Saint Bernard is the clear form standout with proven credentials at this exact track, distance, and condition. Drops significantly in class today to Maiden level. Boasts an excellent Heavy record (1-4-0 from 11 starts) and has won at Trentham before. The 6yo gelding is a consistent jumper with 24 career starts and handles the stamina test. While the jockey's recent form is modest and he failed in a Maiden Steeple last year, the class drop and proven suitability make him the horse to beat.
New Zealand · Thursday 2 July 2026
Trentham tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 9 races at Trentham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Norm Bevan Memorial Mdn Stpl
The 5yo gelding has proven Heavy credentials (1-1-1 from 7 starts) and benefits from a strong 25% strike rate with jockey Billy Marshall. He's a consistent jumper with 3 placings from 6 jumps starts and handles the stamina test well. However, reliability concerns emerge with 3 falls in his last 10 starts, including two starts back. He's also untested at Trentham and stepping up to 4000m for the first time. Place appeal strong.
Super Flash is a seasoned campaigner with 40 career starts and proven Heavy credentials (3 wins from 22 starts). The 9yo gelding has jumps experience with 2 placings from 8 starts and was competitive two starts back when 2nd at Wanganui over 3800m. The inside barrier is advantageous in the predicted slow tempo. The jockey's weak recent form (10% strike rate) adds to the negatives. While experience and Heavy form provide a base, the recent performance and track/distance record suggest he's outclassed here. Minor place chance only.
The 9yo gelding has an excellent Heavy record (3-2-2 from 21 starts) and is a proven Trentham winner (1-1-0 from 5 starts). With 12 jumps starts for 1-2-1, he's a seasoned jumper who handles extreme stamina tests. The battle-hardened veteran has the experience edge over less-exposed rivals. The jockey's weak recent form (5% strike rate) is also concerning.
- 1st1Saint BernardHamish Mc Neill$2.50
- 2nd3Red NedBilly Marshall$3.30
- 3rd7Touch O''paradiseJay Kozaczek$34.00
- 4th2Super FlashEmily Farr$7.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Saint Bernard | 7 | Hamish Mc Neill | C A Bambry | 68kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Red Ned | 5 | Billy Marshall | J R Wheeler | 68kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 7 | Touch O''paradise | 2 | Jay Kozaczek | A B Bidlake | 68kg | $34.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Super Flash | 1 | Emily Farr | M K Oulaghan | 68kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Metallo | 6 | Will Featherstone | Ms L De Lautour | 68kg | $6.00 |
| 4 | Fake News | 3 | Bella Oliver | R M Connors | 68kg | ||
| 6 | Skaw Valley | 4 | Corey Wiles | P Nelson & C Mcdougal | 68kg |
Stephanie Murray Mortgages Mdn Hrdl
Carignan presents as the most reliable selection based on proven form at this exact task. Finished 3rd in this race three weeks ago over 2500m at Trentham, demonstrating suitability for the distance, track, and jumping. His extensive Heavy track experience (30 starts) is crucial on today's Heavy 8 surface. While lacking a Trentham win, his consistency (43:1-8-7 record) and proven stamina make him the safest option in a race where most rivals are either unproven over hurdles or lack competitive form.
Affordable is the class runner of the field with superior flat credentials and an impressive 50% Heavy track win rate. His recent Jumpers Flat victory by 8 lengths suggests jumping ability, and the Rathbone/Kozaczek combination is experienced in jumps racing. However, this is his first competitive hurdle race, which introduces significant uncertainty. Capable of winning if he jumps cleanly, but the lack of proven hurdle form prevents him being top selection.
Nightreign offers genuine hurdle racing experience with a 2nd placing in a Maiden Hurdle at Hawera. He raced at this exact track and distance three weeks ago, finishing 5th but gaining valuable course experience. His Heavy track form includes that hurdle placing, and the inside barrier is advantageous on today's surface. However, the jockey booking of Rantall (0% recent strike rate) is a significant concern and suggests stable confidence may be limited.
His flat form is strong with a recent BM65 win, and he's a consistent performer with a 29% place rate. The Soft track form (2-2-2 from 9) suggests wet track ability, though he's winless on Heavy. The major concern is the fall in his only jump start - this introduces significant risk and suggests he may not be a natural jumper.
- 1st3AffordableJay Kozaczek$3.20
- 2nd6Name The GameBrandon Holliday$23.00
- 3rd2CarignanCorey Wiles$4.40
- 4th5Little ThiefKylan Wiles$8.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Affordable | 7 | Jay Kozaczek | J L Rathbone | 68kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Name The Game | 4 | Brandon Holliday | Ms G Temperton | 68kg | $23.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Carignan | 6 | Corey Wiles | K T Myers | 68kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Little Thief | 9 | Kylan Wiles | K T Myers | 68kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Nightreign | 2 | Bradley Shane Rantall | R M Connors | 68kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Sloane Square | 8 | Bella Oliver | M K Oulaghan | 68kg | $27.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Tramore | 3 | Hamish Mc Neill | Adam Scott | 66kg | $46.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Chester Boy | 5 | Billy Marshall | J R Wheeler | 68kg | $3.80 |
| 9th | 7 | Rocking Light | 1 | Emily Farr | M K Oulaghan | 68kg | $31.00 |
Honouring West Coast Mdn Hrdl
While the wide barrier and top weight are concerns, the predicted slow tempo and his fitness peak offset these negatives.
His recent jumping form shows improvement - 4th in this exact race then 4th in a harder Open Hurdle. The class drop back to Maiden Hurdle is significant, and his Zed breeding suggests he'll handle the 2500m stamina test. The barrier advantage and class drop make him a genuine winning chance.
The improver of the field with a clear upward trajectory. Being lightly raced (only 5 starts) suggests there's improvement to come, and the inside barrier 2 draw is a significant advantage on the Heavy track. However, his winless record and weak jockey statistics are major concerns. Best suited as an each-way proposition for those seeking an upset chance.
His second-up record (1 win from 4) is a major positive, and the inside barrier 3 draw is ideal for getting an economical run in the testing conditions. The strong Farr/Temperton combination (20% strike rate) adds confidence.
- 1st1Kick OnKylan Wiles$1.65
- 2nd8SweettestJay Kozaczek$41.00
- 3rd4BenjaminCorey Wiles$11.00
- 4th2Doctor LivingstoneWill Featherstone$9.50
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Kick On | 7 | Kylan Wiles | K T Myers | 68kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 8 | Sweettest | 1 | Jay Kozaczek | M K Oulaghan | 66kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Benjamin | 5 | Corey Wiles | P Nelson & C Mcdougal | 68kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Doctor Livingstone | 2 | Will Featherstone | Ms L De Lautour | 68kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Cocktail Lad | 3 | Emily Farr | Ms G Temperton | 68kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Scotty | 4 | Billy Marshall | J R Wheeler | 68kg | $4.00 |
| 6 | Our Castello | 6 | Bradley Shane Rantall | S C Beatson | 66kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Sandy Lane | 5 | Hamish Mc Neill | C C Lupton | 66kg |
Trentham Supporters Group Wellington Hrdl
Happy Star is the clear form runner coming off a commanding win over this same course and condition (Heavy 10) over 2500m. His heavy track record is outstanding with 13 wins from 41 attempts, and he has 4 wins at Trentham. Despite the top weight, he showed last start he carries weight well. The main concern is his age but he remains competitive at this level.
Billy Boy is a proven stayer on heavy ground with a win at this track and distance on Heavy 10 last season. He ran third to Happy Star last time in a similar race and should strip fitter for that run. His record at Trentham (2 wins from 3 starts) is excellent. The main query is the jockey's form, but the horse has the class to feature.
Roc Up Ralph has ability in hurdles with two wins from four starts, but he disappointed last time on a Soft 7 track. He is better on heavy ground and gets the inside barrier here. His heavy record suggests he can bounce back, but he needs to improve on his last run to challenge the top two.
Dictation is the class runner of the race with a superb jumps resume. He ran an encouraging 3rd at Te Rapa on Soft7 over 3200m last time, suggesting he can handle the surface despite a poor overall soft record. The stable and jockey are in good form. He has the best credentials but must overcome a tricky barrier and prove his soft form is genuine.
Tutin Cans comes off a maiden hurdle win at Trentham over 2500m on Heavy 10, stepping up to open company. The class rise is a concern, but he was impressive in that win and the jockey is in good touch.
- 1st3Billy BoyWill Featherstone$5.00
- 2nd4Roc Up RalphHamish Mc Neill$3.10
- 3rd2Happy StarEmily Farr$1.85
- 4th5Dorothy''s DaughterJordan Hart$26.00
Full result · 5 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Billy Boy | 5 | Will Featherstone | J L Rathbone | 67kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Roc Up Ralph | 1 | Hamish Mc Neill | S & E Clotworthy | 65kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 2 | Happy Star | 4 | Emily Farr | K T Myers | 68.5kg | $1.85 |
| 4th | 5 | Dorothy''s Daughter | 2 | Jordan Hart | N J Quinn | 65kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Dictation | 5 | Mathew Gillies | P Nelson & C Mcdougal | 69kg | |
| 6 | Tutin Cans | 3 | Lemmy Douglas | J J Rayner | 65kg |
Australian Turf Club North Island Challenge Stakes
Tolstoy presents as the most reliable winning chance based on his exceptional second-up record and proven Heavy track ability. His 50% second-up strike rate and 30% Heavy win rate are standout statistics. Ran an encouraging 2nd here 22 days ago and won on Heavy 10 at Otaki in his last preparation. The class rise from BM75 to Open is a concern, but his improving fitness trajectory and suitability to Heavy 8 conditions outweigh this. The slow tempo suits his adaptable racing pattern, and 54kg is ideal.
Spencer boasts the best track and distance credentials in the field with 3 wins from just 5 attempts here, including a victory in September 2025. His Heavy track form is solid (3 wins from 16) and he typically improves second-up (33% strike rate). The class advantage from recent Group racing is significant when dropping back to Open grade. However, the jockey booking of Sienna Brown (0 from 20 recent rides) is a major concern, as is the 58kg top weight. First-up run was disappointing but can be forgiven given the 61-day break. If the jockey can steer him into a position to use his superior T&D knowledge, he's a winning chance, but the pilot is a significant risk factor.
She's racing consistently with three consecutive placings and knows Trentham intimately. The three consecutive 4th placings suggest she may have plateaued at this level. While her T&D record commands respect, the Heavy 8 surface is not her preferred going.
While he's never won first-up in four attempts, he has placed 50% of the time fresh, suggesting he can run a race without winning. The 279-day spell is a concern, but his Heavy track credentials are strong, including a Heavy 10 win at Wanganui. Jim Chung provides the best jockey booking in the race at 10% recent strike rate. The light weight is crucial on Heavy 8, and if he's forward enough in a slow tempo, he can be competitive.
- 1st3FarravalloJim Chung$6.00
- 2nd5TolstoyKelly Myers$2.15
- 3rd2Tavis CourtCrystal Lindsay$61.00
- 4th1SpencerSienna Brown$4.20
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Farravallo | 3 | Jim Chung | R J Bergerson | 53kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Tolstoy | 4 | Kelly Myers | Ms I Kelly | 54kg | $2.15 |
| 3rd | 2 | Tavis Court | 2 | Crystal Lindsay | A M Clement | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Spencer | 5 | Sienna Brown | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 4 | Sinbin | 6 | Kavish Chowdhoory | Robbie Patterson | 54kg | ||
| 6 | Sotirio | 1 | Leah Hemi | M N Eales | 54kg |
136th Grant Plumbing Wellington Stpl
Never Look Back is the clear form horse having won his last two starts, the most recent over 4000m at Trentham in Heavy 10. He has strong heavy track credentials and a good build for this staying test. Likely to lead or sit handy and prove hard to run down.
Nedwin is the class runner with a phenomenal heavy track record. He won a similar steeple last start at Te Rapa and has 4 Trentham wins. The 69kg impost and wide draw are concerns, but his proven class and wet-track superiority make him the main danger.
Brucie is a consistent performer who has been running well without winning. He finished 3rd behind Never Look Back at this track two starts ago and should appreciate heavy ground. He may fill a minor placing again but lacks the winning edge.
Justice has strong heavy track statistics and is a proven steeplechase winner on testing ground.
- 1st7BrucieBilly Marshall$11.00
- 2nd5Never Look BackEmily Farr$1.90
- 3rd1NedwinMathew Gillies$4.50
- 4th2SmugMichael Roustoby$6.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Brucie | 4 | Billy Marshall | R M Connors | 65kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Never Look Back | 5 | Emily Farr | Ms G Temperton | 65kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Nedwin | 8 | Mathew Gillies | P Nelson & C Mcdougal | 69kg | $4.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Smug | 2 | Michael Roustoby | C J Wood | 65kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Zac Flash | 7 | Hamish Mc Neill | D M O''leary | 65kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Mr Fabulous | 3 | Jay Kozaczek | A C Baker | 65kg | $34.00 |
| 4 | Justice | 6 | Kylan Wiles | D R Wiles | 65kg | ||
| 6 | Hey Hey Hey | 1 | Bradley Shane Rantall | W S Moorehead | 65kg |
Happy Retirement Leaderboard (Bm65)
So Call Me is the most proven wet-track performer in the field with a heavy record of 5 wins and 5 seconds from 32 starts. He loves Trentham, with 3 wins and 2 seconds there, and drops sharply in class after hurdling. His recent flat form includes a 3rd in an Open on Heavy9, and he was runner-up last start in a hurdle at Trentham. The wide barrier is a concern but his class and fitness should overcome it. Clear top chance.
Air Dancer comes off a strong win at Wanganui on Soft7, showing good form. He has placed in two of his three heavy starts and draws the inside barrier 2, which is advantageous on heavy ground. The step up to 2200m is a query, but his dam side suggests stamina.
Ziggy Khan boasts a superb record at 2200m with two wins and three minor placings from six attempts. She ran an excellent second on Heavy10 at Te Aroha last time out, signaling she handles deep ground well. The lack of Trentham experience is a minor query but her stamina and current form suggest she's a strong place chance and could threaten the top two.
Keen On Bubbles has a solid record at 2200m and has placed on heavy ground multiple times.
- 1st5Four Square PeteHannah Wilson$12.00
- 2nd7Ziggy KhanMonique Dey$3.50
- 3rd3Grand ProspectA E Taiaroa$14.00
- 4th1PinkertonSkye du Plessis$13.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Four Square Pete | 7 | Hannah Wilson | K T Myers | 67kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Ziggy Khan | 10 | Monique Dey | Ms N Sinclair | 66.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Grand Prospect | 4 | A E Taiaroa | Ms S Walsh | 69kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Pinkerton | 8 | Skye du Plessis | M K Oulaghan | 70kg | $13.00 |
| 2 | So Call Me | 11 | Lisa Kennedy | K T Myers | 70kg | ||
| 4 | Air Dancer | 2 | Alexandra Reed | G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale | 68kg | ||
| 6 | Keen On Bubbles | 9 | Lucy Klee | J R Wheeler | 66.5kg | ||
| 8 | Jacks Pride | 1 | Samantha Weller | B R Lammas | 66.5kg | ||
| 9 | Cuba Street | 6 | Marieke Simons | G D Innes | 66.5kg | ||
| 10 | Go Butch | 3 | Daksh Pattanshetti | K T Myers | 66.5kg | ||
| 11 | Missu | 5 | Tyler Porteous | N J Quinn | 66.5kg |
Bill Tito Book Repair Specialist (Bm65)
The gelding has won 2 of 4 first-up starts and crucially won at this exact venue, distance, and class level on Heavy 10 last year. The 285-day spell is a concern, but the historical fresh-up pattern and proven Heavy track ability (60% place rate) make this a strong win proposition.
Silent Applause arrives as a last-start winner in this grade on similar Heavy conditions, which provides strong current form credentials. The mare's 33% strike rate at 1400m and proven Heavy track ability make her competitive, while the established Dell/horse combination adds confidence. However, the lack of Trentham experience and the disadvantageous barrier 2 draw are concerns. The 47-day break sits in an awkward zone - not fresh enough for a first-up boost but potentially lacking peak fitness.
Whiskey N' Rye brings class and proven Heavy track credentials to this assignment. The drop from BM75 to BM65 is significant and the gelding has demonstrated ability at Trentham with a 33% strike rate. However, the 60kg top weight on a Heavy 8 surface is a major concern, particularly given the track summary emphasizes fitness and proven form over pure class. The lack of confirmed jockey and mixed recent form tempers confidence, but the class edge and wet track experience make this a legitimate place chance.
Palmarow represents a speculative value play based primarily on the class drop and the strong Hemi partnership rather than current form. The mare's second-up statistics are poor (0 from 3), and the first-up run was disappointing, finishing 12th of 13. However, the drop from BM75 to BM65 is significant, and Hemi's 25% recent strike rate suggests strong current form from the jockey. The limited Heavy track experience (just 2 starts) is concerning despite the one win, and the untested track/distance combination adds risk.
- 1st11My FerrariJim Chung$8.00
- 2nd5PalmarowLeah Hemi$4.40
- 3rd8Black BettyToni Davies$12.00
- 4th12PredecessorKavish Chowdhoory$34.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | My Ferrari | 1 | Jim Chung | G D Innes | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Palmarow | 11 | Leah Hemi | T R Hina | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 8 | Black Betty | 12 | Toni Davies | J R Wheeler | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Predecessor | 5 | Kavish Chowdhoory | Joshua Shaw | 54.5kg | $34.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Dojakata | 3 | Sienna Brown | T R Hina | 53kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 10 | He''s All Fabulous | 9 | Rohan Mudhoo | B R Lammas | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Trainwreck | 6 | Sarah Macnab | Ms R Lockett | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Ryders Legacy | 7 | Kelly Myers | S A Sharrock | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 9th | 6 | Silent Applause | 2 | Chris Dell | Ms L Latta | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Tommy Star | 8 | Madan Singh | D M O''leary | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Miss Dixie | 10 | Crystal Lindsay | A M Clement | 51kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Whiskey N'' Rye | 4 | K T Myers | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Explosive Impact | 12 | Toni Davies | S A Sharrock | 57kg |
Aztech Engineering Hcp
Bradman is the standout selection based on his last start victory at this exact track, distance and conditions. With 23 Heavy starts producing 5 wins and 10 placings, he's a proven wet tracker. The inside barrier is advantageous on Heavy ground at Trentham, and the 40% strike rate with Jim Chung adds confidence. While the 60.5kg is a concern, his class and proven form at these conditions make him the horse to beat. The slow tempo suits his racing pattern.
The 6.5kg weight advantage (54kg vs 60.5kg) is significant on Heavy 8 and could theoretically reverse the form. Her Heavy credentials are sound with 3 wins and 3 seconds from 18 starts. However, the barrier 9 draw is a major negative on Heavy ground at Trentham, where inside draws dominate. She's also never won at this track despite 12 attempts. The improving trend is positive, but she needs everything to go right from the wide gate. Place chance only.
Belardo Boy presents excellent Heavy track credentials with 8 wins from 30 Heavy starts, the best wet record in the field. His Trentham form (2 wins from 17) and proven class at Group level give him an edge over most rivals. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for Heavy conditions. However, the 62kg top weight is a major concern in testing ground - he's giving 7-8kg to key rivals.
The pattern is clear: he improves significantly from first to second run. His Heavy form is strong (14:2-6-1) and the 55kg weight is a major advantage, giving him 7kg on Bradman. However, he's a complete unknown at Trentham (no starts) and has never raced at 1500m. The wide barrier 8 is also negative on Heavy. This is a class rise from provincial BM75 level, but his second-up pattern and weight advantage make him a value play for exotics and a place chance if he handles the track.
- 1st2BradmanJim Chung$3.30
- 2nd4UrenuiKavish Chowdhoory$6.00
- 3rd7Boomtown BoyKelly Myers$6.00
- 4th5BenefactorChris Dell$3.60
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Bradman | 1 | Jim Chung | R J Bergerson | 60.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 4 | Urenui | 8 | Kavish Chowdhoory | Ms D M Harris | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Boomtown Boy | 6 | Kelly Myers | A M Bull | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Benefactor | 9 | Chris Dell | Ms L Latta | 54kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 3 | Chase | 7 | Jonathan Riddell | S Nickalls | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Wheelitin | 3 | Madan Singh | A M Clement | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Deadly Pony | 4 | Toni Davies | Ms L Latta | 53kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Epee Beel | 2 | Sarah Macnab | J R Wheeler | 54kg | $27.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Belardo Boy | 5 | Leah Hemi | Ms L Latta | 62kg |
Before the races, not after
Get every tip before the jump
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.