Sapphire Coast tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Shaun Guymer

This Ain't Texas is the most progressive runner in the race, having placed in her last two starts including a close 2nd at Moruya on July 10. She maps to lead or sit second in a race with no genuine speed, suiting the Sapphire Coast on-pace bias.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.25 · Robyn Freeman

She has placed first-up before, but that was on good tracks. A chance but not a confident selection.

Our price $3.50 · SP $1.75 · Jordan Quince

She should be on pace again and carries only 53.5kg. The class rise is a query but the win was authoritative. The wide draw is manageable given her speed. Top chance.

Our price $5.00 · SP $16.00 · Brodie Loy

Noteabeel has been impressive in his two starts, winning on debut on soft then running second in a Class 1 on heavy. He has the speed to offset the wide draw and Brodie Loy is riding confidently.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Adrian Layt

He is second-up, which historically hasn't produced a win, but his speed is a weapon. The wide draw is a challenge but he can slot in. More a place hope.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Eye For Style has a good first-up record, including a win last prep. Barrier 3 allows her to settle handy. She has placed on soft before.

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.65 · Shaun Guymer

Neeson is the class runner with consistent recent form in town. He maps to lead from barrier 3 and the track profile favours on-pace runners. While the 1410m and soft track are queries, his overall profile suggests he's the one to beat.

Our price $2.70 · SP $1.75 · Coriah Keatings

Hellfighter is the most reliable form reference in a weak Maiden. He has placed in four of ten starts, including close seconds on Soft 6 and 5. The slow tempo favours his handy running style, and despite the wide barrier he has enough tactical speed to hold a forward spot. The winless record is a concern but he is overdue. Top pick.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Shaun Guymer

Barrier 2 allows her to take up a prominent position in a slow-run race. She has speed to burn but has failed to convert it into a win. The drop to Maiden company looks favourable, though the jockey's poor recent form tempers enthusiasm. Strong each-way chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $12.00 · Sairyn Fawke

However, barrier 13 is a major negative at Sapphire Coast where inside draws are favoured. She will likely settle back and hope for a run through. The slow tempo may help but it's a risk. Place chance.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.80 · Brodie Loy

Alamagan profiles as the most complete horse in the race. He maps to settle handy from barrier 6 and has Brodie Loy aboard, who rides at 15% winners recently.

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Jordan Quince

Turn Left has solid credentials for this event, notably a third placing at this track and distance on a soft 7 three runs back. She has been consistent of late and gets in with just 55kg. The wide barrier is a concern but she has tactical speed to slot in.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Coriah Keatings

Tis No Man is on an upward trajectory, finishing second to a subsequent winner at Gundagai then fourth in a stronger race at Wagga. He handles wet ground and the step to 1610m is within reach. The booking of Coriah Keatings, who rides the track well and combines effectively with this stable, is a plus.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Glenn Cahill

Malinga Missile comes off two solid third placings on soft tracks at Narrandera and Goulburn, showing improved consistency. He jumps from barrier 3 and carries just 57kg. The step up to 1610m is a query, but the ear muffs first time suggest gear change can sharpen him.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Jordan Quince

Jazz All Knight has outstanding form at Sapphire Coast, with two wins and two seconds from six starts over this track and distance. She handles Soft ground well and should be able to lead or sit handy from barrier 8. Second-up after a solid synthetic run, she is likely fit enough. The main query is the jockey, whose recent form is poor, but the horse herself is well-placed and offers strong each-way appeal.

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.00 · Jess Taylor

She has placed at Sapphire Coast on Soft ground and has solid soft track form overall. From barrier 5 with a light weight, she can settle midfield and make a run. First-up, she has placed before, and the 118-day break may see her fresh.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Brodie Loy

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Robyn Freeman

Mogo Rock is the most experienced maiden in the field and the only one with multiple placings on rain-affected ground.