Karmardo brings the strongest and most consistent form to this race with 4 placings from his last 5 starts. His soft track record (2:0-1-1) suggests he'll handle today's conditions, and his distance record (3:0-2-1) is superior to his rivals. The wide barrier is a concern, but his tactical versatility should help overcome this.
Queensland · Saturday 25 October 2025
Townsville tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Townsville. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Mercedes-Benz Townsville Mdn Hcp
Lord Valen brings solid form with placings in his last two starts. His second-up record (4:0-1-2) is encouraging, and he's shown ability at this distance range. The barrier draw (7) is less than ideal given the track bias favoring inside gates, but his consistency makes him a strong place chance.
His recent run at this track (4th) suggests he's acclimatized to the conditions. The removal of winkers could sharpen him up. The wide barrier is a concern, but his early speed should allow him to find a position. His soft track record is limited but his overall consistency puts him in the mix.
He's proven on soft tracks and has a favorable inside barrier draw. While his last start was disappointing, he's shown ability to bounce back previously and the return to his preferred track and distance setup could see significant improvement.
- 1st7Redlights OnChris Whiteley$5.00
- 2nd1KarmardoTyler Leslight$1.90
- 3rd6Oscar BooieLacey Morrison$7.00
- 4th11ValubiousRaul Silvera Olivera$19.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Redlights On | 1 | Chris Whiteley | Stephen Bush | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Karmardo | 11 | Tyler Leslight | Charlie Russo | 57kg | $1.90 |
| 3rd | 6 | Oscar Booie | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Michael Geaney | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Valubious | 4 | Raul Silvera Olivera | Georgie Holt | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Arik Lad | 5 | Adam Sewell | S J Royes | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Maven | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 2 | Lord Valen | 7 | Wanderson D''Avila | Ms S Royes | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Bombe Babe | 6 | Nathan Thomas | G W Dickson | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Gymnosomata | 3 | Sean Cormack | Georgie Holt | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Mr Big Thyme | 2 | Chris Meehan | Robert Kirkwood | 56kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Time Power | 10 | T Button | 55.5kg |
Ausnorth Building & Construction Hcp
Missile Thunder brings the strongest credentials to this race with an excellent record at Townsville and this distance. His recent form is rock solid with 3 wins from his last 5 starts. While carrying top weight is a challenge, he's proven capable at this level and should get an ideal run from barrier 3. The soft track presents no issues based on his record, and he appears the clear standout.
Tycoon Beau returns from a spell with several factors in his favor. The lightweight of 54kg, perfect barrier draw, and proven ability on soft tracks make him a genuine threat. While his first-up record isn't spectacular, trainer S Massingham knows how to prepare horses fresh. His consistent place record suggests he'll be in the finish, and the booking of Sean Cormack is a significant positive.
Lidder Valley returns from a spell with several positives, including a strong first-up record and excellent soft track statistics. The inside barrier is ideal for Townsville's 1000m course, and his last start win indicates he was in good form before spelling. While he lacks experience at this track and distance, his overall profile suggests he can be competitive fresh, especially with Chris Meehan aboard.
The gear change (tongue control bit again) could spark improvement, and his proven ability on soft tracks is a significant advantage.
- 1st3Molongle SurpriseLacey Morrison$4.60
- 2nd1Missile ThunderLauren Guernier$1.80
- 3rd6Midas StarIsabella Teh$10.00
- 4th5Tycoon BeauSean Cormack$5.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Molongle Surprise | 5 | Lacey Morrison | Graham Kliese | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Missile Thunder | 3 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 62kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Midas Star | 6 | Isabella Teh | Stephen Bush | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Tycoon Beau | 2 | Sean Cormack | S Massingham | 54kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Family Star | 4 | Jason Taylor | Graham R Hughes | 54kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Lidder Valley | 1 | Chris Meehan | S Massingham | 56kg | $12.00 |
Cranbrook Medical (Bm58)
Convertor brings excellent credentials to this race with strong Townsville form (18: 3-6-3) and impressive distance statistics (8: 1-4-2). His recent form is compelling with a win last start over this distance and two seconds prior. The experienced Ashley Butler knows this horse well, having partnered him to success previously.
Better Be Ready brings strong recent form with placings in 4 of his last 5 starts including a win. While he's untested at Townsville, he has proven adaptable to new tracks and has won his only start at this distance. The inside barrier is advantageous, though the 63kg impost is a significant challenge.
Al Ras Blues comes off an impressive last-start win over 1500m and has been racing consistently with a clear upward form trajectory. While unproven at Townsville and only moderate on soft tracks, her recent form suggests she's ready to perform well in this company.
Innovates represents excellent value with consecutive second placings and a proven ability on soft tracks (4: 1-1-1). The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Townsville, and the 57.5kg weight is favorable. While stepping up in class, his recent form suggests he's ready for the challenge.
- 1st4Al Ras BluesAidan Holt$7.50
- 2nd2ConvertorAshley Butler$3.10
- 3rd5InnovatesRyan Wiggins$4.60
- 4th1Better Be ReadySean Cormack$3.20
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Al Ras Blues | 6 | Aidan Holt | Rhein Sewell | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Convertor | 4 | Ashley Butler | Georgie Holt | 60.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 5 | Innovates | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | R J Miller | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 1 | Better Be Ready | 1 | Sean Cormack | Joshua Manzelmann | 63kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 10 | Grumpywantsatissue | 3 | Raul Silvera Olivera | Jessica Kuhn | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Legal Challenge | 5 | Tyler Leslight | Ms S Royes | 52.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Mishani Perfection | 10 | Chris Meehan | Kayla Russell | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Fang It | 8 | Chris Whiteley | Stephen Bush | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Fallguy | 7 | Ivo Fry | T Button | 60kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Zouhope | 9 | Lacey Morrison | Ms S Royes | 56.5kg |
Peter Douglas Plate (C5)
Progressive 4YO gelding who has been in excellent form with a win and a second from his last two starts. Has a strong record at Townsville and handles soft tracks well. The class rise is offset by his upward trajectory and weight relief.
Consistent 5YO gelding with excellent Townsville record of 3 wins and 3 placings from 9 starts. Coming off a good 2nd placing at Mackay and has strong form at this distance. Drawn well in barrier 3 which should allow him to take up a good position. Has proven ability on soft tracks and the inside draw is advantageous given the track bias.
Lightly-raced 4YO gelding who won at this track and distance two starts back. Gets in with just 52.5kg which is a significant advantage. Has been racing consistently with a win, a second and a fifth from his last three starts. The class rise is a concern, but he's a progressive type who should continue to improve and the light weight offsets the wide barrier.
Has a good record at Townsville with 2 wins and 2 placings from 15 starts. Gets in with a light weight of 55kg which helps offset the class rise. The outside barrier is a concern, but she has shown ability to overcome wide draws in the past.
- 1st6Aged CareNathan Thomas$2.80
- 2nd7HarrowRyan Wiggins$9.00
- 3rd3NorthernontapLacey Morrison$3.20
- 4th9Brave IntentIvo Fry$16.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Aged Care | 7 | Nathan Thomas | G W Dickson | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 7 | Harrow | 4 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Northernontap | 3 | Lacey Morrison | T Button | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 9 | Brave Intent | 9 | Ivo Fry | Ms J Ryan | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Indefinite | 8 | Tyler Leslight | Charlie Russo | 52.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Winning Saga | 1 | Graham Kliese | Graham Kliese | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Rugged Roy | 6 | Micheal Mc Donald | Ms M Young | 58.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Highbar | 2 | Chris Meehan | O Chillemi | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Excite Choo | 5 | Jason Taylor | Krystin Allender | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
Len And Norma Dowd (Bm70)
Moegreen brings excellent credentials with a perfect record at this track and distance (3:1-1-1). His recent form is rock solid with a close 2nd last start, and he's proven on soft tracks (8:3-2-1). While rising in class is a concern, his consistency and tactical versatility should allow him to overcome this. Well-drawn in barrier 4 and with Sean Cormack aboard, he maps to get an ideal run.
Colours Of Autumn brings solid recent form including a win two starts back. While unproven at this track/distance combination and with a moderate soft track record (8:0-2-1), her versatile racing style should suit the predicted tempo. Likely to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Turn Bird brings strong credentials with an excellent track and distance record (3:2-1-0) and comes off a last start win. While carrying top weight is a significant challenge, he's proven at this level and handles soft tracks well (12:3-0-3). Perfectly drawn in barrier 1, he should get every chance to utilize his early speed, though may face pressure from other on-pace runners. Represents solid each-way value.
His track record is solid (7:2-1-1) and he's proven at the distance (8:3-2-1). While rising in class is a concern and his soft track record is only moderate (8:0-4-1), he maps to get an ideal run from barrier 6 and has the tactical speed to put himself in a winning position.
- 1st4Burraneer BuoyIvo Fry$6.50
- 2nd2MoegreenSean Cormack$3.50
- 3rd7Colours Of AutumnLacey Morrison$3.10
- 4th5Hyde ParkAidan Holt$6.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Burraneer Buoy | 7 | Ivo Fry | Graham R Hughes | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Moegreen | 4 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 61kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Colours Of Autumn | 5 | Lacey Morrison | O Chillemi | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 5 | Hyde Park | 3 | Aidan Holt | T Button | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Medal | 9 | Chris Whiteley | Stephen Bush | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Turn Bird | 1 | Ashley Butler | S J Royes | 62.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 6 | King''s Halo | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Brave Agenda | 2 | Adam Sewell | Robert Kirkwood | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Capicella | 8 | Graham Kliese | Stephen Bush | 54kg | $31.00 |
Ladbrokes Pallarenda Stakes Mdn Plate
Better Blitzem appears well-placed to capitalize on Townsville's track characteristics with an ideal barrier 5 draw. Mapped to lead or sit prominently in a race where on-pace runners are advantaged. The Holt stable typically has their horses ready to perform first-up, and the jockey booking suggests confidence.
Alberta Bound presents as a strong chance with the addition of first-time gear suggesting the stable has identified and addressed specific issues. The lighter weight (55kg) provides an advantage, and the Nathan Thomas booking is significant. While drawn wider in barrier 9, the horse should still secure a midfield position with opportunity to finish strongly.
Stylish Diamond draws a reasonable barrier 7 and should secure a midfield position with opportunity to finish strongly. The light weight (55kg) is advantageous, and the Adam Sewell booking suggests some stable confidence.
The addition of a cross-over nose band suggests the stable is addressing specific issues. While mapped to settle back in the field, the inside draw should allow for a ground-saving run with opportunity to finish strongly.
- 1st1Better BlitzemAidan Holt$2.25
- 2nd6Alberta BoundNathan Thomas$5.00
- 3rd8Stylish DiamondAdam Sewell$9.50
- 4th3BoomiousMicheal Mc Donald$10.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Better Blitzem | 5 | Aidan Holt | Georgie Holt | 57kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 6 | Alberta Bound | 9 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Stylish Diamond | 7 | Adam Sewell | Kris Hansen | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Boomious | 8 | Micheal Mc Donald | Georgie Holt | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Stable Investment | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Krystin Allender | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Golden Glaze | 10 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Mersey Lass | 13 | Wanderson D''Avila | William Kenning | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Radiant Power | 3 | Isabella Teh | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Dub Stepping | 2 | Ivo Fry | T Button | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Persefono | 4 | Jason Taylor | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Diosa Afrodita | 12 | Chris Meehan | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Miss So And So | 11 | Raul Silvera Olivera | L A Wright | 55kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Bowdene | 6 | Kris Hansen | 57kg |
Jaysel Electrical & Instrumentation Hcp (55)
His track and distance record is excellent (5: 1-1-1), and he's proven on soft tracks. The 3YO gelding has been racing consistently against stronger opposition and should appreciate this easier assignment.
Her record at Townsville is consistent (6: 0-3-1) and she handles soft tracks well. While she hasn't won at this distance, she has placed twice from 7 attempts. The wide barrier is the main concern, but she has the tactical speed to overcome it. Represents solid each-way value.
Mister Doobee comes off a last-start win and is showing progressive form. The 3YO gelding handles soft tracks well and has a consistent record at this track. The good barrier draw and proven soft track form are significant positives. The class rise is the main query.
While she hasn't won at this track or distance, she has placed multiple times and handles soft tracks well. The wide barrier is a concern, but she has the ability to run into the placings.
- 1st10Mister DoobeeNathan Thomas$6.00
- 2nd3Grovers PredictionJason Taylor$10.00
- 3rd1Coppabella RoadMicheal Mc Donald$5.50
- 4th7VegameisterAshley Butler$5.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Mister Doobee | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Krystin Allender | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Grovers Prediction | 1 | Jason Taylor | Krystin Allender | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Coppabella Road | 11 | Micheal Mc Donald | S J Royes | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Vegameister | 8 | Ashley Butler | Georgie Holt | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Sweet Fantasy | 3 | Tyler Leslight | Ms S Royes | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Stateswoman | 10 | Lacey Morrison | Kayla Russell | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 11 | Ithinkbetta | 9 | Adam Sewell | Lachie Manzelmann | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Spineless | 2 | Chris Whiteley | Stephen Bush | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Margot Barbie | 5 | Aidan Holt | Georgie Holt | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Negation | 7 | Graham Kliese | Troy Clive | 60kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Major Desire | 6 | Wanderson D''Avila | Rachael Singleton | 59kg |
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