Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 25 October 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
All Machiavellian brings strong consistent form with consecutive 2nd placings and drops in class here. Has an excellent record at Kembla with 4 placings from 4 starts and should get a perfect midfield position with the fast tempo predicted. The class drop is significant and he appears ready to break through.
His versatility across track conditions is a plus, and he's drawn well to take up a forward position. The concern is whether he can sustain his run with 60kg if the tempo is genuinely fast as predicted. Still, the class drop is significant enough to make him a major player.
King Nic brings winning form at this track and class, having scored last start at Kembla over 1400m. He's a progressive type with 2 wins from just 5 starts and has a strong record at this track. The main queries are whether he can handle the step up to 1500m and if he can maintain his position if pressured in a fast tempo. His progressive profile suggests further improvement is likely.
She's a first-up specialist with 2 wins from 3 starts when fresh and has shown versatility across track conditions. The step up to 1500m is a query, but she's shown enough stamina in her runs to suggest she can handle it. With a good draw and the predicted fast tempo, she should get every chance to finish strongly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Tom Cruising | 8 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | All Machiavellian | 6 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Direct Fire | 3 | Zac Wadick | Ms T Bateup | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 6 | Pretty Sassy | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Joseph Ible | 53.5kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 2 | King Nic | 4 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60.5kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Diamond Model | 7 | Chad Lever | Sara Ryan | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Sidenay | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ms K Waugh | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Bobs Back | 2 | Jeff Penza | K J Parker | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
The filly has drawn perfectly in barrier 4 and should get an ideal run in midfield with the predicted fast tempo. Coming back from stronger company and with Christian Reith aboard, she looks ready to break through.
The gelding has shown ability with a third placing previously and should appreciate the middle barrier draw.
The gelding has shown steady improvement and handles the Kembla Grange track well. While carrying top weight is a concern, his tactical speed gives him options in a race with a fast tempo predicted. Lee Magorrian retains the ride.
The mare has a perfect barrier draw and strong record at this track and distance with two third placings from two attempts. She drops significantly in class from her recent runs and carries just 54kg with Mollie Fitzgerald's claim. Her last start third at this track and distance indicates she's ready to perform well again.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Inspired Legend | 8 | Mitchell Bell | L J Bridge | 56kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Pretty Please | 1 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Ms T Bateup | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Let''s Be Honest | 10 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Polo | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | G Portelli | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Thaibeefsalade | 2 | Chad Lever | Ross McConville | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Serpico | 6 | Donovan Dillon | David Payne | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Bondi Blossom | 4 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 6 | Pitch ''n'' Toss | 7 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Phoenix Legend | 5 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Heliconia | 3 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 55.5kg |
Couples Retreat brings the strongest credentials as a last-start winner over this track and distance just 21 days ago. Her second-up record shows she typically improves, and her overall form is rock solid with 2 wins and 2 seconds from 8 starts. Has tactical speed to overcome a slightly awkward draw and should get a perfect stalking position behind the leaders. The best performed horse in the field.
All The Way Mae is a promising 3YO filly with just 3 career starts but has shown ability with a maiden win and competitive performances in stronger company. The wide barrier is a concern with the track bias favoring inside gates, but she has the tactical speed to overcome it. Represents the main danger to the top selection.
Rainbow Glow gets the perfect draw in barrier 1 which should be advantageous with the track bias favoring inside gates. She's a first-up specialist dropping significantly in class from Listed company. The Ciaron Maher-trained filly has won at this distance previously and should be ready to fire fresh. The long break is a slight concern, but her first-up record suggests she can perform well without a lead-up run.
His record at Kembla Grange over 1000m is solid with 1 win and 1 third from 4 attempts. The removal of blinkers could help him settle better in the run. The lack of a named jockey is a concern but the value is too good to ignore.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Couples Retreat | 6 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | Proud Image | 8 | Mitchell Bell | J C Coyle | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Cani Cancan | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Paul Murray | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Fourth Spargo | 4 | Louise Day | Mark Gee | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Ghielmi | 7 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | $12.00 | |
| 6th | 7 | All The Way Mae | 9 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 55kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 9 | Scoffa | 3 | Richard Bensley | Geoffrey Crothers | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Rainbow Glow | 1 | Brock Ryan | C Maher | 55kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 3 | Starlight Girl | 5 | Matthew Kelley | 58kg |
Lethal Love is showing an improving form trend with a 3rd placing last start at this track. From the Freedman stable, she's likely to be finishing strongly, though barrier 11 means she'll need luck in running.
Her racing pattern suggests she'll be perfectly suited by the very fast tempo predicted, allowing her to finish strongly. With proven form at the track and a good draw, she represents the best winning chance.
The application of ear muffs and lugging bit first time suggests she's been well-prepared.
La Basilique represents excellent value as another Chris Waller-trained first starter. The application of cross-over nose band, ear muffs, and lugging bit suggests thorough preparation.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Virgil''s Gift | 8 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | La Basilique | 5 | Mitchell Bell | C J Waller | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Tszinsi | 4 | Jeff Penza | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Michonne''s Katana | 2 | Brock Ryan | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Semibreve | 7 | Jess Taylor | J C Coyle | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Yeszem | 10 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Lethal Love | 11 | Shaun Guymer | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $3.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Micro Magic | 1 | Marc & Mitchell Conners | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Artgirl | 9 | Chad Lever | C J Waller | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Grand Carousel | 3 | Lee Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Ho Aloha | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | David Pfieffer | 55.5kg |
The mare has been competing in stronger company and drops significantly in class here. The step up to 1400m looks ideal based on her racing pattern.
The Chris Waller-trained filly draws well in barrier 3 and should get an ideal run in midfield. While stepping up in distance, her racing pattern suggests the 1400m will suit. The stable's runners typically improve with racing experience.
The Waterhouse & Bott-trained gelding is likely to improve with that experience and is well-weighted with 55kg. Despite drawing wide in barrier 10, his tactical speed should allow him to take up a forward position. The step up to 1400m looks suitable.
The filly is second-up from a spell after a solid 2nd at Coonamble and has been competing in much stronger company, including Group races. The Bjorn Baker-trained runner draws well in barrier 4 and should get an ideal run in midfield.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Micro Magic | 9 | Deanne Panya | Marc & Mitchell Conners | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Reign Of Honor | 10 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Pierro Lad | 1 | Brock Ryan | C Maher | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Saloon Passage | 3 | Lee Magorrian | C J Waller | 56kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 3 | My Star | 6 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Aweigh | 2 | Christian Reith | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Alabama Charm | 4 | Louise Day | Bjorn Baker | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 12 | Love Rustler | 8 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Mortal Halo | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Solid | 11 | M, W & J Hawkes | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Bella Wahine | 12 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Glastonbury Girl | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg |
Has been placed in 2 of his 3 starts showing consistency, and should be able to take up a forward position from barrier 7. The very fast predicted tempo is a slight concern, but he has the class to overcome it.
Was only narrowly beaten here last start over this distance and has been placed in 2 of his 3 career starts. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but with a very fast tempo predicted, he should be able to finish strongly.
Harry's Halo is showing improving form with a close 2nd last start at Hawkesbury over 1300m. Gets the perfect inside draw here and should be able to secure a good position in transit.
The removal of blinkers is a significant gear change that could spark improvement, and he's drawn well in barrier 4. Trained by the Maher stable who excel with their juveniles, and the 122-day break suggests they've given him time to mature.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Pimlico | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Harry''s Halo | 1 | Mollie Fitzgerald | C Maher | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 14 | War King | 4 | Louise Day | C Maher | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Orange Tsunami | 6 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Patonga | 5 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Nielsen Park | 12 | Mitchell Bell | A & S Freedman | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Leon Ruben | 13 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Convert | 3 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Fernweh | 7 | William A Stanley | Joseph Pride | 54.5kg | $2.60 |
| 10th | 9 | Panos | 11 | Deanne Panya | G R Nickson | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Revolutionary Star | 10 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 12th | 11 | Persona Non Grata | 2 | Jess Taylor | S B Hill | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Ellismayne | 8 | John Thompson | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | English Conqueror | 14 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg |
Lightly-raced improver who broke through impressively last start at Newcastle over 1500m. Has shown consistent form with 3 placings from 6 starts and appears ready for this step up in trip. The inside draw gives J Van Overmeire options to position him ideally in a race with good tempo.
Has proven ability at the mile with a win and a place from two attempts. The addition of blinkers for the first time could sharpen him up, and from barrier 3 should get an ideal run. Mollie Fitzgerald knows him well and the horse appears ready to bounce back to winning form.
Mare with a perfect record at this track and distance, having won her only previous attempt. Boasts an impressive record at the mile with 2 wins from 3 starts. Recent form has been below her best but the return to a track and distance she excels at could spark improvement. Chad Lever takes the ride and from barrier 6 should be able to position her where she's comfortable in the run.
Won two starts back over 2010m at Moruya and will appreciate the fast tempo predicted for this race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Buckenara | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 11 | Stay Tuned | 2 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Otono | 6 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 57kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 7 | Extravagant Choice | 8 | Jeff Penza | N J Olive | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Clubman | 3 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Miss Bariloche | 4 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Peruno | 5 | Molly Bourke | Michael Gatty | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Final Reset | 11 | Angus Villiers | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Beauer | 7 | Louise Day | Paul Murray | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Field Marshal | 12 | Adrian Layt | Michael Gatty | 58kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Stonecoat | 9 | Matthew Kelley | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Tom Cruising | 10 | K J Parker | 55kg |
His debut win on soft ground suggests versatility, and he maps to get a perfect run from barrier 3 in a race with very fast tempo. The Peter Snowden-trained colt is second-up from a spell with significant upside and looks ready to take the next step in his development.
Consistent mare dropping significantly in class after competing in Group and Open company. Has placed in 2 of 3 starts at this track and should get a good run from barrier 6. The class drop is significant and makes her a major player despite the weight.
Drops significantly in class here and has shown ability when fresh.
Last start winner at this track in the same class who returns from a spell with a solid first-up record. His proven ability in wet conditions is a plus if the track deteriorates, and he gets in with just 55kg after the claim.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Madrina | 6 | Jess Taylor | N J Olive | 60.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 7 | Caesar | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 57.5kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Vindication | 9 | Chad Lever | Fabio Martino | 61kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Kirkuk | 15 | Madeline Owen | J & G Lee | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 10 | I Am Brave | 11 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Mignonette | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Viipuri | 1 | Zac Wadick | Peter Snowden | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 13 | Egypitian''s Reward | 7 | Louise Day | Joseph Ible | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | New Business | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Artful Persuasion | 14 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Zounaka | 13 | John Thompson | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Land Bank | 4 | Jeff Penza | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Savaii | 8 | Donovan Dillon | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Zoukerino | 10 | J C Coyle | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Pretty Sassy | 12 | Joseph Ible | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.
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