Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 3 February 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Coming back from higher class racing with consistent recent form (2nd at Armidale two starts back), she's well-positioned to capitalize on the expected fast tempo. The 1400m looks suitable despite no previous attempts at the trip.
Celestial Bell brings progressive form into this race, finishing a close second last start at Deepwater over the same 1400m trip. This 5yo mare is on an upward trajectory with a win and two placings from her last five starts. While rising in class is a concern, she draws perfectly in barrier 2 and should get an economical run in midfield.
Drawing the inside barrier with just 52kg is advantageous, and she should get a perfect run from the back of the field in a race with anticipated fast tempo. While rising in class is a concern, her previous placings at this track give her claims.
Jockey Jett Newman is in good form with a 15% strike rate from his last 20 rides, and his 25% strike rate with trainer Shane Everson is particularly noteworthy.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Alabama Girl | 3 | Jett Newman | Shane Everson | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Celestial Bell | 2 | Ella Drew | P J Cunningham | 53kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 8 | Shillong | 7 | Bailie Baker | L J Clapham | 52kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 3 | La Narradora | 5 | Cassey Williams | Stirling Osland | 53.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 7 | Casebolt | 1 | Poppie Gorton | Donna Grisedale | 52kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Moana Kohala | 6 | Emily Farr | J D Shelton | 53kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Cosmic Coco | 8 | Grady Spokes | Samantha McGuren | 57kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Olivershare | 4 | Peter G Sinclair | 56.5kg |
The Rookie brings progressive form, winning last start at Ballina over this distance. Jockey Yvette Lewis maintains the partnership after their last-start success. The class rise is significant but her upward trajectory suggests further improvement.
The Capitalist gelding showed natural talent winning on a Good 4 surface and has been given adequate time between runs. The step up in class is offset by his raw ability and the booking of in-form jockey Andrew Gibbons (25% recent strike rate).
Monaco Flyer represents excellent value given his strong record at this track (1-2-0 from 4 starts) and track/distance combination (1-1-0 from 2). The wide barrier is a concern, but his track experience and proven ability make him an appealing value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Hey Daisy | 7 | Dylan Turner | P L Shailer | 57kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Tides Turning | 8 | Jett Newman | T P Croft | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | The Rookie | 2 | Yvette Lewis | G N Nielsen | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Wokou | 3 | Ella Drew | P J Cunningham | 53kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Intense Steel | 5 | Poppie Gorton | Ms C Rode | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Monaco Flyer | 10 | Luke Rolls | J D Shelton | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Love For Asher | 6 | Raymond Spokes | B D Bellamy | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Cosmic Treasure | 11 | Jon Grisedale | John Higgins | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Ultimate Say | 1 | Ben Looker | Samantha McGuren | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Dividends Paid | 4 | Andrew Gibbons | Ms C Rode | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Perfect Beth | 9 | Bailie Baker | Leanne McCormick | 52kg |
Her recent 3rd placing at this track demonstrates she's handling the racing environment well. With a 2.5kg weight advantage over the top selection and natural improvement expected, she represents the main danger.
Stainless Steel brings solid recent form with a 2nd placing last start at Deepwater. The gelding has been knocking on the door with 3 placings from 16 starts and draws well in barrier 3. The addition of a tongue tie could help his breathing and improve performance. Jodi Worley (20% recent strike rate) is a positive jockey booking, though the 59kg is a concern.
Lord Of Flames brings the strongest form credentials, having placed in stronger company at metropolitan tracks. The drop to country maiden grade is significant, and the gelding operation should help him focus. Andrew Mallyon (35% recent strike rate) is a major positive, and while first-up, the stable has a strong record with fresh runners. Clearly the class runner of the field.
The addition of ear muffs (pre-race only) suggests connections are addressing temperament issues, which could lead to significant improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Cianwood City | 12 | Jett Newman | Shane Everson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Sunstaz | 6 | Jon Grisedale | D L Matts | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Graceful Warrior | 11 | Jake Bayliss | A Parramore | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 9 | I'm Guessing | 4 | Danny Peisley | Jason Reilly | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Powerful Dolphins | 5 | Noriyuki Masuda | Shannon Manwarring | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Sol Filia | 7 | Dylan Turner | S B Lee | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 4 | Stainless Steel | 3 | Jodi Worley | P J Cunningham | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Kobi Express | 2 | Ben Looker | Samantha McGuren | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Catch The Prize | 13 | Yvette Lewis | S J Randall | 59kg | $301.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Referees | 10 | Peter G Sinclair | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Lord Of Flames | 1 | Andrew Mallyon | M J Dunn | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Sarmat | 9 | Stephen Cummins | B J Dodson | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Jennibelle | 8 | Luke Rolls | J D Shelton | 57kg |
Second-up today with a 2: 1-0-1 record in this pattern. Trainer/jockey combination boasts 18% strike rate. The very fast tempo should suit her closing style, and the nasal strip first time is a positive gear change that could improve her breathing and performance.
Consistent gelding with a solid record at this track (5: 1-0-0). Drawn well in barrier 3 which should allow him to utilize his early speed. Versatile performer who handles all track conditions with wins on good (3 from 9), soft (0 from 9 but placed 3 times) and heavy (1 from 2). The top weight is a concern, but he's proven capable of carrying weight. May be vulnerable late if caught in the expected speed battle.
Has won 3 from 12 overall with a versatile racing pattern that should handle the expected fast tempo. Wide barrier is a concern, but his adaptable style should allow him to find cover. Has performed well on both good (2 wins from 6 starts) and soft (1 win from 5 starts) tracks.
Well weighted with 55.5kg and has proven ability at the trip (12: 3-0-1). Recent form is concerning but has shown ability to bounce back previously.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Pixie Hallow | 3 | Poppie Gorton | Donna Grisedale | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Amaya's Secret | 4 | Luke Rolls | S B Lee | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Tryanza | 8 | Noriyuki Masuda | D B Campbell | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Picasso's Dream | 1 | Yvette Lewis | G N Nielsen | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Soobooco | 6 | Ben Looker | T G Payne | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Ardonaugh | 9 | Dylan Turner | R P Hartley | 55.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 8 | La Cache A Vin | 5 | Jasen Watkins | B D Bellamy | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Cabsav | 2 | Mikayla Weir | J D Shelton | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 12 | Personal Space | 7 | Teighan Worsnop | Ms C Rode | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Love Rat | 11 | Andrew Gibbons | Ms C Rode | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 11th | 11 | Te Pani | 10 | Jake Bayliss | Indiana Turner | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Back On De Quo | 12 | S B Lee | 57kg |
His tactical speed should allow him to take up a forward position from barrier 4, and he's shown steady improvement with each run this preparation. The step up to 1700m looks suitable based on his strong finishing efforts over 1300-1400m.
With 13 previous starts at Grafton including 9 at this track and distance, he knows the circuit well and should appreciate the drop in weight to 57kg.
The step up to 1700m looks suitable based on her recent 1590m run at Ballina. With a significant weight advantage over the top selections and the services of in-form jockey Luke Rolls (3 wins from last 20 rides), she can improve sharply in this country maiden.
His last start 6th can be forgiven as it was in a different race setup, and his previous form includes multiple placings at this level. From barrier 2, he should get an economical run.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Beearetee | 4 | Jett Newman | Shane Everson | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 13 | Grey Belief | 9 | Luke Rolls | T P Croft | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Turpin's Torment | 5 | Cassey Williams | R J Knight | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Some Girls | 7 | Emily Farr | Jason Reilly | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Zou De Lagos | 6 | Peter Graham | Paul Isaac | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Yianni | 8 | Mikayla Weir | Shane Everson | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Redadel | 3 | Grady Spokes | B D Bellamy | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Eccasdash | 10 | Noriyuki Masuda | Ms E Giggins | 59kg | $201.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Star Of Kongo | 2 | Kacie Adams | R P Hartley | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Arabian Legacy | 12 | Danny Peisley | S J Bennett | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Hooley | 11 | Dylan Turner | S B Lee | 58.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Sea Turtle | 1 | Jasen Watkins | Aiden St Vincent | 59kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Puligny | 9 | Andrew Mallyon | M J Dunn | 57kg |
His recent 3rd placings at Gunnedah (2150m) and Armidale (1900m) show he's ready for this 2200m test. Represents the strongest form credentials.
His recent form is excellent with 7 of his last 8 runs resulting in top-4 finishes. The wide barrier is the main concern, but he's shown versatility in his racing pattern.
Sonder is on an upward trajectory with a 3rd placing last start at this track and distance, followed by a 2nd at Armidale over 1900m. The inside barrier draw is advantageous, and jockey Luke Rolls knows how to ride winners at Grafton. While facing a class rise, his recent form suggests he's ready for the challenge. His track experience and improving pattern make him a genuine contender.
His experience at similar distances and consistent performances in this class make him well-suited to this assignment.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Fulmen Filou | 12 | Cassey Williams | R J Knight | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Nature Boy | 6 | Emily Farr | Ms L Selby | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Mr Plume | 7 | Grady Spokes | Sally Taylor | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Eject | 8 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Sonder | 2 | Luke Rolls | Stirling Osland | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Ottoman Empire | 5 | Raymond Spokes | J I Herriot | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 14 | Sir Zino | 11 | Jon Grisedale | Ms V McLennan | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Flash Prince | 14 | Noriyuki Masuda | Ms V McLennan | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Global | 1 | Matthew Palmer | S B Laming | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Bush Warrior | 13 | Jodi Worley | Daniel Stanley | 58kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Vermeer | 10 | Amelia Heinrich | S B Lee | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Will It Snow | 4 | Courtney Ferris | S B Laming | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Mammoth Mountain | 9 | P J Cunningham | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | The Ambassador | 3 | Sally Taylor | 55kg |
Next Pay Run brings the strongest combination of track/distance credentials with 2 wins from 3 starts at Grafton over 1400m. Recent form is solid with a win two starts back and a close third last start at Inverell. Andrew Mallyon (35% recent strike rate) has a strong record on this mare with 2 wins from 3 rides. The inside draw suits the expected fast tempo, allowing her to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Intoxel brings excellent track credentials with 3 wins from 4 starts at this track and distance. Her recent form is solid with a 3rd placing last start at Glen Innes. While rising in class is a concern, her track record suggests she can handle the step up.
Now second-up where he has a solid record (1-1-1 from 6 starts), he's well-positioned to improve. His track record at Grafton is respectable with 2 wins from 11 starts, and the significant class drop from his recent racing is a major positive. The middle barrier allows tactical flexibility in a race with expected fast tempo.
With proven wet track credentials (3 wins from 8 starts on heavy), he's well-equipped to handle any deterioration in conditions. The wide barrier is offset by his ability to settle midfield and finish strongly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Next Pay Run | 2 | Andrew Mallyon | A Parramore | 59kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 3 | Change The Date | 9 | Grady Spokes | B D Bellamy | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Intoxel | 1 | Jake Bayliss | A Parramore | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Under The Cap | 3 | Gabrielle Johnston | S Hardy | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Bow | 5 | Jon Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Montgomery | 13 | Ella Drew | Jason Reilly | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Peony | 10 | Cassey Williams | Jason Reilly | 61.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Spills | 8 | Luke Rolls | Wayne S Lawson | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Believe So | 7 | Jasen Watkins | Aiden St Vincent | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Leica Model | 4 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Six Foot Song | 6 | Matthew Palmer | Jake Hull | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Bright The Sun | 12 | Dylan Turner | S B Lee | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Do It For You | 11 | S B Lee | 55kg |
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