Kalgoorlie tips and results

Our price $2.40 · SP $2.40 · Lucy F Fiore

Second up, city-grade form, and a jockey riding at 35% recently. Barrier 9 is the only genuine query.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Joey Azzopardi

He is soft-track and track proven with all three placings coming under these exact conditions, and barrier 5 gives him the mapping edge. The obvious flaw is that he has never won in ten attempts, so he is a staking-value each-way play rather than a winning conviction.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Natasha Faithfull

Barrier 4 with natural speed suits a slow-tempo 1100m at a leaders-friendly track. Top weight 60.5kg. Solid each-way rather than a win risk.

Our price $4.50 · SP $11.00 · Chanel Cooper

The grade rise is real but she beat home Lovesexy that day and did it first-up. Blinkers first time on a progressive, lightly raced mare from the dominant local stable suggests further improvement.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Lucy F Fiore

The most reliable form line in a modest Class 2. All seven career starts have come at Kalgoorlie for two wins, and she placed here on Soft 5 in June, so the surface holds no fears. Barrier 6 and a forward map suit a track where leaders win a third of races. Fiore's strike rate is the best in the race. The 49-day gap is the one real negative given how strongly freshness reads at this venue on Soft, which keeps her second rather than first.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Jason Li

The strongest wet-track credential in the race: 3 Soft starts for a win and a second, including a 1100m Kalgoorlie win on Soft 5. She maps well from gate 5 and gets in on the minimum with the 3kg claim, which matters against 58-60kg rivals on a rain-affected surface.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.80 · Lucy F Fiore

Fiore's purple patch and the Fernie stable's Kalgoorlie strength are genuine positives. What stops her being the top pick is the map: barrier 9 with a settling position off the speed into a forecast slow tempo at a track that rewards being top three to six at the 400m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Natasha Faithfull

The tactical wildcard. She is the only genuine leader in the field, and with a slow tempo forecast at a track where on-pace runners win at roughly 16% on Soft, an uncontested lead is a powerful weapon. Her last two runs were at 1100m, which is short of her best; back to 1300m at Kalgoorlie she has a win and two placings from four attempts. Light weight, good gate and a 19% trainer/jockey combination.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Zephen Johnston-Porter

The overlay of the race.

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.40 · Natasha Faithfull

The most complete profile in a modest Class 1. He broke through at Kalgoorlie in July then ran a strong 2nd on Soft 5 at Bunbury only 10 days ago, and both those runs came with genuine on-pace pressure. Kalgoorlie Soft rewards fresh, in-form, forward-racing track winners and he ticks every box. The 60.5kg is the one genuine query, but the class edge outweighs it.

Our price $8.50 · SP $15.00 · Austin Galati

Her track-and-distance credentials are the strongest in the race - a win and two seconds from five attempts over 1400m here, including a breakthrough four weeks ago. The barrier is the problem: gate 14 is the widest and outside draws have not produced a winner at this track.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.00 · Chanel Cooper

The barrier swing is the whole story. She was hopeless from gate 12 last start and finished 9th, but jumps from the ideal draw 2 today at a track where inside gates win nearly three times as often as middle ones. Cooper is in career-best touch.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.60 · Lucy F Fiore

The most credible winner on hard form lines. The class relief, 14-day freshness and Fiore's red-hot form outweigh the wide gate.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Chanel Cooper

The class drop and 14-day freshness fit the winning profile, and barrier 6 lets Cooper park him handy. He is held back only by a modest strike rate and a soft-track record showing no wins from five attempts.

Our price $11.00 · SP $18.00 · Alex Hearn

Today he gets 54kg and barrier 4.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.40 · Natasha Faithfull

He is genuinely progressive, well drawn, drops 5kg and has a track win with a strong stable-jockey combination, and his soft record of a win, a second and three thirds from five reads well. Against that, he has one start at 1600m for no placing, a sharp class rise from Class 5, and only two wins from fifteen — a horse that repeatedly runs into placings rather than winning.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · Lucy F Fiore

Blinkers first time and a red-hot jockey are positives. Solid at the placings.

Our price $7.00 · SP $16.00 · Brayden Gaerth

The most reliable 1600m formline in the race outside the top two. The concern is conversion - two wins from 29 and no wins on Soft from seven attempts - so each-way is the correct approach.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Sharni Webster

The overlay. She won over 1400m on Soft 6 at this very track a fortnight ago and now gets barrier 4 with a 3kg claim taking her to 53kg, in a race the speed map says has no genuine leader and will run slow. Kalgoorlie leaders win at nearly 24% and inside gates dominate, so if she rolls forward and dictates she is dangerous.