Swan Hill tips and results

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Chelsea Taylor

That was the best run of her career and she backs up three weeks later with the same rider aboard and a good gate.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.70 · John Allen

Magna Sententia made a real impression on debut, settling well back before charging home to be beaten under a length at 1200m on a Soft 5. The wide draw is the obvious query and he will need the race run to suit, but his talent looks above maiden grade and he is the one to beat.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.10 · Eoin Walsh

Carnevale was thrown in the deep end as a juvenile and now finds a maiden after a tidy third at Seymour over this trip on soft ground, where he came from near last. The class drop is significant and he is fitter second-up. He can be slow out and will need to settle closer from gate nine, but his best form reads well above this level and he should be in the finish.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Dean Yendall

The safest exposed form in the race: placed in six of eleven, beaten small margins over 1200m in each of her last three, and she maps to sit right on the speed from gate seven. Her form lines are the pick of the raced brigade.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.70 · John Allen

Improving three-year-old who came from well back to run second over 1200m at Mildura last start, hitting the line strongly. He is second-up from a spell, has a form stable behind him and a senior rider engaged.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.20 · Chelsea Taylor

The most trustworthy form in a thin maiden: two placings from three starts, including a close third over 1200m at this track and a closing third at Mildura last time after blowing the start. He travels in the first half and keeps finding the line, and with no obvious leader engaged the tempo should keep him within striking range turning for home. The step to the mile is the one unknown, but his pattern says he will see it out. The one to beat on what has actually been produced.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.80 · Fred W Kersley

Last time he gave away ground at the start and never got into the race, which is best forgotten. From the inside gate he should lob into a lovely trailing spot behind the leader and be produced on the turn. The query is a first look at soft going.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.50 · Cory Parish

Beaten a neck in a similar race at Horsham last start, producing the strongest closing effort of anything in this field, and he was game in the same grade two runs back after racing wide without cover on soft ground. He maps to sit on the speed from the outside gate and is well suited by a moderate tempo. The knock is that he has had seven tries on soft going without a win and is yet to salute at this trip, but he is rarely far away.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.30 · John Allen

He has twice gone within half a length of winning over this trip at Swan Hill, once on a soft track when he came from near last, and his closing effort in last month's second in this grade was the strongest in the race. He handles give in the ground, John Allen gets on well with him and he stays. The one query is a steady tempo leaving him too much to do.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Stacey Metcalfe

Callistemon is a tough mare who loves the soft, with a win in this grade over the trip. She was blocked for room last start at Swan Hill and still ran on solidly. She should get a nicer run this time.

Our price $11.50 · SP $15.00 · Lachlan King

My value play. He produced the best winning effort of anything in this field last start, fighting on after being taken on wide, and he drops weight into this grade with the inside gate to settle handy. The flip side: that was a weak grade, both his wet-track runs this preparation were plain and his stable has never won here.