Murwillumbah tips and results

Our price $11.00 · SP $20.00 · Grady Spokes

Pure value off the map. She has also placed over this exact course and distance.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Dan Mc Gillivray

The most obvious form line in the race is the Coffs Harbour Open over this trip a fortnight ago, where Sir Carter finished three lengths behind Oakfield Duke while conceding nothing in the weights. Today he is 2.5kg better off, which closes most of that gap. He is a proven Open 1200m soft-track winner with a strong place profile and the fitness of a third-up run. The outside gate and an unfamiliar rider are the offsets, so he is safer at the each-way angle than for the win.

Our price $5.50 · SP $12.00 · Raymond Spokes

He maps as the lone genuine leader from barrier three on a surface where leaders win around 22-25% and backmarkers fail.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.30 · Andrew Mallyon

Against that, 61kg is a serious weight, both his wins came on Good ground, and his last three efforts have been plain.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.05 · Ryan Maloney

The nominated class edge. His Randwick BM88 win over 1600m on Soft 6 three weeks ago is a stronger formline than anything else here can present, and he beat that field home on the same sort of ground he meets today. He is the field's best strike-rate horse at 5 wins from 14, handles the surface, and maps forward from gate 8 - the one durable Murwillumbah Soft signal.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Emily Lang

The one runner who has actually raced over this course and distance on a wet track, finishing third on Soft 6, and he brings the most substantial wet-track record in the race at 20 starts for 4 wins and 4 seconds. Barrier 9 is the concern on a surface that punishes wide draws, but he settles handy enough to overcome it.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Daniel Moor

His plain first-up tenth reads much better once you note he has never won fresh in seven attempts, while his second-up record is 3 wins from 6 - and he is second up today at a distance that suits a proven miler far more than the 1400m sprint he resumed over.

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.00 · Yvette Lewis

He steps up in class but drops to 56.5kg and draws gate 3, which lets him take the handy position that Murwillumbah on Soft demands - top three at the 400m wins about 25% there versus about 4% off the speed. A progressive lightly raced type with the right trip, right surface and right map.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Boris Thornton

His distance record is 3 starts for a win and a second, and he has won on Heavy ground, so the Soft 5 is no barrier. Barrier 5 gives Thornton the option to be handy, which is essential here.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Raymond Spokes

He is second-up today and his second-up record is 3 starts for a win. Back to a sprint trip, which clearly suits far better than the 1400m-1600m assignments that have exposed him.