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Victoria · Saturday 14 February 2026

Flemington tips and results

Our top pick won 4 of 10 races at Flemington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won4/1040%
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R1

TAB Talindert Stakes

12:05 local1100mListedOpen$175,000
Winner4. Hard KickSP $3.00
★ Top pick2nd
1Zambales

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.30 · Daniel Stackhouse

The tongue tie addition first time suggests connections expect improvement, and the Stackhouse/Freedman combination has a strong 20% strike rate.

2nd pick3rd
3Diameter

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Jye McNeil

The Waller stable excels with quality horses, and previous Flemington experience is valuable. However, the 102-day spell and poor wet track record create some uncertainty about immediate fitness and track condition suitability.

3rd pickWon
4Hard Kick

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.00 · Damian Lane

Hard Kick represents the Hayes stable's debut runner with quality jockey Damian Lane aboard and an ideal barrier 4. The first-time gear additions (ear muffs and lugging bit) suggest the stable has the horse ready to perform. Lane's 13% Flemington strike rate and the stable's reputation with young horses provide confidence despite the lack of form data.

Value pick6th
2Stellar Cipher

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Ben Melham

  1. 1st4Hard KickDamian Lane$3.00
  2. 2nd1ZambalesDaniel Stackhouse$2.30
  3. 3rd3DiameterJye McNeil$13.00
  4. 4th7Grinzinger HeartMichael Dee$26.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Hard Kick4Damian LaneBen, Will & Jd Hayes57kg$3.00
2nd1Zambales6Daniel StackhouseA & S Freedman57kg$2.30
3rd3Diameter5Jye McNeilC J Waller57kg$13.00
4th7Grinzinger Heart2Michael DeeBen Brisbourne55kg$26.00
5th6Autumn Lover1Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55kg$14.00
6th2Stellar Cipher7Ben MelhamC J Waller57kg$17.00
7th5Shah Jahan3Ethan BrownC Maher57kg$5.50
R2

TAB We''re On (Bm78)

12:35 local2000mBenchmark 78$80,000
Winner10. TarvueSP $14.00
★ Top pick2nd
6Fiorenot

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.10 · Jordan Childs

Fiorenot stands out with a perfect Flemington record and excellent recent form. The Tom Dabernig-trained gelding has won his last two starts and the Jordan Childs partnership has been highly successful.

2nd pick14th
8Taka Speed

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Ethan Brown

The lightly-raced gelding has shown consistent improvement and strong finishing ability. The wide barrier and distance query are concerns, but his class and current trajectory suggest he can overcome these obstacles.

3rd pick6th
11Trapalanda

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.50 · Ryan Houston

The inside barrier draw suits his racing pattern and recent form suggests continued improvement.

Value pick12th
9Otago

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Beau Mertens

The distance is untested but his breeding and recent form indicate he should handle the trip in this competitive field.

  1. 1st10TarvueLuke Cartwright$14.00
  2. 2nd6FiorenotJordan Childs$3.10
  3. 3rd14Georgie Get MadDaniel Stackhouse$21.00
  4. 4th15SeafallLuke Currie$26.00
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Tarvue5Luke CartwrightJ D Sadler54.5kg$14.00
2nd6Fiorenot9Jordan ChildsTom Dabernig59.5kg$3.10
3rd14Georgie Get Mad11Daniel StackhouseDenis Pagan56kg$21.00
4th15Seafall7Luke CurrieBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$26.00
5th12Unseen Ruler1Dean YendallM J Williams56.5kg$41.00
6th5Sunsets4Jackson RadleyBen, Will & Jd Hayes57kg$8.00
6th11Trapalanda3Ryan HoustonAnnabel & Rob Archibald54.5kg$8.50
8th3My Brothers Keeper10Harry CoffeyS V Brown61kg$21.00
9th1Chasing Aphrodite6Damian LaneHenry Dwyer61.5kg$26.00
10th16Balinor14Michael DeeAnnabel & Rob Archibald53.5kg$201.00
11th4Flamin' Romans2Logan BatesC Maher58.5kg$15.00
12th9Otago8Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr56.5kg$21.00
13th13Extreme Virtue13Luke NolenBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$21.00
14th8Taka Speed12Ethan BrownM M Laurie58.5kg$4.60
Scr2Night Endeavor13Emily PozmanC Maher58.5kg
Scr7Double Cherry10Thomas StockdaleAnnabel & Rob Archibald58.5kg
R3

Desirable Stakes

13:10 local1400mListedOpen$175,000
Winner2. Sass AppealSP $1.95
★ Top pickWon
2Sass Appeal

Our price $1.80 · SP $1.95 · Damian Lane

Her perfect 2-2 record at 1400m and proven ability at Flemington provide confidence despite the class rise. The recent BM70 win showcased impressive acceleration and the inside barrier suits her racing pattern.

2nd pick2nd
1Ole Dancer

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.70 · Luke Nolen

Ole Dancer brings superior class having won at Group 1 level and drops significantly in grade. Her perfect first up record (2-2) provides confidence despite the lengthy spell. The wide barrier and top weight are concerns, but her class edge and proven fresh ability make her a major threat.

3rd pick6th
4Sky Watcher

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Logan Bates

Sky Watcher represents excellent value with perfect 1400m form and recent improvement. Her Sandown win showed genuine acceleration and the distance suits perfectly.

Value pick4th
3Custom

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Jamie Melham

Custom offers value as a second up runner with Listed race experience. Her Moonee Valley placing demonstrates ability at this level, and the Maher/Melham combination is proven. The recent Group 3 run at Caulfield shows she belongs at this level despite the mixed form pattern.

  1. 1st2Sass AppealDamian Lane$1.95
  2. 2nd1Ole DancerLuke Nolen$2.70
  3. 3rd6CelibateDean Yendall$41.00
  4. 4th3CustomJamie Melham$5.50
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Sass Appeal1Damian LaneD T O'Brien56kg$1.95
2nd1Ole Dancer6Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman59.5kg$2.70
3rd6Celibate3Dean YendallM J Williams55kg$41.00
4th3Custom2Jamie MelhamC Maher55kg$5.50
5th5Next Jen4Jamie MottAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg$21.00
6th4Sky Watcher5Logan BatesJack Laing55kg$26.00
Scr7Privateer4Ben MelhamM Price & M Kent Jnr55kg
R4

Vobis Gold Prelude (Qc)

13:45 local1100mOpen$200,000
Winner3. Perilous FighterSP $8.50
★ Top pick5th
7Mystic Reign

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.00 · Michael Dee

Mystic Reign presents outstanding value as the form pick. Barrier 4 is ideal for the straight course, and gear changes often signal improvement.

2nd pick3rd
2Immortal Star

Our price $3.20 · SP $1.95 · Logan Bates

Immortal Star brings current winning form with two victories from her last three starts. The inside barrier is crucial on the straight course, and Logan Bates has a perfect record on the mare. First-time winkers could provide the edge needed at this level.

3rd pick6th
8Mr Magnus

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Jamie Melham

His recent form shows improvement with consistent placings, and the 54kg weight is favorable. Jamie Melham's strong Flemington record (19% strike rate) adds confidence.

Value pickWon
3Perilous Fighter

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Luke Cartwright

His recent Terang win demonstrates current form, and his 1100m record is respectable.

  1. 1st3Perilous FighterLuke Cartwright$8.50
  2. 2nd9JakivyBeau Mertens$12.00
  3. 3rd2Immortal StarLogan Bates$1.95
  4. 4th5Tango JewelJackson Radley$3.90
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Perilous Fighter2Luke CartwrightClayton Douglas55.5kg$8.50
2nd9Jakivy5Beau MertensKasey Besanko54kg$12.00
3rd2Immortal Star1Logan BatesC Maher56.5kg$1.95
4th5Tango Jewel4Jackson RadleyJamie Edwards51kg$3.90
5th7Mystic Reign3Michael DeeG M Begg54kg$9.00
6th8Mr Magnus6Jamie MelhamR D Griffiths54kg$14.00
7th10Nostra Bella8Craig NewittKarlene Tindale54kg$201.00
8th4Umgawa7Ryan HoustonMelissa Page54kg$26.00
Scr1Photograph7Luke CurrieBen, Will & Jd Hayes59kg
Scr6Jennyanydots1Jye McNeilMitchell Freedman54kg
R5

The Schweppes (Bm90)

14:20 local1200mBenchmark 90$150,000
Winner4. NdolaSP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
4Ndola

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.40 · Luke Currie

The class drop from recent BM84 races to BM90 suits, and his Flemington record shows consistent performance at this venue.

2nd pick2nd
7Rue De Royale

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.40 · Jamie Melham

The low weight allocation suggests even connections have reservations about his chances at this level.

3rd pick6th
8Fission

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Luke Cartwright

Value pick9th
3Extratwo

Our price $6.50 · SP $21.00 · Logan Bates

Extratwo represents excellent value dropping from Group company to BM90 level. Her recent Group 2 placing demonstrates she possesses the class to handle this field, while the significant grade drop and barrier 1 draw provide tactical advantages.

  1. 1st4NdolaLuke Currie$4.40
  2. 2nd7Rue De RoyaleJamie Melham$2.40
  3. 3rd9BehaviourJackson Radley$11.00
  4. 4th5Great MaximusDamian Lane$4.60
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Ndola5Luke CurrieBen, Will & Jd Hayes59.5kg$4.40
2nd7Rue De Royale2Jamie MelhamT & C McEvoy55kg$2.40
3rd9Behaviour7Jackson RadleyGavin Bedggood51kg$11.00
4th5Great Maximus8Damian LaneR & C Jolly57kg$4.60
5th6Modown9Celine GaudrayCharlotte Littlefield56kg$26.00
6th8Fission4Luke CartwrightR D Griffiths52kg$9.00
7th1Pounding3Emily PozmanP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58.5kg$71.00
8th2Highlights6Daniel StackhouseNick Ryan60kg$101.00
9th3Extratwo1Logan BatesC Maher57.5kg$21.00
R6

Be Captivated Trophy

14:55 local2500mOpen$150,000
Winner1. Berkeley SquareSP $11.00
★ Top pick4th
2Saint George

Our price $2.40 · SP $2.25 · Logan Bates

The step to 2500m appears within scope given strong performances at similar distances, and his excellent weight-carrying record provides confidence.

2nd pick9th
3Newfoundland

Our price $4.80 · SP $9.50 · Luke Cartwright

Newfoundland brings impressive staying credentials including a Group 2 placing at 3200m and arrives off a convincing Listed win. His proven ability at extreme distances and light weight of 55kg provide significant advantages. The class rise is substantial but his staying pedigree and recent improvement suggest he can handle the step up.

3rd pickWon
1Berkeley Square

Our price $8.50 · SP $11.00 · Luke Nolen

Berkeley Square offers strong each-way value with an excellent Flemington record and proven ability at staying distances. The top weight is a concern but his class and track experience make him a genuine chance.

Value pick8th
9Stylish Secret

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Ryan Houston

The light weight of 52kg provides a significant advantage, and his improvement trajectory suggests he can handle the class rise.

  1. 1st1Berkeley SquareLuke Nolen$11.00
  2. 2nd6GarachicoDaniel Stackhouse$26.00
  3. 3rd11Steel RunMichael Dee$19.00
  4. 4th2Saint GeorgeLogan Bates$2.25
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Berkeley Square7Luke NolenDan O'Sullivan61.5kg$11.00
2nd6Garachico1Daniel StackhouseDominic Sutton54kg$26.00
3rd11Steel Run8Michael DeeM C Kent54kg$19.00
4th2Saint George6Logan BatesC Maher59kg$2.25
5th10Dictionary5Teodore NugentJ F Moloney54kg$51.00
6th7Jenni's Meadow4Patrick MoloneyM W Walker54kg$12.00
7th8Paradise Storm10Harry CoffeyHenry Dwyer54kg$26.00
8th9Stylish Secret9Ryan HoustonMick Nolan52kg$6.50
9th3Newfoundland2Luke CartwrightG Waterhouse & A Bott55kg$9.50
10th4Scary3Jye McNeilE & D Browne55.5kg$6.50
Scr5Ardakan11Celine GaudrayC Maher54kg
R7

The Elms Hcp

15:30 local1400mListedOpen$175,000
Winner2. Cafe MilleniumSP $4.60
★ Top pick2nd
5Sabaj

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.10 · Beau Mertens

Sabaj brings an impressive strike rate and first-up ability to this assignment. The inside barrier is crucial at Flemington, and his consistent winning pattern suggests he can handle the step up. However, the significant class rise and lack of Group race exposure creates some uncertainty.

2nd pick6th
6Matcha Latte

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Damian Lane

Matcha Latte offers proven Group race credentials and recent form validation with his Listed third. The Damian Lane booking signals stable confidence, and his versatility across conditions is valuable. The wide draw is concerning but his class edge keeps him competitive.

3rd pickScratched
8Justadeel

Our price $3.20 · Jamie Melham

His recent Listed third shows he's competitive at this level, and the light weight of 54kg provides a significant advantage. The Hayes stable has him primed for a breakthrough performance in Group company.

Value pick3rd
7Enxuto

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.50 · Patrick Moloney

The gear change and Moloney booking suggest stable confidence, while his Listed form provides a class foundation.

  1. 1st2Cafe MilleniumCeline Gaudray$4.60
  2. 2nd5SabajBeau Mertens$3.10
  3. 3rd7EnxutoPatrick Moloney$8.50
  4. 4th1BirdmanBen Melham$13.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Cafe Millenium6Celine GaudrayBen, Will & Jd Hayes59.5kg$4.60
2nd5Sabaj1Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr57kg$3.10
3rd7Enxuto7Patrick MoloneyR D Griffiths56kg$8.50
4th1Birdman2Ben MelhamC J Waller60kg$13.00
5th9Scheelite4Craig NewittK & K Keys54kg$14.00
6th6Matcha Latte8Damian LaneNacim Dilmi56.5kg$4.20
7th3Arran Bay5Thomas StockdaleP Stokes57.5kg$21.00
8th4Aztec Ruler3Harry CoffeyS V Vahala57.5kg$12.00
Scr8Justadeel5Jamie MelhamBen, Will & Jd Hayes54kg
R8

Black Caviar Lightning

16:10 local1000mGroup 1Open$1,000,000
Winner4. TentyrisSP $2.60
★ Top pickWon
4Tentyris

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.60 · Damian Lane

Perfect good track record and strong first-up statistics make him the form standout despite the wide draw.

2nd pick5th
1Giga Kick

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.50 · Ethan Brown

Giga Kick brings proven Group 1 class and has won at this exact track and distance. His first-up record is strong and the good barrier helps. However, the long spell and jockey change from Zahra raise minor concerns about current condition.

3rd pick4th
2Baraqiel

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Ben Allen

Baraqiel's perfect first-up record and recent Group 1 win at 1000m make him a strong contender. The good barrier and proven Allen/horse combination add appeal.

Value pick2nd
7My Gladiola

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Jamie Mott

Her 1000m win and good first-up record provide confidence. The wide barrier is a concern but her class and speed make her a strong value play.

  1. 1st4TentyrisDamian Lane$2.60
  2. 2nd7My GladiolaJamie Mott$7.00
  3. 3rd3BenedettaJamie Melham$26.00
  4. 4th2BaraqielBen Allen$8.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Tentyris7Damian LaneA & S Freedman55.5kg$2.60
2nd7My Gladiola8Jamie MottJohn McArdle53.5kg$7.00
3rd3Benedetta1Jamie MelhamC Maher56.5kg$26.00
4th2Baraqiel5Ben AllenL & T Corstens & W Larkin58.5kg$8.50
5th1Giga Kick6Ethan BrownClayton Douglas58.5kg$3.50
6th6Marhoona4Michael DeeMichael Freedman53.5kg$18.00
7th8Military Tycoon2Harry CoffeyC Maher53.5kg$51.00
8th5Beiwacht3Ben MelhamC J Waller55.5kg$9.00
R9

CS Hayes Stakes

16:50 local1400mGroup 3Open$200,000
Winner2. SixtiesSP $1.60
★ Top pickWon
2Sixties

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.60 · Damian Lane

The wet track conditions suit perfectly given his strong record on rain-affected surfaces. Despite the wide barrier, his class and current form trajectory make him the standout selection.

2nd pick6th
1West Of Swindon

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.50 · Thomas Stockdale

His first-up record is solid with two placings from three attempts, and the removal of winkers suggests trainer confidence.

3rd pick2nd
9Asakura

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Dean Yendall

Asakura brings excellent recent form with two wins from his last three starts, including an impressive last-start victory. The Freedman-Yendall combination strikes at 18%, well above average.

Value pick10th
10Loud Charlie

Our price $15.00 · SP $26.00 · Jamie Mott

The wide barrier is a concern, but his early speed should help overcome it.

  1. 1st2SixtiesDamian Lane$1.60
  2. 2nd9AsakuraDean Yendall$5.50
  3. 3rd12Beyond QuestionHarry Coffey$31.00
  4. 4th6Romantic EncounterDaniel Stackhouse$15.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Sixties9Damian LaneC J Waller58.5kg$1.60
2nd9Asakura6Dean YendallMitchell Freedman56kg$5.50
3rd12Beyond Question2Harry CoffeyP Kearney56kg$31.00
4th6Romantic Encounter3Daniel StackhouseBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$15.00
5th5Officiate4Ben MelhamC J Waller56kg$51.00
6th1West Of Swindon7Thomas StockdaleC Maher58.5kg$7.50
7th8Express Class8Patrick MoloneyG M Moloney56kg$21.00
8th11Wetumpka1Ben AllenPeter Gelagotis56kg$31.00
9th4Bingi11Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$91.00
10th10Loud Charlie10Jamie MottLloyd Kennewell56kg$26.00
11th13Earthing5Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman56kg$81.00
Scr3Space Rider2Ethan BrownM Price & M Kent Jnr58.5kg
Scr7Pictor7Jamie MelhamC J Waller56kg
R10

Frances Tressady Stakes

17:30 local1400mGroup 3Open$200,000
Winner10. Paradise CitySP $9.50
★ Top pick3rd
3Wrote To Arataki

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.50 · Dean Yendall

The recent Group 3 win at Caulfield demonstrates current form, while the class drop from Group 2 company provides a significant advantage.

2nd pick2nd
7Sea What I See

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Jamie Melham

Sea What I See offers excellent value as a proven Group performer returning from a spell. Her 50% win rate and ability to perform fresh make her a serious threat despite the distance query. The class shown in recent Group races and strong finishing ability provide confidence she can overcome the first-up challenge.

3rd pick8th
9Grid Girl

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · Ben Allen

Her excellent 1400m record and current winning form provide confidence, though the class rise presents a challenge.

Value pick7th
4Too Darn Discreet

Our price $10.00 · SP $4.60 · Michael Dee

Too Darn Discreet represents excellent value despite the long spell. Her Group race experience and Listed win last preparation demonstrate the class required.

  1. 1st10Paradise CityZac Spain$9.50
  2. 2nd7Sea What I SeeJamie Melham$11.00
  3. 3rd3Wrote To AratakiDean Yendall$3.50
  4. 4th5SamanguJordan Childs$19.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Paradise City10Zac SpainP G Moody & Katherine Coleman56kg$9.50
2nd7Sea What I See5Jamie MelhamD T O'Brien56kg$11.00
3rd3Wrote To Arataki2Dean YendallM J Williams58kg$3.50
4th5Samangu7Jordan ChildsG M Begg57kg$19.00
5th8Miss Tarzy8Damian LaneA & S Freedman56kg$26.00
6th1Philia4Ethan BrownDavid Vandyke58.5kg$4.80
7th4Too Darn Discreet3Michael DeeDan O'Sullivan57kg$4.60
8th9Grid Girl9Ben AllenBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$7.00
9th2Real Class1Jye McNeilC J Waller58.5kg$101.00
10th6Eternal Flame6Luke CurrieM C Kent56kg$21.00
Scr11Princess Que3Simon Zahra56kg

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