Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Friday 3 October 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Launceston. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Don''t Give Up brings the strongest credentials into this race with a solid track record and consistent recent form. Despite carrying top weight, the gelding has a class edge over most of the field and is proven at the distance. The slight drop in class from last start is advantageous, and the horse's ability to perform on soft tracks is a plus given the current conditions.
Opensea comes into this race off a strong maiden win and looks to be an improving type. The significant weight relief from last start is a big plus, and the good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. The main query is the step up in class, but the gelding appears to have the potential to handle it.
Skelmorlie is a consistent performer with an excellent place record. The mare performs particularly well on soft tracks, which is a significant advantage given the current conditions. The light weight is another plus, but the inside draw may not be ideal. Despite not having won yet, Skelmorlie's consistency makes her a strong place chance.
Tizsa Nice Drop comes off a maiden win and while this is a step up in class, the mare appears to be improving with racing. However, the lack of experience at this track and distance adds some risk to this selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Don''t Give Up | 4 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 59kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 7 | Tizsa Nice Drop | 2 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Opensea | 5 | Anthony Darmanin | M S Trinder | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Our Indulgence | 8 | Jabez Johnstone | J K Blacker | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Skelmorlie | 1 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 4 | Beau Warrior | 3 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Andrew Moore | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Called Through | 6 | Kelvin Sanderson | Ms A Fulton | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Harrata | 7 | Kirra-Lee Lane | G J Stevenson | 53kg | $19.00 |
As an improving 3yo filly, she has shown ability in both synthetic starts. The step up to 1400m should suit her running style, and her inside barrier draw is advantageous at Launceston, especially with the track favoring on-pace runners over this distance.
Alpine Cowgirl has shown consistency in maiden class with multiple placings. While she's yet to win, her form on good tracks is encouraging for today's conditions. The middle barrier and weight are slight concerns, but her overall profile suggests she's ready to challenge for the win.
The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Launceston, especially over 1400m. His experience at the track is a plus, and while he's yet to win, his recent performances suggest he could be ready to break through in this company.
While yet to place, the step up to 1400m could suit, and the experienced jockey is a plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Rapids Ahead | 1 | Jabez Johnstone | G J McCulloch | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Alpine Cowgirl | 6 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Who''s In Dev | 2 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 54kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 5 | Ziggy Plays Guitar | 4 | Anthony Darmanin | Richard Cully | 58.5kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Striding Bay | 3 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 1 | I''m A Machine | 7 | E Byrne Burke | Drew Tyson | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Caffy | 5 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Bradley Franklin | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Kirinyaga | 8 | S Nakano | Drew Tyson | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
While yet to win, the gelding has been knocking on the door with consistent placings. The inside barrier draw and experienced jockey should give every chance to break through for a maiden win at Launceston.
The Trine returns from a spell with a good first-up record and a favorable barrier draw. While less experienced than some rivals, the gelding has shown promise in limited starts. The combination of a top jockey and trainer adds confidence to its chances in this maiden event.
Celtic Rose has been a consistent performer without winning, placing in over half her starts. The removal of blinkers could help her find that extra edge to break through for a win in this maiden race.
The gear changes and lightweight could see significant improvement first-up, making her an interesting longshot in this maiden event.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Novalargo | 7 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Celtic Rose | 3 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56.5kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 2 | The Trine | 4 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Can''t Catch Chilli | 5 | Ms K Boxall | S Gandy | 54kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 1 | La Zampa | 1 | David Pires | A E Roach | 58.5kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 7 | Golea | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | G J McCulloch | 52kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Addictive Gas | 6 | S Nakano | Ms A Fulton | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Zoe Of Rome | 8 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 54kg |
Crack The Shutters stands out despite being first up. Her soft track record further enhances her chances in the current conditions.
The gelding is second up and dropping in class, which suggests potential for improvement. However, limited race experience and being unproven at the track and distance are slight concerns.
Sir Jag offers intriguing value.
The mare's consistent recent form, advantageous barrier draw, and proven ability on soft tracks make her an interesting prospect. While rising in class is a concern, her race fitness and soft track record could see her outperform expectations.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Crack The Shutters | 12 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 5 | Prince Of Khatun | 4 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 1 | It''s Jagger Time | 3 | Kelvin Sanderson | Trent Wells | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Antheia | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Sir Jag | 13 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Super Snippy | 6 | Daniel Ganderton | M A Ganderton | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Toorak Treasure | 9 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Lady Fern | 2 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Paulartes | 5 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Bunker Bob | 14 | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $41.00 | |
| Scr | 3 | Ohshe''strouble | 1 | David Pires | M A Ganderton | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Rainbow Alley | 8 | S Nakano | Imogen Miller | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Fillentina | 11 | J L Keys | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Bounty Bay | 10 | Dylan Clark | 54kg |
Kakia presents as the top selection with consistent recent form and an excellent record at Launceston over this distance. The gelding's ability to perform well on soft tracks is a significant asset. The likely fast tempo should suit his running style, and the weight allocation appears favorable. Recent placings indicate strong form.
Gee Gees Me Boy returns from a spell with a strong first-up record and consistent placing ability. The gelding's track record at Launceston is solid, and he should handle the soft conditions. While drawn wide, his fresh legs and proven ability to perform well when resuming make him a strong contender.
Only Old Once brings strong soft track form and consistency to this race. The mare's perfect record on soft going and at this distance are significant positives. While facing a class rise and unfamiliar with the track, the weight relief and recent form suggest she could be competitive in this field.
The slight class drop is a positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Kakia | 5 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 58.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 1 | Only Old Once | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | Trent Wells | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Night Action | 1 | J Radley | Adam Trinder | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Miles ''n'' Miles | 2 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Gee Gees Me Boy | 9 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 9 | Creative Licence | 10 | Troy Baker | P H Luttrell | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Crazy Atom | 6 | E Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Tahitian Warrior | 4 | S Nakano | P H Luttrell | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Lion''s Tooth | 8 | Zoe Waller | D M Bramich | 52.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Opalson | 7 | Christopher Pang | Ms A Fulton | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Mcsweyn | 11 | Codi Jordan | Barry Baker | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
Cherokee Dancer stands out with strong recent form and an excellent track record at Launceston. While facing a slight class rise, her consistency, track familiarity, and current form make her the top selection in this field.
Rubble ''n'' Fudd presents as a strong contender with a high win rate and excellent first-up record. The gelding's proven soft track ability and lightweight are significant advantages. However, the wide barrier and first time at this track and distance introduce some uncertainty, placing it just behind our top selection.
Furneaux is a consistent performer with a strong record on soft tracks and at this course. The gelding's inside barrier draw is advantageous for the likely fast tempo. While carrying top weight and rising in class present challenges, Furneaux's overall consistency and soft track prowess make it a solid contender for a place finish.
Thoros Of Myr offers value with consistent recent form and a proven record at the track. The gelding should benefit from the likely fast tempo and good barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Thoros Of Myr | 2 | Christopher Pang | Adam Trinder | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Furneaux | 3 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cherokee Dancer | 6 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 7 | Thisismyturf | 8 | Zoe Waller | T W Evans | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Gee Gee Enuf Speed | 7 | S Nakano | L A Wells | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Conumdrum | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 53.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Rubble ''n'' Fudd | 1 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $2.45 |
| Scr | 6 | Quicken Up | 5 | Codi Jordan | Rowan Hamer | 56.5kg |
Lovin'' Bev stands out with an impressive track and distance record, consistent recent form, and a weight advantage. Despite a wide draw and slight class rise, her overall profile makes her the top selection.
Sh''bourne Midnight has a strong record at the track and distance and performs well when fresh. The gelding is dropping in class which is advantageous, but carries top weight. His consistency and track affinity make him a strong contender despite the weight challenge and wide draw.
The Spirit Of Zero comes off a last-start win and has a solid record at Launceston. The gelding's consistent recent form and suitable weight make him competitive.
The gelding has a decent record at the distance and is carrying a light weight. While his recent form has been inconsistent and he's facing a class rise, his ability to win two starts back and his strong track record make him an interesting longshot prospect in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Verbano | 9 | Jabez Johnstone | J L Keys | 52.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Sh''bourne Midnight | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | Shaun Nichols | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 5 | Gee Gee Miss Quita | 6 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | S Gandy | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Lovin'' Bev | 4 | Christopher Pang | Sigrid Carr | 56kg | $2.15 |
| 5th | 2 | Prix De Turn | 2 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | The Spirit Of Zero | 3 | David Pires | Yassy Nishitani | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 1 | King Island | 7 | Zoe Waller | Angela Brakey | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Ethical Dilemma | 5 | S Nakano | P H Luttrell | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Fighting Floyd | 1 | E Byrne Burke | Imogen Miller | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
Mastretta stands out as the top selection with strong recent form and an excellent record at both Launceston and over 1200m. The mare's ability to perform on soft tracks is a significant advantage given the current conditions. Despite a slight class rise and wide barrier, her consistent form and weight advantage make her a solid winning chance.
Uncle's Tip presents as a strong second pick, with an impressive first-up record and a last-start win at this track and distance. Her consistency and proven ability on soft tracks are significant advantages. While the first-up status and barrier draw are slight concerns, her overall profile suggests she's a serious contender.
Turf Puzzle rounds out the top three with consistent recent form and a solid record over 1200m. The light weight is a significant advantage, and her soft track experience should serve her well. However, the lack of wins at Launceston and first-up status present some challenges. Her ability to overcome these factors will be crucial to her chances.
Her recent winning form and proven ability on soft tracks make her an interesting prospect. The light weight is a significant advantage, and her consistency suggests she could outperform expectations.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Mastretta | 9 | Jabez Johnstone | Monica Ryan | 55.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 6 | Within Sight | 1 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Turf Puzzle | 4 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 52kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Rare Oro | 3 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Angel Sphere | 2 | Codi Jordan | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Geegeehailstorm | 8 | Ms K Boxall | S Gandy | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Get ''em Warrior | 6 | S Nakano | L A Wells | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Uncle''s Tip | 7 | Kelvin Sanderson | Max Beamish | 57kg | $2.35 |
| 9th | 2 | Al Maximus | 5 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 58kg | $41.00 |
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