Ballarat Synthetic tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $1.80 · Teodore Nugent

The most reliable staying formline in a shallow maiden. Proven surface handler, fit, and maps to settle in the first half. The winless record over 23 starts is the obvious flaw, but no rival brings comparable current form at trip and track.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Tom Madden

The most exposed and reliable form line in the race. Barrier 5 suits the tactical profile Ballarat Synthetic rewards - close enough by the 400m with something left.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.30 · Olivia East

Barrier 5 and tactical speed give her control in a slow-tempo race. The 1400m step-up is the only genuine query.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Will Gordon

Our price $3.60 · SP $5.00 · Jason Maskiell

In a maiden where most rivals are unproven on synthetic or over the trip, Just Swift has done both. The slow projected tempo suits a tactical midfield type who can be within range at the 400m and sustain a long run down the Ballarat straight.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.60 · Lucinda Boyd

The only runner in the race with a win and a placing at this precise track, distance and class. His two most recent failures came at 1900m and 2200m, distances well beyond his proven range, so they carry little weight against him. Returning to 1500m at Ballarat Synthetic from barrier 3 in a race the speed map reads as slow with no genuine leader, he should be able to control tempo and be well within range at the 400m, which is the key winning profile here.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.60 · Will Gordon

He is not the top selection because his profile is that of a horse who runs into placings rather than wins, with a single career victory from twelve starts, and barrier 11 with 61.5kg into a likely slow tempo demands a wider trip or a late finish that the map may not deliver. Solid place proposition.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Jason Maskiell

Barrier 1, a class drop and a quick seven-day back-up all point the right way.

Our price $6.00 · SP $13.00 · Jack Hill

The safest placing prospect in the race. He has hit the frame at five of six starts, including a half-length second over this exact course and distance in early July, and finally converted at Coleraine under a big weight.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Declan Bates

Overpriced on his most recent and most relevant run.

Our price $2.90 · SP $2.80 · Lachlan King

78 assignment that was always beyond him. Barrier 3 lets him settle in the first half of the field, which is the profile that wins at Ballarat Synthetic. The 61kg is the only genuine query.

Our price $15.00 · SP $26.00 · Sam Kennedy

The value angle is the map. He is the one runner the speed map has clearly in front in a race projected to have a lone leader and only moderate tempo, and he does it off the minimum 53.5kg, which is 6.5kg less than when running 4th at this track on 3 July.

Our price $2.30 · SP $2.90 · John Allen

The most complete profile in a small field.

Our price $24.00 · SP $101.00 · Samantha Noble

The 6-runner field means three placings are paid, and her third-placing on synthetic gives a thread to hang on.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Jack Hill

The progressive runner of the race and the one most likely to improve past her exposed rivals. She has already handled this synthetic surface with a placing here.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Brad Rawiller

78. Against that, she is winless from three synthetic attempts, her last four runs have been well beaten, and barrier 10 makes the map awkward with a slow tempo forecast.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.80 · Linda Meech

Her Mildura second over the identical trip and grade reads well, her 1400m record is 3:1-1-0 and she is at the second-up point where she has already won. What holds her below Royal Infantry is the complete absence of synthetic experience, the draw in gate 9 and a jockey yet to win here from 26 rides. Solid each-way rather than a confident win play.

Our price $15.00 · SP $41.00 · Jade Smith

A genuine overlay.