The Smash Factor brings the strongest recent form with three consecutive third placings. His record at Warrnambool is excellent with 4 thirds from 5 starts, and he's proven on heavy going. The addition of winkers for the first time could be the catalyst for improvement, and his tactical versatility allows him to adapt to the likely moderate tempo. Clearly the one to beat.
Victoria · Friday 3 October 2025
Warrnambool tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Warrnambool. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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TAB We''re On Hwt Mdn Plate
Nicoffhome comes into this with excellent recent form, having finished second in his last two starts. He's well drawn in barrier 2 which should give him every chance on a heavy track, and his record at this track and distance is solid. While he's yet to break through for a win, his consistency suggests he'll be right in the finish again.
High Heeled returns from a spell with some consistent form before the break. She's placed at this distance previously and drops significantly in class for this assignment. While first-up stats aren't encouraging and she lacks experience on heavy tracks, the lightweight and decent barrier draw give her claims. Likely to be running on strongly late.
While he's yet to place officially, his recent form suggests he's knocking on the door.
- 1st6The Smash FactorArron Lynch$1.60
- 2nd1Bernie BeelLuca Remondet$17.00
- 3rd4NicoffhomeTom Ryan$5.50
- 4th5Royal Beau$15.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | The Smash Factor | 8 | Arron Lynch | Tom Dabernig | 69.5kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bernie Beel | 5 | Luca Remondet | Allan Peterson | 69.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Nicoffhome | 2 | Tom Ryan | Chris Calthorpe | 69.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Royal Beau | 6 | Jack Laing | 69.5kg | $15.00 | |
| 5th | 9 | Miss Narranga | 1 | Portia Matthews | Shae Norton | 67.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Dunleer Lad | 4 | P Hamblin | Amy Small | 69.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 8 | High Heeled | 7 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 67.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Cimerion Cove | 9 | Jordan Ratcliffe | P Koumis | 69.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Tilzattack | 3 | Martin Kelly | W Morrissey | 69.5kg |
Lady Bay Resort Hwt (Bm56)
Cosmos Factory brings the strongest recent form into this race, finishing 2nd last start over a similar distance. The 7-day backup suggests peak fitness, and his running style should be well-suited to the heavy track conditions.
Smiling Assassin drops significantly in class after racing in much stronger company. Previous winner at this track and distance which is a significant advantage. The wide barrier is the main concern, but class should prevail.
Idon''tgetit brings strong heavy track credentials (3-3-2 from 13 starts) and consistent recent form including a win two starts back. The inside barrier is advantageous on a heavy track, and he's proven capable of carrying weight. Main concerns are the top weight and being unproven at this distance, but his tactical versatility should allow him to position well in running.
Northern Barrage represents excellent value dropping significantly in class from metropolitan racing. His consistent form in higher grade suggests he should be competitive here, and the first-time tongue tie could spark improvement.
- 1st3Smiling AssassinArron Lynch$3.20
- 2nd7Northern BarrageW Gordon$10.00
- 3rd10Tosen GloryCillin Leonard$17.00
- 4th5Andy WinJordan Hart$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Smiling Assassin | 10 | Arron Lynch | Garret Lynch | 72.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Northern Barrage | 9 | W Gordon | Henry Dwyer | 69.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Tosen Glory | 8 | Cillin Leonard | K T Bourke | 67kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Andy Win | 5 | Jordan Hart | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Sabre Athena | 4 | P Hamblin | M W Greig | 65kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Cosmos Factory | 2 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 68.5kg | $3.60 |
| 7th | 2 | Rapid Impact | 7 | Portia Matthews | Simon Ryan | 72.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Unplanned Revolt | 3 | Gary Walsh | Shane Jackson | 72.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Idon''tgetit | 1 | Luca Remondet | P A Chow | 74.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Cherokee Brave | 6 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 69.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Staying Strong | 11 | Nathan Newton | Nathan Newton | 68kg |
Star Printing Mdn Plate
Danzsin brings the strongest recent form with a 3rd placing last start on soft going at Warrnambool. The booking of Linda Meech is significant, and the Tom Dabernig stable is in good form. Clearly the one to beat.
Lisa Lass brings excellent heavy track credentials with 2 seconds from 2 starts on heavy going. Her recent 4th at this track indicates she's ready to peak third-up, and both her placings have come at this distance. Tom Madden retains the ride, and she should handle these conditions perfectly. Main danger to the favorite.
She has experience at this track and has shown ability at this distance with a second placing.
She's shown recent improvement with 4th and 5th placings and has the race fitness from 7 runs this preparation.
- 1st11DanzsinLinda Meech$1.80
- 2nd8Lisa LassTom Madden$3.90
- 3rd7HoneyjoyNeil Farley$51.00
- 4th13Proisecco RoseCarleen Hefel$21.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Danzsin | 7 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 57kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 8 | Lisa Lass | 10 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 7 | Honeyjoy | 14 | Neil Farley | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Proisecco Rose | 8 | Carleen Hefel | C Maher | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Harmony | 11 | Dean Yendall | L Smith | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 15 | So Long Ago | 9 | E J Walsh | P A Banks | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Star Of Omaha | 3 | Teodore Nugent | Andrew Angelone | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Jonii Diamond | 2 | J Webb | Jamie Edwards | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Mount Toubkal | 5 | Campbell Rawiller | D J Cannon | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 1 | He''s Invading | 1 | P Hamblin | D J Cannon | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Trewhella Jack | 4 | Christine Puls | Gregory Daffey | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Prince Of Florence | 15 | Rhys Mc Leod | Ms D Clover | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Abby''s Crossword | 6 | Fred W Kersley | D J Cannon | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Shaykhlislamova | 12 | Melissa Julius | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Alla Rustica | 13 | John Allen | T Busuttin & N Young | 57kg |
Nevcon Structural Steel Mdn Plate
Gina's A Star brings the strongest recent form into this race with a close 2nd last start at Seymour over this distance. The likely fast tempo should suit her running style, and she appears to be improving with each run. Well-placed to break through for a maiden win.
The step up to 1200m should suit based on her finishing effort, and she gets in with just 55kg. Second-up runners often improve significantly, and trainer Symon Wilde is adept at preparing horses for provincial maidens. The fast tempo should allow her to settle and finish strongly.
Parchment brings valuable heavy track experience with a 2nd placing on heavy going. The advantageous barrier 5 draw should allow her to settle in a good position, and the addition of winkers for the first time could sharpen her up.
Shades Of Stardom represents value coming back from a spell with a significant class drop from Open company to a Maiden. First-up runners can often surprise, especially when dropping in class.
- 1st1Regal SurgeE J Walsh$21.00
- 2nd10Shades Of StardomNeil Farley$7.50
- 3rd13Queen ChristineTeodore Nugent$1.90
- 4th2Wee JimmyCampbell Rawiller$101.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Regal Surge | 6 | E J Walsh | C Maher | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Shades Of Stardom | 13 | Neil Farley | M J Williams | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 13 | Queen Christine | 8 | Teodore Nugent | Symon Wilde | 55kg | $1.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Wee Jimmy | 11 | Campbell Rawiller | P R Gray | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Pinkerton | 4 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Parchment | 5 | Dylan Dunn | L Smith | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Gina''s A Star | 7 | Ryan Hurdle | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $3.40 |
| 8th | 6 | Shadow Storm | 9 | Caitlin Hollowood | Mitchell Leek | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Tuxedo Miss | 3 | Fred W Kersley | Archie Alexander | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Fierce Fiasco | 1 | Carleen Hefel | Andrew Forsman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Prince Iadora | 2 | John Allen | Tom Dabernig | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Star Compass | 10 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Lantana | 12 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 55kg |
Langley''s Port Fairy & Warrnambool Accommodation Mdn Plate
Has placed on heavy going previously and draws perfectly in barrier 5 for his forward racing style. Second-up form shows a placing and the Jack Hill/J Rowe combination is effective. The heavy track will suit his racing pattern and he appears ready to break through.
Sirleaf showed promise when 4th first-up and should improve second-up today. The Mitchell Freedman stable is in good form and the booking of Dean Yendall is significant. Still, the natural improvement second-up makes him a genuine contender.
The Defender is the most consistent runner in the field with 5 third placings from 10 starts. Second-up today with a good record when having had a run under his belt. Barrier 1 could be advantageous if the inside holds up on the heavy track.
Finished 3rd last start and has a good record at this distance range. The barrier draw suits her racing pattern and the trainer/jockey combination knows the horse well. The likely fast tempo should play to her strengths as a midfield runner who can finish off.
- 1st8Golden VaderDylan Dunn$8.50
- 2nd9MathletesSamantha Noble$10.00
- 3rd3SirleafDean Yendall$4.20
- 4th11Soviet StrikeFred W Kersley$2.80
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Golden Vader | 8 | Dylan Dunn | J T Conlan | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Mathletes | 6 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sirleaf | 12 | Dean Yendall | Mitchell Freedman | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 11 | Soviet Strike | 10 | Fred W Kersley | L Smith | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 5th | 1 | Brazen Martini | 11 | Melea Castle | Ms R Waymouth | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Ellyette | 4 | Jarrod Fry | Paul McKenna | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 2 | Hollow Turf | 5 | Jack Hill | J Rowe | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Bon To Dance | 3 | J Webb | Paul McKenna | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Dunwithcash | 7 | Valentin Le Boeuf | A M Burns | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 4 | The Defender | 1 | Linda Meech | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Big Vee | 2 | John Allen | Tom Dabernig | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Piklemegranmother | 9 | Tom Madden | Ms B O''Loughlin | 55kg |
Pearson''s Nursery (Bm56)
Mr Tickles brings strong recent form with a 2nd place finish 10 days ago at Moe. His consistency is impressive with 11 placings from 37 starts, and he's dropping in class from a BM62 to this BM56. While he lacks experience at Warrnambool, his adaptability to different track conditions and versatile racing style should serve him well in this contest with likely fast tempo.
Exciting Times brings excellent recent form with consecutive placings at Warrnambool, including a 2nd place finish just 11 days ago. Her track and distance record is impressive with 2 placings from 2 attempts. The inside barrier draw is advantageous, and she gets in with a light weight of 56kg. While she's rising in class, her improving form suggests she's ready to be competitive.
Brash Lass is a lightly raced 3yo filly with significant upside. She comes off a maiden win in heavy conditions followed by a solid 4th at this track 11 days ago. Her perfect heavy track record (1 from 1) is a major positive for today's conditions. While she faces a significant class rise from maiden grade to BM56, her youth and improvement curve suggest she can be competitive.
Sub Gauge represents excellent value coming off a strong 2nd place finish when resuming 19 days ago. The booking of quality jockey John Allen is significant, and he draws perfectly in barrier 5. While he lacks experience at Warrnambool and on heavy tracks, he's dropping in class and has shown ability second-up previously.
- 1st6Sub GaugeJohn Allen$5.50
- 2nd2Mr TicklesCaitlin Hollowood$3.60
- 3rd1A Good YarnTom Madden$6.00
- 4th7Brash LassDean Yendall$6.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Sub Gauge | 5 | John Allen | David & Coral Feek | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Mr Tickles | 9 | Caitlin Hollowood | Mitchell Leek | 58.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 1 | A Good Yarn | 3 | Tom Madden | M J McKenzie | 62kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Brash Lass | 6 | Dean Yendall | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Flying D''amore | 4 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 8 | The Mariner | 10 | E J Walsh | Stephen Lenehan | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Super Snitch | 1 | Teodore Nugent | P W McKenna | 60.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Exciting Times | 2 | Neil Farley | Ms D Loos | 56kg | $4.60 |
| Scr | 3 | Miss Top Gun | 7 | Rose Hammond | Tom Dabernig | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Lavandula | 8 | Thomas Sadler | 60kg |
Northpoint Liquor/Bottle-O (Bm56)
The significant class drop is a major advantage, and his heavy track record suggests today's conditions will suit perfectly. His last start 2nd at Hamilton over 1400m indicates he's in good form, and the addition of a tongue tie could help him find the extra length needed to win.
Symphonite is a progressive mare who has shown excellent ability on rain-affected tracks. Her last start 2nd at Warrnambool in heavy conditions over this distance demonstrates her suitability for today's race. While she's rising in class, her upward trajectory and Linda Meech in the saddle give her strong claims. The good barrier draw should allow her to settle in a favorable position.
Her last-start maiden win at Hamilton was impressive, and she appears to be hitting form at the right time. While she's stepping up in class, her progressive profile suggests she can be competitive. The good barrier and retention of Neil Farley are additional positives.
His heavy track record is outstanding with 3 wins from 9 starts, and he's a proven performer at Warrnambool with 2 wins from 13 starts including a win at this track and distance.
- 1st15Lord PorchesterSarah Field$17.00
- 2nd17Darra Linen$13.00
- 3rd3ThunderanlightningLuke Williams$11.00
- 4th13Bell''s BighouseJack Hill$15.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 15 | Lord Porchester | 10 | Sarah Field | W Morrissey | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 2nd | 17 | Darra Linen | 16 | K T Bourke | 54kg | $13.00 | |
| 3rd | 3 | Thunderanlightning | 14 | Luke Williams | K M Elford | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Bell''s Bighouse | 11 | Jack Hill | J Rowe | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Dougal Mckeen | 7 | John Allen | David & Coral Feek | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Symphonite | 5 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 60kg | $2.35 |
| 7th | 5 | Sacred Fort | 3 | Carleen Hefel | C Maher | 61kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Simply Sassy | 8 | Neil Farley | M J Williams | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Squander | 6 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Stan Tough | 9 | Melissa Julius | James McNamara | 61kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | The Maggstar | 15 | Caitlin Hollowood | Tetyana Furdetska | 62kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Masked Marauder | 1 | Rose Hammond | Tom Dabernig | 61kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Rhodesian Red | 4 | Fred W Kersley | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 61kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Tears Are Flowing | 17 | Ryan Hurdle | Symon Wilde | 61kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Bellalique | 2 | Teodore Nugent | P A Preusker | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Artpark | 12 | Dean Yendall | P A Preusker | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Rippa Buddy | 13 | D J Cannon | 58kg |
Matko Hire Bm56 Handicap
Vegas On Fire brings strong consistent form with three consecutive placings including two runner-up finishes. The mare drops in class after competing well in stronger BM62/64 races. Her heavy track record (1-2-4 from 13 starts) suggests she'll handle today's conditions, and she's proven adaptable to different racing patterns. The 10-day backup is ideal, and she appears well-placed to break through for a win.
Coastal Whispers brings winning form to this race after scoring impressively at this track on heavy ground last start. The progressive mare has shown consistent improvement with each run, culminating in a win and a close second in her last two starts. The lightweight of 57kg is another positive.
Mummsie comes into this second-up after a solid fourth placing at Warrnambool 11 days ago. She has shown ability on heavy tracks with a placing from her only attempt. The mare drops in class from her last start and has been a consistent placegetter throughout her career.
Bookman represents excellent value given his recent form, with consecutive placings including a narrow second at Donald. The significant class drop from metropolitan and provincial races is a major positive, and while barrier 13 is a concern, his racing pattern should allow him to overcome this.
- 1st6Side PieceTom Madden$3.80
- 2nd15BookmanJack Hill$13.00
- 3rd1ExabanoiseJarrod Fry$14.00
- 4th13Elsie GirlSarah Field$14.00
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Side Piece | 12 | Tom Madden | Aaron Purcell | 61kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 15 | Bookman | 13 | Jack Hill | D M Noonan | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Exabanoise | 5 | Jarrod Fry | Chris Calthorpe | 62.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Elsie Girl | 7 | Sarah Field | Ms B O''Loughlin | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Hard To Go Wrong | 18 | John Allen | Henry Dwyer | 61kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 14 | Vegas On Fire | 1 | Jade Da Rose | Shawn Mathrick | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | More Torque | 6 | Rhys Mc Leod | Charlotte Littlefield | 61.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Coastal Whispers | 8 | Rose Hammond | Tom Dabernig | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Mummsie | 14 | Andrew Bobbin | 57.5kg | $6.00 | |
| 10th | 17 | Dibalta | 15 | Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell | 59kg | $31.00 | |
| 11th | 8 | Moscow Red | 4 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 12th | 18 | Mash And Gravy | 10 | D J Cannon | 57kg | $71.00 | |
| 13th | 9 | Switch Hit | 9 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Mitchell Freedman | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 14th | 2 | Blazing Guru | 3 | Ryan Hurdle | Symon Wilde | 62kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Royal Inference | 16 | Dylan Dunn | P A Chow | 62kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Edzel | 11 | Archie Alexander | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Jamrock | 2 | Garret Lynch | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Cool Star | 17 | Carleen Hefel | Tetyana Furdetska | 59kg |
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