Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 6 September 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Hawkesbury. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Defiance holds a significant advantage as the only runner with race experience in a field of debutants. His solid third on debut at Warwick Farm, despite heavy conditions, demonstrates genuine ability. The Bjorn Baker-trained colt is well-drawn and represents the safest option in an otherwise speculative maiden.
Her progression from 7th to 4th between starts suggests development, and the inside barrier gives her tactical advantage.
The cross-over nose band addition indicates specific preparation, and the stable's excellent record with first-starters provides confidence. However, the wide draw and unknown ability create risk factors.
She's Assort offers value as a well-drawn debut runner with specific gear changes suggesting targeted preparation.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Fierce | 8 | Grant Buckley | M, W & J Hawkes | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | She''s Assort | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Ho Aloha | 1 | Brock Ryan | David Pfieffer | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Percolate | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | C Maher | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Defiance | 4 | K S Latham | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $1.70 |
| 6th | 4 | Aleutian | 6 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Nothing Finer | 7 | Mitch Stapleford | Joseph Pride | 57kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Cosmic Eagle | 3 | Zac Wadick | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg |
Missie Lee gets the crucial barrier 1 draw at the fair Hawkesbury track. Her consistent form shows 0 wins from 4 starts with regular placings, and she has 0 wins from 2 starts at this track. The 102-day break is a concern, but her first up record of 0 wins from 1 start suggests she can be competitive fresh. The inside draw and Good 4 track conditions should suit.
Twinkling Star drops significantly in class from Open company to Maiden level, which is a major positive. The removal of blinkers could be the key gear change needed. However, her first up record of 0 wins from 2 starts and overall record of 0 wins from 6 starts are concerns.
Her recent second at Canberra on synthetic shows current form, though her record of 0 wins from 6 starts is a concern.
The barrier 2 draw is ideal at Hawkesbury, and Andrew Gibbons is a quality jockey.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Twinkling Star | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Matthew Vella | 57kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Missie Lee | 1 | Chad Lever | Blake Ryan | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 7 | Bifurcation | 2 | Andrew Gibbons | Nathan Doyle | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Bondi Blossom | 3 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Uncle Barry | 9 | Angus Villiers | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 2 | All Saints | 7 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Olivia Twist | 4 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Yes Ma | 6 | L P Beuzelin | Marc Chevalier | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Eidfjord | 8 | Mitch Stapleford | Nacim Dilmi | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
Cobra Club presents the strongest winning chance with significant class advantages dropping from Group/Open company to maiden level. The Waterhouse/Bott-trained gelding has shown consistent ability with two seconds from five starts and benefits from an ideal barrier draw. Gear changes including first-time tongue tie should enhance performance second-up.
Falcon Lair showed genuine promise on debut with a close third at Goulburn. The Dundeel gelding appears well-suited to the step up to 1400m and benefits from Mollie Fitzgerald's 2kg claim. While lightly raced, the debut performance suggests ability to be competitive in this maiden field.
The Waller-trained colt benefits from an inside barrier draw and the stable's strong first-up record. However, the lengthy spell and winless record remain concerns despite the class drop.
The O'Shea/Charlton-trained runner showed ability in Open company and the class drop to maiden level presents a winning opportunity. The wide barrier is the main tactical concern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Senjutsu | 3 | Brock Ryan | Bjorn Baker | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 4 | Cobra Club | 1 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Falcon Lair | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 1 | City Gold Field | 8 | Mitchell Bell | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 6 | One Step Closer | 10 | K S Latham | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Tsarevich | 5 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Ribble Lace | 4 | Donovan Dillon | David Payne | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 2 | So Superior | 6 | O A Dalton | Ms A Turner | 56kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | The Iron Star | 11 | Marc Chevalier | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Prince Charge | 9 | C J Waller | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Tropic | 2 | L Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg |
Maurice filly dropping significantly in class after Open company exposure. The 4.5kg weight advantage and gear change suggest connections are targeting this race. Despite poor recent form, the class drop and minimum weight make her a strong each-way chance first up.
Pariah mare showed promise on debut with a close third at Bathurst. The good barrier draw and jockey retention suggest connections are confident of improvement second up. While unproven at the distance, the natural progression from debut form makes her a solid place chance.
Despite poor first up statistics, the significant class drop and quality breeding provide hope.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Superfabulistic | 8 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 8 | Jade Sunset | 5 | Mitchell Bell | T J Bartley | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Villa Castina | 10 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 53.5kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Aurora Effect | 1 | K S Latham | Edward Cummings | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Grey Belief | 2 | Grant Buckley | T P Croft | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 3 | My Cartouche | 7 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Moon Flash | 9 | Donovan Dillon | David Payne | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Magic Iris | 4 | Emma Ly | Claire Lever | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Lucky Monkey | 6 | L P Beuzelin | Ms K Outtrim | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Run The Red Light | 3 | Madeline Owen | Wayne Austin | 55kg | $71.00 |
The step up in class is a concern, but his raw ability and excellent first-up record make him the top winning chance.
Duke Of Camden offers strong value with his 33% win rate and recent Goulburn victory. The inside barrier is crucial for his forward racing style, and his wet track credentials are solid.
Bella Khadijah's perfect Hawkesbury record and recent Class 1 win make her a genuine contender. The significant class drop is concerning but may reflect realistic placement by connections seeking a confidence-building run.
Her soft track credentials are solid, and the light weight provides a significant advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Cryptonic | 5 | K S Latham | Jason Attard | 58.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 5 | Bella Khadijah | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | Brad Widdup | 57kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | C''mon Mate | 3 | Angus Villiers | Ross McConville | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Duke Of Camden | 1 | Mitchell Bell | David Pfieffer | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Fun Sponge | 9 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Victory Lane | 2 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 8 | My Phar Lady | 4 | L Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Tenbury Wells | 8 | Brad Widdup | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Killer Kerr | 10 | Peter D Green | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Not That Easy | 7 | J C Coyle | 55kg |
Burn The Sky presents as the standout selection with a perfect record and significant class advantages. The John O'Shea-trained filly drops markedly in grade from Open company and boasts excellent first-up statistics. Her heavy track win and quality breeding provide additional confidence despite the distance and track concerns.
Zoufield offers strong appeal as an unbeaten colt from the powerful Waterhouse/Bott stable. The quality stable and recent racing give him an edge over other chances.
Sarrismo brings strong course and distance credentials with a perfect record at Hawkesbury over 1300m. His first-up win at this track provides confidence despite the long spell. The wide barrier and gear changes are concerns, but his proven ability at this venue and quality stable connections make him a genuine chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Sarrismo | 12 | William Stanley | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Strawberry Impact | 5 | Chad Lever | Blake Ryan | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Inception | 9 | Andrew Gibbons | Nathan Doyle | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Cheeky Smirk | 2 | Mitch Stapleford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Costabit | 3 | Mitchell Bell | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Zoufield | 6 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54.5kg | $3.30 |
| 7th | 6 | Brooklyn Lights | 7 | Olivia Chambers | Anthony Warren | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Sweet Future | 1 | Jessica Taylor | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Burn The Sky | 10 | K S Latham | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | $4.20 |
| Scr | 8 | Ivana | 8 | Emma Ly | Edward O''Rourke | 53kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Via Flaminia | 11 | K A Lees | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | All Too Wild | 13 | T J Bartley | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Shezasiren | 4 | M C Conners | 55kg |
Dalio presents as the most reliable option with exceptional recent consistency, recording placings in 4 of his last 5 starts. Despite concerns about his winning ability, the combination of form, class relief and proven distance experience makes him the standout selection.
Devils Daughter offers strong each-way value coming off an excellent second at Bathurst over 2006m. Her heavy track credentials (1 win from 5 starts) and proven staying ability make her well-suited to this 1800m test. While the wide barrier presents challenges, her recent form and distance suitability suggest she can overcome the draw to feature prominently.
Torpedo Ted represents an improving type coming off a strong second at Newcastle over 1880m. His lightly raced profile suggests untapped potential, while the good barrier draw provides tactical flexibility.
North Terrace offers value as a second-up runner from the Edward Cummings stable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Dalio | 2 | Deanne Panya | R S Englebrecht | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Affermato | 11 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Ms A Turner | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 11 | North Terrace | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Edward Cummings | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Casablanca Express | 1 | K S Latham | David Payne | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 10 | Mikki Vain | 10 | Brock Ryan | Ross McConville | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Devils Daughter | 12 | Grant Buckley | P & M Cave | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Lucky Bay | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | R & L Price | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Torrey Pines | 3 | L P Beuzelin | Ms K Outtrim | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Rudbeckia | 8 | L Magorrian | Jason Attard | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Torpedo Ted | 4 | Chad Lever | T & P Vigouroux | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Shalaa Jet | 5 | Emma Ly | Edward O''Rourke | 56kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Prized Alwyns | 13 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Autumn Heir | 9 | Donovan Dillon | R & L Price | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Farraige | 14 | D Wagstaff | 56.5kg |
Before the races, not after
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