Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Tuesday 7 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Beaudesert. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The standout selection with the only proven form at 1650m in the field. Maps to control the race from the front in what shapes as a slow tempo, which is a significant advantage at Beaudesert where leaders win at 25%. The wide barrier is a concern but with only one other genuine leader, crossing should be manageable.
Barrier 5 is workable and the Lees/Osmond combination is reliable. Strong each-way proposition.
The first-time bubble cheeker suggests the stable believes there's improvement to come.
Recent form shows consistency with a 2nd and 4th in last two starts, and she maps perfectly to sit outside or just behind the leader. Value play if the tempo collapses.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Weekend Spirit | 8 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Jack Bruce | 60kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 7 | Bassett's Choice | 2 | Jaden Lloyd | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Taga Smile | 5 | Benjamin Osmond | K A Lees | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Boomtown Laddie | 4 | Adin Thompson | Jason Edwards | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 5 | Steady On | 3 | Karl Zechner | Jimmy Downes | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Happy Coffee | 7 | Georgina Cartwright | James Moore | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Mr Racing | 6 | Scott Sheargold | R K Mahon | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Meaner Than Most | 1 | Danny Peisley | Paul Butterworth | 60kg | $41.00 |
Catfish presents the strongest value proposition based on pure form analysis. Maps perfectly for Beaudesert's on-pace bias from barrier 6.
Schweida is a respected Queensland trainer with strong maiden preparation record, and the established jockey/trainer combination adds reliability. The barrier 3 draw is ideal for Beaudesert where position at the 400m is critical, and the likely on-pace settling pattern aligns with track bias. Ear muffs indicate some greenness but are manageable for this stable.
The barrier 5 draw is workable for settling on-pace, which suits Beaudesert's bias.
The key positive is the 3rd placing at 1200m showing genuine suitability for today's distance, combined with the blinkers-first-time gear change that often sparks improvement. However, the wide gate is a significant obstacle at Beaudesert where position at the 400m is critical, and the jockey's 0 from 27 record at the track is concerning. This is a speculative value play on class and distance form overcoming map disadvantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Panemorfos | 3 | Cejay Graham | K M Schweida | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Dominator | 5 | Daniel Moor | Michael Freedman | 59kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Catfish | 6 | Ashley Butler | Ryan Tyrell | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 3 | By Force | 2 | Adin Thompson | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Miss Informed | 1 | Kelsey Lenton | C H Richardson | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Mishani Rainfire | 4 | Olivia Kendal | Donna Stanbridge | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Jasmintina | 9 | Aidan Keeley | B & M Costello | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Comical Belle | 7 | Jaden Lloyd | P J Wallace | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Nozomu | 8 | Nozi Tomizawa | D Chujo | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Profit In Paradise | 5 | P L Shailer | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Flying Scarlett | 10 | Adam Campton | 56kg |
Trainer Michael Freedman has an excellent record with first-starters, and the booking of Daniel Moor (22% strike rate with this stable) signals serious intent. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for Beaudesert's position-dependent track, allowing tactical flexibility. While lack of race form is a limitation, the proxy indicators all align positively.
The barrier 6 draw allows her to take a forward position on this leader-biased track. However, the first-time tongue control and lugging bit is a significant concern, suggesting steering or racing manners issues. The 5-month gap since her last run also raises fitness questions. While she has the ability, the gear change red flag prevents her being top selection.
Secret Rose brings solid recent form including a close 2nd at Kilcoy and a dominant trial win. She's a proven soft track performer and the removal of blinkers is a positive change. Jockey Benjamin Osmond is in excellent form (25% strike rate). However, barrier 9 is a significant disadvantage at Beaudesert where position at the 400m is critical. She'll need to overcome the wide draw, which is difficult on this tight track. Each-way value given the form, but the barrier prevents higher confidence.
The barrier 2 draw is crucial at Beaudesert where inside runners can hold position and be in the critical first three at the 400m. Her good track record (0-1-0) suits today's conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Shown The Door | 11 | Ben Ahrens | 55kg | $14.00 | |
| 2nd | 13 | Major Hot | 4 | Georgina Cartwright | L J Gough | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 9 | Magnetic Island | 3 | Frederick Larson | Vic Heading | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Bay Of The South | 6 | Chelsea Baker | T J Gollan | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Queen Of Aces | 1 | Karl Zechner | Adam Campton | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 6 | King's Coin | 5 | Daniel Moor | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 7th | 18 | Military Legend | 2 | Nozi Tomizawa | Allan Chau | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 16 | Pearl Of Sicily | 8 | Scott Sheargold | David Cole | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 17 | Luminous Girl | 7 | Cejay Graham | Jack Bruce | 54.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 20 | The Blue Swan Lake | 10 | Archie Mc Colm | D Chujo | 51kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Legal Cause | 17 | M J Lakey | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Mongolian Spring | 2 | Adam Campton | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Porcelain Prince | 15 | Jesse Townsend | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Carpet Ride | 12 | Matthew Hoysted | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Pacific Gem | 8 | Darren P Bell | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Dragon Lilly | 11 | P J Wallace | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Hawaiian Bloom | 14 | Renita Beaton | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Secret Rose | 9 | Benjamin Osmond | P L Shailer | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Kirishima | 4 | Ben Ahrens | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Video Vixen | 2 | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 54.5kg |
Private Showtime presents as the value play with the best raw speed in the race. The barrier 1 draw is crucial at Beaudesert where position at the 400m determines outcomes, and this mare can either lead or sit outside the speed comfortably. The 59-day gap is a concern, but the light weight and ideal map offset this.
Snugg brings the best recent form to this race with a last-start second and a win before that. Her 63% place rate demonstrates remarkable consistency for a lightly-raced mare, and she's proven effective on Good tracks. The Cormack partnership is strong (33% strike rate together). However, barrier 9 is a significant negative at Beaudesert where inside and middle gates dominate. She'll need to either use energy to cross or settle back and rely on a strong finish, neither ideal at this track. Second-up query also exists with 0 from 1 record.
Dushenka presents an intriguing profile with clear class advantages having contested Group 2 company. The multiple gear changes (bubble cheeker and tongue control bit first time) are a double-edged sword - either unlocking improvement or indicating problems. Her second-up record of 0 from 2 is the major concern, and the 7th last start can't be ignored.
Toby Gollan is an elite trainer, and this filly has a perfect second-up record (won her only previous second-up start). The Martyn/Gollan combination is strong at 28%, and Martyn herself is in red-hot form with 35% strike rate in her last 20. Barrier 4 is ideal for Beaudesert. This is a pure each-way value play banking on stable confidence and second-up pattern rather than raw form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Sequel | 3 | Tahlia Fenlon | Chris & Corey Munce | 58kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | Lebanese | 4 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Private Showtime | 1 | Adin Thompson | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 54.5kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Dushenka | 5 | Nick Heywood | Adam Campton | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Snugg | 9 | Sean Cormack | T J Dougall | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Shedrivesabentley | 7 | Benjamin Osmond | K J Jones | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Brain Wave | 2 | Archie Mc Colm | Ms M Brosnan | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Cat Empire | 8 | Danny Peisley | Peter G Sinclair | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Mystical Gem | 6 | Nozi Tomizawa | Allan Chau | 58kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Vovo | 9 | Matthew Hoysted | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | El Centro | 10 | Jeff Dunn | 58.5kg |
Statement Of Truth presents as the clear form selection with a perfect second-up record and proven ability at this track and distance. The significant class drop from BM65 to Class 2, combined with the likely scenario of controlling the tempo as lone leader, creates an ideal winning setup. The moderate tempo suits his racing pattern perfectly on a track where position at the 400m is critical.
The perfect second-up record, combined with barrier 3 allowing an economical on-pace position, creates a strong winning chance on a track where position is paramount. The 54.5kg weight provides a significant advantage, and the strong Good track record (67% place rate) suits today's conditions.
The 50% win rate on Good tracks and light 56kg weight provide key advantages. However, inconsistency is a concern after the disappointing 6th last start, and the barrier 7 draw requires some luck to secure the ideal on-pace position.
However, the critical concern is the poor Good track record (0 wins from 7 starts) compared to strong Soft track form (2-1-2). The wide barrier 8 at Beaudesert compounds the difficulty, and the lack of track experience with an inexperienced jockey at the venue creates additional risk.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Statement Of Truth | 6 | Danny Peisley | P L Shailer | 59kg | $1.26 |
| 2nd | 4 | Mofeed | 2 | Dylan Turner | Stephen & Jordan Lee | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Standlee | 3 | Sean Cormack | T J Dougall | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Kool Bruce | 1 | Isabel Jessop | Jack Brown | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Zouslayer | 4 | Karl Zechner | Vishan Venkaya | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Smart 'n' Stylish | 5 | Jess Emmerson | P J Wallace | 55kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | No Name Frank | 8 | Archie Mc Colm | L J Gough | 58kg | |
| Scr | 2 | River Ribble | 11 | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Cat Call | 12 | Gary Doughty | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Cantankerous | 7 | Matthew Hoysted | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Booya Boy | 7 | Bella Youngberry | Adam Campton | 56kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Whisky Train | 5 | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 54kg |
Pending List presents as the standout selection with a perfect record at this distance including a last-start victory at this exact track and distance. The step from Class 1 to BM65 is manageable given the horse's clear affinity for the 2450m trip and Beaudesert circuit. While the barrier isn't ideal, the slow tempo should allow settling into a handy position. The combination of distance specialization, track familiarity, and current form outweighs class concerns.
Demarcay represents a solid each-way proposition with the significant class drop from BM78 to BM65 and a last-start win at this level on the synthetic. The barrier 2 draw is ideal for settling into the slow tempo, and the consistent placing record suggests reliability. However, the lack of experience at 2450m is a genuine concern, as is the moderate Good track record. The jockey upgrade to Lerena adds confidence, and the horse's staying credentials at 2150m-2240m suggest the distance extension is manageable.
The Class 1 win two starts back demonstrates ability, and the Peisley/Robl combination has proven effective. However, significant concerns exist around the untested 2450m distance (longest run is 1800m), the wide barrier 9 draw at a track that favours inside runners, and limited overall experience. The step up in class is also notable. This is a place-chance horse with potential but too many question marks for a stronger recommendation.
The class drop from BM78 is favorable, and the 17-day spacing is ideal. However, the major concern is the Good 4 track condition - this horse is a wet track specialist (50% win rate on Soft/Heavy) but has a poor Good track record (5:0-0-1). The barrier 12 draw compounds the difficulty at a track that favours inside runners. If there was rain, this would be a top selection, but on a Good track from a wide gate, it's a value play only for those believing the T&D record can overcome the conditions concern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Sunny Disposition | 6 | Jess Emmerson | Darren P Bell | 53.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Demarcay | 2 | Brandon Lerena | Jeff Dunn | 60.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 6 | Pending List | 8 | Benjamin Osmond | K J Jones | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Scottish Pearl | 3 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Weona Redwood | 12 | Rob Thorburn | David Vandyke | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 12 | Smelter | 10 | Frederick Larson | Nicole Luke | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 11 | You Think So | 7 | Jason Taylor | Ruby Chatterton | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Papal Miss | 1 | Sean Cormack | Vishan Venkaya | 54kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Miss Dynamo | 5 | Bella Youngberry | Billy Healey | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Notabadjackup | 9 | Danny Peisley | Peter Robl | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Classic Deel | 4 | Daniel Moor | K A Lees | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Born To Be Alive | 11 | Karl Zechner | Allan Chau | 54kg | $51.00 |
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