Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Tuesday 3 February 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Townsville. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Gone Country brings the strongest credentials with a perfect record from one start at this track and distance on soft going. Adam Sewell maintains the ride with a solid 20% strike rate for the Holt stable. The expected fast tempo is the main concern, but class edge appears significant.
The filly gets a 4kg weight advantage over the top selection today and has proven soft track ability. Fiona Sandkuhl has a solid place strike rate at this track (67%), and the improving pattern suggests further progress is likely. Main danger to the favorite.
Tambo's Sister is an interesting debutant from the in-form Georgie Holt stable. Draws well in barrier 4 to secure a good position in the expected fast-tempo race. The lack of race experience and soft track credentials are the main concerns, but stable confidence appears high.
The gelding gets significant gear changes (cheekers, ear muffs pre-race, tongue tie) which suggests improvement is expected. The engagement of in-form jockey Ron Stewart (35% recent strike rate) is notable, especially given his strong 42% strike rate with trainer Clinton Taylor.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Gone Country | 2 | Adam Sewell | Georgie Holt | 59kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 5 | Scarlena | 5 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Georgie Holt | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 4 | On Location | 3 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Tambo's Sister | 4 | Ryan Wiggins | Georgie Holt | 57kg | $2.20 |
| 5th | 1 | Auchterarder | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Bonnie Thomson | 59kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Nicco Nota Fighter | 4 | Wanderson D'Avila | Matthew McGuire | 59kg |
Molongle Surprise brings compelling credentials with a last-start win and ideal barrier 1 draw. His exceptional track/distance record (8-3-3 from 18 starts) and proven soft track ability (4 wins) are significant advantages. Lacey Morrison (12% strike rate at track) partners again after their last-start success.
Roweiner's Dance brings elite credentials with an exceptional track/distance record (11-2-1 from 18 starts) and impressive second-up statistics (2-1-0). While barrier 7 is a concern given the track bias favoring inside draws, his class and proven ability on soft tracks (5 wins from 11 starts) make him a major contender despite the weight.
Time To Prophet comes off a last-start win just 18 days ago and gets significant weight relief at 52kg. The inside barrier draw (2) is ideal given the track bias, and her record at track/distance (4-1-2 from 11 starts) is solid.
The very fast predicted tempo should suit his running style, and he's proven on soft tracks with 4 wins. While not the most prolific winner, his place strike rate and current form make him an appealing value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Roweiner's Dance | 7 | Gabrielle Semmens | William Kenning | 58kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Molongle Surprise | 1 | Lacey Morrison | Belynda Kliese | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Viburnum | 6 | Olivia Kendal | Ms S Royes | 52.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Lucky Rolla | 3 | Ashvin Goindasamy | A G Malliff | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Family Star | 5 | Ivo Fry | Graham R Hughes | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Stats | 8 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Hand Grenade | 4 | Wanderson D'Avila | Ms J Hassett | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Time To Prophet | 2 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Georgie Holt | 52kg | $4.80 |
Old Gold brings the strongest form credentials with 2 wins from 7 starts and a consistent record at this track and distance (3: 1-1-0). The combination with in-form jockey Ron Stewart (35% recent strike rate) is a significant positive despite the wide draw and top weight.
Burlington Arcade brings intriguing southern form to this race, having placed in stronger maiden company at Bendigo, Sale and Caulfield. First up from a spell but has a solid record when fresh (2: 0-0-1). The son of Justify is untried at this track and distance but has shown enough class to suggest he can measure up. Ryan Wiggins is an experienced jockey at this track (17% strike rate) despite recent quiet form.
Fabulean brings solid provincial form including a recent win at Mackay over 1300m. While untried at this distance, she has shown versatility in her racing pattern and has a win at this track. Sean Cormack is in good form (25% recent strike rate) and has won on this horse before. The wide barrier is a concern, but her class and the jockey booking offset this disadvantage.
Her recent placing at Atherton suggests she's in reasonable form, and the addition of visors for the first time could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Burlington Arcade | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Old Gold | 8 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 60kg | $1.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Fabulean | 9 | Sean Cormack | Jennifer Hatfield | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Mister Tia | 2 | Ivo Fry | Ms L McCormack | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Carohvic | 7 | Graham Kliese | Peter Cullen | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Gold Classic | 6 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Properleigh | 3 | Shane Mc Govern | Scott Seymour | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Nosey Neo | 1 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Joshua Manzelmann | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Standard Gladiator | 4 | Lacey Morrison | S J Royes | 55kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Who Asked Zou | 2 | Joshua Manzelmann | 54kg |
Promising filly who caught the eye with a strong debut third over 1200m. Should relish the step up to 1400m based on her finishing effort last start. The fast tempo predicted will suit her racing pattern, and she gets in well at the weights with 55.5kg. Jockey Lacey Morrison is riding in good form with 3 wins from her last 20 rides.
Lightly-raced gelding who has shown ability with a second and third from just three starts. Gets the perfect draw in barrier 1 which will allow him to take up a forward position. His last start third at this track over 1300m suggests he'll handle the step up to 1400m. Sean Cormack is a strong jockey booking with a 17% strike rate at this track.
Lightly-raced gelding showing gradual improvement with a solid fourth last start. Gets a perfect run from barrier 4 and should appreciate the step up to 1400m based on his finishing efforts. Second-up today which often sees horses make significant improvement.
Gets a significant class drop today after competing in open company last start. Ivo Fry is a positive jockey booking with a 20% recent strike rate. Has shown ability at this track with a second and third from seven starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Vouchers | 11 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | March Madness | 14 | Wanderson D'Avila | Michael Geaney | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Mr Sugar Daddy | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Gareth Smith | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Next Stop Jupiter | 12 | Lacey Morrison | Clinton Taylor | 55.5kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 2 | Smokin Reels | 1 | Sean Cormack | R J Miller | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 12 | Miss Comaneci | 6 | Adam Sewell | Lachie Manzelmann | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Airwaves | 13 | Aidan Holt | Matthew McGuire | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Mr Oreo | 15 | Olivia Kendal | F J Wieland | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 3 | The General Talks | 9 | Amanda Thomson | Bonnie Thomson | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Bush Etiquette | 7 | Graham Kliese | Maria Potiris | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Notforthemoney | 16 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 12th | 11 | Just For Love | 5 | Denicious Smith | Terry McGovern | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| 13th | 9 | Red City Sun | 2 | Ivo Fry | Matthew McGuire | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 14 | I Swim I Win | 10 | Ashvin Goindasamy | Megan Purvis | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Streamelot | 8 | Gabrielle Semmens | D K Amos | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Volare | 3 | Graham Kliese | Troy Clive | 56.5kg |
Chance is the clear standout after winning impressively over this track and distance last start. The 3yo gelding is on an upward trajectory with strong recent form including a win and second placing in his last two starts. Has proven soft track credentials (1-1-2 from 5 starts) and carries a manageable 57kg. D'Avila maintains the ride after their successful last-start partnership.
Bitter Spirit brings strong credentials as a class dropper with consistent form (2-3-2 from 8 starts). The 3yo gelding has been racing in stronger company and gets the services of in-form jockey Ron Stewart (35% recent strike rate). Barrier 1 is advantageous for this track configuration, and his soft track record (0-2-1 from 4) suggests he'll handle conditions. First attempt at the mile is the query.
Belmont Park finished a close second over this track and distance last start and drops in class for this assignment. The 4yo gelding has drawn well in barrier 3 and gets the services of in-form jockey Sean Cormack (25% recent strike rate). His record at the track (1-2-0 from 9 starts) and over the distance (1-1-0 from 7 starts) suggests suitability, though his soft track record is a concern.
Khamis represents excellent value after finishing a close second in higher grade last start. The 4yo mare gets significant weight relief with just 54.5kg and has drawn well in barrier 2. Her form is trending upward with a second placing in a BM65 last start. While her win record is modest (1 from 17), she's finding form at the right time and should appreciate the fast tempo predicted for this race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Whirlwind | 8 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Matthew McGuire | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Bitter Spirit | 1 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 60.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Mooloolaba | 7 | Ryan Wiggins | Georgie Holt | 62.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Belmont Park | 3 | Sean Cormack | Terry McGovern | 59.5kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 11 | Khamis | 2 | Olivia Kendal | Troy Clive | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Chance | 4 | Wanderson D'Avila | D K Amos | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Zouhope | 6 | Tasha Chambers | Ms S Royes | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Looming One | 12 | Aidan Holt | Rhein Sewell | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Look At Rosa | 5 | Amanda Thomson | Bonnie Thomson | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Store Beach | 9 | Ashvin Goindasamy | Leslie Gordy | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Chaparral Chase | 11 | Adam Sewell | Joshua Manzelmann | 60kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Brand New | 10 | Lacey Morrison | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 57kg |
Pride Of Venus brings a perfect Townsville record and strong first-up statistics to this race. The inside draw is ideal for Townsville's 1200m start, and she should get a perfect run in transit. Sean Cormack's booking is significant, with a 23% strike rate for this stable. The class rise is offset by weight relief and barrier advantage.
Henry's Blade is well-placed from the inside barrier with Ron Stewart aboard. His soft track credentials (10:2-3-2) are ideal for today's conditions, and the Stewart/Taylor combination boasts an impressive 42% strike rate. While carrying top weight is a concern, his strong record at the distance (5:1-2-0) and consistent overall performance (16:4-3-2) suggest he'll be right in the finish. The very fast tempo should suit his racing pattern.
Russian Summer comes off an impressive win at this track over the same distance just 18 days ago. The Lacey Morrison partnership is significant with 2 wins from 5 rides (40%). His excellent record at the distance (9:3-3-0) and track (2:1-0-1) compensate for the wide barrier. The class rise is the main concern, but his current form suggests he can be competitive.
Lauren Guernier has won on him before (1 from 3 rides), and his overall consistency (30:5-9-6) suggests he'll be competitive despite the class rise. The barrier is a concern, but he has the tactical speed to overcome it.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Pride Of Venus | 2 | Sean Cormack | Clinton Taylor | 56.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Henry's Blade | 1 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 61.5kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Yamabushi | 8 | Lauren Guernier | F J Wieland | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Russian Summer | 10 | Lacey Morrison | S J Royes | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Cole's Best | 6 | Aidan Holt | Rhein Sewell | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Mission Ridge | 3 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Michael Geaney | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Singular | 9 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Pennypacker | 7 | Tasha Chambers | Ms S Royes | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Savvy Thinker | 4 | Nathan Thomas | G W Dickson | 54kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Ilzoomya | 5 | Amanda Thomson | Ms S Royes | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | No Love Lost | 9 | Bonnie Thomson | 54.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Kahaylaan | 11 | Joshua Manzelmann | 54kg |
Progressive 3YO filly who won impressively at this track and distance last start. Has shown remarkable improvement with 3 wins from her last 5 starts. The significant class rise is the main query, but she appears to have the talent to handle it. Ron Stewart maintains the ride after their last-start success and boasts an impressive 42% strike rate with trainer Clinton Taylor.
Consistent mare dropping significantly in class after racing in stronger company. Has placed in 3 of her last 5 starts and boasts an excellent record on soft tracks (3-2-3 from 11). Draws perfectly in barrier 3 which is advantageous at Townsville. Ryan Wiggins is struggling for winners recently but has a solid 17% strike rate at this track. The class drop makes her a genuine winning chance.
Talented gelding resuming from a spell with a strong first-up record (1-1-0 from 2 starts). Has a good win strike rate of 29% and has won at this track previously. The removal of blinkers and winkers suggests connections are looking to help him settle better. Barrier 13 is a concern, but he has the tactical speed to overcome it. Nathan Thomas knows the horse well with 1 win from 7 rides on him.
Lightly-raced gelding with just 6 career starts who has shown ability with a win and a placing. The significant class rise is a concern, but he appears to have untapped potential. Jockey Lacey Morrison is in good form with a 15% strike rate from her last 20 rides and has a 20% strike rate with trainer Joshua Manzelmann.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Kobayastar | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | Matthew McGuire | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Unifies | 5 | Lacey Morrison | Joshua Manzelmann | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | No Love Lost | 6 | Adam Sewell | Bonnie Thomson | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Silver City | 11 | Aidan Holt | Megan Purvis | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Winning Saga | 2 | Graham Kliese | Belynda Kliese | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 6 | The Honey Badger | 13 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Gold Sluice | 7 | Sean Cormack | Graham R Hughes | 54.5kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 9 | To Love Somebody | 1 | Peta Edwards | Ms M Young | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Let's Ride | 9 | Olivia Kendal | Graham R Hughes | 52.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Betta Al | 15 | Amanda Thomson | A R Bailey | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Heart 'n' Power | 12 | Ron Stewart | Clinton Taylor | 56kg | $1.85 |
| 12th | 3 | Room For Squares | 8 | Ivo Fry | Jason Babarovich | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Flashbang | 14 | Wanderson D'Avila | D K Amos | 58kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Majestic Blaze | 10 | Ashvin Goindasamy | A G Malliff | 54kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Craicaro | 4 | Tasha Chambers | Peter Cullen | 54kg |
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