Warrnambool tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $15.00 · Shayleigh Ingelse

Shujinko is the most reliable form runner in this weak maiden. Second-up after a creditable 4th, with a low weight and a good barrier, he maps to be on pace. The heavy track is a query, but his two runs on heavy include a 5th and 7th, not disastrous. The Preusker stable has solid numbers, and the claim helps. In a race full of unknowns, his recent exposed form gives him the edge.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · John Allen

Prince Prestigious is a debutant from the Tom Dabernig stable with John Allen aboard – a powerful combination. The wide barrier is a concern, especially on heavy, but Allen can offset this with a smart ride. A value play in a weak maiden.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.00 · Jack Hill

Fiorowngood showed excellent resilience when running third on a Heavy 8 at Geelong last start. He's second up, which typically brings improvement for this stable. The main concern is the wide barrier, which could compromise his position on a track that favours on-pace horses. If he can slot in from the draw, he's a major threat.

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.40 · Neil Farley

Janey Bopper is perfectly suited to the Heavy8 and Warrnambool's front-heavy bias. Drawn inside (1), she can secure a good early position and has already placed over 2000m on heavy. Recent form is consistent with three placings from her last five, all on wet ground.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Ryan Hurdle

Barrier 2 allows him to settle closer than usual, which is critical at Warrnambool.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.70 · Will Gordon

The Victorious is an improving stayer who has found form on wet ground since arriving in Victoria. He ran 3rd on Heavy10 at Echuca and 3rd on Soft7 over 2218m at Donald. The wide gate is a negative on this track, but if he can slot into midfield and sustain his run, he can feature.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.80 · Dean Yendall

Epoch is the standout in this BM62. He has won both starts on heavy ground, including a determined victory last start at Donald. He maps to settle on-pace from barrier 3, which is ideal for Warrnambool's short straight where closers struggle. While he carries top weight and rises in class, his consistency and wet-track ability give him a clear edge.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Declan Bates

Adira River is a fascinating runner dropping from Open class to BM62. She won impressively on Heavy 10 at Hamilton two back and ran well in BM66 on soft prior to that. Her last run in the Flemington race was dreadful, but that was over 2500m and she may have found the distance too far. Back to 2000m with Declan Bates riding, she is a definite threat.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Dylan Dean

Astradeel is perfectly suited by conditions. He bolted in here over 1700m heavy10 in May and now drops from BM74 to BM62. His heavy track form is outstanding and he should be right in the finish despite top weight.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.00 · Jack Hill

Big Rooster has shown excellent heavy track ability with two wins on wet ground. He steps up to 1700m for the first time but ran well over 1500m last time. Barrier 3 should allow a good run, and he is a strong each-way threat in an open race.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Holly Durnan

The Narrator drops sharply in class after a poor run in stronger company. He has won two of three heavy starts, including a dominant win at this track and distance on Heavy 10. With a 3kg claim, he carries just 57.5kg, and barrier 6 allows a forward move. The moderate pace and Warrnambool's front-half bias suit his on-pace style. Clear top pick on form and conditions.

Our price $6.00 · SP $21.00 · Fred W Kersley

Finchaven is a progressive mare who has placed in two of three heavy starts, including a close 3rd at Echuca on Heavy 10. Barrier 5 allows her to settle just off the pace, crucial at Warrnambool. The jockey/trainer combination strikes at 18%. She steps up to BM62 but is lightly weighted and improving. A strong place chance who may threaten the top selection.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · John Allen

Gunado possesses the best raw speed in the race but is severely tested by barrier 18. On heavy ground at Warrnambool, wide draws are a significant handicap unless the horse can cross early. He drops in class and has placed on heavy before, but the map suggests he'll need luck. John Allen's form is a plus, but the positional disadvantage lowers confidence.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Carleen Hefel

Legacy Bel profiles perfectly for this heavy-track Warrnambool BM62. She has a win and a placing from 3 heavy starts, comes off a solid 5th in a BM70 at Sandown on heavy, and drops significantly in grade. The jockey/horse combination has produced 2 wins from 6 rides. She maps to settle midfield and can sustain a run into the short straight.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Chelsea Thompson

Hughie is a leading contender at each-way value. He gets a massive weight advantage with Chelsea Thompson's 3kg claim taking him to 55kg. The jockey/trainer combination has struck at 67% in limited rides. Second-up he has a win and a placing from 4 runs. He has 3 wins over 1100m from 18 starts and can race on the pace. The fast tempo should suit his style.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Dean Yendall

Motiver is an improving stayer who found form with a third at Geelong on heavy. The inside barrier is a big advantage at Warrnambool, allowing him to dictate terms. While his win rate is low, he has placed in 5 of 14 starts.