Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Sunday 15 February 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Geegees Mercedes presents the strongest winning chance based on recent form and class drop. The significant drop from Open company to Maiden level, combined with three placings from seven starts, suggests she's ready to break through.
Lawrenny Boys has shown consistent form with two placings from his last three starts, including a narrow second last time out. The booking of Dylan Dunn (15% strike rate) adds confidence, though the wide barrier and top weight present challenges.
Lin Thizzy represents the strongest debut chance with the powerful Imogen Miller/Erica Byrne Burke combination boasting a 29% strike rate. The advantageous barrier 5 draw and Burke's 18% track record provide confidence. As a maiden race, the lack of form data doesn't disadvantage this runner against the exposed gallopers.
The advantageous barrier 6 and strong jockey booking provide hope for an improved performance in this weak maiden field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Outbush | 1 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Geegees Mercedes | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | S Gandy | 54.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Lawrenny Boys | 8 | Dylan Dunn | J L Keys | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 4 | Upheaval | 9 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Una Paloma Blanca | 10 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Thermal Miss | 4 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Sarah Cotton | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Lin Thizzy | 5 | Erica Byrne Burke | Imogen Miller | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Arlaunya | 2 | Chloe Wells | Brendan McShane | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Smash 'n' Grab | 6 | Bulent Muhcu | Amanda Jones | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Steel Shosha | 3 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Just Plain Nuts | 10 | Dylan Clark | 58kg |
A Queens Buzz represents the standout chance with two placings from three attempts at this distance range and a significant class drop after competing in higher grades. The barrier 1 draw is ideal for her forward racing pattern, and Erica Byrne Burke's strong Hobart record (18% strike rate) adds confidence. Recent third at this track confirms current form.
Her consistency is evident with four placings from five recent starts, and she's proven on soft tracks. The wide barrier is concerning but her class and form profile make her a strong threat.
Her soft track record (3 placings from 10 starts) and strong jockey booking with Muhcu (15% Hobart strike rate) provide confidence. The class drop could be the key to her maiden breakthrough.
Lauryn Bingley's excellent recent form (4 wins from 20 rides) and the mare's consistent performance pattern suggest she's ready to break through.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Seditious Award | 13 | Chloe Wells | P H Luttrell | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Joejoe | 11 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Sh'bourne Power | 12 | Kirra-Lee Lane | Shaun Nichols | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Royal Scene | 8 | Bulent Muhcu | Stephen Lockhart | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Dandirose | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | Logan McGill | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Alpine Whiskey | 4 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Bradley Franklin | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Sh'bourne Rising | 6 | Lauryn Bingley | Shaun Nichols | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 10 | A Queens Buzz | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 56kg | $2.25 |
| 9th | 3 | Sorell Lad | 3 | Mehmet Ulucinar | J F Luttrell | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Go Woody | 2 | Dylan Dunn | Drew Tyson | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Miss Delphi | 5 | J L Keys | 56.5kg | $71.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | Turfaction | 9 | Lizzie Annells | Yassy Nishitani | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Littlemissallsorts | 7 | R Seymour | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Alpine Woods | 7 | M A Ganderton | 56.5kg |
Despite the wide barrier, the consistent form pattern and class suitability make this the standout selection.
The ideal barrier 2 draw suits the likely tempo, while proven soft track ability (2-4-4 record) matches today's conditions. Recent consistency with a win and two seconds from last three starts provides confidence despite the slight class rise.
Araya Sunshine shows recent improvement with placings in last two starts and benefits from the strong Byrne Burke/Blacker combination. The light 54kg weight and recent racing provide fitness advantages, though overall strike rates remain concerning. Recent form suggests capability at this level despite modest historical statistics.
Nicco The Greek offers value through a significant class drop after competing at higher levels. The excellent track/distance record (2-2-2 from 11 starts) and recent win at this grade provide confidence, while barrier 1 offers tactical advantages.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Araya Sunshine | 6 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 54kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Flying Billie | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | Christie Burt | 58kg | $2.15 |
| 3rd | 3 | Gee Gees Me Boy | 2 | Chloe Wells | S Gandy | 56kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 7 | Geegee Strawberry | 5 | Kasi Boxall | S Gandy | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Nicco The Greek | 1 | Kirra-Lee Lane | J L Keys | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Ethical Dilemma | 3 | Bulent Muhcu | P H Luttrell | 54kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Who Can It Be Now | 4 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Rowan Hamer | 54kg |
Bella Chinkara brings proven track and distance credentials with a recent win to her credit. Her strong Hobart record and distance experience make her a logical place chance, though the wide barrier and recent inconsistent form create some concerns about her winning prospects in this company.
Her recent 3rd over 1420m at Launceston demonstrates current form and distance suitability.
Southern Auroras presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form and track specialization. Her 2nd placing last start at this track over a similar distance demonstrates current fitness, while her outstanding Hobart record (77% place rate) suggests strong suitability. The class rise is manageable given her consistent form pattern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Tribal Council | 3 | Lauryn Bingley | Sarah Cotton | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Bellsprout | 7 | Dylan Dunn | M A Ganderton | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Bella Chinkara | 11 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 3 | Geegees Downpour | 4 | Mehmet Ulucinar | S Gandy | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Whisper Of Matilda | 5 | Bulent Muhcu | Stephen Lockhart | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Silver Grange | 6 | Chloe Wells | Angela Brakey | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Gazza's Spirit | 2 | Shayleigh Ingelse | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Piping Willow | 10 | Lizzie Annells | Sarah Cotton | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Thankgoditsfriday | 8 | J L Keys | 55kg | $9.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | Celtic Rose | 1 | Jabez Johnstone | Andrew Moore | 56kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Southern Auroras | 9 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 57.5kg |
Three-year-old filly with exceptional early career form, winning her last two starts by comfortable margins. The class rise is notable but her dominant winning style suggests she can handle the step up.
Five-year-old mare coming off an impressive Class 1 victory at this track three weeks ago. The class rise is concerning but her recent winning form and track familiarity make her a strong winning chance.
Four-year-old mare who placed in Class 2 company last start and has a perfect record at this track and distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Magnolia Sky | 7 | Catherine Van Munster | J K Blacker | 56kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 2 | Material Madam | 10 | Lauryn Bingley | S Gandy | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Antheia | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Billie The Great | 9 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Bradley Franklin | 55.5kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 10 | Swinging It | 8 | Chloe Wells | Brendan McShane | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Native Clan | 11 | J L Keys | 55kg | $21.00 | |
| 7th | 9 | Rare Oro | 4 | Bulent Muhcu | J F Luttrell | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Geegees Legacy | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Angel Sphere | 5 | Kasi Boxall | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Phere The Girls | 2 | J L Keys | 54.5kg | $81.00 | |
| Scr | 5 | Wednesday's Boss | 6 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 56.5kg |
Street Diva presents as the most logical winner returning from a spell. Her dominant first-up victory at Launceston showcased her class, and she has a perfect record at today's distance. The inside barrier suits her racing pattern, and second-up statistics show improvement.
Georgaroni brings excellent recent form and a strong winning strike rate. His soft track record is impressive, and the Pires/Blacker combination is proven. The first-time winkers suggest connections expect improvement. However, the wide draw and class rise present challenges that prevent him from being the top selection.
Alpine Thunder has an outstanding record at Hobart and this distance, with three wins from six attempts at the track/distance combination. His class win on January 25 proves he can handle this level. However, his poor last start and the booking of an inexperienced jockey create doubt about his chances today.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Miss Keeds | 6 | Bulent Muhcu | Bradley Franklin | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Golden Meadow | 7 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Georgaroni | 8 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 4 | Street Diva | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 56kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 3 | Catherine Van Munster | S Gandy | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 5 | Thisismyturf | 5 | Kirra-Lee Lane | T W Evans | 53.5kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Sweet Lucifer | 1 | Dylan Dunn | J L Keys | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 7 | First Line | 4 | Chloe Wells | J L Keys | 54kg | $5.00 |
Proven soft track record and previous success at Hobart provide confidence despite the class rise. The 4-year-old gelding appears well-placed to handle the step up in grade.
Fiorente De Legend offers strong each-way value with exceptional track and distance credentials. The mare's last start victory at Hobart demonstrates current form, while her outstanding record at the track (4-8-3 from 25) and perfect distance suitability make her a reliable proposition. Consistent recent placings suggest she's found her right level.
Royal Dispatch represents a class drop opportunity despite concerning last start. Previous 1600m success and the significant advantage of barrier 1 in a likely fast tempo race provide hope for improvement. The gelding's ability to win at this distance is proven, making him a speculative chance if bouncing back to form.
Thickskinned offers excellent value as a lightly raced improver stepping up significantly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Coal River | 7 | Erica Byrne Burke | Angela Brakey | 59kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Stratojack | 8 | Chloe Wells | Ms T Mollross | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Fiorente De Legend | 5 | Mehmet Ulucinar | J F Luttrell | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Thickskinned | 6 | David Pires | M A Ganderton | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Manhattan Nights | 2 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Royal Dispatch | 1 | Jabez Johnstone | Ashley Meaburn | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Goddess Of Rock | 4 | Dylan Dunn | J L Keys | 57kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Zurich | 3 | Kirra-Lee Lane | P H Luttrell | 59kg |
Wyndinthewillows showed excellent form last start finishing third at this track in similar company. The mare has been consistently improving through the grades and maps perfectly from barrier 8 to settle midfield. Her soft track record (0-0-2 from 3 starts) suits today's Good 4 conditions, and the step up to 2100m appears ideal for her racing pattern.
Wholesome brings strong credentials with excellent track condition suitability and proven staying ability. The experienced mare has shown consistent placing form recently and her soft track record suggests she'll handle today's conditions. Despite the wide barrier, her class and experience make her a genuine threat in this company.
The mare has been consistently placing and her soft track record (0-1-2 from 8 starts) is strong. Despite being winless, her recent form suggests she's ready to break through at this level.
Tideford represents excellent value having won his last start at this exact distance in Class 1 company. His distance record (1-1-1 from 6 starts at 2100m) is outstanding and he's proven on soft tracks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Carnotaurus | 9 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 53.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Alpine Honey | 2 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Tideford | 4 | Mehmet Ulucinar | L R Laskey | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Wyndinthewillows | 8 | Chloe Wells | Ms T Mollross | 57kg | $2.25 |
| 5th | 4 | Lord Hear Us | 5 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Wholesome | 11 | Erica Byrne Burke | Gaetan Delon | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Miss Niagara | 1 | Kirra-Lee Lane | R Seymour | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Miss Mabel | 10 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Infringement | 6 | Dylan Dunn | J L Keys | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 9 | Le Costa Paradiso | 3 | Lauryn Bingley | Brendan McShane | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 6 | No Surprises | 7 | Bulent Muhcu | Stephen Lockhart | 57kg | $91.00 |
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