The tongue tie addition first time suggests connections expect improvement, and the Stackhouse/Freedman combination has a strong 20% strike rate.
Victoria · Saturday 14 February 2026
Flemington tips and results
Our top pick won 4 of 10 races at Flemington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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TAB Talindert Stakes
The Waller stable excels with quality horses, and previous Flemington experience is valuable. However, the 102-day spell and poor wet track record create some uncertainty about immediate fitness and track condition suitability.
Hard Kick represents the Hayes stable's debut runner with quality jockey Damian Lane aboard and an ideal barrier 4. The first-time gear additions (ear muffs and lugging bit) suggest the stable has the horse ready to perform. Lane's 13% Flemington strike rate and the stable's reputation with young horses provide confidence despite the lack of form data.
- 1st4Hard KickDamian Lane$3.00
- 2nd1ZambalesDaniel Stackhouse$2.30
- 3rd3DiameterJye McNeil$13.00
- 4th7Grinzinger HeartMichael Dee$26.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Hard Kick | 4 | Damian Lane | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Zambales | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 3 | Diameter | 5 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Grinzinger Heart | 2 | Michael Dee | Ben Brisbourne | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Autumn Lover | 1 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Stellar Cipher | 7 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Shah Jahan | 3 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 57kg | $5.50 |
TAB We''re On (Bm78)
Fiorenot stands out with a perfect Flemington record and excellent recent form. The Tom Dabernig-trained gelding has won his last two starts and the Jordan Childs partnership has been highly successful.
The lightly-raced gelding has shown consistent improvement and strong finishing ability. The wide barrier and distance query are concerns, but his class and current trajectory suggest he can overcome these obstacles.
The inside barrier draw suits his racing pattern and recent form suggests continued improvement.
The distance is untested but his breeding and recent form indicate he should handle the trip in this competitive field.
- 1st10TarvueLuke Cartwright$14.00
- 2nd6FiorenotJordan Childs$3.10
- 3rd14Georgie Get MadDaniel Stackhouse$21.00
- 4th15SeafallLuke Currie$26.00
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Tarvue | 5 | Luke Cartwright | J D Sadler | 54.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Fiorenot | 9 | Jordan Childs | Tom Dabernig | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 14 | Georgie Get Mad | 11 | Daniel Stackhouse | Denis Pagan | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 15 | Seafall | 7 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Unseen Ruler | 1 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Sunsets | 4 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Trapalanda | 3 | Ryan Houston | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 3 | My Brothers Keeper | 10 | Harry Coffey | S V Brown | 61kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Chasing Aphrodite | 6 | Damian Lane | Henry Dwyer | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Balinor | 14 | Michael Dee | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 53.5kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Flamin' Romans | 2 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Otago | 8 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 13th | 13 | Extreme Virtue | 13 | Luke Nolen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 14th | 8 | Taka Speed | 12 | Ethan Brown | M M Laurie | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| Scr | 2 | Night Endeavor | 13 | Emily Pozman | C Maher | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Double Cherry | 10 | Thomas Stockdale | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg |
Desirable Stakes
Her perfect 2-2 record at 1400m and proven ability at Flemington provide confidence despite the class rise. The recent BM70 win showcased impressive acceleration and the inside barrier suits her racing pattern.
Ole Dancer brings superior class having won at Group 1 level and drops significantly in grade. Her perfect first up record (2-2) provides confidence despite the lengthy spell. The wide barrier and top weight are concerns, but her class edge and proven fresh ability make her a major threat.
Sky Watcher represents excellent value with perfect 1400m form and recent improvement. Her Sandown win showed genuine acceleration and the distance suits perfectly.
Custom offers value as a second up runner with Listed race experience. Her Moonee Valley placing demonstrates ability at this level, and the Maher/Melham combination is proven. The recent Group 3 run at Caulfield shows she belongs at this level despite the mixed form pattern.
- 1st2Sass AppealDamian Lane$1.95
- 2nd1Ole DancerLuke Nolen$2.70
- 3rd6CelibateDean Yendall$41.00
- 4th3CustomJamie Melham$5.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Sass Appeal | 1 | Damian Lane | D T O'Brien | 56kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 1 | Ole Dancer | 6 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 6 | Celibate | 3 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Custom | 2 | Jamie Melham | C Maher | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Next Jen | 4 | Jamie Mott | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Sky Watcher | 5 | Logan Bates | Jack Laing | 55kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Privateer | 4 | Ben Melham | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 55kg |
Vobis Gold Prelude (Qc)
Mystic Reign presents outstanding value as the form pick. Barrier 4 is ideal for the straight course, and gear changes often signal improvement.
Immortal Star brings current winning form with two victories from her last three starts. The inside barrier is crucial on the straight course, and Logan Bates has a perfect record on the mare. First-time winkers could provide the edge needed at this level.
His recent form shows improvement with consistent placings, and the 54kg weight is favorable. Jamie Melham's strong Flemington record (19% strike rate) adds confidence.
His recent Terang win demonstrates current form, and his 1100m record is respectable.
- 1st3Perilous FighterLuke Cartwright$8.50
- 2nd9JakivyBeau Mertens$12.00
- 3rd2Immortal StarLogan Bates$1.95
- 4th5Tango JewelJackson Radley$3.90
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Perilous Fighter | 2 | Luke Cartwright | Clayton Douglas | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Jakivy | 5 | Beau Mertens | Kasey Besanko | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Immortal Star | 1 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 56.5kg | $1.95 |
| 4th | 5 | Tango Jewel | 4 | Jackson Radley | Jamie Edwards | 51kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 7 | Mystic Reign | 3 | Michael Dee | G M Begg | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Mr Magnus | 6 | Jamie Melham | R D Griffiths | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Nostra Bella | 8 | Craig Newitt | Karlene Tindale | 54kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Umgawa | 7 | Ryan Houston | Melissa Page | 54kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Photograph | 7 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Jennyanydots | 1 | Jye McNeil | Mitchell Freedman | 54kg |
The Schweppes (Bm90)
The class drop from recent BM84 races to BM90 suits, and his Flemington record shows consistent performance at this venue.
The low weight allocation suggests even connections have reservations about his chances at this level.
Extratwo represents excellent value dropping from Group company to BM90 level. Her recent Group 2 placing demonstrates she possesses the class to handle this field, while the significant grade drop and barrier 1 draw provide tactical advantages.
- 1st4NdolaLuke Currie$4.40
- 2nd7Rue De RoyaleJamie Melham$2.40
- 3rd9BehaviourJackson Radley$11.00
- 4th5Great MaximusDamian Lane$4.60
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Ndola | 5 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rue De Royale | 2 | Jamie Melham | T & C McEvoy | 55kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 9 | Behaviour | 7 | Jackson Radley | Gavin Bedggood | 51kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Great Maximus | 8 | Damian Lane | R & C Jolly | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 6 | Modown | 9 | Celine Gaudray | Charlotte Littlefield | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Fission | 4 | Luke Cartwright | R D Griffiths | 52kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Pounding | 3 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Highlights | 6 | Daniel Stackhouse | Nick Ryan | 60kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Extratwo | 1 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
Be Captivated Trophy
The step to 2500m appears within scope given strong performances at similar distances, and his excellent weight-carrying record provides confidence.
Newfoundland brings impressive staying credentials including a Group 2 placing at 3200m and arrives off a convincing Listed win. His proven ability at extreme distances and light weight of 55kg provide significant advantages. The class rise is substantial but his staying pedigree and recent improvement suggest he can handle the step up.
Berkeley Square offers strong each-way value with an excellent Flemington record and proven ability at staying distances. The top weight is a concern but his class and track experience make him a genuine chance.
The light weight of 52kg provides a significant advantage, and his improvement trajectory suggests he can handle the class rise.
- 1st1Berkeley SquareLuke Nolen$11.00
- 2nd6GarachicoDaniel Stackhouse$26.00
- 3rd11Steel RunMichael Dee$19.00
- 4th2Saint GeorgeLogan Bates$2.25
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Berkeley Square | 7 | Luke Nolen | Dan O'Sullivan | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Garachico | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | Dominic Sutton | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Steel Run | 8 | Michael Dee | M C Kent | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Saint George | 6 | Logan Bates | C Maher | 59kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 10 | Dictionary | 5 | Teodore Nugent | J F Moloney | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Jenni's Meadow | 4 | Patrick Moloney | M W Walker | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Paradise Storm | 10 | Harry Coffey | Henry Dwyer | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Stylish Secret | 9 | Ryan Houston | Mick Nolan | 52kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 3 | Newfoundland | 2 | Luke Cartwright | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Scary | 3 | Jye McNeil | E & D Browne | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 5 | Ardakan | 11 | Celine Gaudray | C Maher | 54kg |
The Elms Hcp
Sabaj brings an impressive strike rate and first-up ability to this assignment. The inside barrier is crucial at Flemington, and his consistent winning pattern suggests he can handle the step up. However, the significant class rise and lack of Group race exposure creates some uncertainty.
Matcha Latte offers proven Group race credentials and recent form validation with his Listed third. The Damian Lane booking signals stable confidence, and his versatility across conditions is valuable. The wide draw is concerning but his class edge keeps him competitive.
His recent Listed third shows he's competitive at this level, and the light weight of 54kg provides a significant advantage. The Hayes stable has him primed for a breakthrough performance in Group company.
The gear change and Moloney booking suggest stable confidence, while his Listed form provides a class foundation.
- 1st2Cafe MilleniumCeline Gaudray$4.60
- 2nd5SabajBeau Mertens$3.10
- 3rd7EnxutoPatrick Moloney$8.50
- 4th1BirdmanBen Melham$13.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cafe Millenium | 6 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Sabaj | 1 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 7 | Enxuto | 7 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Birdman | 2 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Scheelite | 4 | Craig Newitt | K & K Keys | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Matcha Latte | 8 | Damian Lane | Nacim Dilmi | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 3 | Arran Bay | 5 | Thomas Stockdale | P Stokes | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Aztec Ruler | 3 | Harry Coffey | S V Vahala | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Justadeel | 5 | Jamie Melham | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 54kg |
Black Caviar Lightning
Perfect good track record and strong first-up statistics make him the form standout despite the wide draw.
Giga Kick brings proven Group 1 class and has won at this exact track and distance. His first-up record is strong and the good barrier helps. However, the long spell and jockey change from Zahra raise minor concerns about current condition.
Baraqiel's perfect first-up record and recent Group 1 win at 1000m make him a strong contender. The good barrier and proven Allen/horse combination add appeal.
Her 1000m win and good first-up record provide confidence. The wide barrier is a concern but her class and speed make her a strong value play.
- 1st4TentyrisDamian Lane$2.60
- 2nd7My GladiolaJamie Mott$7.00
- 3rd3BenedettaJamie Melham$26.00
- 4th2BaraqielBen Allen$8.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Tentyris | 7 | Damian Lane | A & S Freedman | 55.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | My Gladiola | 8 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 53.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Benedetta | 1 | Jamie Melham | C Maher | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Baraqiel | 5 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Giga Kick | 6 | Ethan Brown | Clayton Douglas | 58.5kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Marhoona | 4 | Michael Dee | Michael Freedman | 53.5kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Military Tycoon | 2 | Harry Coffey | C Maher | 53.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Beiwacht | 3 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
CS Hayes Stakes
The wet track conditions suit perfectly given his strong record on rain-affected surfaces. Despite the wide barrier, his class and current form trajectory make him the standout selection.
His first-up record is solid with two placings from three attempts, and the removal of winkers suggests trainer confidence.
Asakura brings excellent recent form with two wins from his last three starts, including an impressive last-start victory. The Freedman-Yendall combination strikes at 18%, well above average.
The wide barrier is a concern, but his early speed should help overcome it.
- 1st2SixtiesDamian Lane$1.60
- 2nd9AsakuraDean Yendall$5.50
- 3rd12Beyond QuestionHarry Coffey$31.00
- 4th6Romantic EncounterDaniel Stackhouse$15.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Sixties | 9 | Damian Lane | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 9 | Asakura | 6 | Dean Yendall | Mitchell Freedman | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Beyond Question | 2 | Harry Coffey | P Kearney | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Romantic Encounter | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Officiate | 4 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 1 | West Of Swindon | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Express Class | 8 | Patrick Moloney | G M Moloney | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Wetumpka | 1 | Ben Allen | Peter Gelagotis | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Bingi | 11 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57kg | $91.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Loud Charlie | 10 | Jamie Mott | Lloyd Kennewell | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Earthing | 5 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Space Rider | 2 | Ethan Brown | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Pictor | 7 | Jamie Melham | C J Waller | 56kg |
Frances Tressady Stakes
The recent Group 3 win at Caulfield demonstrates current form, while the class drop from Group 2 company provides a significant advantage.
Sea What I See offers excellent value as a proven Group performer returning from a spell. Her 50% win rate and ability to perform fresh make her a serious threat despite the distance query. The class shown in recent Group races and strong finishing ability provide confidence she can overcome the first-up challenge.
Her excellent 1400m record and current winning form provide confidence, though the class rise presents a challenge.
Too Darn Discreet represents excellent value despite the long spell. Her Group race experience and Listed win last preparation demonstrate the class required.
- 1st10Paradise CityZac Spain$9.50
- 2nd7Sea What I SeeJamie Melham$11.00
- 3rd3Wrote To AratakiDean Yendall$3.50
- 4th5SamanguJordan Childs$19.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Paradise City | 10 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Sea What I See | 5 | Jamie Melham | D T O'Brien | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Wrote To Arataki | 2 | Dean Yendall | M J Williams | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Samangu | 7 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Miss Tarzy | 8 | Damian Lane | A & S Freedman | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Philia | 4 | Ethan Brown | David Vandyke | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 4 | Too Darn Discreet | 3 | Michael Dee | Dan O'Sullivan | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 8th | 9 | Grid Girl | 9 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Real Class | 1 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Eternal Flame | 6 | Luke Currie | M C Kent | 56kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Princess Que | 3 | Simon Zahra | 56kg |
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