Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 30 January 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Canterbury. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The step up to 1550m looks ideal for this progressive The Autumn Sun gelding who should appreciate the fast tempo. Tom Sherry (20% strike rate) is a significant jockey booking and the horse appears to be hitting peak fitness third-up.
Baja Baby showed promise on debut when finishing second at Kembla Grange over 1300m. The John O'Shea & Tom Charlton-trained mare draws perfectly in barrier 2 which is crucial at Canterbury. With early speed and Dylan Gibbons (20% strike rate) aboard, she should secure a forward position. The step up to 1550m is the query, but her breeding (by Justify) suggests she'll handle it.
The C.J. Waller-trained filly ran a strong second two starts back over 1600m and should appreciate the fast tempo. While Canterbury doesn't typically suit backmarkers, her superior closing speed gives her a chance if the leaders overdo it up front. Siena Grima's 3kg claim is valuable.
The perfect barrier 1 draw is crucial at Canterbury, and the quick back-up suggests fitness. While yet to place from four starts, the son of Almanzor is showing improvement and should appreciate the tight-turning Canterbury track. Ashley Morgan knows the track well with 18% strike rate here.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | So Rebellious | 6 | Alysha Collett | G Portelli | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Viva Mauricio | 5 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Defendant | 4 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Baja Baby | 2 | Dylan Gibbons | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Almanzas | 1 | Ashley Morgan | Bjorn Baker | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Equinox Legend | 8 | Tom Sherry | L J Bridge | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 7th | 8 | Saveur | 3 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 52.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Explicit | 7 | Chad Schofield | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
Impuriteze brings the strongest form credentials with consecutive seconds at her last two starts. The inside barrier is ideal at Canterbury, and she appears ready to break through for her maiden win with natural improvement.
Her second-up record is encouraging, and the Waterhouse/Bott stable typically has their horses very fit.
The addition of blinkers first time is a significant gear change that should sharpen his focus, while the Waller/Collett combination is proven.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Scrumptious | 9 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Impuriteze | 1 | Tyler Schiller | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 1 | Alphard | 2 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 7 | Coco Dior | 6 | Alysha Collett | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Think Itz You | 7 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Springsteed | 4 | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | $21.00 | |
| 7th | 9 | Military Legend | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | L J Bridge | 55kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Bugatte | 8 | Jason Collett | C J Waller | 57kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Good'n'you | 5 | Tom Sherry | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Chispa | 3 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 52kg |
Agarwood brings strong class credentials dropping back from Group company where she was competitive early in her career. Her first-up record is solid with 1 win from 2 attempts, and the booking of J McDonald is significant. The O'Shea/Charlton stable has applied gear changes (ear muffs pre-race, lugging bit) which should help her settle better. Well drawn to utilize her tactical speed.
Albany Road was impressive winning first-up at Kensington and should improve second-up from the spell. The Waterhouse/Bott gelding is perfectly drawn in barrier 2 for Canterbury's tight turning track, which should allow him to utilize his natural speed. With only 55kg and Regan Bayliss aboard, he's well-positioned to be in the finish despite the step up in class.
Has shown tactical versatility and should get a perfect midfield position from barrier 6 in a race with likely fast tempo. The C Maher-trained gelding is improving with each run and appears perfectly placed to go back-to-back with Tommy Berry taking over.
The Matthew Smith-trained gelding has a solid fresh record and excels on rain-affected tracks if conditions deteriorate. His two wins at this distance show he's effective over the trip, and the significant weight drop is a major plus. The likely fast tempo will suit his running style, and Ashley Morgan (18% at Canterbury) is a positive jockey booking.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Albany Road | 2 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Agarwood | 3 | James Mc Donald | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57.5kg | $1.85 |
| 3rd | 2 | Shaggy | 4 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Allan Kehoe | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Raskol | 1 | Andrew Adkins | Peter Snowden | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 1 | The Face | 7 | Siena Grima | A P Ball | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Ready To Shine | 8 | Ashley Morgan | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Vis I Do | 9 | Amy Mc Lucas | Anthony Mountney | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Not That Easy | 5 | Alysha Collett | J C Coyle | 54kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Stormland | 6 | Tommy Berry | C Maher | 59kg |
While stepping up in class, his tactical versatility and strong finishing burst should be well-suited to Canterbury's tight track. Jason Collett's booking is significant, and the horse's progressive profile suggests further improvement.
Watson comes off an impressive maiden win and gets in with just 54kg. Second-up from a spell for the Waterhouse/Bott stable, he should improve on his first-up effort. While facing a significant class rise, his lightweight advantage and the booking of Tim Clark suggest connections are confident.
Sovereign Hill brings the perfect profile for Canterbury with proven track form and tactical speed from barrier 1. Second-up from a spell and dropping significantly in class from Open company, he should control the race from the front. While carrying top weight is a concern, his class edge and Canterbury track experience (1 win from 2 starts at track and distance) make him the clear top selection.
His soft track record is impressive with 4 wins from 12 starts, suggesting any deterioration in conditions would be beneficial.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Watson | 8 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Calga Power | 6 | Jason Collett | K A Lees | 56.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 8 | Johnny | 3 | Chad Schofield | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 7 | Extra Heights | 5 | Chad Schofield | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Zale | 9 | Molly Bourke | G R Nickson | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Oryx | 4 | Dylan Gibbons | Richard Litt | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Chairman's List | 7 | Ellen Hennessy | R Cole | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Angara | 11 | Mollie Fitzgerald | P M Perry | 53.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 1 | True To Form | 10 | Joshua Parr | K A Lees | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Sovereign Hill | 1 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | King Charles | 2 | Siena Grima | Anthony Mountney | 51.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Vis I Do | 6 | Anthony Mountney | 54kg |
The step up to 1900m looks ideal based on his racing pattern, and he maps to secure an ideal position from barrier 5. James McDonald's booking is significant, and the gelding appears to be on a sharp upward trajectory with 1 win and 2 placings from 5 starts.
Consistent mare who has been knocking on the door with strong recent performances including a close third last start at Canterbury over 1550m. The step up to 1900m looks suitable based on her racing pattern, and Tim Clark knows her well.
Consistent gelding who finished a close second over this course and distance last start, demonstrating his suitability for both track and trip. His tactical speed should allow him to overcome the wide barrier, and Chad Schofield retains the ride after their last start placing. Has shown ability to handle this class level and should be right in the finish again.
Won last start over 1600m and has a versatile racing pattern that should adapt well to Canterbury. His record on good tracks (5-5-2 from 17 starts) is excellent, and he's drawn perfectly in barrier 3.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Tokyo Star | 9 | Tommy Berry | Fabio Martino | 55.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Emballee | 11 | Tim Clark | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Marebello | 5 | James Mc Donald | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 2 | Doradus | 12 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 59.5kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 10 | Mad Ana | 2 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Michael Morrison | 51.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Barcelo | 1 | Sam Clipperton | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Fagin | 6 | Adam Hyeronimus | Matthew Dale | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Dealt | 10 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Mediaro | 7 | Reece Jones | Matthew Smith | 60kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Tassron | 13 | Nash Rawiller | C J Waller | 59kg | |
| Scr | 11 | La Morra | 8 | Regan Bayliss | John Thompson | 54kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Sound And Vision | 4 | Ms K Owen | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Taipan Legend | 3 | Cameron Crockett | 62kg |
Consistent performer who ran a strong second at Warwick Farm two starts back. Gets in well at the weights with 54.5kg and has drawn ideally in barrier 3 to secure a good position at Canterbury. Siena Grima is riding in good form with 4 wins from her last 20 rides. Should be right in the finish with the right run.
Likely to take up a forward position from barrier 4 which is crucial at this track. Tim Clark is riding in good form with 3 wins from his last 20 rides. The 60.5kg is a concern but he's proven he can carry weight.
Drawn perfectly in barrier 2 to utilize his tactical speed on Canterbury's tight track, and the likely fast tempo should suit his racing pattern. The class rise is significant but his form trajectory suggests he's ready for it.
Interesting first-up runner from the Waterhouse & Bott stable who has a good record at Canterbury (1-0-1 from 2). Regan Bayliss has ridden this horse to success before and the combination with the stable yields a solid 13% strike rate. The blinkers going back on is a positive gear change and he's drawn well to secure a good position. While his first-up record isn't stellar (0-1-0 from 4), the stable excels at having horses ready to fire fresh.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Ivan's Hero | 3 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 54.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bat Out Of Hell | 4 | Tim Clark | Bjorn Baker | 60.5kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Centenario | 6 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 3 | Clyde | 8 | Nash Rawiller | Paul Snowden | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Suit Of Armour | 9 | Dylan Gibbons | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Aimpoint | 5 | Adam Hyeronimus | M D Griffith | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 9 | House Of Cards | 11 | Jason Collett | Edward O'Rourke | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 7 | It's A Wonder | 7 | Joshua Parr | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Dumebi | 1 | Tommy Berry | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Taipan Legend | 2 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Cameron Crockett | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Tenderize | 10 | Alysha Collett | G Portelli | 57.5kg |
With a strong second-up record and Nash Rawiller aboard, she's well-positioned to handle the class rise.
Maybe Moet brings a progressive profile and excellent first-up credentials to this assignment. The Waller stable excels with horses resuming, and the gear change suggests they're fine-tuning her for a strong fresh performance.
Ringarosa brings excellent course credentials to this race with a strong record at Canterbury (1-2-1 from 7 starts) and specifically at this track/distance (1-2-1 from 4 starts). The inside draw is advantageous at Canterbury's tight circuit.
The application of blinkers for the first time is a significant gear change that could sharpen her tactical speed - crucial at Canterbury. Joshua Parr's strong record at this track (24% strike rate) is another positive, and she should appreciate the likely fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Monte Kate | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | R & L Price | 60kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Maybe Moet | 4 | Tommy Berry | C J Waller | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Berezka | 3 | Ashley Morgan | C Maher | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Ringarosa | 2 | Dylan Gibbons | Matthew Dale | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Happy Bellie | 8 | Nash Rawiller | Bjorn Baker | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Nandina | 6 | Siena Grima | C J Waller | 52.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 11 | She Moves Too | 1 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 6 | O'invincible | 10 | Joshua Parr | Bjorn Baker | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 5 | La Signora Dane | 7 | Tim Clark | Richard Litt | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Raskol | 2 | Andrew Adkins | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Seastraand | 9 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Pretty Tavi | 11 | Dylan Gibbons | Jack Pilkington | 54kg |
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