Punt like a Pro, without the know!
South Australia · Thursday 19 February 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Kangaroo Island. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Cowley's Creek stands out on pure form with unmatched Kingscote record (8:3-0-0) and flawless 1750m stats there (4:2-0-0). Barrier 1 perfect for leaders-biased tight track. Recent 3rd at Ceduna confirms fitness in moderate tempo. Class drop helps despite age.
Huge class drop from recent BM70+ races offsets first-up history (6:0-0-1).
Light weight helps but significant class rise from lower grades lacks proven edge at BM62.
Slight class drop and barrier 4 ok for midfield map in moderate tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Cowley's Creek | 1 | Wesley Cave | T L Day | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Kikorangi | 3 | Sairyn Fawke | Ms H Lehmann | 58kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 3 | Princess On Palm | 2 | Polly Brewster | Michael Hickmott | 53kg | $2.40 |
| 4th | 4 | Laybuy | 4 | Dylan Caboche | T L Day | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Figo The Great | 5 | Sophie Potter | Kym Healy | 58kg | $8.00 |
Barrier 1 perfect for tight turning sprint with fast tempo suiting likely leader role. Solid good track form (30:6-2-5) and distance stats outweigh slight class rise. Best form credentials in BM62 country sprint.
Barrier 4 exploits Kingscote inside bias. Fast tempo may suit if finds early position.
Barrier 2 a massive plus on leader-biased Kingscote sprint track. Light weight helps in fast tempo but needs career-best to feature.
Value roughy with strong Kingscote history (13:1-1-1) and ideal barrier 3. Second up suits (7:1-1-0) and light weight ideal for country sprint.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Redwinelover | 1 | Stacey Metcalfe | Ms N Irwin | 54.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Noble Magnate | 4 | Campbell Rawiller | Kym Healy | 58.5kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Ask For More | 5 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 5 | William's Quest | 3 | S H Sit | David J Hall | 52kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Reigning Star | 2 | Wesley Cave | T L Day | 54kg | $18.00 |
Barrier 5 ideal for midfield settling on Kingscote's tight turns with fast tempo predicted. High suitability metrics for Good 4 and light weight outweigh limited exposure.
Hasta La Wizard brings most experience with consistent minor placings, including recent 3rd at Naracoorte 1430m and close 2nd at Bordertown 1550m. Barrier 4 perfect for handy position on Kingscote's speed-favouring layout. Good track record and distance suitability edge others despite no wins. Gear tweaks post-freshen could unlock more.
Barrier 7 exploits Kingscote's middle barrier bias (20% win rate). Light weight and distance experience make threat in volatile maiden, though exposed record caps upside. Suits place claims.
Lightly raced 4yo has local exposure and maps forward in fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Friday Folly | 7 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Mahaler | 5 | Taylor Johnstone | Peter & Belinda Blanch | 55kg | $1.45 |
| 3rd | 3 | Hasta La Wizard | 4 | Kyra Yuill | Ms N Irwin | 58kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Mehirakool | 6 | S H Sit | David J Hall | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Dreamt Of Me | 3 | Dylan Caboche | T L Day | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Sassy Summer | 1 | Lauren Stojakovic | Kym Healy | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Starlite Dexter | 2 | Rochelle Milnes | Kym Healy | 58kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Ghazi | 8 | Michael Hickmott | 58kg |
20% place rate, consistent trend, maps ideally for moderate-fast tempo.
Barrier 2 suits bias, consistent placer in country maidens. In regular prep, maps midfield-forward. Massive overlay vs assessed chance in volatile maiden.
Second Heaven gets blinkers first time from top trainer Jolly, barrier 5 suits Kingscote inside preference. Place hope in weak maiden if gear works, but limited form caps confidence.
Second up, improving trend per metrics, same trainer as top pick #1. Poor finishing positions but raw speed suggests upset potential on tight speed track if maps on-pace.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Pub Crawl | 1 | Tala Hutchinson | Kym Healy | 56.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 3 | Boolcunda Dawn | 7 | Dominic Tourneur | Peter & Belinda Blanch | 56kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Hedged Your Bets | 2 | Wesley Cave | T L Day | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Pacific Pixie | 4 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Second Heaven | 5 | Caitlyn Munro | R & C Jolly | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Bright Delight | 3 | Lauren Stojakovic | Kym Healy | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Helichrysum | 6 | Polly Brewster | P A Krelle | 54.5kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Omaha Princess | 8 | Ms Jan Taylor | 55kg |
Lastar stands out on pure form with 5:1-3-1 Kingscote record including recent 1360m win and 2:0-2-0 at T/D. 33:5-4-6 distance stats elite for BM58. Midfield barrier 5 ideal for Kingscote's tight turns/fast tempo. Dropping class offsets 60kg.
Real Valentia reliable Kingscote runner with 8:1-1-0 track, 5:1-1-0 T/D records. Recent placings (3rd Clare) show fitness. 57.5kg light, barrier 2 perfect for inside speed on tight circuit. Consistent good track form 81:10-14-9 outweighs recent margins in BM58 volatility.
Artissi in form with recent Mt Gambier win, Kingscote 2nd (1050m). Barrier 7 exploits middle bias (20% win rate). Jockey Potter 20% combo strike, claim effective at 54.5kg. Reliable for place in upset-prone country BM58.
Barrier 1 ideal for Kingscote leaders bias, likely leader speed map. Jockey 20% track wins. Overlooked no local form but map/tempo suits fast race perfectly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lastar | 5 | Kyra Yuill | Ms N Irwin | 60kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Artissi | 7 | Sophie Potter | Ms N Irwin | 54.5kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Real Valentia | 2 | Rochelle Milnes | Kym Healy | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Lucky Fortuna | 4 | Lauren Stojakovic | Kym Healy | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Mr Jones | 3 | Campbell Rawiller | Kym Healy | 59.5kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Exotic Dancer | 8 | Polly Brewster | Ms Jessica Tzaferis | 54.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Cap Ten | 1 | Sairyn Fawke | Ms H Lehmann | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 4 | The Mariner | 6 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 58kg | $31.00 |
Consistent recent placings including 2nd at similar 1800m, handles weight well historically. Fast tempo suits strong finishers; barrier manageable midfield.
Class drop enhances chances in R54; good barrier 5 suits Kingscote on-pace bias.
Muffla's Kingscote affinity (5 starts, 1 win 3 places) and recent 3rd over 1750m here make it a podium threat in tight country track. Improving form suits fast tempo; barrier tests but track bias favours handy runners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Vee Rod | 4 | Sophie Potter | Ms N Irwin | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Starlite Rebel | 9 | Lauren Stojakovic | Kym Healy | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Normie No Show | 3 | Connor Murtagh | Garret Lynch | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Muffla | 8 | Dominic Tourneur | Michael McClean | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Youbeeforty | 6 | Kyra Yuill | Ms N Irwin | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Grinzinger Allee | 5 | Rochelle Milnes | Millie Wallace | 55kg | $3.60 |
| 7th | 10 | Fox Dunnett | 10 | Tala Hutchinson | Garret Lynch | 53kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Rokabye Warrior | 7 | Sairyn Fawke | Garret Lynch | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Kilkenny Lass | 2 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Havaduel | 1 | Wesley Cave | T L Day | 55kg | $151.00 |
Barrier 7 aligns with track's middle barrier bias (20% win rate). Good track suits (14:1-2-4). Kingscote speed track favours its forward style in moderate-fast tempo.
Despite wide draw 12, light 54.5kg and proven handy runner suits tight track's on-pace bias in moderate-fast tempo. Clear form edge at venue over unproven rivals.
Darra Linen drops in class with recent BM56 win at Horsham carrying 53kg. Barrier 2 perfect for Kingscote's tight turns/low draw bias. Distance solid 17:1-2-2, good track 33:2-1-3.
Class drop, prior NT wins show ability. Wide barrier 11 risky on tight track but light weight and jockey's perfect combo signal intent.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Shasam | 4 | Thomas Doyle | Stephen Lenehan | 55.5kg | $81.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Knight Dancer | 5 | Campbell Rawiller | J F Macmillan | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Smokin' Eyes | 8 | Dylan Caboche | G & N Searle & B Callanan | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Star Decorum | 12 | Caitlyn Munro | Darren & Aimee Magro | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Sacred Chord | 7 | Sairyn Fawke | Garret Lynch | 60kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Prancing Countess | 10 | Dominic Tourneur | Chris Bieg | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Ti Tree Royal | 6 | Alyssa Webb | Garret Lynch | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Darra Linen | 2 | Kyra Yuill | Ms N Irwin | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Alpha Street | 11 | Connor Murtagh | Ms H Lehmann | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Raoul | 3 | Rochelle Milnes | Kym Healy | 59kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Call It A Hunch | 1 | S H Sit | David J Hall | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Kalosyni | 9 | Polly Brewster | Ms Jessica Tzaferis | 57.5kg |
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