Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 31 July 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 9 races at Geelong. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Explain is the clear form and map choice. His narrow 2nd over 2400m on Soft is the best distance credential in the field and he maps to lead from barrier 1 in a projected slow tempo that strongly suits on-pacers at Geelong Soft.
Zikron ran the strongest recent wet staying race when a close 2nd at 2350m on Heavy under a big weight, beating several of today’s rivals. Soft place earlier and progressive profile with winkers on first time. Map is only fair but raw form and wet suitability keep him firmly in the finish in this maiden.
Lucky Chance maps to settle on-pace from barrier 3 in the slow tempo, ideal for Geelong Soft. Soft winner already and was a fighting 3rd at 2350m on Heavy before a steeple win. Significant weight relief and improving profile make him a leading contender who can take full advantage of the race shape.
Heavy winner, Soft place and prior competitive 2400m/2600m runs plus a fresh steeple win indicate fitness.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | The Victorious | 4 | Will Gordon | Taige Weir | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Gaelic Kiwi | 5 | Neil Farley | Lucinda Boyd | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Charlie Messy Hair | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Jessica Pateman | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Zikron | 8 | Declan Bates | Jessica Pateman | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 10 | Highland Storm | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Brett Scott | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Explain | 1 | Nadia Daniels | Jarrod Robinson | 54.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Inside Job | 7 | Damien Thornton | Amy McDonald | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 8th | 7 | Bologna Baby | 9 | Amy Herrmann | Jamie Barry | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Lucky Chance | 3 | Jake Noonan | E V Musgrove | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Devoted To You | 10 | John Allen | W Morrissey | 57.5kg |
A gun inside barrier (3) suits the Geelong on-pace bias, and the Neindorf/Kennewell combination is in career-best form. Some risk exists due to lack of raceday exposure, but the profile strongly supports a forward showing.
John Allen's booking is a strong signal of stable confidence.
Autumn Lover arrives with the deepest, most credible form in the race — placed in Open and Listed grade company as a two-year-old, with wet-track runs on both Soft and Heavy already on the board. Barrier 11 is a mild concern but the class edge should outweigh it.
Gangland presents as the most credentialed runner in a formless race, sporting a trial win and placing at this same soft circuit against similar-aged types. First-starters with this trial profile and stable strength are the base of most winning maiden form lines here.
A value play rather than a banker.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Shah Jahan | 7 | John Allen | C Maher | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 13 | Saintly Dancer | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 54.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 11 | Nothin' Surer | 10 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Scorching Beauty | 5 | Luke Currie | Dominic Sutton | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Manahi | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Lloyd Kennewell | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Mesley | 13 | Daniel Stackhouse | Symon Wilde | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Fire In Your Heart | 12 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Fairly Andy | 4 | Damien Thornton | Simon Zahra | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Thekingspalace | 1 | Jack Hill | Brady Cross | 58kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Gangland | 6 | Ethan Brown | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sine Dubio | 9 | Jake Noonan | Brent Stanley | 58kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Vella Longa | 8 | Thomas Stockdale | G Eurell | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Autumn Lover | 11 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Novamira | 14 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 56kg |
Perfect barrier for Geelong Soft on-pace bias and solid Kersley/Smith stats. Strong threat if ready first-up.
Clear form standout. Massive class drop into this Maiden makes him the most likely winner on pure form and recency despite the wide gate. Soft experience is a plus at Geelong Soft 7.
Well-bred debutant from powerful Moody yard with Nolen booked. Inside draw and recent trial give map and fitness edges on Soft. Lacks race form so sits third, but connections and setup make it a genuine winning chance in an open maiden.
Clear each-way value. Kennewell stable and in-form Childs provide the proxy upside.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Flying Fury | 7 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Alabama Dance | 1 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Isn't She Gorgeous | 2 | Jordan Childs | Lloyd Kennewell | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Hank Honk | 5 | Fred W Kersley | L Smith | 58kg | $2.40 |
| 5th | 12 | Rock The Vendi | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | Peter Gelagotis | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Dazzling Nicci | 12 | Jake Noonan | J F Moloney | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Finardi | 10 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 10 | Mio Prada | 4 | Teodore Nugent | Jason Warren | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 11 | On Her Own | 9 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 54.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Eclair Blossom | 6 | John Allen | Shane Jackson | 56kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Almontego | 11 | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Do The Dirty | 13 | Thomas Stockdale | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 58kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Santa Barbara | 3 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg |
Royal Duck's debut effort - a clear-cut placing at Bendigo on a Heavy track - stands out as the most professional performance in this field.
Cinnamon Kiss has been competitive without winning, placing three times from six starts including a narrow 2nd at Mt Gambier last start.
Mystic Rapture is an experienced mare who has been competitive without winning, highlighted by a narrow half-length loss at Kilmore.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Royal Duck | 9 | Luke Currie | M, W & J Hawkes | 57.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 17 | Absent | 3 | Craig Newitt | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Saint Fox | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 7 | Mystic Rapture | 4 | Michael Dee | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Swift Statement | 12 | Luke Nolen | Chris Calthorpe | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Merton Bells | 2 | Alana Kelly | Dan O'Sullivan | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 4 | No Ombrays | 8 | Liana Wood | P Foster | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Scarole | 13 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 9 | El Dudar | 5 | Fred W Kersley | L Smith | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 18 | Thinking Positive | 16 | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $31.00 | |
| 11th | 16 | Prince Iadora | 19 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Granite Hill | 10 | Will Gordon | P Koumis | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 13th | 1 | Billie Stardom | 14 | Melea Castle | Ms D Clover | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Cinnamon Kiss | 11 | John Allen | Tom Dabernig | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | March On By | 18 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Utopic Future | 17 | Jake Noonan | C Maher | 57kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Collectionneur | 6 | Jye McNeil | T & C McEvoy | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Merchantessa | 7 | Teodore Nugent | Jason Warren | 55kg | |
| Scr | 19 | Red Storm | 15 | Kasey Besanko | 59.5kg |
Barrier 2 and on-pace style are perfect for Geelong's bias towards handy runners. His last run on synthetic was fair, and the step to 1700m on soft is a query, but the booking of Michael Dee and stable's intent suggest he will be hard to beat. Trust his class and map.
He has placed on soft before and should handle the 1700m trip well. Barrier 11 is okay; he can sit midfield and produce his best.
Second-up today and stepping to 1700m, which should suit his running style. Expect him to settle midfield from barrier 12 and finish strongly in a race with limited pace. Clear top pick.
Eclectic is a debutant from the powerful Hayes stable with first-time blinkers and a lugging bit. While completely unraced, the trainer's strong first-up patterns (Ben Hayes stable) suggest he could be forward enough.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Frank Whisper | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | M M Laurie | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 9 | Wolves' Den | 6 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Vespasian | 2 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 10 | Ashina | 17 | Linda Meech | T Busuttin & N Young | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Helter Peltzer | 1 | Fred W Kersley | Chris Calthorpe | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Knucklehead | 11 | Thomas Stockdale | Archie Alexander | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Velvet City | 13 | Craig Newitt | Nathan McPherson | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Grinding Away | 18 | Melissa Julius | Michele Denham | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Sobine | 15 | Holly Durnan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 15 | La Reel Deal | 5 | John Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Stelletta | 10 | Teodore Nugent | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Akhalteke | 7 | Patrick Moloney | J F Moloney | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 13th | 2 | Eclectic | 8 | Damien Thornton | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 11 | I'mfallinforyou | 3 | Zac Spain | Dennis Julius | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Only Opera | 12 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Ta Ta Tango | 16 | Ricky Pike | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Flying Berouka | 4 | Brett Scott | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Ardesha | 14 | Catherine Hutchinson | 57.5kg |
Omnic is the clear form horse with consecutive wins culminating in a Rest 66 victory on Heavy by a neck. Soft and Heavy records are strong, barrier 4 maps perfectly for a slow-tempo on-pace role favoured at Geelong Soft, and the Maher yard plus claiming jockey add intent.
Charming Deel has been ultra-consistent with successive seconds including a strong 1700m Heavy effort last start. Wet form is solid, barrier 7 is perfect for Geelong Soft, and the short backup plus Meech/Dabernig combo signal readiness. Maps a touch midfield for the slow tempo but class and current form keep her a major threat.
Miss Trustful took out a Geelong Heavy BM56 last start and maps ideally from barrier 3 to settle handy in the projected slow tempo. Maher yard and Ethan Brown booking are positives, and the improving pattern plus wet ability make her a genuine each-way chance despite the class rise and modest Soft win rate.
Jackand is a genuine Geelong specialist with three wins and multiple placings at the track, including successive Heavy seconds over similar trips. Soft and Heavy form is excellent and the switch to visors can help.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Charming Deel | 7 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Omnic | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | C Maher | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 9 | Jackand | 13 | Craig Newitt | P Kearney | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Compressing | 5 | John Allen | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Miss Trustful | 3 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Amphactor | 2 | Jye McNeil | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 60.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Left Hook | 6 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Highland Glory | 1 | Alana Kelly | Dan O'Sullivan | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Semper Fortis | 14 | Bailey Kinninmont | Symon Wilde | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Tactfull | 11 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Red Aces | 8 | Teodore Nugent | R J Blacker | 60.5kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 16 | Saxon Blood | 12 | Nathan Punch | Nathan McPherson | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 13th | 11 | Admire Fluke | 10 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Like A Tiger | 12 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Mathew Smerdon | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Jenny The Beaver | 9 | Damien Thornton | Ben O'Farrell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Treasury Place | 15 | Neil Farley | Andrew Campbell | 58kg |
Winston profiles perfectly for this BM62: excellent soft track record (8:2-3-0), dropping in class, and John Allen's current hot streak (35% wins last 20) gives him a significant edge. While untested at 2400m, his stamina over 2000-2100m suggests the trip suits. Barrier 2 ensures a handy run, crucial at Geelong.
Silver Pledge has been knocking on the door with two strong runner-up efforts in heavy going, but his record on soft is a glaring negative (0:0-0-0). More place hope than win.
Omamori returns to BM62 after racing in Rest.66, a clear class advantage. His last four starts have all been competitive (3rd, 2nd, 4th, 4th) including a close 2nd at Moe. The wide barrier (15) is a concern at Geelong on soft, but his early speed (likely leader according to speed map) may offset it.
Her soft track record (4:1-2-0) is among the best in the race, and she ran well last time over 2200m on soft. The step to 2400m is an unknown but pedigree suggests she'll stay. Lightweight (56kg) and a 3kg claim make her well-in at the weights. Trainer/jockey combination is strong.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Thunderbolt Way | 13 | Jye McNeil | Nelson Smyth | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Power Pivot | 12 | Craig Newitt | K & K Keys | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Winston | 2 | John Allen | John McArdle | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Staunch | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | M M Laurie | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 14 | Miss Niagara | 10 | Teodore Nugent | S V Brown | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Silver Pledge | 8 | Will Gordon | Patrick Payne | 60.5kg | $3.10 |
| 7th | 5 | Matthew Mark | 3 | Linda Meech | Ms C Graesser | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Step In Time | 5 | Damien Thornton | Amy McDonald | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 13 | Hide Your Assets | 14 | Chelsea Thompson | S A Beani | 51.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 15 | Merry Old Soul | 11 | Jessica Pateman | 54.5kg | $101.00 | |
| 11th | 8 | Benbulben | 6 | Declan Bates | Jessica Pateman | 58kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Omamori | 15 | Stephanie Hateley | T Busuttin & N Young | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Genrichero | 1 | Patrick Moloney | M M Laurie | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Thurmond | 4 | Jack Hill | Symon Wilde | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Chateau Vega | 9 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 56kg |
Outstanding recent form at the trip in wet conditions makes him the clearest winning chance. Maps to control or sit handy in a slow-tempo 1200m on the Soft Geelong circuit that rewards on-pace runners. Distance proven and class-right; Soft blank is a minor query only given Heavy dominance and track riding like Good.
Clear second-best winning chance on pure form. Progressive three-year-old dropping into a winnable BM56 with the right draw.
Solid each-way claims via map, connections and proven Soft/distance form. Settles ideally from barrier 3 in a slow race and is dropping in grade.
Talkin' Italian is the clear form horse after winning a BM62 here on Heavy last start and placing prior. Drops sharply in grade to BM56 with ideal Soft suitability, proven Geelong 1200m credentials and a middle barrier that maps to the key top-3 at 400m zone. Weight is a query but class edge and recency override in this volatile grade.
I Said So brings the best wet-track profile and a strong last-start second in identical grade on Soft. Progressive profile suits this level perfectly as main danger.
Elite 1200m record and proven Soft performer who won last preparation on Heavy. Wide gate is the query but midfield map still viable on Soft Geelong and Stackhouse is a positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Immortal Triumph | 5 | Neil Farley | Ms D Loos | 61.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Colt Forty Five | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Jamie Edwards | 62kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 6 | Switch Hit | 7 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Freedman | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Headstock | 12 | Daniel Stackhouse | Carly Thomas | 62kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Bancoora | 9 | Will Gordon | P A Preusker | 62kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Ranakye | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Nicoffhome | 10 | Chelsea Thompson | Chris Calthorpe | 60.5kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 13 | De La Rocha | 8 | Craig Newitt | D J Cave | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 12 | The Opportunist | 3 | Jye McNeil | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Talkin' Italian | 6 | Nadia Daniels | Josh Cartwright | 63.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | I Said So | 1 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Jumpinmycar | 11 | Michael Dee | A & J Williams | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Aqua Storm | 13 | Jack Hill | Shane Jackson | 61kg |
Ania stands out on pure form for Soft 7. Three soft wins and recent BM62 placings on Heavy prove wet ability and class. Dropping into BM56 after winning at this level twice.
Xtramagic brings the best combination of soft-track form and map. Three soft wins, recent BM56 win and placing, plus the perfect inside gate on an on-pace Soft circuit. Settles handy and finishes. Clear second-best winning chance behind Ania on form.
Won on Heavy here and maps to control a moderate tempo, which is decisive at Geelong Soft. Last-start Synthetic flop is a concern and soft is unproven, so ranks behind the two proven wet performers, but still a genuine winning chance.
Symphonite is a consistent wet-tracker who placed last start on Heavy and owns multiple soft/heavy placings. Linda Meech is a positive booking at the track. Wide barrier is a clear negative on Soft Geelong but her finishing strength and current form keep her in the first three.
Prevention offers clear overlay. Moloney knows the horse and the track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | That's All Good | 5 | Emily Pozman | Nelson Smyth | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Prevention | 4 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 61.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Tuxedo Miss | 14 | Thomas Stockdale | Archie Alexander | 60kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Ania | 10 | Caitlin Hollowood | Julius Sandhu | 61kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 15 | Stellar Madame | 6 | Chris Calthorpe | 55kg | $81.00 | |
| 6th | 8 | Xtramagic | 2 | Shayleigh Ingelse | P A Preusker | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Somersault | 12 | Olivia East | G M Begg | 59.5kg | $2.45 |
| 8th | 14 | Ginger Sweet | 3 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Cosmic Grace | 1 | Ethan Brown | Lloyd Kennewell | 62kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Tremamore | 11 | Nadia Daniels | Samantha Jeffreys | 59kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Hustle | 13 | Holly Durnan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Paris Winds | 15 | Jordan Childs | D T O'Brien | 62.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Intimeofneed | 8 | Zac Spain | Dennis Julius | 61kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Mordialloc Beach | 9 | Jason Maskiell | Ms W Kelly | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Symphonite | 16 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 60kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Banjette | 7 | Dennis Julius | 54kg |
Before the races, not after
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