Keadool tops form assessment with 4 wins from 14 starts, including two recent 1000m victories at Dubbo/Wellington. Zoe Hunt's 23% strike rate with horse adds edge. Consistent recent form (6138334114) and good track record outweigh no local experience.
Australian Capital Territory · Friday 6 February 2026
Canberra tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Canberra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Maree Van Arkel Real Estate (Bm65)
Vainstream's barrier 2 is gold on Canberra sprint chute with inside bias favouring leaders (33% positional win rate). Recent form solid: Gundagai win, Queanbey 2nd, Wagga 3rd. Extensive 1000m experience (45 starts) suits very fast tempo. Veteran reliability edges first-uppers despite age/no local wins.
Impressive Canberra record: 2 wins from 3 at track/distance. Ultra-fresh (5 days since run), regular racing suits. Class rise concern but finishing strength/form patterns (4617111775) suggest upside. Barrier 7 workable on fair chute start.
Solid 1000m record (3-2-2), good track form (3-2-3 from 11). Gear changes (plates off) could sharpen.
- 1st3KeadoolZoe Hunt$5.00
- 2nd6Spirits Burn DeepBilly Owen$5.00
- 3rd5DitterichBlaike Mc Dougall$6.00
- 4th2Violet And BlueElla Bent$9.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Keadool | 4 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Spirits Burn Deep | 9 | Billy Owen | N J Osborne | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Ditterich | 8 | Blaike Mc Dougall | A D Bourke | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Violet And Blue | 5 | Ella Bent | Kathryn Cahill | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Giza | 1 | Jess Taylor | T J Wilson | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Aegipan | 7 | Shaun Guymer | Pat Murphy | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Vainstream | 2 | Teaghan Martin | Geoffrey Crothers | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Rubi Air | 3 | Coriah Keatings | Anthony Warren | 61kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Unravel | 6 | Deon Le Roux | Matthew Kelley | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
Ray Irwin Memorial Hcp
Consistent class level, high track/distance suitability. Fast tempo suits strong finisher. Barrier 9 manageable at fair Canberra 1000m chute start.
Light weight advantage in compressed scale, recent fitness edge over unraced. Fast tempo may suit if improves from ordinary debut. Barrier 8 slight negative but Canberra fairness mitigates.
Elite connections (Waterhouse/Bott, Costin hot locally) and light weight provide appeal, but pure form framework prioritises horses with evidence. Still place chance.
Light weight, hot jockey Ford (25% recent), Pepper trainer. Fast tempo may suit midfield settling at fair Canberra sprint.
- 1st1Music TimePierre Boudvillain$5.50
- 2nd7La StiavaJess Taylor$3.10
- 3rd10TrapeazyAlysha Collett$9.00
- 4th5Bascilica BabeJay Ford$3.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Music Time | 9 | Pierre Boudvillain | G P Vella | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | La Stiava | 8 | Jess Taylor | N F Gardner | 55kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 10 | Trapeazy | 6 | Alysha Collett | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Bascilica Babe | 5 | Jay Ford | Luke Pepper | 55kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Union | 2 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Sloopy Girl | 4 | Zac Wadick | K P Weir | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Flywire | 1 | Coriah Keatings | Matthew Kelley | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Nikita Zou | 3 | Shaun Guymer | Luke Pepper | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Agrarian Girl | 7 | Winona Costin | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Helldeeva | 9 | Peter Snowden | 55kg |
Happy Birthday Macca (Bm60)
Improving trend, light weight, and Canberra win (1:1-0-0) suit fair 1600m mile start.
Midfield settling suits predicted fast tempo on fair track. Recent Canberra 2000m 2nds show stamina; good track affinity (11:1-3-2). Lacks elite speed but reliability edges lightly raced rivals.
Ferrari Man leads pure form with dominant 1600m stats (24:6-4-2), barrier 1 ideal for likely leader role on Canberra's fair mile start with weak leader bias (33% win). Class drop to BM60, recent placings (Parkes 4th, Orange 2nd), and track experience (6:1-0-1) strong. Fast tempo may pressure but history carrying 61kg solid.
- 1st2Dolce DiorTom Sherry$3.50
- 2nd3Flashy IconDamon Budler$4.20
- 3rd9GeostormPierre Boudvillain$5.00
- 4th4Ever WasBlaike Mc Dougall$21.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Dolce Dior | 3 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 60kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Flashy Icon | 5 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 60kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 9 | Geostorm | 7 | Pierre Boudvillain | Greg Stephens | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Ever Was | 4 | Blaike Mc Dougall | J A Steinmetz | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Tjaka | 9 | Dale Cole | D A Williams | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Snap Decision | 8 | Nick Heywood | Matthew Dale | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Sir Tua | 2 | Teaque Gould | Richard & Will Freedman | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Ferrari Man | 1 | Jessica Brookes | A D Bourke | 61kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Chebici | 6 | Coriah Keatings | Matthew Kelley | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
Mane Lodge Spelling & Transport Mdn Hcp
Matthew Smith's preparation trumps limited experience. Lightly raced upside in maiden.
Fast tempo favours midfield sit on galloping track.
Good track record (3:0-1-1) suits conditions, fast tempo aids late finish.
Class drop from Sandown/Open racing, improving filly suits 1400m stretch.
- 1st8Listen SweetheartMolly Bourke$3.20
- 2nd3Colorado SunNick Heywood$6.00
- 3rd6Fierce CriticPierre Boudvillain$2.90
- 4th2Master Of WarAdam Farragher$3.70
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Listen Sweetheart | 2 | Molly Bourke | J G Sargent | 56.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 3 | Colorado Sun | 7 | Nick Heywood | K Dryden & L Snowden | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Fierce Critic | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Master Of War | 4 | Adam Farragher | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 7 | Inna Zou | 5 | Jack Martin | N F Gardner | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 10 | The Bus | 6 | Jay Ford | Luke Pepper | 56kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Fair Master | 9 | Billy Owen | Doug Gorrel | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Aerostern Bro | 8 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | J M Austin | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Bellarata | 10 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Splendid Magnus | 11 | Shaun Guymer | Natalie Jarvis | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Yindyamarra | 1 | Robyn Freeman | Anthony Warren | 55.5kg |
Potter Personal Training Plate (C1)
Consistent placings (43324) show reliability, barrier 2 ideal for Canberra staying start. Fast tempo suits strong finisher from good draw. Jay Ford in career-best form. Lightly raced 3yo with clear progression to this distance despite class rise.
50% place rate, leader per speed map suits Canberra's weak leader bias (33% win rate). Wide draw concern but tempo favors early speed.
Forward runner suits fast tempo and Canberra leader bias. Good track record on Good (6 starts), barrier perfect for staying start. Nice each-way chance.
Significant class drop from metro maiden win, lightly raced Zoustar with upside to staying trip. Midfield map suits galloping Canberra straight.
- 1st2Doc MarchJeff Penza$4.00
- 2nd11StormzinoJess Taylor$16.00
- 3rd5Hard GruntJessica Brookes$12.00
- 4th12Sweet TwilightJay Ford$1.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Doc March | 10 | Jeff Penza | G J Colvin | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Stormzino | 7 | Jess Taylor | G Portelli | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Hard Grunt | 12 | Jessica Brookes | G P Vella | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Sweet Twilight | 2 | Jay Ford | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | $1.50 |
| 5th | 3 | The Favorite Son | 13 | Nick Heywood | J W Scobie | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Harlem Tickle | 6 | Dale Cole | Scott Collings | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Vogelle | 9 | Carly Frater | T P Donnelly | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Share Our Secret | 3 | Ellen Hennessy | T J Wilson | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Delago Serg | 11 | Molly Bourke | P J Facoory | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Libertarian | 4 | Zac Wadick | J M Cleary | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Torpedo Ted | 8 | Pierre Boudvillain | T & P Vigouroux | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Aristocrat | 5 | Alysha Collett | Matthew Kelley | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Doppio | 1 | Josh Richards | Doug Gorrel | 55kg |
Potter Racing Mdn Plate
Very fast tempo favors strong finishers like her over leaders. Top win pick.
Wild Romeo debuts impressively with strong 2nd at Albury carrying 58kg, high performance metrics for track/weight/condition, and in-form jockey Nick Heywood (track strike 14%). Only 1 start but shows finishing strength suited to very fast tempo and Canberra's galloping nature. Barrier 12 neutral in fair chute start. Solid place chance behind Deeply.
Barrier 6 ideal for midfield in fast tempo race favoring closers at Canberra 1200m. Form not standout (866x) but raw speed edges others.
O'Shea stable adds class edge in maiden. Strong each-way value.
- 1st10Divine SecretsAndrew Adkins$3.70
- 2nd17Pappa Blue$6.50
- 3rd13Red Light RachelAmy Mc Lucas$15.00
- 4th14RedolentAlysha Collett$11.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Divine Secrets | 6 | Andrew Adkins | Peter Snowden | 56.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 17 | Pappa Blue | 8 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg | $6.50 | |
| 3rd | 13 | Red Light Rachel | 11 | Amy Mc Lucas | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Redolent | 2 | Alysha Collett | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Wild Romeo | 12 | Nick Heywood | Luke Pepper | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Wave Dancer | 4 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Mark Of Glory | 3 | Lee Magorrian | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Deeply | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | G P Vella | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Suspicious Time | 14 | Molly Bourke | D J Rolfe | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Zoufection | 5 | Jess Taylor | Joseph Ible | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Not So Wrong | 9 | Shaun Guymer | Richard & Will Freedman | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 16 | Eclater | 7 | Damon Budler | Anthony Warren | 59kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Deluce | 17 | Will Price | C Maher | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Sir William | 16 | G Portelli | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Aerial Blaze | 10 | Jay Ford | Luke Pepper | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Rambova | 13 | Jace McMurray | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Dubliners | 18 | Olivia Chambers | J M Austin | 59kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Endless Applause | 15 | Coriah Keatings | Anthony Warren | 57kg |
TAB Federal Hcp
Second up stats solid, barrier 3 ideal for likely leader in very fast tempo on fair Canberra 1300m chute start.
Good track record strong (14:4-3-1), barrier 2 helps settle midfield. Clear top-3 chance.
Mosgold brings recent class (Parkes BM82 win) and perfect track/distance record (1:1-0-0). Barrier 14 aligns with rare outside bias (100% win rate), Good track strong (12:4-2-1).
Progressive 4yo (6:2-1-1), Good track suits (5:2-1-1). Wide draw offset by bias; fast tempo aids late closer in deep Open despite class rise.
- 1st15Craving Magic$9.50
- 2nd7KeikokuJack Martin$19.00
- 3rd9Chasing A QuidJay Ford$14.00
- 4th6TavoloDamon Budler$15.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 15 | Craving Magic | 5 | Rob Potter | 58kg | $9.50 | |
| 2nd | 7 | Keikoku | 2 | Jack Martin | Luke Pepper | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Chasing A Quid | 12 | Jay Ford | G P Vella | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Tavolo | 9 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Love Shuck | 6 | Billy Owen | Todd Smart | 61kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Mosgold | 14 | Adrian Layt | Tash Burleigh | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 4 | County Kilkenny | 11 | Carly Frater | T P Donnelly | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Xcessive Force | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Danielle Seib | 55kg | $1.40 |
| 9th | 5 | Toes In The Water | 10 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Onya Lional | 7 | Jeff Penza | G P Vella | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | King Gutho | 4 | Alysha Collett | J M Cleary | 61kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Bavette | 15 | Shaun Guymer | Matthew Kelley | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Ghost Walker | 13 | Danielle Seib | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Luna Angel | 8 | Teaghan Martin | Geoffrey Crothers | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | You're On Mute | 1 | Geoffrey Crothers | 55kg |
Mike Cramsie Memorial Hcp (C1)
Good track record (3:1-0-2) ideal for Good 4. First up stats (1:0-0-1) positive, Archibald stable excels fresh. Very fast tempo suits midfield finishers on fair Canberra 1300m chute.
Second up stats (1:0-0-1) align with prep pattern. Distance record (6:1-2-1) and track affinity (2:1-0-0 T/D) major edges in fair back chute start.
Dropping class from BM64 suits; good track record (7:1-0-3) reliable. Very fast tempo tests but backmarker map fits Canberra's fair galloping nature. Solid place claims despite wide draw in outside-favoured bias.
Pepper/Heywood combo reliable provincially; track placegetter suits Good 4. Fast tempo risks back position but Pepper preps often peak late prep.
- 1st6Party BossJeff Penza$8.50
- 2nd15Bulla VinakaTeaghan Martin$7.50
- 3rd1Falcon LairAlysha Collett$2.50
- 4th11Showtime MaggiePierre Boudvillain$8.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Party Boss | 6 | Jeff Penza | G J Colvin | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 15 | Bulla Vinaka | 12 | Teaghan Martin | Geoffrey Crothers | 53.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Falcon Lair | 9 | Alysha Collett | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Showtime Maggie | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | K Dryden & L Snowden | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Wolf Island | 7 | Jack Martin | N F Gardner | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Shoreman | 1 | Blaike Mc Dougall | K Dryden & L Snowden | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Bon Elton | 8 | Robyn Freeman | G M Brown | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Crusader Razor | 3 | Jess Taylor | Nikki Hodgson | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Mctominay | 10 | Nick Heywood | Luke Pepper | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Madame Fiocca | 2 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Yes Siree | 14 | Claire Lever | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Cordina | 15 | Adam Farragher | C Maher | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Brickee | 13 | Brendan Ward | D J O'Prey | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Sunroe | 4 | Josh Richards | Doug Gorrel | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Vinari | 11 | N J Olive | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
Get every tip before the jump
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.