Kirk Matheson | Daniel Bowen | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Spills | 4 | Bailie Baker | Wayne S Lawson | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | He's A Copy Boy | 10 | Ben Looker | Samantha McGuren | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Nails And Pride | 9 | Archie Mc Colm | Marcus Wilson | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Vixenette | 8 | Danny Peisley | M J Dunn | 58kg |
Dance Gavin Dance offers the best overall profile for this Casino BM66 on Heavy 8. He has proven Heavy form with a win and a placing, a favourable barrier 2 that should allow him to hold a forward spot, and strong distance stats at 1000m. The 3yo is lightly raced with clear upside, and the jockey/horse combination has produced 2 wins from 4 rides.
Winchman is the form runner with a last-start win on Heavy 8 and solid consistency. However, the 61kg top weight and wide barrier 9 are significant negatives on this tight Casino track where position is key. He remains a strong place chance but unlikely to be the winner from the draw.
Bring Me Saki is a consistent type who will likely lead from barrier 1. He is well weighted and races on pace, which suits Casino's short straight. However, he has not won at 1000m in 4 attempts and his heavy track record is unremarkable. He is a strong place chance but doubts remain about his finishing ability at the trip in these conditions.
Bad Forest is a value play with an unblemished heavy track record (2 wins from 2 starts). He showed his wet ability when winning at Ipswich on Heavy 9 two starts back. Barrier 4 should allow him to settle handy. The last-start failure on good ground is forgiven as he clearly prefers sting out of the ground.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Dance Gavin Dance | 2 | Danny Peisley | Owen Glue | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Bring Me Saki | 1 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Winchman | 9 | Archie Mc Colm | P L Shailer | 61kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Bad Forest | 4 | Olivia Kendal | Jesse Townsend | 58.5kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 7 | Jewels Statement | 10 | Ben Looker | Samantha McGuren | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Picupstixx | 5 | Justin P Stanley | Wayne S Lawson | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Dizzy Dee | 3 | Jett Newman | Shane Everson | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Australasia | 7 | Kirk Matheson | Daniel Bowen | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Vega Nova | 6 | Grady Spokes | N F Creighton | 53kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Barello | 8 | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 59.5kg |
Andros is the most consistent runner with a 45% place rate and strong heavy record (placed in 3 of 4 heavy runs). Last start 2nd in the same grade at Grafton. Barrier 3 allows an economical run, and the fast tempo sets up for his closing style. Despite jockey concerns, the horse's reliability makes him the top selection.
Tara Koda won impressively last start at Grafton on Soft 6, leading and holding on. Barrier 2 should allow a similar forward ride. The heavy track is a question as she has no heavy starts, but her inside draw is a major asset at Casino. Jockey Stanley is riding well with 20% wins in last 20 rides.
Ourlegseleven is a wet-track specialist who dominated on Heavy 10 at Ballina last start. Placed in 5 of 8 heavy starts. The wide draw is a concern but she can settle midfield. The fast tempo should suit her closing style. Low win rate is a negative but recent form is excellent.
Ottoman Empire is a proven wet tracker with two heavy wins, including a BM50 on Heavy 10 two starts back. The wide draw is a concern but he can roll forward to negate it. The fast pace should help him settle and produce his best.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Autumn Miss | 14 | Dylan Turner | M J Dunn | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Dark Stratum | 9 | Ben Looker | Samantha McGuren | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Andros | 3 | Yvette Lewis | P G Randall | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Monarch Express | 5 | Archie Mc Colm | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Our Sparky | 8 | Danny Peisley | Owen Glue | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Tara Koda | 2 | Justin P Stanley | J D Shelton | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Ottoman Empire | 13 | Jodi Worley | J I Herriot | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Fred's Memory | 10 | Bailie Baker | C J O'Reilly | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Gaming | 12 | Kirk Matheson | S J Bennett | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Lofty Macsporran | 4 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 60.5kg | $4.20 |
| 11th | 5 | Secret Keeper | 6 | Grady Spokes | Aiden St Vincent | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| Scr | 4 | Permission Denied | 1 | Jon Grisedale | Wayne S Lawson | 60kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Ourlegseleven | 11 | Ms S Pepper | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Righteous Brother | 7 | S J Bennett | 55kg |
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