Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Sunday 15 February 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Dubbo. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The mare has shown consistent placing ability at 1000m and her recent form suggests she's ready to break through. Despite being winless, her experience and current form trajectory make her the most reliable selection.
Busted Buttons showed promise on debut with a solid fourth at this track and distance. The inside barrier and second-up fitness provide advantages, while being lightly raced suggests improvement potential.
Justo's Rocket offers value based on his previous second at Dubbo and the jockey upgrade to Mathew Cahill.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Busted Buttons | 2 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Ms C Monaghan | 58.5kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Justo's Rocket | 3 | Mathew Cahill | W T Martyn | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Chasing Quivers | 4 | Mikayla Weir | Sally Torrens | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Allusive Intent | 1 | Kody Nestor | Ms A Smith | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 7 | Our Bully | 7 | Grant Buckley | M N Howard | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Jimmy's Choice | 5 | Jacob Stiff | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Nightwalker | 6 | Ms A Smith | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Bring The Rain | 6 | C Lundholm | 58.5kg |
Second up from spell with proven soft track ability, she maps well from barrier 7 despite carrying top weight.
Nightwalker represents the best value proposition with a significant class drop and strong recent form. Three placings in his last four starts combined with proven Dubbo form (three placings from five starts) makes him a genuine threat. The wide barrier suits his backmarker style if the pace is genuine.
Mr Gunna Do brings strong recent form with a close second at Parkes and maps well from barrier 6.
Recent Dubbo experience and good barrier position provide hope, though limited winning form makes this a speculative play for punters seeking value in a competitive maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | La Potenza | 7 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58.5kg | $1.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Nightwalker | 9 | Braith Nock | Ms A Smith | 55.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Recognition | 3 | Mathew Cahill | Andrew Ryan | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Bold Bender | 4 | Mikayla Weir | Connie Greig | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Frosty The Showman | 8 | Jacob Stiff | Ian Holland | 53.5kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Sellinya | 5 | Adrian Layt | Dar Lunn | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Mr Gunna Do | 6 | Izzy Neale | Troy Mc Carney | 54kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Imotosan | 1 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Kahu | 2 | Grant Buckley | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58kg | $51.00 |
His consistent placing record (4 from 5 starts) demonstrates reliability, while the gear change removing blinkers suggests trainer confidence in a breakthrough performance. The good barrier draw and proven distance form make him the logical choice despite maiden status.
Castro brings the strongest recent form with two placings from his last three starts, including a narrow second just 13 days ago. His proven record at Dubbo (1 placing from 2 starts) and the significant class drop from previous attempts suggest he's well-placed to break through. The improving trend and trainer Kennedy's confidence make him a strong each-way proposition.
Lagoon brings solid credentials with a narrow second at Parkes last start and proven form at Dubbo including a third at this distance. The wide draw is a concern but her recent form turnaround makes her a viable each-way option.
The inside barrier draw and significant class drop create the perfect scenario for a breakthrough performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Dunstall The Gun | 4 | Nick Palmer | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 9 | Real Housewives | 2 | Mikayla Weir | Sally Torrens | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Castro | 5 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Kylie Kennedy | 59kg | $2.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Zou De Lagos | 1 | Kody Nestor | Paul Isaac | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Calle | 6 | Ryan Bradley | Ms J Clement | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Lagoon | 7 | Mathew Cahill | Kylie Kennedy | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Cobocco | 8 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Pallene | 3 | Ashleigh Stanley | Ms G Williams | 57kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 6 | La Chaparron | 9 | Ms A Smith | 57kg |
The 1000m distance suits with 4 placings from 9 attempts. Despite only one career win, his consistent form and tactical speed make him the most likely winner on a Good 4 track where he's performed well previously.
Bolo Miss offers strong each-way value as a consistent performer second up from a spell. Her 80% place rate demonstrates reliability, while the removal of the cross-over nose band suggests connections expect improvement. The 4-year-old mare has shown good form in recent starts and should appreciate the Good 4 track conditions where she's performed well previously.
The I Am Invincible gelding showed good form when runner-up last start and represents solid each-way value despite some track condition concerns.
The 5-year-old gelding is dropping slightly in class and has shown consistent improvement in recent starts. While his overall record is modest, his recent form suggests he's finding his best form and the wide barrier may actually suit his backmarker racing pattern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Blue De Beers | 7 | Kody Nestor | C Lundholm | 58.5kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Bolo Miss | 6 | Mathew Cahill | M C Lynch | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Bounding Bon | 8 | Ken Dunbar | M C Lynch | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Denman Bandit | 11 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Invincible Phantom | 9 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Kieren Hazelton | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Nevermista | 5 | Daniel A Northey | Simon Casey | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 12 | Houdini Spirit | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Ms C Monaghan | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Dusty Vermeer | 1 | Adrian Layt | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Tears For Fears | 12 | Dale Cole | Ms C Crockett | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Chess Master | 13 | Grant Buckley | Toby Pracey | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Bylong | 2 | Brett Robb | 55kg | $51.00 | |
| 12th | 14 | Procyon Miss | 3 | Connie Greig | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | Brummagen | 14 | Braith Nock | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Zaibatsu | 10 | Brett Thompson | 55kg |
Western Warrior presents as the most logical winner despite limited experience. The Ken Dunbar/Natalie Pearce combination shows strong synergy (50% strike rate), and the horse's ability to win fresh suggests he's ready to handle the class rise. The inside barrier draw and proven track form outweigh experience concerns.
Brutal Love offers strong each-way value with his excellent Dubbo record and consistent recent form. The 1200m distance suits perfectly with a 1-2-0 record from 4 attempts. While the wide barrier presents challenges, his proven track form and strong jockey combination make him a reliable place chance with upset potential.
Star Intrigue represents excellent each-way value with his outstanding Dubbo statistics. His 3 wins from 8 starts at this track, combined with a perfect 2-0-0 record at 1200m, suggests strong suitability. The first up record (1-0-1 from 4) indicates he can perform fresh, though the 106-day break raises fitness questions.
His Wellington win in strong time demonstrates current ability, while the barrier 1 draw provides significant positional advantage at Dubbo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Brutal Love | 11 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | C Lundholm | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 7 | Feirme Prince | 8 | Mathew Cahill | Toby Pracey | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Oakfield Badger | 5 | Izzy Neale | D Lane | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Hulu | 3 | Nick Heywood | Cameron Crockett | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Staffa | 2 | Adrian Layt | Holly Williams | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Western Warrior | 6 | Ken Dunbar | Natalie Pearce | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 9 | Star Intrigue | 7 | Mikayla Weir | Brett Robb | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Miracle Day | 10 | Braith Nock | Dar Lunn | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Smooth Esprit | 9 | Kody Nestor | C Lundholm | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Turgenev | 4 | Grant Buckley | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Andale | 1 | Jacob Stiff | Merv Rumble | 53kg |
Shutter presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form and class. The mare is improving with age and has proven credentials at this distance. Despite the wide draw, her class edge and current form trajectory make her the standout selection.
The good barrier draw allows tactical flexibility, and while his overall win rate is modest, his current trajectory suggests he's ready to break through at this level.
Zelestial brings valuable track experience from her recent Dubbo placing and draws ideally in barrier 4. Her consistent record and proven ability at 1600m make her a reliable each-way chance. While stepping up in class, her tactical speed and Jacob Stiff's strong Dubbo record provide confidence for a competitive showing.
The Ken Dunbar/Ashley Gibson combination has a strong 33% strike rate, and the mare has been consistently improving through the grades. Her 1600m record is solid, and the good barrier draw provides tactical options.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Zelestial | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Lyle Chandler | 60.5kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Saint Philomena | 1 | Braith Nock | Dar Lunn | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Just On Fire | 8 | Mikayla Weir | Connie Greig | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Ferrari Man | 14 | Dale Cole | A D Bourke | 61.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Hardyo | 2 | Ryan Bradley | Ms J Clement | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Shutter | 13 | Deon Le Roux | Lou Mary | 60kg | $3.40 |
| 7th | 5 | Ghaznavi | 6 | Nick Heywood | Cameron Crockett | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 10 | Oakfield Echidna | 11 | Grant Buckley | D Lane | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Pampuni | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Alpine Rose | 5 | Ken Dunbar | Ashley Gibson | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 11th | 4 | Externus | 7 | Kody Nestor | Nikki Hodgson | 61kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Charlotting | 9 | Liam Blanch | Robert Lane | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Dark Thinker | 12 | Ms A Smith | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Beg Me | 10 | Kieren Hazelton | 55kg |
Black Nature presents as the standout selection with a perfect record at today's track and distance. The mare has won both previous attempts at Dubbo 1300m and comes off a dominant last-start victory. The inside barrier suits her forward racing pattern, and despite the class rise, her form trajectory suggests she can handle the step up.
Wing Nut won impressively last start at this exact track and distance, showing he handles Dubbo well. The strong jockey/trainer combination and improving form trend are positives, but the extreme wide barrier presents a significant challenge that may require exceptional luck to overcome.
Halo Phenomena brings strong last-start winning form into this assignment. While the wide barrier is concerning, his class and recent form make him a genuine winning chance despite the track debut.
The mare has been running consistent races without winning lately but has an excellent record at 1300m. The first-time nose roll could provide the edge needed, and her recent placing suggests she's close to another win.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Stockholm | 14 | Kody Nestor | C Lundholm | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Lang Park | 16 | Deon Le Roux | Ms D Prest | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Glowing Rapids | 13 | Leanne Boyd | Ms M Harrison | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Green Run | 17 | Adrian Layt | Dar Lunn | 61.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Wing Nut | 19 | Jacob Stiff | M R Mulholland | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Black Nature | 1 | Braith Nock | Dar Lunn | 60kg | $2.90 |
| 7th | 17 | Call Me Terry | 5 | Cameron Crockett | 58kg | $4.00 | |
| 8th | 14 | Chestime | 11 | Grant Buckley | Lou Mary | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 7 | Extreme Merger | 15 | Ryan Bradley | Ms J Clement | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 18 | River Rogue | 12 | Ms C Monaghan | 57.5kg | $91.00 | |
| 11th | 19 | My Crown | 3 | Brett Thompson | 56kg | $41.00 | |
| 12th | 9 | Charlie Magic | 6 | Izzy Neale | Brett Robb | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 13th | 10 | I'm Kenough | 7 | Mikayla Weir | Connie Greig | 60kg | $81.00 |
| 14th | 20 | Power Bank | 2 | Dar Lunn | 56kg | $151.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Halo Phenomena | 10 | Cameron Crockett | 62.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Never A Doubt | 8 | Cameron Crockett | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Divine Sinner | 9 | Kieren Hazelton | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Bon Zipper | 18 | Ken Dunbar | M C Lynch | 59kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Climate Control | 20 | J R Gask | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Toongi Bound | 4 | Brett Thompson | 58.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.