Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Saturday 6 September 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 10 races at Moonee Valley. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ornos offers excellent value with proven Moonee Valley form including a second and third from two starts. The soft track record (0 wins from 3 starts) is a concern but his track experience gives him a significant edge.
Graphic Sight represents an interesting proposition with first-time blinkers and Craig Williams taking the ride. His good first-up record (1 win from 2 starts) and inside barrier draw suit Moonee Valley's characteristics. However, the soft track inexperience and class rise present risks that keep him as a third selection despite the gear change.
Crossbow presents as the most consistent performer with strong recent form including a close second at this track two weeks ago. The class rise is concerning but his form suggests he's ready for this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Miewa | 4 | Jordan Childs | Nick Ryan | 55.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Ornos | 5 | Damian Lane | D T O''Brien | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Godtfred Kirk | 2 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 7 | Poor Ol'' Johny Ray | 1 | Thomas Prebble | Denis Pagan | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Graphic Sight | 3 | Craig Williams | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Menshevik | 6 | M J Dee | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Crossbow | 7 | Blake Shinn | C J Waller | 60kg |
Moonlight Circus presents as the standout selection with a perfect second up record and proven soft track ability. The tactical speed to settle forward will be crucial at Moonee Valley's tight circuit, and Damian Lane's booking adds confidence.
Yachiyo offers excellent second up value with a perfect record when resuming for the second time. The inside barrier and Craig Williams booking suggest strong stable confidence. Recent consistent form including a narrow second at Bendigo shows she's ready for this level, though the soft track conditions remain untested.
However, the soft track conditions present a significant concern given her poor wet track record.
Her 2 wins from 3 starts at 1600m shows distance suitability, while the 49-day break may have her primed for a big effort. The wide barrier is concerning but her class could overcome it.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Jazz Affair | 4 | Mark Zahra | R & C Jolly | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | Yachiyo | 1 | Craig Williams | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lake Vostok | 11 | Billy Egan | Luke Oliver | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Moonlight Circus | 7 | Damian Lane | M C Kent | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 7 | Into You | 10 | Ms J Kennedy | Shay Keating | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Stupendous | 8 | Logan Bates | Lloyd Kennewell | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Bonnaroo | 6 | Jamie Mott | M W Young | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Sweet Jasmine | 5 | Luke Cartwright | Luke Oliver | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Savilla | 2 | Blake Shinn | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Electric Belle | 3 | Jordan Childs | Reece Goodwin | 60.5kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 10 | The Marg Factor | 9 | Hannah Edgley | Peter Gelagotis | 52.5kg | $26.00 |
Presser stands out as the most logical winner with a perfect Moonee Valley record and strong recent form. His ability to finish strongly from midfield positions suits the track's characteristics perfectly.
Reset The Jazz brings the best combination of distance expertise and track experience. His 45% strike rate at 1600m and strong Moonee Valley record make him a serious winning chance. The inside barrier allows tactical positioning, and his recent win confirms he's in good form despite some inconsistency.
The Creator's exceptional soft track record and perfect recent form make him a strong contender. The soft track conditions strongly favor his chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Farhh Flung | 1 | Craig Williams | D T O''Brien | 54kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Kings Valley | 9 | Jamie Kah | C Maher | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | The Creator | 5 | Logan Bates | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Reset The Jazz | 2 | Mark Zahra | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Presser | 7 | Beau Mertens | Gavin Bedggood | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 2 | Fire Of Etna | 3 | Ms J Kennedy | A & S Freedman | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Falcon Of Malta | 4 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Dragoon | 10 | Damian Lane | G Eurell | 57kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Flying Valley | 6 | Julius Sandhu | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | He''ll Rip | 8 | Ryan Houston | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 52kg |
Navy King stands out as the clear top selection with his proven Moonee Valley credentials. His recent victory at this track and distance, combined with his ability to finish strongly from handy positions, makes him ideally suited to the tight turning track. The soft track conditions favor his record, and despite the wide barrier, his tactical speed should allow him to secure a forward position.
Lincoln Rocks brings exceptional Moonee Valley credentials with multiple wins at the track. His soft track record is impressive, and being second up from a spell typically sees improvement.
Miss Tarzy offers solid value with her proven Moonee Valley form and ideal barrier draw. Her track record shows she handles the tight turns well, and the inside barrier should allow her to secure a forward position.
Dream All Day represents excellent value despite the wide barrier and lack of track experience.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Rise To It | 15 | Luke Cartwright | C Maher | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Almairac | 6 | Craig Williams | C I Brown | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Lincoln Rocks | 9 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Navy King | 13 | Daniel Stackhouse | Symon Wilde | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Elsie May | 14 | Blake Shinn | C Maher | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Superstock | 1 | Billy Egan | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Chihuly | 8 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Miss Tarzy | 3 | Logan Bates | A & S Freedman | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 7 | Raging Bull | 2 | Ms J Kennedy | A G Pace | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Bavicia | 4 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55kg | $15.00 | |
| 11th | 8 | Fame | 5 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 12th | 1 | Yellowbrick Road | 7 | Hannah Edgley | P Kearney | 61kg | $91.00 |
| 13th | 4 | Red Aces | 12 | Jamie Mott | Nick Ryan | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 14th | 12 | Brilliant Venture | 10 | Luke Currie | Andrea Leek | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Any Luck | 11 | Kate Walters | Wayne Walters | 59kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Dream All Day | 16 | M J Dee | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 53kg |
Angel Capital presents as the standout selection with a perfect first up record and proven success at this exact track and distance. The Chris Waller-trained gelding won his only previous start at Moonee Valley over 1200m and has the class edge having competed successfully at Group level. Despite the long spell, his first up statistics are compelling.
Zou Sensation brings excellent Moonee Valley form with 2 wins from 5 starts at the track. His recent form is strong with three wins from four starts, and he handles soft conditions well. The inside barrier draw and Jamie Kah's booking provide tactical advantages, though the class rise is a concern.
Compelling Truth offers strong distance credentials with 4 wins from 8 starts at 1200m and handles soft conditions excellently. The class rise is significant but his Listed level form suggests he can handle it.
Red Hot Nicc represents excellent value with an outstanding 4 wins from 5 starts record at Moonee Valley over 1200m. His recent form includes two wins from three starts and he handles soft conditions well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Angel Capital | 2 | Damian Lane | C J Waller | 56kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 1 | Compelling Truth | 7 | B Wheeler | M D Griffith | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Miraval Rose | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Zou Sensation | 3 | Jamie Kah | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 5 | Red Hot Nicc | 6 | Thomas Stockdale | P Stokes | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Danny''s St Darci | 5 | Craig Williams | Matthew Dale | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 6 | The Pendragon | 4 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
The colt has proven class with 2 wins from 3 starts and should handle the step up in grade. Despite carrying top weight and lacking soft track experience, his track specialization and tactical speed make him the horse to beat from barrier 5.
Bacash brings strong soft track credentials and consistent form to this assignment. The colt's 33% win rate on soft going is impressive, and his recent Flemington second shows he's ready for this level. The inside barrier should help secure a forward position, crucial at Moonee Valley, though his lack of track experience is a concern.
The barrier 2 draw and multiple gear changes suggest connections expect significant improvement.
The gelding has won both starts including on soft going, making him well-suited to today's conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Rosberg | 2 | Jamie Kah | C W McDonald | 56kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Stay Cosmic | 1 | Thomas Stockdale | P Stokes | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Bacash | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Planet Red | 6 | Mark Zahra | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Estremo | 4 | Damian Lane | C J Waller | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Beskar | 8 | Blake Shinn | A & S Freedman | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Space Rider | 5 | M J Dee | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 8th | 8 | Steel Knight | 9 | Jamie Mott | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Facilitate | 7 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 56kg |
Ole Dancer presents as the standout selection with a perfect career record and proven soft track ability. The 42-day gap is manageable for a quality filly.
Ferivia brings excellent recent form including a Group 3 victory and perfect soft track credentials. Her finishing ability and tactical speed should suit Moonee Valley's demands, though the class rise and top weight present challenges. The partnership with Neindorf is a positive factor.
Southern Heiress offers solid recent form and soft track credentials with an advantageous barrier draw. Lane's booking suggests stable confidence.
Her recent second at this track demonstrates suitability, and Kah's booking suggests stable confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Alpha Sofie | 4 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 12 | Custom | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Salty Pearl | 13 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Miss Celine | 1 | Mark Zahra | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Ole Dancer | 15 | Blake Shinn | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 2 | Ferivia | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Zany Girl | 6 | Craig Williams | S Gandy | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 15 | Expulsion | 3 | M J Dee | A & S Freedman | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Southern Heiress | 5 | Damian Lane | Michael Freedman | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 1 | The Playwright | 2 | Jett Stanley | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Angel Ladder | 10 | Jamie Kah | C Maher | 56kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Esha | 14 | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Tiz Worthy | 11 | Harry Coffey | Lloyd Kennewell | 56kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Wootton Lass | 12 | J G Sargent | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Point Barrow | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 56kg |
Desert Lightning presents as the most reliable winning chance with excellent recent form including a Group 2 second at Caulfield.
Moira brings exceptional class with a 37% career win rate and international Group 1 success. Her strong second up record and recent Caulfield run indicate readiness, though the wide barrier and lack of track experience present challenges at this specialist venue.
Zardozi offers excellent value as a soft track specialist with perfect 1500m record. Her recent Group 1 placings demonstrate current ability, and the soft track conditions strongly favor her profile despite being first up from a spell.
The inside barrier and second up positioning provide tactical advantages, making him an attractive overlay despite his modest overall record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Desert Lightning | 10 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 6 | Moira | 13 | Damian Lane | C J Waller | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Attrition | 5 | Beau Mertens | Mitchell Freedman | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Rumbled Again | 2 | Harry Coffey | Michael Trotter | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Zardozi | 9 | Jamie Kah | C Maher | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Knight''s Choice | 6 | R Dolan | J G Symons & S Laxon | 60kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Thedoctoroflove | 7 | Daniel Moor | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Torranzino | 1 | Celine Gaudry | P A Preusker | 58.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Glint Of Silver | 4 | M J Dee | David Pfieffer | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Goldman | 3 | Ryan Maloney | K T Bourke | 58kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Anisette | 8 | Mark Zahra | C J Waller | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Adelaide River | 12 | K A Lees | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Mark Twain | 11 | Jamie Mott | R James & R Wellwood | 57kg |
Alabama Lass presents as the standout selection with her perfect first up record and exceptional overall statistics. Her class advantage is significant, dropping from Group 1 company to this level. While barrier 3 and track inexperience are concerns, her proven ability to win fresh and strong finishing style should overcome these factors at Moonee Valley.
Baraqiel is the ultimate Moonee Valley specialist with a perfect 3-from-3 record at the track including a win at today's distance. His second up record is perfect and he comes off a strong Listed win. The class rise is a concern but his track expertise and tactical speed make him a serious winning chance.
Niance brings an impressive first up record and strong recent form to this assignment. Her Listed win last start and perfect fresh record are major positives.
Oak Hill represents excellent value as a proven Moonee Valley specialist with an outstanding record at the track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Baraqiel | 10 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Alabama Lass | 3 | Craig Williams | K & B Kelso | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Arabian Summer | 1 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Golden Boom | 15 | Ryan Maloney | T J Gollan | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Payline | 8 | Justin Huxtable | Chris & Corey Munce | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Skybird | 5 | John Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Niance | 12 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 16 | Esha | 4 | Jamie Kah | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 50kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 1 | Rothfire | 7 | Luke Nolen | R L Heathcote | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Sir Sway | 16 | Lachlan Neindorf | S & J Jaensch | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Oak Hill | 13 | Blake Shinn | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Queman | 14 | Luke Currie | Shane & Cassie Oxlade | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 13th | 15 | La Dorada | 11 | Luke Cartwright | M W Walker | 50kg | $26.00 |
| 14th | 2 | Midwest | 2 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Jedibeel | 6 | Mark Zahra | Brad Widdup | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Tiger Shark | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Clayton Douglas | 56.5kg |
La Fracas presents as the standout selection with a perfect 5 wins from 5 starts at 1200m and proven soft track ability (2 wins from 4 starts). His last start BM84 win at Flemington demonstrates he can handle this class level, and the 49-day break shouldn't concern given his fresh record. The combination of distance specialization and track condition suitability makes him the logical choice despite carrying top weight.
King Zephyr brings impressive credentials with 5 wins from 7 starts and a solid first up record (2 wins from 3 starts). However, his complete lack of soft track success (0 wins from 1 start) is a major concern on today's Soft 5 surface. The 112-day break and class rise add further question marks, but his overall ability keeps him competitive.
Princess Que offers excellent track and distance credentials with 1 win from 2 starts at Moonee Valley and 3 wins from 5 starts at 1200m. Her recent winning form and soft track success (1 win from 2 starts) are strong positives. However, the wide barrier 11 draw is a significant disadvantage at this track, and the class rise presents a challenge.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | La Fracas | 5 | Blake Shinn | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 10 | Princess Que | 11 | Damian Lane | Simon Zahra | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | King Zephyr | 4 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 59kg | $2.20 |
| 4th | 5 | Fission | 6 | Jye Mc Neil | R D Griffiths | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Eye Of The Fire | 8 | Jamie Mott | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Epic Proportions | 2 | Luke Cartwright | C Maher | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Helix | 10 | Jamie Kah | C W McDonald | 54kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Flyer | 3 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 7 | Cavallo Rampante | 7 | M J Dee | C Maher | 54kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Naval Academy | 9 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 52kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Thinking Of Gerty | 1 | Rose Hammond | Ms G Johnstone | 50kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.