Kilcoy tips and results

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.80 · Jess Emmerson

In a maiden with slow tempo and no leaders, this proven stayer can position midfield and sustain late. The wide barrier is a concern at tight Kilcoy, but the form and distance credentials outweigh this.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Kelsey Lenton

The bubble cheeker first time and All Too Hard class provide some appeal. However, this is fundamentally a sprinter/miler being asked to stay 1900m, which is a massive query. Roughie chance only for those seeking value in a weak maiden.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.00 · Archie Mc Colm

Cairo Queen offers a strong each-way appeal with a lightweight claim to 53.5kg and recent form that includes a 3rd on Heavy 10 at Beaudesert. She has placed over 1500m (2nd on synthetic) and has race experience to handle the trip. The main concerns are her 0-6 record on Soft and the wide draw, but the slow tempo should allow her to settle midfield and finish off.

Our price $20.00 · SP $26.00 · Nozi Tomizawa

Our Sassy Princess is a massive outsider but worth a tiny speculative each-way play given the open nature of Soft maidens at Kilcoy. She returns from a long spell with a jockey in hot form (4 wins from last 20 rides) and a good barrier (3). Her previous form is poor, but she is lightly raced and may have strengthened. At 31-1, she represents the type of value roughie that can sneak into a placing in a weak race if she handles the distance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Frederick Larson

Interesting chance dropping sharply in class after being outclassed at Doomben BM65 last start. Previously won her maiden at this track which shows she handles Kilcoy, and her soft record of 9:0-1-2 indicates she can cope with the conditions. The step up to 1500m is untested but her breeding suggests it should suit.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50 · Reece O'Connell

Value overlay based on last start Dalby win and improving form trajectory. The light weight of 56kg is a major advantage in this grade, and as a lightly raced 3YO filly she has scope for further improvement. O'Connell is riding well with 15% recent strike rate and has a solid record with the stable. Main concerns are the unproven soft track form (1:0-0-0) and stepping up to 1500m for the first time. However, her class and improvement curve suggest she can overcome these queries.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.10 · Sean Cormack

Experienced staying mare with proven form at this class level and strong recent placings in higher grades. Won a R58 over 2000m at Warwick in April and has placed at Kilcoy previously. The inside barrier is a significant advantage on the Soft track where position at the 400m is critical. Recent form of 6-3 in BM68/BM78 company suggests she's racing well, and the drop back to R58 with the inside draw makes her hard to beat. Distance record shows she's effective at 1900m+, and while her Soft track win rate is modest, she places consistently.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.90 · Archie Mc Colm

Improving 3yo filly who won impressively at this track last start, but faces a significant class test stepping from maiden to R58 grade. Her Soft track form is perfect (1 from 1) and the light weight is a major advantage, but the distance rise to 1900m is an unknown - she struggled when tried at 1666m earlier.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Tahlia Fenlon

Honest staying gelding who is a proven track and distance specialist with a win and two placings from seven attempts at Kilcoy 1900m. His consistency is his strength, rarely running poorly, and the inside barrier 2 is a significant advantage on the Soft track. Recent form shows he's competitive without winning, and while his overall strike rate is modest, his place record at this track/distance (43%) makes him a reliable each-way proposition. The quick backup is acceptable for a seasoned campaigner, and Fenlon's strong record at Kilcoy (25%) adds confidence.

Our price $2.80 · SP $4.00 · Harrison Shaw

The Soft record of 50% placings and proven 1200m ability make this gelding well-suited to today's assignment. Harrison Shaw's 13% Kilcoy strike rate adds confidence.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.00 · Brandon Lerena

However, the Kendrick/Lerena 18% combination and 2.5kg weight relief as a filly provide some appeal. Barrier 7 suits the moderate tempo. Place prospects better than win chances given the maiden volatility and unproven Soft credentials.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.00 · Archie Mc Colm

Speed Map is the standout selection having won this exact race (BM65 Kilcoy 1200m Soft) just 10 days ago from a worse barrier. The 7yo gelding relishes Kilcoy and soft ground, with proven form at the track and strong wet credentials. Barrier 4 is ideal in a slow-tempo race with no genuine leaders, allowing him to settle midfield and repeat his last-start pattern. While his overall 1200m record shows only 1 win from 9, his Kilcoy specialization and recent winning form make him the most reliable option in this BM65 field.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · Brandon Lerena

Jemeldi represents the class drop angle, stepping back from BM70 to BM65 with solid soft track credentials (17% win rate on wet). The 6yo gelding has been competitive at the higher level with recent placings and shows an improving trend. His major concern is a 0-from-13 record at 1200m, suggesting the distance may not be ideal. However, the combination of class relief, proven wet form, and quality jockey Brandon Lerena (21% with trainer) makes him a genuine threat. Barrier 8 allows a midfield position in the slow tempo, and if he can break his 1200m drought, he's well placed.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Stacey Callow

Her soft track form is solid (0-1-1 from 4) and barrier 4 gives her every chance to position handy in a slow-tempo race. The Callow/Baker combination has a 25% strike rate with this mare, and she's proven at this exact level.

Our price $14.00 · SP $16.00 · Kayla Johnston

The bottom weight of 54kg is a significant advantage in a race where the topweight carries 59.5kg.