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New South Wales · Saturday 26 July 2025

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won4/850%
Any tip won8/8100%
Top pick placed8/8100%
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R1

StoreLocal Kembla Grange Super Mdn Plate

12:15 local1400mMaiden$60,000,128,400,210,350,000,000,000,000,000
Winner3. PatissierSP $6.50
★ Top pick2nd
5Hurry Miss

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.45 · Mitchell Bell

Despite being first up from a spell, her first-up record and weight advantage make her the top pick. The wide barrier is a concern, but her closing speed should overcome this drawback.

2nd pickWon
3Patissier

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50 · Christian Reith

While also first up from a spell, his good track record and neutral barrier draw are positives. The main concern is the lack of a win so far, but he appears well-placed to challenge the top pick.

3rd pick7th
2Extra Power

Our price $26.00 · SP $41.00 · Nick Heywood

The inside barrier and weight advantage are positives, but his inconsistent form and long spell are concerns.

Value pick3rd
4Hammoon Heroine

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.00 · K S Latham

Hammoon Heroine is the value selection based on the weight advantage and potential improvement from the gear change. The experienced jockey is a positive factor.

  1. 1st3PatissierChristian Reith$6.50
  2. 2nd5Hurry MissMitchell Bell$1.45
  3. 3rd4Hammoon HeroineK S Latham$6.00
  4. 4th7PrecinctJean Van Overmeire$13.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Patissier5Christian ReithJohn O''Shea & Tom Charlton57kg$6.50
2nd5Hurry Miss9Mitchell BellPeter Snowden55kg$1.45
3rd4Hammoon Heroine8K S LathamMatthew Smith55kg$6.00
4th7Precinct7Jean Van OvermeireC Maher55kg$13.00
5th1Edorado4Jessica TaylorMs T Bateup57kg$101.00
6th9Varekova2Brock RyanDanielle Seib55kg$14.00
7th2Extra Power1Nick HeywoodJohn Thompson57kg$41.00
Scr6Landmark Lady3Ms C KeatingsMs T Bateup52kg
Scr8Sass6Ms L DayC Maher55kg
R2

Harrigan Motor Group Mdn Plate

12:50 local1300mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner1. CinsaultSP $1.16
★ Top pickWon
1Cinsault

Our price $1.50 · SP $1.16 · Mitchell Bell

While yet to win, the filly has proven herself at this level and should handle the good track despite preferring softer going. The top weight is a slight concern but offset by her consistency.

2nd pick3rd
2Gyra

Our price $4.50 · SP $14.00 · Brock Ryan

While yet to win, the filly has shown ability at this level and should appreciate the good track. The first-up factor adds some uncertainty but also potential for a forward showing.

3rd pick4th
5Sass

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Ms L Day

Sass enters with limited race experience but showed some ability in her debut run. While unproven on good tracks, her fitness edge and scope for progression make her a consideration for minor placings.

Value pick5th
6Stormzino

Our price $26.00 · SP $41.00 · Ms C Keatings

The quick backup suggests fitness, and there's potential for significant improvement second-up.

  1. 1st1CinsaultMitchell Bell$1.16
  2. 2nd7Angel CityK S Latham$7.50
  3. 3rd2GyraBrock Ryan$14.00
  4. 4th5SassMs L Day$17.00
Full result · 5 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Cinsault1Mitchell BellJames Cummings58kg$1.16
2nd7Angel City3K S LathamMatthew Smith55.5kg$7.50
3rd2Gyra4Brock RyanC Maher58kg$14.00
4th5Sass2Ms L DayC Maher58kg$17.00
5th6Stormzino7Ms C KeatingsG Portelli55kg$41.00
Scr3Hurry Miss5Peter Snowden58kg
Scr4Precinct8Mollie FitzgeraldC Maher56kg
Scr8Entrapment6Jean Van OvermeireJoseph Ible55.5kg
R3

WIN Corporation Mdn Plate

13:25 local1300mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner7. Tong HoSP $15.00
★ Top pick3rd
8Valedictorian

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.50 · Jeff Penza

While winless, the colt has been competitive at a much higher level. The inside draw and first-up stats suggest readiness for a breakthrough performance.

2nd pick6th
2Karmardo

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.80 · K S Latham

The gelding's front-running style should suit the expected fast tempo. While first-up from a spell, previous fresh performance and sharp trials indicate readiness. The main concerns are the top weight and unproven stamina at 1300m.

3rd pickWon
7Tong Ho

Our price $7.50 · SP $15.00 · Mitchell Bell

Tong Ho shows an improving form trend and has the benefit of a recent run. While yet to win, the second-up stats and inside draw suggest potential for a strong showing. The main question is adaptability to the Good track.

Value pick2nd
6Sigma

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Jean Van Overmeire

Sigma offers value potential dropping significantly in class from an Open race. The colt's inside draw and second-up status suggest room for improvement.

  1. 1st7Tong HoMitchell Bell$15.00
  2. 2nd6SigmaJean Van Overmeire$4.60
  3. 3rd8ValedictorianJeff Penza$2.50
  4. 4th3King Of The RingBrock Ryan$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Tong Ho3Mitchell BellJames Cummings56.5kg$15.00
2nd6Sigma1Jean Van OvermeireG Waterhouse & A Bott56.5kg$4.60
3rd8Valedictorian2Jeff PenzaMichael Freedman56.5kg$2.50
4th3King Of The Ring8Brock RyanDavid Pfieffer59kg$21.00
5th1Aldezor5Mitch StaplefordJoseph Pride56kg$31.00
6th2Karmardo7K S LathamJohn O''Shea & Tom Charlton59kg$2.80
7th5Alamagan4Ms L DayJoseph Ible56.5kg$61.00
8th4Roman City6Donovan YeoMatthew Smith59kg$15.00
R4

Inglis Xtra Bonus Series Provincial Mdn Hcp

14:00 local1500mMaiden$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner1. Wild ThoughtsSP $1.45
★ Top pickWon
1Wild Thoughts

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.45 · Chad Lever

Second up from a spell with a good first-up run, the gelding appears well-placed to break through for a maiden win. The weight is a concern, but class suggests it can handle the impost.

2nd pick2nd
5Penalties

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.40 · Brock Ryan

The gelding has proven form on good tracks and carries a light weight, which could be advantageous over the 1500m distance. While yet to win, the consistent form suggests a breakthrough is near.

3rd pick5th
2Zoustrong

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · K S Latham

Zoustrong shows improving form with a recent third place finish. The gelding has been consistent at this class level and may have an early speed advantage. While inexperienced and yet to win, the combination of improving form and experienced connections makes Zoustrong a solid place chance.

Value pick6th
8Kermalicious

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Andrew Gibbons

The filly is dropping significantly in class and carries a light weight. While yet to win and facing a new track/distance combination, the recent form and class drop make Kermalicious an intriguing longshot.

  1. 1st1Wild ThoughtsChad Lever$1.45
  2. 2nd5PenaltiesBrock Ryan$4.40
  3. 3rd4Damascus CallingGrant Buckley$21.00
  4. 4th7Autumn HeirJean Van Overmeire$8.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Wild Thoughts6Chad LeverK J Parker59kg$1.45
2nd5Penalties3Brock RyanK J Parker55.5kg$4.40
3rd4Damascus Calling4Grant BuckleyMick Attard56.5kg$21.00
4th7Autumn Heir7Jean Van OvermeireR & L Price55kg$8.00
5th2Zoustrong9K S LathamR & L Price58kg$16.00
6th8Kermalicious5Andrew GibbonsK A Lees55kg$41.00
7th3More Cash1Holly DurnanMitchell Beer54kg$21.00
8th6Radion8Shaun GuymerMs D Poidevin-Laine55.5kg$151.00
Scr9London Star2Ms T Bateup55kg
R5

St George Illawarra Dragons Midway Hcp (C1)

14:35 local1300mClass 1$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner1. VetwelveSP $4.00
★ Top pick2nd
4Commanding Belle

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.10 · Brock Ryan

With a good draw and proven ability on this surface, she looks well-placed to continue her form. The slight class rise is offset by her progressive profile and tactical versatility.

2nd pickWon
1Vetwelve

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.00 · Mitch Stapleford

While yet to win at Kembla Grange, his overall profile suggests he should be competitive here. The top weight is a slight concern, but his class edge may offset this.

3rd pick8th
5Montigo Bay

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.80 · K S Latham

Montigo Bay shows an improving form trend and has a good second-up record. The good barrier draw should allow her to take up a favorable position.

Value pick5th
6Zambezi River

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Ryan Bradley

Zambezi River presents as an intriguing value proposition.

  1. 1st1VetwelveMitch Stapleford$4.00
  2. 2nd4Commanding BelleBrock Ryan$3.10
  3. 3rd7GreygentaMs L Day$17.00
  4. 4th2AffermatoChad Lever$6.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Vetwelve6Mitch StaplefordJ G Sargent57.5kg$4.00
2nd4Commanding Belle7Brock RyanR & L Price55.5kg$3.10
3rd7Greygenta2Ms L DayG Portelli55kg$17.00
4th2Affermato8Chad LeverMs A Turner58kg$6.50
5th6Zambezi River1Ryan BradleyFabio Martino51.5kg$31.00
6th8Juste Un Clou3Holly DurnanS B Hill52kg$61.00
7th3Sculptor5Jean Van OvermeireG Portelli56kg$9.50
8th5Montigo Bay4K S LathamRoss McConville55.5kg$3.80
R6

Illawarra Steelers Hcp (C1)

15:15 local1500mClass 1$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner5. San GiovanniSP $2.40
★ Top pickWon
5San Giovanni

Our price $2.10 · SP $2.40 · K S Latham

Despite the class rise, the weight advantage and inside draw should allow this promising gelding to dictate terms. The strong first-up record suggests readiness for a bold showing.

2nd pick2nd
7Tessy Tee

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.80 · A J Calder

While unproven at the distance, her strong place record and suitability to good tracks make her a serious contender. The wider barrier is a slight concern but her closing speed should overcome this.

3rd pick8th
1Hippolyte Rock

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Jeff Penza

Hippolyte Rock presents with a strong win rate and excellent second-up record. While carrying top weight from a wider barrier, his proven ability on good tracks and strong weight-carrying capacity make him a genuine contender. The class rise is a concern but his overall profile suggests he can be competitive.

Value pick11th
6Swift Gun

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Grant Buckley

The slight class drop and gear change (cross-over nose band first time) suggest potential for improvement.

  1. 1st5San GiovanniK S Latham$2.40
  2. 2nd7Tessy TeeA J Calder$4.80
  3. 3rd8Lady SavannahMitchell Bell$15.00
  4. 4th4JamarniBrock Ryan$7.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5San Giovanni1K S LathamMichael Freedman57kg$2.40
2nd7Tessy Tee6A J CalderR D Collett56kg$4.80
3rd8Lady Savannah2Mitchell BellJake Hull55.5kg$15.00
4th4Jamarni3Brock RyanR & L Price57kg$7.50
5th11Annoint11Pierre BoudvillainG D Hickman55kg$51.00
6th2Casablanca Express8Jean Van OvermeireDavid Payne57.5kg$7.00
7th3Swexan4Andrew GibbonsC Maher57.5kg$14.00
8th1Hippolyte Rock5Jeff PenzaC J Waller58.5kg$17.00
9th9Noble One7Ms L DayMatthew Smith55kg$26.00
10th10Via Varallo10Mollie FitzgeraldMs A Turner53kg$51.00
11th6Swift Gun9Grant BuckleyBrad Widdup57kg$21.00
R7

Peter Newell OAM Memorial (Bm64)

15:55 local2400mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner2. StylebenderSP $13.00
★ Top pick2nd
4Twilight Elegance

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.80 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Twilight Elegance shows an improving form trend and boasts a strong win rate of 2 wins from 5 starts. The filly carries a favorable weight and should be suited by the likely moderate tempo. While facing a class rise, her progressive profile and weight advantage make her the top selection.

2nd pickWon
2Stylebender

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Bronte Simpson

As a likely leader in the speed map, he should control the pace. While carrying more weight and facing a slight class rise, his proven ability at the distance and tactical advantage make him a solid second choice.

3rd pick7th
1Lennox

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

Lennox brings consistent form and benefits from a class drop. The strong jockey booking and likely midfield position suit his running style. While carrying top weight and having an average win rate of 1 win from 11 starts, the class relief and consistency make him a solid third choice.

Value pick4th
8Whisker To Whisker

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Brock Ryan

The advantageous barrier draw and proven ability as a distance specialist add appeal. While recent form has been inconsistent and the overall win rate is low at 3 wins from 36 starts, the class relief could spark improvement.

  1. 1st2StylebenderBronte Simpson$13.00
  2. 2nd4Twilight EleganceMollie Fitzgerald$2.80
  3. 3rd7Maire De ParisMs L Day$7.50
  4. 4th8Whisker To WhiskerBrock Ryan$6.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Stylebender13Bronte SimpsonMs K Buchanan57kg$13.00
2nd4Twilight Elegance4Mollie FitzgeraldC Maher55.5kg$2.80
3rd7Maire De Paris8Ms L DayC Maher55kg$7.50
4th8Whisker To Whisker3Brock RyanJohn Thompson55kg$6.00
5th6Justifiably9Christian ReithJ C Deamer56.5kg$17.00
6th10Cosmos Factory1Adrian LaytK J Parker55kg$31.00
7th1Lennox6Jean Van OvermeireAnnabel & Rob Archibald60.5kg$5.00
8th13Savant De Lune5Jessica TaylorGregory Minns55kg$151.00
9th5Avion Fury7Grant BuckleyPeter D Green57kg$14.00
10th12Threw10Olivia ChambersMs W Haynes53kg$51.00
11th9Montgomery2K S LathamJohn Thompson55kg$10.00
Scr3City Limits12Pierre BoudvillainMs D Poidevin-Laine59.5kg
Scr11Mr Conspiracy11Ryan BradleyFabio Martino51kg
R8

Illawarra Cancer Carers (Bm64)

16:30 local1000mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner6. Bev''s NineSP $3.00
★ Top pickWon
6Bev''s Nine

Our price $2.00 · SP $3.00 · K S Latham

The gelding has a weight advantage and is likely to lead, which suits the expected race tempo. While stepping up in class, the strong first-up record and tactical advantage make Bev's Nine the top selection.

2nd pick2nd
5Wave Breaker

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.90 · Mitchell Bell

Wave Breaker brings consistent form and a strong track record to this race. The filly is dropping in class and should be suited by the expected tempo. While carrying top weight, her consistency and class edge make her a strong contender for the top spots.

3rd pick4th
3Rebel Dean

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Nick Heywood

Rebel Dean brings experience and a strong track/distance record to this race. The gelding has a good second-up record and is well-drawn. While carrying top weight, the significant class drop and inside barrier make Rebel Dean a solid contender for the placings.

Value pick5th
9All Too Lucky

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Holly Durnan

With a light weight and good barrier, All Too Lucky could surprise if she can overcome her first-up record and the spell.

  1. 1st6Bev''s NineK S Latham$3.00
  2. 2nd5Wave BreakerMitchell Bell$3.90
  3. 3rd11Calgary KingMollie Fitzgerald$31.00
  4. 4th3Rebel DeanNick Heywood$7.50
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Bev''s Nine7K S LathamJohn O''Shea & Tom Charlton59kg$3.00
2nd5Wave Breaker5Mitchell BellPeter Snowden59.5kg$3.90
3rd11Calgary King2Mollie FitzgeraldBlake Ryan53kg$31.00
4th3Rebel Dean1Nick HeywoodMatthew Dale60kg$7.50
5th9All Too Lucky3Holly DurnanJoseph Ible54.5kg$7.00
6th7Ces Soirees La8Shaun GuymerRobert Quinn59kg$10.00
7th8Oceans One10Emma LyEdward O''Rourke56kg$8.50
8th12Scoffa4Pierre BoudvillainGeoffrey Crothers55kg$91.00
9th10Artiebett11O A DaltonC Karakatsanis53kg$26.00
10th4Super Zippi6Olivia ChambersJ M Austin58kg$26.00
Scr1Duke Of Bronte9Mitch StaplefordMatthew Dale60kg
Scr2Elegant Empress12Jessica TaylorJ M Austin60kg

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