Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Thursday 17 July 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Her versatility should allow her to take advantage of the likely fast tempo. While facing a slight class rise, she has proven competitive at similar levels before. The good track condition suits her profile well.
Tara Jasmine's outstanding track record and class level performances make her a strong contender. She's likely to lead in a fast-paced race, which suits her style. While carrying top weight, her consistency and proven ability at the track compensate for this.
Well-weighted and likely to get a good run from barrier 3, she should be suited by the expected fast tempo. While unproven at the track and facing a slight class rise, her current form suggests she can be competitive here.
With a strong second-up record and good overall place percentage, she's well-weighted for this race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Leica Model | 8 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Decisive Lass | 5 | Siena Grima | G N Nielsen | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Spirits Burn Deep | 6 | Jon Grisedale | N J Osborne | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 9 | Rethink It | 4 | Winona Costin | T J Vidler | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Yellowhammer | 10 | Kyle Wilson-Taylor | A J Edmonds | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 3 | Subuki | 1 | Donovan Dillon | Wayne Brown | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 5 | Wonderwhen | 2 | Luke Rolls | B J Dodson | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Tara Jasmine | 7 | Ms M Weir | P J Minter | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 10 | The Coat Hanger | 9 | Teighan Worsnop | J A Sprague | 53.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 6 | So Rosie | 3 | Ashley Morgan | Ms S Grills | 55kg |
Despite stepping up in class, the filly appears well-placed and her adaptability to various track conditions is a significant asset. The inside barrier draw could be advantageous if she breaks well.
Punch One Out is a solid second pick, demonstrating consistent form and proven ability at similar distances. The engagement of top jockey Aaron Bullock is a significant positive. While carrying top weight is a concern, the gelding's track record on good surfaces and overall consistency make him a strong contender.
The mare's consistent placing record and experience at similar distances are positive factors. However, the wide barrier draw and high weight present challenges that slightly temper expectations.
The gelding's improving form, combined with an advantageous inside barrier and significant weight relief, makes him an intriguing prospect. The engagement of Ashley Morgan is a positive, though the class rise and unproven status at 1400m introduce some uncertainty.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Dernier Lien | 2 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 53.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | Punch One Out | 7 | Aaron Bullock | Glen Milligan | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Gavin | 8 | Alysha Collett | Jordan Lee | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Shalamiyna | 10 | Luke Rolls | P J Kelly | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 8 | King Soleil | 1 | Ashley Morgan | Craig Ruttley | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 20 | Fiction Society | 3 | Andrew Gibbons | Fleur Henley | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Bianco Nero | 4 | Jon Grisedale | B D Bellamy | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Give Me Joy | 20 | Jack Baker | Ms L Longmire | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 9th | 12 | Idol Shot | 13 | Raymond Spokes | R J Agnew | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Royal Rift | 5 | Teighan Worsnop | Jason Reilly | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 18 | Soyouthinkit''sover | 19 | Peter Graham | G J Howells | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Causeways | 15 | A Adkins | D L Matts | 56kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Cash And Cards | 9 | Paul Snowden | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Monarch Express | 6 | Jordan Lee | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Montgolfier | 12 | Colt Prosser | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Our Sparky | 11 | Owen Glue | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Harriet | 17 | S B Lee | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Jed | 18 | Jason Reilly | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Secret Keeper | 14 | Aiden St Vincent | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | My Pepperjack | 16 | Sally Taylor | 55kg |
Ol'' Mate Coop presents as the top selection with consistent form, including two placings from four starts. Drawn ideally in barrier 3, he's well-positioned to capitalize on his early speed and secure a prominent position.
Master Artist shows promise with three placings from four starts, including a recent runner-up finish. The gelding has demonstrated consistency and appears well-suited to the Good track condition.
What A Gent returns from a spell with a solid record of one placing from three starts. The gelding has shown a preference for Good tracks and performs well when fresh. With top jockey Aaron Bullock engaged, What A Gent has potential to improve on previous form, despite the long layoff and slightly unfavorable barrier draw.
A significant class drop enhances his chances, though limited experience and an unproven record at the track/distance are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Master Artist | 7 | Ashley Morgan | S B Lee | 59kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 10 | Totally Underrated | 2 | Matthew Mc Guren | Samantha McGuren | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Ol'' Mate Coop | 3 | Andrew Gibbons | A Newing | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 3 | What A Gent | 8 | Aaron Bullock | T J Bartley | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 5th | 13 | Outoftheoffice | 6 | Luke Rolls | Samantha McGuren | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Dusk Over Dubai | 9 | Ben Looker | Ethan Ensby | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Bold Zara | 1 | Alysha Collett | S B Lee | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Washik | 14 | Raymond Spokes | Ms J Pratten | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Tango Spirit | 13 | Bella Youngberry | Jason Reilly | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Too Hard To Find | 5 | Ms M Weir | Samantha McGuren | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Barron | 11 | Ms S Pepper | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Winchman | 10 | Dylan Turner | P L Shailer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Kickoff | 12 | Serg Lisnyy | T J Bartley | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | So Sain | 4 | N Masuda | Ethan Ensby | 57kg |
Steffi Electrica brings strong recent form, including a win at this track. While facing a class rise, her consistency and proven ability at Grafton make her the top selection.
Herman Said impressed on debut with a strong win and has drawn an advantageous barrier. While lacking experience, the potential for improvement is significant. The class rise is a concern, but his unbeaten record and favorable draw make him a strong contender.
Albany Road shows an improving form trend and benefits from a strong trainer/jockey combination. The weight-for-age conditions suit, and the barrier is favorable. However, he is yet to win and faces a significant class rise.
While facing a significant class rise and drawn moderately, his recent form and track experience make him an attractive value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Albany Road | 3 | Blake Shinn | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Herman Said | 1 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Steffi Electrica | 9 | Damien Thornton | A J Edmonds | 55kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 7 | Come On Glamour | 2 | A Adkins | Scott Henley | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Lord Of Flames | 10 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Exoflow | 4 | Danny Peisley | D A McColm | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 8 | I Am Steffi | 7 | Winona Costin | N J Osborne | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Kanmuru | 14 | Shane Everson | 57kg | $201.00 | |
| 9th | 13 | Vantante | 6 | Courtney Bellamy | Paul Murray | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Ol'' Mate Coop | 8 | A Newing | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Intelligencer | 12 | Ben Looker | Ethan Ensby | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Prix De La Heart | 5 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Song For Rosie | 11 | Serg Lisnyy | T J Bartley | 55kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Zaindara | 13 | Ashley Morgan | M J Dunn | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Outoftheoffice | 15 | Samantha McGuren | 57kg |
Boambee Beach presents as a strong contender with consistent recent form, including a close second last start. The mare has a solid record at Grafton and over this distance. Well-weighted and drawn ideally in barrier 2, she should get an economical run. The main query is the class rise, but her overall profile suggests she can be competitive.
Port Erin brings solid form into this race, with a win and two placings from his last five starts. The gelding has a good win rate and should get an ideal run from barrier 1. While rising in class and unproven at Grafton, his consistency and suitable weight give him strong claims in this field.
Tryanza comes off a last-start win and boasts an impressive overall record with 3 wins from 7 starts. The gelding has proven himself at Grafton and draws well in barrier 4. However, he faces a significant class rise in this race, which tempers confidence slightly. His raw ability and track record still make him a strong contender.
While unproven at Grafton and facing a class rise, his overall form and win rate suggest he can be competitive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Port Erin | 1 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Ben Hull | 60.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 10 | Boambee Beach | 2 | Raymond Spokes | B D Bellamy | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 17 | Tryanza | 4 | D B Campbell | 59.5kg | $6.00 | |
| 4th | 9 | Jewels Statement | 6 | Jett Newman | Samantha McGuren | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Enterprise Legend | 3 | Siena Grima | Holly Williams | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Helluva Teen | 7 | Glenn Cahill | N J Osborne | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Bellzen | 16 | Luke Rolls | D L Matts | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Dusan | 8 | Matthew Mc Guren | Samantha McGuren | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Vierville | 9 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Battle Of Vienna | 17 | Kyle Wilson-Taylor | A J Edmonds | 61kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Alf''s Magic | 5 | Ashley Morgan | S B Lee | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Uno Moon | 10 | Bella Youngberry | M J Lakey | 63kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Iobject | 15 | D B Campbell | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Snow Falcon | 14 | Shane Everson | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Canamble | 11 | D Lane | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | One ''n'' Only | 12 | Ms K Loy | 65kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Lady Tulessa | 13 | J D Shelton | 62.5kg |
Emperor presents as the top selection with consistent form, including a recent win. Well-weighted and likely to be suited by the expected fast tempo, Emperor stands out as the horse to beat despite a slight class rise.
Godfather is a strong second pick, benefiting from a drop in class and consistent recent form. While yet to win at this distance and carrying top weight, his overall profile suggests he will be very competitive in this field.
Bravely comes into calculations with recent winning form and a proven record at the track. Carrying a light weight and likely to be suited by the expected fast tempo, Bravely has strong claims despite rising in class. The wider barrier is a slight concern but overall, he presents as a solid chance.
Lady Wardell represents excellent value, dropping significantly in class with a consistent placing record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Emperor | 8 | Blake Shinn | M J Dunn | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Power Beau | 7 | Donovan Dillon | Wayne Brown | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 15 | Patino Ruby | 12 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Lady Wardell | 9 | Alysha Collett | S B Lee | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Crowie''s Shout | 13 | Aaron Bullock | M P Quinn | 60.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Miss Jennifer | 18 | Zac Lloyd | D A Williams | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Bravely | 11 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 17 | Iobject | 14 | A Adkins | D B Campbell | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Godfather | 6 | Ashley Morgan | M J Dunn | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Key Legend | 16 | Matthew Mc Guren | A Newing | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Volcanic Love | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | Scott Henley | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Scotland | 1 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 13th | 8 | Bjorn Ironside | 2 | Ben Looker | Colt Prosser | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 14th | 2 | Fortyfive Parklane | 5 | Luke Rolls | Samantha McGuren | 60.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | The Face | 15 | A P Ball | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Tryanza | 17 | Teighan Worsnop | D B Campbell | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Decisive Lass | 4 | G N Nielsen | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Boambee Beach | 3 | B D Bellamy | 55kg |
Belvedere Boys brings the strongest form credentials, with a high win rate and consistent performances at high levels. While the wide barrier and top weight are concerns, his class and ability to handle various conditions make him the top pick. The likely fast tempo should suit his running style.
Quietness is showing an improving form trend and boasts a strong win rate. She's proven over similar distances and is well-weighted for this contest. The main concerns are the class rise and lack of experience at this track. May need some luck from a midfield position if the pace is not strong.
Bear On The Loose presents as a strong lightweight chance with consistent recent form. While facing a class rise, his strong place rate and suitability for the distance make him a solid contender. The good barrier draw (3) should allow for a positive position in running.
The good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. While facing some class concerns, his consistency makes him an attractive each-way proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Don Diego De Vega | 7 | Zac Lloyd | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Quietness | 9 | A Adkins | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 55kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 8 | Zoology | 1 | Rob Thorburn | P & W Hulbert | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Touristic | 12 | Dylan Gibbons | Peter Snowden | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Nikau Spur | 5 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Corey & Kylie Geran | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Bacio Del Mist | 10 | Alysha Collett | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Pure Deal | 11 | Bella Youngberry | B D Bellamy | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Dillian | 4 | Adin Thompson | P & W Hulbert | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Felix The Scat | 13 | Kyle Wilson-Taylor | T J Gollan | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Tapildoodledo | 6 | Ben Looker | Kerry Taplin | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Belvedere Boys | 16 | Blake Shinn | M J Dunn | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 12th | 15 | Go Millo | 15 | Winona Costin | Indiana Turner | 54kg | $301.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Glory Daze | 2 | Ashley Morgan | C Maher | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Bear On The Loose | 3 | Angela Jones | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Little Mix | 8 | Damien Thornton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Charmed Destiny | 14 | J A Sprague | 54kg |
The mare's improving form trend and suitability to the track and distance make her a standout. While facing a class rise, her weight of 55.5kg is favorable, and her recent performances suggest she's ready for the challenge.
Burning Bell is a strong second pick, boasting a solid win rate and an advantageous barrier draw. Her consistent form and strong first-up record are positive indicators. However, the long break since her last run and lower track condition suitability are slight concerns. The mare's class suitability and overall record make her a serious contender.
Bomarea rounds out the top three selections with a strong win rate and good track/distance record. The mare's consistent form and advantageous barrier draw are positive factors. While facing a significant class rise and coming off a long break, her overall profile suggests she can be competitive in this field.
With an improving form trend and a solid win rate, this gelding has potential to outperform expectations. The recent run advantage and suitable weight are positive factors.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | At Witz End | 8 | Matthew Mc Guren | Daniel Bowen | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Bomarea | 2 | A Adkins | M P Quinn | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Burning Bell | 3 | Zac Lloyd | A J Edmonds | 55.5kg | $2.10 |
| 4th | 13 | Lady Tulessa | 7 | Luke Rolls | J D Shelton | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Bring Me Kash | 6 | Angela Jones | S B Lee | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Time For Victory | 9 | Shae Wilkes | A P Ball | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Kote | 1 | Ben Looker | W T Wilkes | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Heir Apparent | 5 | Winona Costin | J A Sprague | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Outishka | 4 | Alysha Collett | S I Singleton | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Two Ya Got | 10 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 56kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Mabel | 13 | T J Bartley | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Enuff Pills | 11 | Adin Thompson | Tenille Ranger | 54kg | |
| Scr | 11 | One ''n'' Only | 12 | Ms K Loy | 54kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.